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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 241
From: AKsellout | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:15:21 AM | Message Detail
Renzokuken!
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"Timshel...Thou Mayest" - East of Eden.
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:15:51 AM | Message Detail
The funny thing here is that Chichiri and I are taking up opposing sides of a debate despite our having identical Devil Divisions. Guess he's just that damned good at getting people riled up. =P
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SC2K5 Guru Contest: Where _______ kicked my ass.
From: transience | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:15:53 AM | Message Detail
damn, Vincent took that update. I don't care who wins, but I'd love to see a tight match.
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From: RamzaB | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:16:04 AM | Message Detail
Vincent stops Squall in his tracks and takes back 14.
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Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:16:06 AM | Message Detail
"If you say less than 55 is a good match"

I always call 55% a good match. Just because the winner isn't in doubt doesn't mean that I don't consider it boring. I've seen characters get beat 55-45 then go to being equal in a year's time (Kirby/Jill sorta thing) and so I actually think 55/45 is a good match. Hell, not a single match in the gauntlet underperformed my expectations. That's me though.
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No balls to be bustin', no fightin', no cussin'... just a love for a drug called contest statin'.
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:16:25 AM | Message Detail
Winning update for Vincent. Back up to a lead of 131.



Yeah, just a random burst for Squall there.

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“What is it that is most precious to you, Cloud? I’ll enjoy stripping that from you!” – Sephiroth
From: Ars Arcanum13 | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:16:55 AM | Message Detail
I agree. I think 55 is the limit of a close match. Anything over and I don't consider it close anymore... not to say 55.55 isn't close, but you get the idea.

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From: transience | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:17:30 AM | Message Detail
it depends on the match. if someone cuts the lead from 60 to 55 with the night vote, it's not that close.
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From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:17:49 AM | Message Detail
Hah! Squall had 163 votes on that last update and only 117 this update. =p

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“What is it that is most precious to you, Cloud? I’ll enjoy stripping that from you!” – Sephiroth
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:18:00 AM | Message Detail
"75% of bracket makers had Vincent winning that match. I'd say that places the Kerrigan supporters firmly in the minority"

But by no means an extreme minority.
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No balls to be bustin', no fightin', no cussin'... just a love for a drug called contest statin'.
From: Ars Arcanum13 | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:18:15 AM | Message Detail
Yeah, but his votes have mostly been in the 140's.

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From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:19:40 AM | Message Detail
"Guess he's just that damned good at getting people riled up"

You know it.
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No balls to be bustin', no fightin', no cussin'... just a love for a drug called contest statin'.
From: therealmnm | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:19:54 AM | Message Detail
Considering the fact that this is Squall's best time.... Squall supporters had better hope he picks it up now.
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MM are my INITIALS "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
From: Ars Arcanum13 | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:20:17 AM | Message Detail
137... 6 vote gain.

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From: RamzaB | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:20:52 AM | Message Detail
Vincent pushed the lead up another 6.
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Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:21:26 AM | Message Detail
Who would you guys see as better with the day vote, Dante or Squall?

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“What is it that is most precious to you, Cloud? I’ll enjoy stripping that from you!” – Sephiroth
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:21:27 AM | Message Detail
Considering that Vincent's best time is likely the day vote you're right, but I don't see it happening. Heck, if Vincent keeps Squall under 6 won updates you know Imma yell 'Vincent pwned you!'
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No balls to be bustin', no fightin', no cussin'... just a love for a drug called contest statin'.
From: Jericoholic | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:22:13 AM | Message Detail
Isn't Squall stronger in than Dante though?

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I don't have an ego.
I'm way too cool for that.
From: Ars Arcanum13 | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:22:20 AM | Message Detail
I think Squall and Dante would be extremely similar with the day vote... maybe favoring Squall.

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From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:22:27 AM | Message Detail
Squall held to six updates? At this rate? Not bloody likely. = /
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:22:42 AM | Message Detail
Isn't Squall stronger in than Dante though?

Being a stronger character doesn't mean you're better with the day vote.

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“What is it that is most precious to you, Cloud? I’ll enjoy stripping that from you!” – Sephiroth
From: RamzaB | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:22:54 AM | Message Detail
Btw, for those of you keeping track, this match already has 1400 more votes that Crono-Master Chief. That could just be because of the weekend, but I thought it was worth mentioning.
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Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: transience | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:23:09 AM | Message Detail
none of the three are great. I don't think anyone has an advantage at any point. this should be tight the whole way.

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From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:23:16 AM | Message Detail
The newer Kingdom Hearts voters will propel Squall to victory as soon as they wake up.
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:23:48 AM | Message Detail
I think Squall and Dante would be extremely similar with the day vote... maybe favoring Squall.

Yeah, it's just something to think about because Vincent went about even with Dante throughout their entire match, with his increasing coming from that second night vote more than anything.

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“What is it that is most precious to you, Cloud? I’ll enjoy stripping that from you!” – Sephiroth
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:24:22 AM | Message Detail
none of the three are great.

Dante has actually been pretty good with it in previous years.

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“What is it that is most precious to you, Cloud? I’ll enjoy stripping that from you!” – Sephiroth
From: therealmnm | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:24:29 AM | Message Detail
Squall lost the day vote to Geno and Knuckles (obviously). Vincent won it against Kerrigan and was slightly better than Dante.
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MM are my INITIALS "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:25:11 AM | Message Detail
...Did Squall really lose the day vote to Geno?

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“What is it that is most precious to you, Cloud? I’ll enjoy stripping that from you!” – Sephiroth
From: Ars Arcanum13 | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:25:32 AM | Message Detail
Well Dante/Vincent went exactly 46/54, at this point Vincent had a lead of 307, which is a little bit more than double. So it's on pace to be extremely close, as if you didn't know that, but my point is why are people shutting out Squall's chances?

129 vote now... ^.~

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From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:26:13 AM | Message Detail
Squall wins another update. Brought the lead down by 8.

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“What is it that is most precious to you, Cloud? I’ll enjoy stripping that from you!” – Sephiroth
From: TheCruelAngel | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:26:30 AM | Message Detail
Come on, baby. ;)

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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:26:45 AM | Message Detail
This is both exciting and excruciating. It's 4:26....
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb
From: transience | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:26:51 AM | Message Detail
looking at 2k4, Dante went down 3% against Ratchet (though he obliterated him), and down about 2% on Tails. Dante's not good at the day vote.
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From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:27:11 AM | Message Detail
This is a match, wow.
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: RamzaB | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:27:12 AM | Message Detail
Squall took off 8, I think.
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Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:27:14 AM | Message Detail
...Did Squall really lose the day vote to Geno?

Yep. He was at his highest point about six hours into the match and then kept slowly dropping percentage until the finish line.
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SC2K5 Guru Contest: Where _______ kicked my ass.
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:27:18 AM | Message Detail
Well Dante/Vincent went exactly 46/54, at this point Vincent had a lead of 307,

Dante isn't nearly as good with the night vote as Squall, obviously. You have to take those things into account. Dante's best time is always during the day.

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“What is it that is most precious to you, Cloud? I’ll enjoy stripping that from you!” – Sephiroth
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:27:23 AM | Message Detail
See as people were saying that Squall would disprove the theory that Knuckles is (one of) the day vote king(s) and he failed that, I'm going to bet that his day vote might get over rated. Dante lost about as much last year in his matches against Sonic and Tails in the day as Squall did to knuckles (a little more against Sonic, a little less against Tails... obviously this is also influenced by character strength). I'll call them roughly even, maybe a sligth advantage to Squall.... not enough for the win, though.
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No balls to be bustin', no fightin', no cussin'... just a love for a drug called contest statin'.
From: therealmnm | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:27:30 AM | Message Detail
Actually scratch that. Vincent was closer to even with Dante than to slightly winning it. It's hard to say...
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MM are my INITIALS "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
From: transience | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:28:45 AM | Message Detail
I have no idea who's going to win the day vote. I can't wait to wake up and hit reload.
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From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:29:11 AM | Message Detail
Which is why this match is still up in the air! Why are people calling it?!?!?
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: consolefreak | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:29:43 AM | Message Detail
Who would you guys see as better with the day vote, Dante or Squall?

Squall. FF is a lot more mainstream than DMC.
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even when a pawn becomes a queen, it's still just a playing piece -President Johnson, MGS2. SC2k5: 71/80. Today: Crono, tomorrow: Magus
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:30:03 AM | Message Detail
Jeez. This was supposed to be my "...whatever" match, and I might actually stay up and watch. Dammit.






...whatever
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SC2K5 Guru Contest: Where _______ kicked my ass.
From: transience | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:30:05 AM | Message Detail
no one with a brain is calling a match with a 100 vote lead after 90 minutes. Vincent would have to start building a lead and show no signs of stopping for me to call it.
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From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:30:09 AM | Message Detail
looking at 2k4, Dante went down 3% against Ratchet

Ratchet seems to win the day vote against everybody. Remember Luigi? Yeah.

(though he obliterated him), and down about 2% on Tails. Dante's not good at the day vote.

He was held to a little less against Sonic. Sonic characters in general tend to have pretty good day votes.

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“What is it that is most precious to you, Cloud? I’ll enjoy stripping that from you!” – Sephiroth
From: Ars Arcanum13 | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:30:35 AM | Message Detail
Squalls highest percentage on Geno was 76.14% at 6 hours and 10 minutes into the match, his lowest percent after that was 74.99% at 13 hours and 40 minutes into the match. From there on he increased his lead and then fell back down to 74.99% at 17:35 minutes into the match. From that point to the end he gradually decreased to 74.84%

I don't think he really lost the day vote to Geno.

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From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:30:46 AM | Message Detail
"Why are people calling it?!?!?"

I'm a die-hard Vincent fan, I hate Squall, and I consider Vincent FTW to be better for my currently top 50 bracket... there's no reason for me to allow doubt into my mind.
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No balls to be bustin', no fightin', no cussin'... just a love for a drug called contest statin'.
From: Ars Arcanum13 | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:31:40 AM | Message Detail
I meant substantially. Once you get to that point, it's hard to not lose a little less than 2 percent.

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From: transience | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:31:50 AM | Message Detail
yeah, when I saw the 40 vote cut by Squall, that woke me up. now I'm gonna be watching this for a while.

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From: RamzaB | Posted: 9/10/2005 1:31:59 AM | Message Detail
Vincent takes back 14, they're currently see-sawing.
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Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
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