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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 231
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/3/2005 11:09:57 PM | Message Detail
I'd call you a robot if it didn't.
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: creativename | Posted: 9/3/2005 11:24:03 PM | Message Detail
I think that Luigi/Pac-Man was a fluke/SFF affected, so I don't expect Yoshi to match Luigi here, even though Yoshi is probably stronger (at the least stronger than Luigi was last year).

If Pac-Man=20% and Yoshi=27% then Pac-Man gets about 63%. If Pac-Man=Ocelot Spring 2K5, Pac-Man can get 43%+; though if Pac-Man went up Yoshi probably did too. And I don't think Pac-Man is as strong as Ocelot Sp2K5 would have him.

Still, I don't think Yoshi will be able to get on Pac-Man here what Bowser got on Ocelot, which was 66%.

Just going off my intuition, I think some good numbers are 22% for Pac-Man and 29% for Yoshi (which comes from Yoshi/Laharl). That has Yoshi with about 62%.
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www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 9/3/2005 11:27:33 PM | Message Detail
Pac-Man with over 40%

*also loves Yoshi*

No matter who wins, I'll win.
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17 have challenged Nintendo in the handheld market, 17 have failed. (see quote for list)
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 9/3/2005 11:55:42 PM | Message Detail
I think Mega Man will have 76% of the brackets.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 9/3/2005 11:56:27 PM | Message Detail
Mega Man never really got the brackets so I'll guess he'll have around 68.36% of the brackets.
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17 have challenged Nintendo in the handheld market, 17 have failed. (see quote for list)
From: transience | Posted: 9/3/2005 11:57:14 PM | Message Detail
ew, this match is sucky. I hope this is all Leon, but I fear it's not.

MM with 77% of the brackets.
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http://picturesofwalls.com
From: NewLib | Posted: 9/3/2005 11:58:59 PM | Message Detail
Remember when I said Leon would = Dante 2k4 and everyone laughed at me. If we hold MM Adj to be correct, Leon = Dante 2k4.
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Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Gordon Freeman; 2. Mega Man
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:00:13 AM | Message Detail
Yoshi 74.29% 26
Pac-Man 25.71% 9
TOTAL VOTES 35
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SC2K5: Samus is going all the way!
Yoshi vs. Pac-Man - Bracket: Yoshi - Vote: Yoshi (54/62)
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:00:24 AM | Message Detail
Yoshi 76.47% 13
Pac-Man 23.53% 4
TOTAL VOTES 17

72.4% of the brackets have Mega Man in Round 3.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: transience | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:00:33 AM | Message Detail
whoa, I voted so fast that stats weren't even up yet.

72%, not bad.
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http://picturesofwalls.com
From: DBZFIGHTERS | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:00:45 AM | Message Detail
Yoshi > Mega Man if he can keep this up.

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Die hard Cubs, Pistons, Patriot and Maple Leaf fan
Owl Squad Member ( ēvē( ēvē )ēvē ) O RLY?
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:01:04 AM | Message Detail
*laughs at NL*

*crys for Pac-Man*
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17 have challenged Nintendo in the handheld market, 17 have failed. (see quote for list)
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:01:22 AM | Message Detail
An excellent start for yoshi. He might finish with over 70% even.
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Please sign this petition for a history board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=21995996
From: Kagato Toujou | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:01:29 AM | Message Detail
Yoshi 68.42% 13
Pac-Man 31.58% 6
TOTAL VOTES 19

Pac-Man gon' get PWNED.

...that was almost English.
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:01:32 AM | Message Detail
Yoshi 73.57% 103
Pac-Man 26.43% 37
TOTAL VOTES 140

72.4% had Mega Man escaping his four-pack.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:02:20 AM | Message Detail
I know I like them both, but Yoshi you shouldn't be doing this.
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17 have challenged Nintendo in the handheld market, 17 have failed. (see quote for list)
From: Rodri316 | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:02:30 AM | Message Detail
Hmm. Yoshi will probably finish with about 67%.
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Summer 2005 Contest -- Current Score: 51/62
Today's Prediction -- Yoshi vs. Revolver Ocelot
From: Applekidjosh | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:03:15 AM | Message Detail
Mega Man is the 3rd most popular person to make it to round 3.

Mario - Samus - Megaman - Solid Snake - Master Chief - Sonic.

Lol master chief.
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moderation history: 9/19/04 to 8/28/05 - completely clean
8/29 to present - 12KL, 1NKL (as of now)
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:04:26 AM | Message Detail
Is pacman any good with the day vote? I'd imagine he isn't.
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Please sign this petition for a history board:
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From: charmander6000 | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:05:00 AM | Message Detail
He came back and won it against Ocelot.
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17 have challenged Nintendo in the handheld market, 17 have failed. (see quote for list)
From: creativename | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:05:01 AM | Message Detail
Looks like I was wrong; Yoshi looks like he probably will do better than Luigi after all.
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www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:05:22 AM | Message Detail
0_o Yoshi's started to go up again. These are huge numbers he's putting out.
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Please sign this petition for a history board:
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From: Haste2 | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:05:25 AM | Message Detail
Yoshi may actually outdo Luigi by the end of the poll. Yoshi's better with the day than Luigi is.

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:05:33 AM | Message Detail
Yoshi starts with just below 72%.
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17 have challenged Nintendo in the handheld market, 17 have failed. (see quote for list)
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:05:55 AM | Message Detail
Damn. Poor Pac-Man. ;_;

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http://img177.imageshack.us/img177/5980/12mw.gif
Both knowledgeable and experienced, he can get past any tight situation without so much as breaking a sweat.
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:05:58 AM | Message Detail
DAYUM! Yoshi right under 72% at the pause.

Very excellent performance so far. Hopefully he can keep it up.
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SC2K5: Samus is going all the way!
Yoshi vs. Pac-Man - Bracket: Yoshi - Vote: Yoshi (54/62)
From: Mister Mario | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:06:11 AM | Message Detail
Pac-Man has been great with the day vote, but only against characters which suck at it.

So no, don't expect him to do all that much against Yoshi.
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Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Master Zero
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:06:18 AM | Message Detail
I don't wanna believe Pac-Man's this weak...again.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: Majin Lou | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:06:56 AM | Message Detail
Pac-Man getting less than 30% now makes me sad. Then again, that'll probably change once the board voters still up are done.
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Kurotsuchi Mayuri fan
From: creativename | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:07:41 AM | Message Detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:08:08 AM | Message Detail
I know I'm getting way ahead of myself here, but assuming this performance is legit and Yoshi carries it against Mega Man, Nintendo may go the entire character without having any of its characters lose with less than 45% (not counting SFF matches, of course).
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:08:14 AM | Message Detail
I don't wanna believe Pac-Man's this weak...again.

It all depends on the opponent.
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17 have challenged Nintendo in the handheld market, 17 have failed. (see quote for list)
From: creativename | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:08:23 AM | Message Detail
I think Yoshi should break 40% on Mega Man.
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www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:08:45 AM | Message Detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
58-----1--------100.0000000
57-----3--------100.0000000
56-----6--------100.0000000
55-----32-------96.8750000
54-----86-------97.6744186
53-----244------95.9016393
52-----394------94.4162437
51-----602------94.6843854
50-----853------93.3177022
49-----1166-----93.2246998
48-----1482-----92.0377868
47-----1757-----89.0722823
46-----2053-----88.5046274
45-----2129-----85.3452325
44-----2234-----83.2587287
43-----2209-----79.5835220
42-----2133-----75.3398969
41-----2147-----75.0349325
40-----1974-----71.3272543
39-----1835-----67.6294278
38-----1627-----63.1837738
37-----1363-----61.8488628
36-----1172-----58.7883959
35-----1027-----52.8724440
34-----950------49.0526316
33-----779------49.0372272
32-----715------43.6363636
31-----557------44.3447038
30-----442------42.7601810
29-----353------40.2266289
28-----289------35.9861592
27-----240------33.3333333
26-----176------34.6590909
25-----130------33.0769231
24-----113------27.4336283
23-----80-------25.0000000
22-----58-------36.2068966
21-----54-------35.1851852
20-----31-------12.9032258
19-----19-------10.5263158
18-----14-------21.4285714
17-----8--------25.0000000
16-----3--------0.0000000
15-----3--------66.6666667

Everybody with a score of 14 or lower got the match wrong.

A very good performace for once. The -2, -3s and -4s go perfect with the -5s being one person short of perfect. Then we have high 90 perdiction percentages than slowly fade as you go downward.

Only one person fell off the Top 50 today. squashbanana did not have Mega Man winning the match.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
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From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:08:53 AM | Message Detail
I'm thinking this probably proves Link/Yohsi SFF.
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No balls to be bustin', no fightin', no cussin'... just a love for a drug called contest statin'.
From: Haste2 | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:09:01 AM | Message Detail
It's difficult for me to believe Yoshi will not break 40% on Mega Man, after seeing what Leon Kennedy did to him. Not to mention the Nintendo boost, of course.

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: Mister Mario | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:09:08 AM | Message Detail
Creativename, I saw that >_>

Yoshi damn well BETTER get 40% on Mega Man.
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Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Master Zero
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:10:33 AM | Message Detail
Just above 70%

Good Pac-Man shall atleast break 30%
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17 have challenged Nintendo in the handheld market, 17 have failed. (see quote for list)
From: chaos knight | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:14:04 AM | Message Detail
Wow, Ocelot is looking like such fodder now. Damn inflated Spring Contest stats. ><

*kicks himself for somehow choosing Ocelot to make it to the Sweet 16 in the first place*
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[Player] A bunch of JP just trained me!
[GM] Well you're still here, so they obviously didn't do it right.
LBSJ
From: creativename | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:14:12 AM | Message Detail
Pac-Man, thou'rt a fickle beast.

Can't see Yoshi beating Ocelot by this much (even with that bad Ocelot pic). Perhaps instead of old-school SFF it's a case of "well known" SFF; mainstream/name recognition being the reason for this non-linearity. Pac-Man collapsing against anyone else universally known.
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www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:15:40 AM | Message Detail
Explains why Pac-Man got beat up by Scorpion.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:15:44 AM | Message Detail
and Pac-Man breaks 30%.

Luigi may outdo Yoshi this time.
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17 have challenged Nintendo in the handheld market, 17 have failed. (see quote for list)
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:17:15 AM | Message Detail
Explains why Pac-Man got beat up by Scorpion.

He did? Scorpion during 2k2 was a lot stronger I don't think that was the reason he did so well.
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17 have challenged Nintendo in the handheld market, 17 have failed. (see quote for list)
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:19:08 AM | Message Detail
Hey, all I remember was getting laughed at when I predicted "Scorpion over Pac-Man with 57%" three years ago. =P
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: Haste2 | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:19:30 AM | Message Detail
I'm thinking this probably proves Link/Yohsi SFF.

More importantly, this match shows that there are consistancies among anomalies. There's pretty good evidence that Pac-Man underperforms against Mario characters right here. Of course, the poll is from over...however, I don't think Yoshi will lose as much percentage as Luigi from the first fifteen minutes to the end.

Yet, it seems that Yoshi may not be overperforming to the extent that Luigi did. Of course, I wouldn't be surprised if Pac-Man was stronger than last year...if Ocelot's 34% against Bowser means anything at all, Pac-Man's certainly stronger now than he was in 2K2 or 2K3.

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: creativename | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:19:42 AM | Message Detail
Scorpion isn't universally well known in the sense Mario characters are, so Pac-Man shouldn't underperform against him for that reason.

Anyway, given their natures, Scorpion and Pac-Man should be among the least likely characters to have fanbase overlap. Their appeals are as different as can be.
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www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:20:58 AM | Message Detail
Why, oh why, would have Pac-Man's popularity risen? Was Pac-Man World 2 really that much a sleeper hit this year? >_<

Lousy shift in voter pool...
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: Haste2 | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:22:26 AM | Message Detail
That reminds me...

Scorpion, Pac-Man, and Max Payne all boosted from 2K2 to 2K3 (somebody might've noted this before). Well, not as clearly for Pac-Man, but still likely... So, it's possible that Scorpion either underperformed against Link, or Link was just stronger iin 2K2 than in 2K3.

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/4/2005 12:26:03 AM | Message Detail
Also, I'm thinking that either the higher voter totals as compared to the Spring caused Ocelot to overperform on Bowser (as in, if they faced today in the Summer I don't think he'd manage as much), or Bowser's Spring number isn't valid and Ryu simply fell or was overrated in 2k4. The latter explains away a lot of lingering questions about Ryu, KOS-MOS, and Rikku being significantly higher than Tidus (which still seems wrong to me)...but as great as that would look for Snake, I'd have to go with the former.
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: kungfu chicken | Posted: 9/4/2005 1:10:55 AM | Message Detail
where would yoshi finishing with 70 percent put ocelot in the stats?
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current goty:Advance wars duel strike
possible goty contenders: castlevania dos, we love katamari, mario kart ds
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