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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 245
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:41:41 AM | Message Detail
This could very well rank ahead of Snake/Zelda, but it'll be hard for it to keep up the pace later on since weekends are so front-loaded in terms of votals.
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:42:47 AM | Message Detail
You can't sit there and tell me with a straight face that Sonic is equal to Samus.

I bet he's chuckling behind the monitor, anyway.
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SC2K5 Guru Contest: Where _______ kicked my ass.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:42:55 AM | Message Detail
So, wait...not even partystar believes in Snake/Sora SFF? That's a relief.
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: Shadowdude II | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:43:03 AM | Message Detail
Those who love Sonic to death and those who wants anyone to upset Sonic before he reaches to a Noble Nine character.
I think you're talking about Solid Snake. >.>

That's because Sonic isn't perfroming above expectations.
... He is performing at the high end of the expectations chart, to put it conservatively.

Ryu was beating Sonic before the morning vote.

It was because of the morning vote Knuckles beat Magus.

Ryu wasn't beating Sonic IIRC, but going 50-50. And Knuckles did nothing spectacular against Magus.

I just love this match. Not only did Sonic completely destroyed Tifa when the dayvote came, but this looks like to be the most popular poll so far. (Solid Snake VS Zelda is the most popular right now, right?)
Yep, it outpaced Mario/Zero right out of the gate leaped ahead of Snake/Zelda just an hour or so ago.
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www.geocities.com/shdwdde/Fanfic/SC2K5CYOA
The Power is Yours.
From: transience | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:43:39 AM | Message Detail
when it comes to you, I never know when you're sarcastic or not.

OOT sold more than SSBM, for sure, but I don't think a Zelda picture matters in the least. it's Zelda, after all, and everyone knows who she is regardless.

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From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:44:05 AM | Message Detail
So, wait...not even partystar believes in Snake/Sora SFF? That's a relief.

Nope, thats crazy, but I do believe that Sora just falls apart against elites for no reason. >_>
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I know what I'm getting into, I don't care if I die trying!-Peppita Rossetti
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:44:21 AM | Message Detail
It isn't me telling you anything, it's Sonic's matches that say he's as strong as Samus. There's no way you can tell me it is NOT a possibility given the clear change in voters we've had over the past year. Sonic may not end up being that high, but he isn't going to significantly lower either. I think it has been rather evident that Sonic has increased from 2004, at least enough to acquire 37% on 2004 Link. Such a percentage would still have Tifa ranking in the near-elite range. He would have to be much closer to his 2004 value in order for Tifa to rank under that little area.

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“What is it that is most precious to you, Cloud? I’ll enjoy stripping that from you!” – Sephiroth
From: Shadowdude II | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:44:29 AM | Message Detail
It doesn't really matter. Snake had an unrecognizable pic.
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www.geocities.com/shdwdde/Fanfic/SC2K5CYOA
The Power is Yours.
From: Shadowdude II | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:45:21 AM | Message Detail
Nope, thats crazy, but I do believe that Sora just falls apart against elites for no reason. >_>

Snake's best pic ever, mayhaps?
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www.geocities.com/shdwdde/Fanfic/SC2K5CYOA
The Power is Yours.
From: transience | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:46:40 AM | Message Detail
it's possible that Sora does just suck against elites. it's as good an explanation as any.
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From: FourthDeus | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:47:20 AM | Message Detail
Snake did great because of the pic.
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5/18/05
Never forget. Never forgive.
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:47:20 AM | Message Detail
it's possible that Sora does just suck against elites. it's as good an explanation as any.

I remember when some people tried to use that excuse for Tidus. How did that turn out?
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"It shall be engraved upon your soul! Divine Assault: Nibelung Valesti!" ~ Lenneth Valkyrie
From: Shadowdude II | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:47:45 AM | Message Detail
I wouldn't say that Sora just sucks against elites. For a while, Tidus was thought to be just that, and we all know how that turned out.
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www.geocities.com/shdwdde/Fanfic/SC2K5CYOA
The Power is Yours.
From: Shadowdude II | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:48:10 AM | Message Detail
Damn you, RPGuy...
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www.geocities.com/shdwdde/Fanfic/SC2K5CYOA
The Power is Yours.
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:48:41 AM | Message Detail
Maybe...but his performances in the first two rounds always look great, and then he gets way under his projected % on whoever it is he loses to. (Which has always been a NN member, ha ha!)
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I know what I'm getting into, I don't care if I die trying!-Peppita Rossetti
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:49:12 AM | Message Detail
Everyone is always out for Snake and Sonic's blood against Non-Noble Niners. In 2003 people thought Ryu would beat Snake, and that Aeris/Zero would beat Sonic (the latter coming very close to happening). In 2004 people thought Ryu could beat Sonic, and that Frog could beat Snake (the latter coming sickeningly close to happening). And this year Tifa over Sonic and Bowser over Snake were being booked many a time.

One of the reasons I back Sonic so often is because he and Snake get treated so alike. = (
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: transience | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:49:32 AM | Message Detail
I didn't say it was a good explanation. you've missed the ridiculous Sora/Snake SFF talk, Guy. I know I wouldn't take Vivi over Sora.

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From: charmander6000 | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:49:37 AM | Message Detail
... He is performing at the high end of the expectations chart, to put it conservatively.

Sonic has to end up with 58-59% for me to believe that he has a good chance against Crono.
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17 have challenged Nintendo in the handheld market, 17 have failed. (see quote for list)
From: Shadowdude II | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:50:38 AM | Message Detail
Maybe...but his performances in the first two rounds always look great, and then he gets way under his projected % on whoever it is he loses to. (Which has always been a NN member, ha ha!)

1) Samus over Sora didn't see too much of a stretch to me.

2) Aeris is not a Noble Nine member.
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www.geocities.com/shdwdde/Fanfic/SC2K5CYOA
The Power is Yours.
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:51:18 AM | Message Detail
Sonic can definitely reach the finals. How can anyone tell me it's outside the realm of possibility for him to score 62% against Master Chief? While winning it is a different story, he can certainly get there.
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SC2K5 Guru Contest: Where _______ kicked my ass.
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:51:30 AM | Message Detail
I remember when some people tried to use that excuse for Tidus. How did that turn out?

Yeah, but Tidus failed against Kirby, proving him weak. Sora didn't fail against Alucard. And his performance against Ryu H. They all lead to great strength and then...bam. I think.
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I know what I'm getting into, I don't care if I die trying!-Peppita Rossetti
From: Shadowdude II | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:51:43 AM | Message Detail
I backed Frog over Snake >_>

Sonic has to end up with 58-59% for me to believe that he has a good chance against Crono.

And is he EXPECTED to beat Crono?
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www.geocities.com/shdwdde/Fanfic/SC2K5CYOA
The Power is Yours.
From: Zylo the wolf | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:52:32 AM | Message Detail
I honestly can't see Masterchief winning over characters like Luigi and Tifa. I don't even think it would be that close if he faced Luigi, if he barely beat DK.
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When this happened, all of us got PWND by Smurf
http://www.freewebs.com/vgcg/Knuckles.jpg
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:52:46 AM | Message Detail
Right...Sora was in 2K3...>_>
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I know what I'm getting into, I don't care if I die trying!-Peppita Rossetti
From: Shadowdude II | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:53:19 AM | Message Detail
Partystar, do you have AIM?
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www.geocities.com/shdwdde/Fanfic/SC2K5CYOA
The Power is Yours.
From: MegatokyoEd | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:53:46 AM | Message Detail
57-59% on Tifa vs 61% on a guy that struggled with DK.

Sonic's the favorite IMO.
From: Shadowdude II | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:53:51 AM | Message Detail
I could see MC beating Luigi and getting 45%+ on Tifa.
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www.geocities.com/shdwdde/Fanfic/SC2K5CYOA
The Power is Yours.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:54:22 AM | Message Detail
Ugh, my frigging pinky has more character development than Frog did in his entire game. And I bet it can speak better Ye Olde English than him, too. Samus crushing Frog was easily one of the highlights this year.
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:54:39 AM | Message Detail
AIM - Heroic Rikku

>_>
<_<
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I know what I'm getting into, I don't care if I die trying!-Peppita Rossetti
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:54:48 AM | Message Detail
And is he EXPECTED to beat Crono?

I wouldn't say expected, but he does look very good.
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17 have challenged Nintendo in the handheld market, 17 have failed. (see quote for list)
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:55:19 AM | Message Detail
MC beating Luigi? People think Donkey Kong is that strong? Or Luigi is that weak?
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: Shadowdude II | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:55:31 AM | Message Detail
On the contrary, Samus over Frog was the biggest tragedy to occur in the contest ever.

And I wouldn't be so sure that Sonic will sustain 57%+ throughout the rest of the day and the night.
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www.geocities.com/shdwdde/Fanfic/SC2K5CYOA
The Power is Yours.
From: MegatokyoEd | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:55:44 AM | Message Detail
There is no way DK is equal to Luigi.
From: ernest | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:56:07 AM | Message Detail
whenever an elite has a minor chance of losing everyone wants him to lose.
i once asked who was in the noble nine and many people included magus/ganondorf/zero for some odd reason
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What a 42 carat plonker you really are~del boy only fools and horses
From: Shadowdude II | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:56:23 AM | Message Detail
I wouldn't say expected, but he does look very good.

You just said that he'd need 58% to look very good...

MC beating Luigi? People think Donkey Kong is that strong? Or Luigi is that weak?

Pretty much.
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www.geocities.com/shdwdde/Fanfic/SC2K5CYOA
The Power is Yours.
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:56:31 AM | Message Detail
Since Sonic looks like he'll reach 57.27% soon enough, I went ahead and looked at how much of a difference there would be between Tifa and Aerith if the match ended there. Tifa would rank 3.18% ahead of Aerith and would be expected to get 54.41%.

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“What is it that is most precious to you, Cloud? I’ll enjoy stripping that from you!” – Sephiroth
From: transience | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:56:44 AM | Message Detail
I'd take Luigi over MC in a heartbeat. I don't think anyone would take DK over Luigi, for example.
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From: Shadowdude II | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:56:57 AM | Message Detail
i once asked who was in the noble nine and many people included magus/ganondorf/zero for some odd reason

They excluded Link/Cloud/Seph.
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www.geocities.com/shdwdde/Fanfic/SC2K5CYOA
The Power is Yours.
From: Tequilla Gundam | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:57:39 AM | Message Detail
wow, that hurricane sucked :(
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Summer 2005 Contest Score : 30/32
Rank : 42/33793 Today: Mario Tomorrow: Zero
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:57:51 AM | Message Detail
How does Tifa beat Aerith? o_O
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I know what I'm getting into, I don't care if I die trying!-Peppita Rossetti
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:58:20 AM | Message Detail
How does Tifa beat Aerith?

...You find that odd?

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“What is it that is most precious to you, Cloud? I’ll enjoy stripping that from you!” – Sephiroth
From: RevolverAk47 | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:58:55 AM | Message Detail
sonic has few stalls, but he gains a lot, he will surely finish above 57 at LEAST. maybe 58, after, the night vote is not for like 7hrs.
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- - -
From: Shadowdude II | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:59:21 AM | Message Detail
Since Sonic looks like he'll reach 57.27% soon enough, I went ahead and looked at how much of a difference there would be between Tifa and Aerith if the match ended there. Tifa would rank 3.18% ahead of Aerith and would be expected to get 54.41%.

Extrapolating through whom?
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www.geocities.com/shdwdde/Fanfic/SC2K5CYOA
The Power is Yours.
From: XxBilly2xX | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:59:41 AM | Message Detail
Actually, HM, you have to factor in that Aeris faced Sonic in his weakest year.

I think Aeris/Tifa would be very close, unless SFF occurs.
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This is not a sig, just felt like writing something down here.
From: Slowflake | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:59:55 AM | Message Detail
He just reversed the two names. After all, Aeris did a LOT better than that.
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Zelos: Half the world's girls are destined to become my servants of love!
Presea: The probability of that is... infinitely close to zero.
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 9/11/2005 9:59:59 AM | Message Detail
No, not at all. That makes sense. (*tries to figure out how that makes sense*)
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I know what I'm getting into, I don't care if I die trying!-Peppita Rossetti
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/11/2005 10:00:05 AM | Message Detail
Extrapolating through whom?

Well, I figured it was apparent by now, but that holds Diablo constant and shoots Sonic up to 39.27% on 2004 Link.

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“What is it that is most precious to you, Cloud? I’ll enjoy stripping that from you!” – Sephiroth
From: Slowflake | Posted: 9/11/2005 10:00:51 AM | Message Detail
lol spring x-stats
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Zelos: Half the world's girls are destined to become my servants of love!
Presea: The probability of that is... infinitely close to zero.
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/11/2005 10:01:03 AM | Message Detail
After all, Aeris did a LOT better than that.

You want to try telling me Sonic is equal to 2003? Hmm?

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“What is it that is most precious to you, Cloud? I’ll enjoy stripping that from you!” – Sephiroth
From: Slowflake | Posted: 9/11/2005 10:01:25 AM | Message Detail
Yes.
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Zelos: Half the world's girls are destined to become my servants of love!
Presea: The probability of that is... infinitely close to zero.
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