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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 232
From: therealmnm | Posted: 9/4/2005 10:49:55 AM | Message Detail
XP Stats??? The hell?! Since when did this topic get bought out by Microsoft?? o_O
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MM are my INITIALS "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 9/4/2005 10:50:43 AM | Message Detail
LIIINUUUUX
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To settle my score with you, I came dancing all the way up from the fires of hell.
From: ernest | Posted: 9/4/2005 10:51:01 AM | Message Detail
don't ya know microsoft buy anything linked to computers directly or indirectly
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What a 42 carat plonker you really are~del boy only fools and horses
From: therealmnm | Posted: 9/4/2005 10:51:40 AM | Message Detail
If anyone feels like writing for the other four matches, feel free.

Oops. I have Zero/Lloyd written... Katrina knocked my power out though, and sending it has slipped my mind. Send it to your gmail account?
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MM are my INITIALS "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 9/4/2005 10:54:07 AM | Message Detail
Yes.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
"If my fate is to be destroyed... I must simply laugh!" -Magus
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 9/4/2005 11:26:32 AM | Message Detail
Wow, Yoshi. Just wow. At this rate, there's no way a Nintendo character loses 60/40 in this contest.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: Tediz247 | Posted: 9/4/2005 11:31:35 AM | Message Detail
Wow, just think about it. If those morons at Square didn't delay Advent Children, the largest loss by a Nintendo character to a non-Nintendo character could very well have been Link. As it is, it looks like it will be Zelda to Snake o_O
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through the end.
ZSB [aX]
From: Lopen | Posted: 9/4/2005 11:34:07 AM | Message Detail
Thugs Ulti, thugs... how could they do that?

Meh, I wish I had known those three write-ups would've been abandoned last week when I had more free time. It could've been fun to do a write-up, but I'm not sure if I'll have the time.

We'll see, we'll see. Keep us updated on when you get those writeups... I wouldn't want to do a repeat should I get around to doing one.
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Master Chief's path to the championship: Round 3: (2) Crono.
Halo 2 + 7 vote loss vs Frog = 7 vote win vs Crono
From: SonicRaptor | Posted: 9/4/2005 11:36:00 AM | Message Detail
Though for the record, I don't think it's impossible to say that Pac Man was SFFd by Yoshi and Luigi. It's hard to imagine Pac Man being that low natually, then turning around and beating Ocelot. Either Ocelot overperformed to hell and back against Bowser, or his egg laying against Wily and Nemesis were completely legit.

I'm waiting until the end before I make any large assumptions. But my preliminary thoughts are Yoshi/Pac-Man SSF.
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Today's subliminal thought is:
From: Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted: 9/4/2005 11:38:22 AM | Message Detail
"Wow, just think about it. If those morons at Square didn't delay Advent Children, the largest loss by a Nintendo character to a non-Nintendo character could very well have been Link."


It would of been Sephiroth vs 2005 winner. Link wouldn't lose that badly.

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Can't think of a good sig.
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 9/4/2005 11:43:25 AM | Message Detail
And about my fact or fiction.

I think Samus will SFF Mario.
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Return of SF1: YOU DON'T HAVE A CASE!
makeyourchance: Yes I do! It's Samsonite.
From: Yesmar | Posted: 9/4/2005 11:46:11 AM | Message Detail
Wow, Yoshi. Just wow. At this rate, there's no way a Nintendo character loses 60/40 in this contest.

Yeah. If Yoshi breaks 40% on Mega Man, than every Nintendo character will most likely have gotten at least 40% in every match they've been in.*

Wow.

*Except Ness losing to Mario, and most likely Ganon losing to Samus.
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"I don't like it when people I don't like get what they want."--Janelle
From: ernest | Posted: 9/4/2005 11:48:09 AM | Message Detail
i think mario ought to SFF samus. when it comes down to it i think that although users on this site are old enough to vote for who they like best.little kids of 10-12 take up a large portion of those who vote. and they'll be like samus is a girl i'm voting mario cause he has balls.

every little kid is sexist. when they reach puberty everything changes
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What a 42 carat plonker you really are~del boy only fools and horses
From: SonicRaptor | Posted: 9/4/2005 11:48:23 AM | Message Detail
I really can't wait until we hit Mario/Samus, that one will be a ****storm no matter what happens.
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Today's subliminal thought is:
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 9/4/2005 11:49:11 AM | Message Detail
I personally think that no matter who wins, Samus/Mario won't be close.
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Return of SF1: YOU DON'T HAVE A CASE!
makeyourchance: Yes I do! It's Samsonite.
From: Brainstruck | Posted: 9/4/2005 11:50:08 AM | Message Detail
From: ernest | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:48:09 PM | Message Detail
i think mario ought to SFF samus. when it comes down to it i think that although users on this site are old enough to vote for who they like best.little kids of 10-12 take up a large portion of those who vote. and they'll be like samus is a girl i'm voting mario cause he has balls.

every little kid is sexist. when they reach puberty everything changes


Little kids wouldn't know Samus is a girl. If anything, they'd probably mistake her for Master Chief. "The Halo guy!!! lets vote for him!!"
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Speak of Galcian again in that tone and I shall cleave you in two
- Ramirez, Skies of Arcadia
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 9/4/2005 11:52:19 AM | Message Detail
You know, I'm not too certain on Samus/Mario anymore...

but I do think the winner will be able to take out Sephiroth. Crono can't though (or Sonic, for that matter)
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SC2K5: Samus is going all the way!
Yoshi vs. Pac-Man - Bracket: Yoshi - Vote: Yoshi (54/62)
From: Lopen | Posted: 9/4/2005 11:52:24 AM | Message Detail
Here's the way I see Samus vs Mario, and I why I picked Mario. Well... I'll make a visualization. Here's Mario's fanbase. The core Nintendo fanbase, if you will.

|====================|

Now we have Samus's. She's got the core Nintendo fanbase, but she also has more outside appeal, I think. Because she's less "kiddy" or something. That explains why she's stronger than Mario.

|======================|

Now, here's the overlap. I bold the "core Nintendo base" in Samus's.

|====================|
|====================|==|

So I'm thinking, Samus will get SFFed out of the core base, maybe 60-40, and she'll take her outside base 100%. That means she's got 10 units total, and Mario has 12. That's how the "reverse SFF" will work, here.

That's how I've always justified the pick in my head.
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Master Chief's path to the championship: Round 3: (2) Crono.
Halo 2 + 7 vote loss vs Frog = 7 vote win vs Crono
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 9/4/2005 11:54:18 AM | Message Detail
So far the biggest non-SFF lost have been from Zelda. Ganondorf and Kirby may suffer SFF (but are projected to lose by more than 40%) and if there was no SFF in Link/Mega Man then Yoshi has a great chance on breaking 40%. The loser of Mario/Samus will get at least 40% and will also likely break 40% against Sephiroth (I have Samus beating him though). That only leaves Bowser and unless he beats Snake he'll also do very well (or get SFF to death next round).
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17 have challenged Nintendo in the handheld market, 17 have failed. (see quote for list)
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 9/4/2005 11:55:15 AM | Message Detail
Throw the stats out the window; Mario/Samus will be completely decided by SFF, and that's where I think Mario has the advantage.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 9/4/2005 11:55:23 AM | Message Detail
I have a feeling Bowser is gonna bomb hard against Kirby.
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Return of SF1: YOU DON'T HAVE A CASE!
makeyourchance: Yes I do! It's Samsonite.
From: Brainstruck | Posted: 9/4/2005 11:55:34 AM | Message Detail
I picked Samus because:
- She has constantly ranked ahead of Mario
- Has done better on common opponents*
- Has the more casual appeal

*Nobody better bring up Cloud
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Speak of Galcian again in that tone and I shall cleave you in two
- Ramirez, Skies of Arcadia
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 9/4/2005 11:56:33 AM | Message Detail
Samus has more casual appeal. She isn't "kiddy" Nintendo, making her a huge favorite among the Nintendo fanbase.
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Return of SF1: YOU DON'T HAVE A CASE!
makeyourchance: Yes I do! It's Samsonite.
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 9/4/2005 11:57:48 AM | Message Detail
I have a feeling Bowser is gonna bomb hard against Kirby.

If it wasn't for Ryu I would agree with you.
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17 have challenged Nintendo in the handheld market, 17 have failed. (see quote for list)
From: Lopen | Posted: 9/4/2005 11:59:00 AM | Message Detail
I could see Kirby SFFing Bowser, actually. Kirby fans seem to be more devoted. As in Kirby would be more likely to be higher in a favorites list than Bowser if both were high in the first place. So you could take my previous example and apply it to Bowser/Kirby too, in a way. Heh. Kirby has more ground to make up, though.
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Master Chief's path to the championship: Round 3: (2) Crono.
Halo 2 + 7 vote loss vs Frog = 7 vote win vs Crono
From: ernest | Posted: 9/4/2005 11:59:01 AM | Message Detail
hardcore nintendo fans will vote mario over anything.

this match could cause a nintendo civil war between the hardcores who live and die by there creator and those that think mario's old and samus is the future.
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What a 42 carat plonker you really are~del boy only fools and horses
From: Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted: 9/4/2005 11:59:02 AM | Message Detail
I don't really have a favorite between Mario and Samus, I just want Samus to win because shell have a much better chance of taking out Sephiroth.

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Can't think of a good sig.
From: therealmnm | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:03:48 PM | Message Detail
For all the people trying to use SFF to justify Mario over Samus, how do you explain their matches against Link?
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MM are my INITIALS "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:05:13 PM | Message Detail
Because Link is the king of Nintendo SFF. He's preferred by the core fanbase and by outsiders. The only question is if Samus works the same way.
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:05:46 PM | Message Detail
I don't remember there being much of a difference between Link/Mario and Link/Samus. I just know he got over 60% on both of them and was probably stronger when he faced Samus.

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Can't think of a good sig.
From: Lopen | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:06:55 PM | Message Detail
Samus did like 1/2 a % better than Mario did, I don't see how it's relevant. That's just Samus's outside base helping her out, she probably got SFFed harder than Mario if you use my theory.
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Master Chief's path to the championship: Round 3: (2) Crono.
Halo 2 + 7 vote loss vs Frog = 7 vote win vs Crono
From: RevolverAk47 | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:07:05 PM | Message Detail
I think mario will take the majority of the SFF, but if itll be enough who knows. Samus and mario got 37% against link. Samus in ranked higher, close to sephiroths level. That means that mario even against link got a higher SFF towards him compared to samus.
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- - -
From: therealmnm | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:07:16 PM | Message Detail
But did Link significantly SFF any of them? If he did, it would be Samus, and she STILL performed better than Mario...
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MM are my INITIALS "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
From: Smurf87 | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:08:09 PM | Message Detail
Microsoft bought out the X-stats?

O_o Jesus........That ain't good....

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^ Smurf, The cream of Sonic Fanboyism.
From: therealmnm | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:09:17 PM | Message Detail
Samus did like 1/2 a % better than Mario did, I don't see how it's relevant. That's just Samus's outside base helping her out, she probably got SFFed harder than Mario if you use my theory.

But if ANYONE were to get Nintendo SFF, it would be Link. And he wasn't able to significantly SFF either of them.
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MM are my INITIALS "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:09:51 PM | Message Detail
But did Link significantly SFF any of them? If he did, it would be Samus, and she STILL performed better than Mario...

Marginally. And why wouldn't Link have SFF'd Mario? It's pretty obvious he's underrated in the 2002 X-Stats, unless you think Sonic would have beaten him handily then.
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: Lopen | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:10:38 PM | Message Detail
It's 0.5%. Fluctuation can cover that alone.

Also, that just shows that the hierarchy is usually Link > Mario and Samus. It shows nothing to support that Link > Mario > Samus wouldn't be the more popular choice among the "core base".
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Master Chief's path to the championship: Round 3: (2) Crono.
Halo 2 + 7 vote loss vs Frog = 7 vote win vs Crono
From: Brainstruck | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:11:40 PM | Message Detail
I don't remember there being much of a difference between Link/Mario and Link/Samus. I just know he got over 60% on both of them and was probably stronger when he faced Samus.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1361
Samus vs Link

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1002
Mario vs Link

There was roughly the same ammount of votes, and Samus did better in voting. Note that Mario/Link was the final match, and Samus still did better the year after. Likewise, Samus's percentage is better.

Now, take into acount Samus's massive boost in 2K4 (which seems to be in fine form in SC2K5) ande Mario staying constant (if not even dropping a little), and you've got the making of a Samus victory.
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Speak of Galcian again in that tone and I shall cleave you in two
- Ramirez, Skies of Arcadia
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:13:26 PM | Message Detail
Roughly the same amount of votes? Link/Samus had around 10,000 more!
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: RevolverAk47 | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:14:29 PM | Message Detail
except that, mario got 38% on sephiroth, so that would mean that link would beat by like 70%. So mario got a large portion of the Nintendo votes. Samus got 42% on cloud, so lets say would get 40 on link. She got 37% though, so link got the majority.
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- - -
From: Brainstruck | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:15:33 PM | Message Detail
Marginally. And why wouldn't Link have SFF'd Mario? It's pretty obvious he's underrated in the 2002 X-Stats, unless you think Sonic would have beaten him handily then.

I have a theory on that. Since Mario/Link was the final match, people truley voted on who they like better; the results were alot more true than if that would have happened in, say, round 3.

My theory has some ground if you take into acount Cloud/Sephiroth 03, which was a 51-48 affair, then Cloud/Sephiroth 04, which was 56-44 match.
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Speak of Galcian again in that tone and I shall cleave you in two
- Ramirez, Skies of Arcadia
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:18:06 PM | Message Detail
...that doesn't even make sense to me. Why would people vote differently depending on what round the match was in???
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: Brainstruck | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:19:44 PM | Message Detail
Who knows. Maybe people though Mario would have a better chance of taking out Link and thus voted him over Crono. Maybe some peoples brackets are destroyed and just start voting for who they actually like better. Tis but a theory.
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Speak of Galcian again in that tone and I shall cleave you in two
- Ramirez, Skies of Arcadia
From: therealmnm | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:20:46 PM | Message Detail
It's a nice argument for Mario supporters, but I'm not buying it. There's nothing wrong with people liking Mario better than Samus today. Samus has gotten as much exposure as Mario has recently. She has a demo packaged with every DS sold in the US. There's nothing that suggests that fans of both consistently like Mario over Samus.

It IS a valid argument like I said before, but I'm not buying it.
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MM are my INITIALS "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:21:21 PM | Message Detail
Just for fun, based on a static revolver ocelot and assuming no SFF here, where would this put yoshi on bl?
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Please sign this petition for a history board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=21995996
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:21:26 PM | Message Detail
I can see that maybe, MAYBE affecting a marginal number of people that follow the contest. But it's pretty safe to say that's not the majority of voters, who number close to 90,000-100,000 on any given match. A half a percent to a percent is being EXTREMELY generous to that theory.
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:22:30 PM | Message Detail
Very impressive here, Yoshi. It's better than I thought he'd do. Here's hoping he gives Mega Man all he can handle.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Devil Division Final: (5)Vincent Valentine
From: Brainstruck | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:22:33 PM | Message Detail
Then whats your take on the Cloud/Sephiroth match's?
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Speak of Galcian again in that tone and I shall cleave you in two
- Ramirez, Skies of Arcadia
From: therealmnm | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:23:04 PM | Message Detail
There's nothing wrong with people liking SAMUS better than Mario, even...
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MM are my INITIALS "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
From: swirldude | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:23:26 PM | Message Detail
I like Samus more than Mario.
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This sig sucks and is now about trains.
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