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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 243
From: TheCruelAngel | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:34:53 PM | Message Detail
Squall doesn't need to cheat to win this. A particularly strong night vote would do. Lower vote totals would also help.

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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:36:09 PM | Message Detail
It not like Vincent is bad with the night vote either.
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17 have challenged Nintendo in the handheld market, 17 have failed. (see quote for list)
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:36:53 PM | Message Detail
Thinking Squall will get a massive night vote is foolish. Vincent is not bad with it.

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“What is it that is most precious to you, Cloud? I’ll enjoy stripping that from you!” – Sephiroth
From: TheCruelAngel | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:38:00 PM | Message Detail
Yes, I know. I'm just hoping for a very strong Squall night vote. :P

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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:38:50 PM | Message Detail
Wow, so when did Squall roll over and die?
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Return of SF1: YOU DON'T HAVE A CASE!
makeyourchance: Yes I do! It's Samsonite.
From: Zylo the wolf | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:40:05 PM | Message Detail
I know Squall will use "Lionheart" and gain at least 800 votes in the last 15 minutes.
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When this happened, all of us got PWND by Smurf
http://www.freewebs.com/vgcg/Knuckles.jpg
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:40:09 PM | Message Detail
He really hasn't it took everything of Vincent to get to where he is now.
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17 have challenged Nintendo in the handheld market, 17 have failed. (see quote for list)
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:41:31 PM | Message Detail
Squall needs one hell of a night vote to beat Vincent. Now this match is over.
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Return of SF1: YOU DON'T HAVE A CASE!
makeyourchance: Yes I do! It's Samsonite.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:42:24 PM | Message Detail
Yes, now I certainly wouldn't begrudge anyone making predictions on the way this match is going to end. = P
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: TheCruelAngel | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:42:34 PM | Message Detail
The match is over in a bit over eight hours. Don't be pessimistic; Squall will catch up. :P

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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:43:07 PM | Message Detail
one hell of a night vote? That's a slight exaggeration. If the lead keeps building? Yes, it will take a better effort. But the leads still only 626. Frog overcame the same, so it's not as if that's undoable. And yes I know he's not the best choice to bring up, but such a margin can be overcome.
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb
From: goku z | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:43:49 PM | Message Detail
The match isn't over until CJayC says there is no cheating >_>
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Summer Contest 2005 Winner: Mario
Mario will SFF Samus, and pull it out against Crono.
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:44:12 PM | Message Detail
Squall and Vincent are both Square. Chances are they'll split the night vote.
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Return of SF1: YOU DON'T HAVE A CASE!
makeyourchance: Yes I do! It's Samsonite.
From: TheCruelAngel | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:44:43 PM | Message Detail
There is cheating... Both sides are doing it around equally.

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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:45:51 PM | Message Detail
Hell yes! Vincent's lead up to 681!

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“What is it that is most precious to you, Cloud? I’ll enjoy stripping that from you!” – Sephiroth
From: RamzaB | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:46:09 PM | Message Detail
Wow, huge push by Vincent in the last half hour.
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Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: seeraamaazu | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:46:24 PM | Message Detail
Wow, Squall got almost no votes on that update.
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DEFENCE, DEFENCE
"Alas, history is nothing but a lie agreed upon" - Napoleon Bonaparte.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:46:25 PM | Message Detail
That last update was INSANE.
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:46:27 PM | Message Detail
Let's see.

With the night vote typically starting at around 19:30. And with the projected final tally of 99,000 using the same average ratio of the other Saturday matches, we'll have about 89.2% of the total votes by the time 19:30 hits. IE 88,300 votes.

Assuming Vincent continues his current 50.4% trend, He'll have a 706 vote lead by then. Meaning of the remaining 10,700 votes, Squall would need a 53.2% average advantage in the night.

And I find that very hard to believe.
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Uh oh, they started moving their legs back and forth while standing in place. You're about to fight aren't you? - My friend watching me play FFT
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:47:03 PM | Message Detail
Frog overcame the same, so it's not as if that's undoable. And yes I know he's not the best choice to bring up, but such a margin can be overcome.

Frog is very good with the night vote. Squall and Vincent both are nearly as dominate with it as Frog is. Vincent and Squall should keep up this same pattern heading into the night. I don't know why someone would expect a serious change in what we're seeing right now.

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“What is it that is most precious to you, Cloud? I’ll enjoy stripping that from you!” – Sephiroth
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:47:04 PM | Message Detail
And if Vincent continues at this rate, it'll be even worse for Squall.
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Uh oh, they started moving their legs back and forth while standing in place. You're about to fight aren't you? - My friend watching me play FFT
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:47:43 PM | Message Detail
Yeah, I made that post when Vincent was still back at 600. That was just insane.
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Uh oh, they started moving their legs back and forth while standing in place. You're about to fight aren't you? - My friend watching me play FFT
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:48:01 PM | Message Detail
That last update was INSANE.

Definitely. Squall dropped off and Vincent shot up. Huge win for Vince there.

---
“What is it that is most precious to you, Cloud? I’ll enjoy stripping that from you!” – Sephiroth
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:49:09 PM | Message Detail
Well, looking it, it was more Vincent than anything else, but Squall's votes that update were pathetic.

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“What is it that is most precious to you, Cloud? I’ll enjoy stripping that from you!” – Sephiroth
From: seeraamaazu | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:49:26 PM | Message Detail
Vincent Valentine - Devil Division Champion

Too bad Crono is next.
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DEFENCE, DEFENCE
"Alas, history is nothing but a lie agreed upon" - Napoleon Bonaparte.
From: Lopen | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:49:45 PM | Message Detail
It's funny how Frog caught back up with the Chief during the night but Master Chief just kept up his pace vs Crono. (albeit a tad slowed)
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather."
- Slow Beef
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:50:54 PM | Message Detail
Why are all of Vincent's voting patterns so erratic?
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Return of SF1: YOU DON'T HAVE A CASE!
makeyourchance: Yes I do! It's Samsonite.
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:51:44 PM | Message Detail
vincent is a filthy cheater!

hack away Squall!
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb
From: RamzaB | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:51:44 PM | Message Detail
Squall took off a single vote right there.
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Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:51:45 PM | Message Detail
Just because Frog is good with the night vote doesn't mean Crono is too.
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17 have challenged Nintendo in the handheld market, 17 have failed. (see quote for list)
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:52:09 PM | Message Detail
They're erratic because he's Vincent, I've concluded. He's a strange mishmash of irregularities, and I suspect we'll see more of the same against Crono.
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:52:49 PM | Message Detail
Why are all of Vincent's voting patterns so erratic?

He tends to have a period where he'll be very consistent with his gains and then he'll have a time where he just shoots up and falls back down. Squall experiences the same thing quite often too.

But I think that's how he was against Dante last round too. Not sure, I think someone mentioned it earlier.

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“What is it that is most precious to you, Cloud? I’ll enjoy stripping that from you!” – Sephiroth
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:52:57 PM | Message Detail
your suspicions are wrong, because we'll never have the opportunity to witness Vincent/Crono.
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:52:58 PM | Message Detail
Vincent seems to be running with this now. Everytime Squall does something, Vincent steps it up and raises his lead in a big way.

Good show Squall.
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SC2K5: Samus is going all the way!
Vincent vs. Squall- Bracket: Magus - Vote: Vincent (76/84)
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:54:19 PM | Message Detail
In Squall's peak time so far between 3:35 and 4:35, he got 53.5%

If he can manage that through the entire night vote, he has a shot to win.

Improbable if you ask me.
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Uh oh, they started moving their legs back and forth while standing in place. You're about to fight aren't you? - My friend watching me play FFT
From: Mister Mario | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:55:16 PM | Message Detail
Because he's a filthy cheater.
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Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Mistress Aran
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:55:40 PM | Message Detail
Heh. They both had 50% of the vote that update.

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“What is it that is most precious to you, Cloud? I’ll enjoy stripping that from you!” – Sephiroth
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:55:41 PM | Message Detail
50/50 update
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17 have challenged Nintendo in the handheld market, 17 have failed. (see quote for list)
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:56:00 PM | Message Detail
cool, basically 50/50 for two updates straight...
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:56:07 PM | Message Detail
OK, now I'm suspicious of Vincent's 15:45 update.
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Return of SF1: YOU DON'T HAVE A CASE!
makeyourchance: Yes I do! It's Samsonite.
From: RamzaB | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:56:17 PM | Message Detail
50/50 update.
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Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:56:24 PM | Message Detail
Two 50/50's after a 58% massacre. This match is wild.
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:57:09 PM | Message Detail
OK, now I'm suspicious of Vincent's 15:45 update.

Mercy. There have been a fair share of those from both sides throughout this entire match.

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“What is it that is most precious to you, Cloud? I’ll enjoy stripping that from you!” – Sephiroth
From: Lopen | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:57:10 PM | Message Detail
Meh, it's what Vincent does. Either he's always cheating, or never cheating. It could be either one, actually... heh.
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather."
- Slow Beef
From: MegatokyoEd | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:57:51 PM | Message Detail
I'm seriously laughing at all the people saying Vincent's cheating.
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/10/2005 3:58:52 PM | Message Detail
I'm sure there's cheating, but I have no idea why someone would suspect one side is doing it so much more than the other.

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“What is it that is most precious to you, Cloud? I’ll enjoy stripping that from you!” – Sephiroth
From: TheCruelAngel | Posted: 9/10/2005 4:00:10 PM | Message Detail
Both sides have been erratic. I'm not saying that there is no cheating, obviously, but I think that's it around the same for both of them.

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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 9/10/2005 4:00:47 PM | Message Detail
lol, would you rather we squall supporters accuse him of cheating?
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb
From: RamzaB | Posted: 9/10/2005 4:01:09 PM | Message Detail
Squall won that update by 11.
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Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/10/2005 4:01:26 PM | Message Detail
Vincent and his occasional sucky updates. Squall knocks off 21 votes bringing his lead down to 659.

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“What is it that is most precious to you, Cloud? I’ll enjoy stripping that from you!” – Sephiroth
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