Master Chief 20.69% 6
Crono 79.31% 23
TOTAL VOTES 29

38.18% of the brackets with Bowser.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.

Master Chief 16.67% 1
Crono 83.33% 5
TOTAL VOTES 6

FIRST!!!


Bowser had 58.76% of the brackets on his side to take the division.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.

Bowser had 58.76% of the brackets on his side to take the division.

Never noticed how sexy Bowser looks in a bandana. =P
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.

Wow, what a crazy leaderboard.

78 1
77 1
76 3
75 15
74 28
73 136
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"Chief, I smell ass and it's coming from your direction." - FFMrebirth
Go, Pack, Go!

Bowser had 58.76% of the brackets on his side to take the division.

That's Snake's percentage.
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Go ahead ********! Fire away! I've got a big turkey dinner here that says you don't have enough bullets to take down my hungry ***! ~ MG2 Run

Dammit; I've been hittin' refresh too quick for it lately. 38.18% for the Koopa King, I mean.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.

Ouch. Well I guess I forgot about Tidus. The combination of Kirby's 1 seed and Tidus being overrated to take the division (sorry Harrich =P).
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MM are my INITIALS "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."

Well Chief's looking well better than Vercetti right now, and this is his worst time... and Crono's best time at that.

Can Master Chief manage 40%? I think it's a possibility.
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Master Chief's path to the championship: Round 3: (2) Crono.
Halo 2 + 7 vote loss vs Frog = 7 vote win vs Crono

And I would have gotten away with it, too, if it wasn't for that meddling Magus.....
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.

Under a doubling with the day, he will go.

Mario wins.
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Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Mistress Aran

Badass lightsaber=slightly stronger than normal. MC doing fairly decent here was expected.

As long as Crono stays near 65% and up, he won't really have disappointed.

Remember that FACE had MC in the 27% range, which as we discussed earlier might be where DK is with The Boost™.
---
www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery

MC's already doin' better with the first freeze than I expected him to finish. Heh, I'll go ahead and put my foot in my mouth.
---
Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.

Score-Brackets-% Right
74-----1--------100.0000000
73-----1--------100.0000000
72-----4--------75.0000000
71-----17-------88.2352941
70-----45-------62.2222222
69-----160------85.0000000
68-----195------71.7948718
67-----347------63.4005764
66-----396------56.3131313
65-----569------52.1968366
64-----669------48.7294469
63-----787------46.3786531
62-----1053-----44.7293447
61-----1098-----43.9890710
60-----1203-----43.3915212
59-----1246-----42.6163724
58-----1339-----45.3323376
57-----1382-----44.9348770
56-----1431-----45.5625437
55-----1515-----40.1980198
54-----1468-----44.3460490
53-----1441-----44.7605829
52-----1382-----44.3560058
51-----1398-----41.7024320
50-----1312-----43.9024390
49-----1240-----42.5000000
48-----1157-----37.2515125
47-----1092-----37.2710623
46-----1052-----33.6501901
45-----873------32.5315006
44-----810------32.0987654
43-----748------28.3422460
42-----778------28.6632391
41-----626------24.4408946
40-----604------23.8410596
39-----559------20.2146691
38-----485------21.0309278
37-----413------19.3704600
36-----407------15.7248157
35-----381------15.4855643
34-----289------14.1868512
33-----292------10.6164384
32-----255------9.0196078
31-----175------12.5714286
30-----164------10.9756098
29-----124------8.0645161
28-----121------6.6115702
27-----117------7.6923077
26-----79-------0.0000000
25-----53-------5.6603774
24-----55-------0.0000000
23-----48-------8.3333333
22-----26-------0.0000000
21-----20-------0.0000000
20-----17-------0.0000000
19-----9--------0.0000000
18-----7--------14.2857143
17-----5--------0.0000000
16-----4--------0.0000000
15-----1--------0.0000000
14-----3--------33.3333333

Everybody with a score of 13 or lower got the match wrong.

Ouch, damaging match today. The lone -2 and -3 manage to survive and only one -4 fell. After that, with exception to the -5s and -7s, the prediction percentage falls to the mid 60s and lower as you go down.

16 people fell off the Top 50 today. Vip3r_Vixen, Cloud9681, toneman887, ZeroFlare, RidiculousNic, darkone_420, Zealot185, CrazyK2108, johlmri, Jvc21, WarfireX, Cheatachu07, WC2K, eff_dee, maverickt00 and Armageddon42388 did not having Bowser taking the division.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."

Crono is looking very bad right now, considering that Frog had over 60% against MC at this point in their match.
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Nominate Jay Solano from Operation Shadow for SC2k6

Crono's not doing that bad at all. I always thought MC should have got SOMETHING from Halo 2, and now he has a chance to prove it.
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!

Crono is not like his Chrono Trigger compatriots. He's actually average with the day vote.
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www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery

I completely forgot about Halo 2, cause so far MC has been looking as week as usual :P
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"Chief, I smell ass and it's coming from your direction." - FFMrebirth
Go, Pack, Go!

Crono's not bad with the day vote, like Frog. After all, he held Mario to only two updates, I believe. He's fine with the percentage he has now.

---
“What is it that is most precious to you, Cloud? I’ll enjoy stripping that from you!” – Sephiroth

Also keep in mind MC's horrendous with the night vote though; Crono's not doin' so fine right now, or so I think anyways.
---
Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.

Precisely. As the day goes on and the votals go up, Master Chief will take a rather large bite out of this percentage.
---
Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!

I still think Master Chief could theoretically break 40%. He should gain some % even with the night vote.
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Master Chief's path to the championship: Round 3: (2) Crono.
Halo 2 + 7 vote loss vs Frog = 7 vote win vs Crono

Let's not get out of hand now. Getting 40% would be a HELL of a stretch. That would not only indicate strength on Chief's part to me, but I'd have to buy a Crono fall to justify it. Not that it's out of the question after all we've seen here, but I really think that's improbable.
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!

No way that MC breaks 40% here. People are going really overboard. Crono is not bad with the day vote historically. MC is terrible with the night vote, but he's not going to break 40%, that's out of reach.
---
www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery

Nope, 40% is not happening unless MC starts right now and doesn't stop.

Gone to bed now...MC or Magus, who wins?
---
Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.

Just a point of interest, Chief gained 10%+ on Frog from this point. And gained about 6% on DK. I don't think it's an impossibility... as long as he stops dropping right now.
---
Master Chief's path to the championship: Round 3: (2) Crono.
Halo 2 + 7 vote loss vs Frog = 7 vote win vs Crono

Don't be mistaken, Master Chief WILL increase his percentage in the daytime, as the majority of his fanbase is located in North America. But an increase to 40% is absurd. That would be an even bigger vote swing than he had on CATS. Crono is also pretty popular among the casuals.
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MM are my INITIALS "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."

Frankly I think MC breaking 35% is a bit of a reach.
---
www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery

He also went even with CATS, and he had a link for that match too.

Seriously goin' to bed this time, g-nite ya'll.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.

You can't compare raw numbers with 50/50 matches. Percentages are much easier to swing, because its a proportionate thing.
---
www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery

Magus > MC
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"Chief, I smell ass and it's coming from your direction." - FFMrebirth
Go, Pack, Go!

Much easier to swing in close matches I mean, in terms of raw points.
---
www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery

Wait, what? If anything it's easier to gain % when you're at a lower %. What I'm saying is, Frog was at 62% or something right now. And Chief gained 12% over the course of the day.

Much easier to swing in close matches I mean, in terms of raw points.

How so? I don't see why it would be. You just need to get a proportionate swing in votes either way.
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Master Chief's path to the championship: Round 3: (2) Crono.
Halo 2 + 7 vote loss vs Frog = 7 vote win vs Crono

Are you trying to compare Frog's day vote to Crono?!? Frog is famous for sucking with it, Crono is actually good with it.
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Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Gordon Freeman; 2. Mega Man

I'll only think Crono will start to look bad if he dips under 65%. The unadjusted 2004 stats have him winning with a little under 64%, and even if you think both sets of 2004 stats overrate Master Chief, you still have to acknowledge the release of Halo 2. I fail to believe it did nothing.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.

Wait, what? If anything it's easier to gain % when you're at a lower %.

That would be contrary to basic arithmetic. It doesn't, and can't, work like that.

How so? I don't see why it would be. You just need to get a proportionate swing in votes either way.

Yes, proportionate. Going from 40% to 50% is a swing of equal magnitude as going from 20% to 25%. Perhaps the latter is easier in practice due to volatility at lower levels for the losing party (which means non-random factors and cheating can have more influence in making swings of equal magnitudes as higher vote levels), but certainly going from 20% to 30% is way harder than 40% to 50%.

This can be seen visibly by looking at swings from "early nighttime stabilization" in matches that are closer, vs. blowouts. In terms of raw percentage points, the former have swung to larger extents.
---
www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery

Ah, right, I see my mistake.

If Chief were splitting the votes 30-70 with Crono every update, and then suddenly he jumped to 40-60, that requires a higher proportionate increase in his voting base than 40-60 to 50-50. He'd be getting 133% of his votes with 30-40, and Crono would be getting 1/7th of his votes. Whereas from 40-50, Chief only needs 125% of his votes and Crono only needs to lose 1/6th of his.

However, in terms of raw numbers, going from 30-40 is exactly the same as 40-50. That's what I was thinking there. Uh... blame the night hours, or bias, for the initial line of thought.
---
Master Chief's path to the championship: Round 3: (2) Crono.
Halo 2 + 7 vote loss vs Frog = 7 vote win vs Crono

How can you tell it's his Halo 1 version?
---
Moisten your dreams with man urine.
http://www.geocities.com/nicklegends/ - All the Legends of the Hidden Temple info you could possibly want.

Crono's making a push for 70%. If he can stay there for the next couple hours, I'll be very happy indeed.
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Nominate Jay Solano from Operation Shadow for SC2k6

up
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current goty:Advance wars duel strike
possible goty contenders: castlevania dos, we love katamari, mario kart ds

wow, check out that prediction percentage. the Spring Contest theory finally loses some water.

I'm pretty impressed by MC here. I thought Crono might have well over 70% right now. I don't think he's gonna get 40%, but under a doubling is looking good. a lot of people were saying that Crono was going to destroy MC, which doesn't look like it's going to happen.
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http://picturesofwalls.com

But don't forget that no matter how famous Crono is,he is from a game that is more than 10 year old.While Halo has thousand fanboys that would vote for Master Chief.And Master Chief is much more known than Crono to the average gamer.And how only 38% had Bowser winning?I guess because Kirby was a 1 seed right?And for tommorrow no matter who wins I predict 25% of the brackets right.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~

Bowser did alright with that %, considering how little he had after winning against Ryu.

It's not great if you just take it as a percentage, but considering what he had to work with, he did O.K.
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Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Mistress Aran

So I wake up to Crono barely above 68%. Ouch... with the XBox day vote, this should easily drop below 65%, and probably even a bit further =(

Still not backin' down from my Crono>Mario final now though! To the top with my bracket!

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RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/2005
SC2k5 - 77/84 (Kefka, Magus (x2), Ocelot, Tidus)

Crono seems to be always underestimated by the casuals.
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Future sig pending
...I guess

<3 Crono's % falling...

Like a brick!!
---
Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Mistress Aran

If this match ends with Crono above 65% then it is alright.
---
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~

I may end up regretting changing my 62% oracle prediction.. though 63-64% is still likely. with MC's day vote, though, you never know.

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http://picturesofwalls.com

65% isn't going to happen though. Master Chief is an absolute monster with the day vote. Finally a nice showing by the Chief. : )

*high fives Lopen*
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb

Wow, it sickens me how I could be in the top 50 if I picked Ness over CJ. :-( (I'm among the 130+ that are together, 73)

Oh, and I still have a few more points to sacrifice for Magus.
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Ability to preview contests to moderators before posting it.http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=19643565(240 Signs!)

holy snot. in the last 80 minutes, Crono's percentage has dropped from 69.14 to 67.40. if Chief keeps this up, he could come close to 38% (maybe 40%, but i still doubt that one). ah,well.

and i wasn't around much yesterday (and i won't be around much this weekend), but i am amazed at how well Kirby did yesterday. better than Yoshi? that i did not expect.

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"Start wearing purple, for me now. All your sanity and wits, they will all vanish, i promise. It's just a matter of time..."