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Summer 2005 Contest
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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 244
From: UItimaterializer | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:26:22 PM | Message Detail
Go Vincent!!



*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Summer 2002 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/1

Summer 2003 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/2

Spring 2004 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/3

Summer 2004 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/4

Summer 2005 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/5

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19



*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Summer 2002 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/13

Summer 2003 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/14

Spring 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/15

SFF Adjusted Spring 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/16

Summer 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/17

SFF Adjusted Summer 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/18

Spring 2005 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/27

All Time Extrapolated Standings:
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/alltimexsts.htm



*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html



*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm



*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, save for three from 2002:
http://www.sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php



*Miscellaneous*


Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

MMXcalibur's Contest Sites:
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

Poll Vote Total Updater:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/25

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251



!yawA tsoP
From: therealmnm | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:31:00 PM | Message Detail
Vincent > Squall, Sonic > Tifa, Mega Man > Yoshi, Samus > Mario, Bowser > Snake, Crono > Vincent, Mega Man > Sonic, Samus > Bowser, Crono > Mega Man, Samus > Crono, Link > Cloud, Sephiroth > Samus. Link > Sephiroth

My bracket > yours <_<
---
MM are my INITIALS "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
From: Smurf87 | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:32:00 PM | Message Detail
ZOMG

Sonic is going to double Tfia!

---
Joker-Why are Sonic fanboys the most annoying?
n00bAvenger-Because they have Smurf.Which is the worst fanboy you can have
From: Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:36:46 PM | Message Detail
Vincent>many screwed brackets.
---
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:37:13 PM | Message Detail
Snake > Bowser
---
Return of SF1: YOU DON'T HAVE A CASE!
makeyourchance: Yes I do! It's Samsonite.
From: Socrates | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:37:14 PM | Message Detail
These move really, really fast.
---
"Who drank me?"
-Hemlock
From: Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:40:13 PM | Message Detail
I have Bowser over Snake,but Snake will win with no more than 55%.
---
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
From: bigkevinm84 | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:41:42 PM | Message Detail
Sonic will crush Tifa.
---
Vote for Yoshi
You have no chance to survive make your time.
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:54:29 PM | Message Detail
A <10% prediction percentage will not shock me one bit.

---
RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/2005
SC2k5 - 77/88 (Kefka, Magus (x3), Ocelot, Tidus)
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/10/2005 4:02:33 PM | Message Detail
Go, Vince! <3

---
“What is it that is most precious to you, Cloud? I’ll enjoy stripping that from you!” – Sephiroth
From: Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted: 9/10/2005 4:07:50 PM | Message Detail
I guess the prediction will be(if Vincent wins)around 12-15%.But no less than 10%.
---
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
From: SonicRaptor | Posted: 9/10/2005 5:42:47 PM | Message Detail
A <10% prediction percentage will not shock me one bit.

25% of the brackets had Vincent over Dante, I will be surprised if the prediction percentage is OVER 10% for Squall/Vincent.
---
Today's subliminal thought is:
From: Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted: 9/10/2005 5:43:34 PM | Message Detail
Wow one of the lowest predictions ever.What was the lowest anyway?
---
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 9/10/2005 5:43:59 PM | Message Detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
From: SephirothG | Posted: 9/10/2005 5:44:15 PM | Message Detail
Cloud over Link in '03
---
"Let's mosey"
Summer Contest Score: 76/84, Predicted Winner: Crono
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 9/10/2005 5:44:19 PM | Message Detail
Cloud/Sephiroth 2k3.
---
Return of SF1: YOU DON'T HAVE A CASE!
makeyourchance: Yes I do! It's Samsonite.
From: SephirothG | Posted: 9/10/2005 5:44:44 PM | Message Detail
Yeah what he said^^^
---
"Let's mosey"
Summer Contest Score: 76/84, Predicted Winner: Crono
From: RamzaB | Posted: 9/10/2005 5:44:57 PM | Message Detail
Cloud winning the 03 contest. 6 point something.
---
Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted: 9/10/2005 5:45:08 PM | Message Detail
Er,how much for these 2?
---
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 9/10/2005 5:45:18 PM | Message Detail
It was 6.08%
---
Return of SF1: YOU DON'T HAVE A CASE!
makeyourchance: Yes I do! It's Samsonite.
From: RamzaB | Posted: 9/10/2005 5:47:45 PM | Message Detail
Next two lowest were SSBM over Starcraft and Starcraft over Wind Waker in SpC2k4. They and Cloud > Sephiroth in 2k3 are the only matches to ever break 10% prediction percentage. Vincent might manage that though.
---
Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: Kegger9 | Posted: 9/10/2005 5:47:52 PM | Message Detail
*Has Vincent<Crono in his bracket* <3 Vinny
From: SephirothG | Posted: 9/10/2005 5:49:06 PM | Message Detail
Change you sig, Mr. Beoulve
---
"Let's mosey"
Summer Contest Score: 76/84, Predicted Winner: Crono
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/10/2005 5:49:46 PM | Message Detail
Here are some of the possible areas for these characters:

Based on a constant Squall, Vincent stands at 32.04% on Link, meaning he should get 39.23% on Crono. Dante stands at 29.47%, a decent increase based on DMC3. Knuckles stands at 29.30%, nearly 3% higher than he's ever been (makes Sonic look pretty good). Magus stands at 28.79%, around Kirby 2004. Terra stands at 16.79%, right around the area Cecil falls. Geno stands at 15.96%, around Laharl. Poor Kerrigan is at 13.45%, barely above Eggplant CATS.

Based on a constant Knuckles, Vincent stands at 29.22%, meaning he should get 35.78% on Crono. Squall stands at 28.93% on Link. Magus stands at 26.28%. Dante stands at 26.88%. Terra stands at 15.32%, barely above 2004 Lara Croft. Geno stands at 14.55% on Link, between Gordon Freeman and Terry Bogard. Poor Kerrigan goes to 12.27% on Link, below JC Denton.

To me, Squall being close to his 2003 value seems more reasonable. I don't think they're much lower or higher than that regardless.
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Devil Division Final: (5)Vincent Valentine
From: Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted: 9/10/2005 5:49:57 PM | Message Detail
Wow,94% had Link winning,yet he lost.That means that brackets votes don't really matter.
---
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 9/10/2005 5:50:21 PM | Message Detail
So if CATS got 49.99% on Link, ande Link showed hiomself to be constant, CATS did a bad job? Right...

Because Squall/Vincent is really comparable to CATS/Link. Right...
---
Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/10/2005 5:51:38 PM | Message Detail
With Vincent and Aeris looking closely comparable stats-wise, I think Tifa will fall in that same area as well. We'll see what Sonic does with it.
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Devil Division Final: (5)Vincent Valentine
From: dethfdddddh | Posted: 9/10/2005 5:51:42 PM | Message Detail
*imagines if Master Chief and Donkey Kong stayed constant*

I'd go nuts if Vincent still managed to beat Crono.
From: SephirothG | Posted: 9/10/2005 5:51:43 PM | Message Detail
Wow,94% had Link winning,yet he lost.That means that brackets votes don't really matter.

No, it just means 94% didn't have Cloud winning...
---
"Let's mosey"
Summer Contest Score: 76/84, Predicted Winner: Crono
From: Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted: 9/10/2005 5:52:50 PM | Message Detail
I guess then in this contest,the percentage of the final match will be around 33%,since people have either Mario,Samus or Crono winning.
---
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
From: Kyle Bowen | Posted: 9/10/2005 5:54:26 PM | Message Detail
3% raise for Knuckles seems a bit out of proportion dont you think?

But then again.. A constant Knuckles makes these characters too low.


KB
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/10/2005 5:55:15 PM | Message Detail
Oh, and if Tifa is at exactly 32% on Link, Luigi stands at 29.84% on BL, meaning he could possibly hit 30% depending on where she is.
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Devil Division Final: (5)Vincent Valentine
From: SephirothG | Posted: 9/10/2005 5:55:51 PM | Message Detail
Nope, a good deal of people are either contest-ignorant or have favorite brackets. I'd say 20% is a better number.
---
"Let's mosey"
Summer Contest Score: 76/84, Predicted Winner: Crono
From: RamzaB | Posted: 9/10/2005 5:56:53 PM | Message Detail
Change you sig, Mr. Beoulve

It was part of a sig bet, till draco tells me what my new one is I'll keep this one till the contests over.
---
Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted: 9/10/2005 5:57:43 PM | Message Detail
A useless information now.This match is the closest I can remember.Yeah,I had participated in previous contests,but I didn't care anyway.But this year I care a lot.And this match is very cool for me,because I was here from the beggining,and I was here even when Squall was ahead and I said:<Squall got this match,I am leaving.>Yeah,so lame but whatever.
---
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
From: TheCruelAngel | Posted: 9/10/2005 5:57:48 PM | Message Detail
Big gain by Squall.

Now, don't stop. ;)

---
Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 9/10/2005 5:59:13 PM | Message Detail
I haven't seen Slow all day, did he actually leave?
---
17 have challenged Nintendo in the handheld market, 17 have failed. (see quote for list)
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/10/2005 5:59:14 PM | Message Detail
Night vote has arrived. Comeback initiated.
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Devil Division Final: (5)Vincent Valentine
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 9/10/2005 5:59:46 PM | Message Detail
Wait a few updates before saying that.
---
17 have challenged Nintendo in the handheld market, 17 have failed. (see quote for list)
From: Kyle Bowen | Posted: 9/10/2005 6:00:14 PM | Message Detail
Leon, when Squall get 4 or 5 of those gains... then we can talk.


KB
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 9/10/2005 6:00:34 PM | Message Detail
LUCKY 777 go squall!

please!
---
Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/10/2005 6:01:06 PM | Message Detail
Oh crap, Vincent just got lucky sevens. Bad news for Squall.
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Devil Division Final: (5)Vincent Valentine
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/10/2005 6:01:20 PM | Message Detail
7 - 7 - 7

Bring the win home to Final Fantasy 7, Vince!

---
“What is it that is most precious to you, Cloud? I’ll enjoy stripping that from you!” – Sephiroth
From: Kegger9 | Posted: 9/10/2005 6:01:59 PM | Message Detail
It is a sign
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 9/10/2005 6:02:22 PM | Message Detail
Come on, Squall.
---
Return of SF1: YOU DON'T HAVE A CASE!
makeyourchance: Yes I do! It's Samsonite.
From: SephirothG | Posted: 9/10/2005 6:04:18 PM | Message Detail
Awesome, now Vincent can beat Emerald and Ruby
---
"Let's mosey"
Summer Contest Score: 76/84, Predicted Winner: Crono
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 9/10/2005 6:04:31 PM | Message Detail
A sign for who?
---
17 have challenged Nintendo in the handheld market, 17 have failed. (see quote for list)
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/10/2005 6:05:06 PM | Message Detail
It's a sign for Vincent. Lucky sevens in Final Fantasy VII are hardcore.
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Devil Division Final: (5)Vincent Valentine
From: Kyle Bowen | Posted: 9/10/2005 6:05:51 PM | Message Detail
three in a row, for a net of 40.


KB
From: SephirothG | Posted: 9/10/2005 6:05:55 PM | Message Detail
*whom
---
"Let's mosey"
Summer Contest Score: 76/84, Predicted Winner: Crono
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