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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 231
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 9/2/2005 9:52:14 PM | Message Detail
*throws a book at EC*
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The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (0) Voters
From: Applekidjosh | Posted: 9/2/2005 9:53:28 PM | Message Detail
Do we have a colony?

http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=557&topic=23179954

Yugioh social board... seems at least semi-intelligent (though Knuckles over Squall... o.O)
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moderation history: 9/19/04 to 8/28/05 - completely clean
8/29 to present - 9KL, 1NKL (as of now)
From: DBZFIGHTERS | Posted: 9/2/2005 9:55:04 PM | Message Detail
Is it possible for Kirby to "upset" Bowser in the Sweet Sixteens?

He did beat Tidus better than what Gannon did.

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Die hard Cubs, Pistons, Patriot and Maple Leaf fan
Owl Squad Member ( ēvē( ēvē )ēvē ) O RLY?
From: NewLib | Posted: 9/2/2005 9:55:50 PM | Message Detail
No, it isnt.
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Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Gordon Freeman; 2. Mega Man
From: RamzaB | Posted: 9/2/2005 9:57:12 PM | Message Detail
If it weren't for the fact that Bowser ripped out Ryu's spine and beat him to death with it, I'd agree with you. But at the moment, I just don't see it happening.
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Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: Keno316 | Posted: 9/2/2005 10:07:38 PM | Message Detail
Yugioh social board... seems at least semi-intelligent


...Semi Intelligent? YSB?!
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair & Millia Rage*
From: RamzaB | Posted: 9/2/2005 10:11:30 PM | Message Detail
Heh. YSB. THAT brought back some memories. :/
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Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: Dranze | Posted: 9/2/2005 10:14:29 PM | Message Detail
He did beat Tidus better than what Gannon did.

And Ganondorf increased, I guarantee you Bowser would of done better on Tidus.
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 9/2/2005 10:19:24 PM | Message Detail
By fourth gentlemen to not break 60% on Gordon, I clearly meant character. And my softball team just blew a 10 run lead in the last inning to lose the game and miss the playoffs. To say I am a little drunk would be equivolent to saying Luigi is merely glancing at Tifa's assets.

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RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/2005
SC2k5 - 51/58 (Kefka, Magus (x2), Ocelot, Tidus)
From: cyko | Posted: 9/2/2005 10:23:49 PM | Message Detail
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 9/3/2005 1:19:24 AM | Message Detail | #019
To say I am a little drunk would be equivolent to saying Luigi is merely glancing at Tifa's assets.

Homer Simpson: i'll never drink beer again....

Beer Vendor: get your beer here!

Homer Simpson: i'll take ten.

>_>

and look at Tifa go! she's gone up about .5% and is comfortably over 53%. yay!

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"Start wearing purple, for me now. All your sanity and wits, they will all vanish, i promise. It's just a matter of time..."
From: RamzaB | Posted: 9/2/2005 10:25:45 PM | Message Detail
Not only that, the poll looks like it will break 101000 easily.
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Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: Mister Mario | Posted: 9/2/2005 10:25:46 PM | Message Detail
Luigi is merely glancing at Tifa's assets.

He's looking at her breasts, not her ass.

rofl.

<_<
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Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Master Zero
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 9/2/2005 10:28:21 PM | Message Detail
Best, and most real world applicable Simpsons quote ever:

Homer: Beer: the cause of, and solution to, all of life's problems.

And go MM! Triple the guy who couldn't even crack 60% on GFNW!

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RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/2005
SC2k5 - 51/58 (Kefka, Magus (x2), Ocelot, Tidus)
From: Mumei | Posted: 9/2/2005 10:48:16 PM | Message Detail
http://www.rpgamer.com/games/ff/ff8/art/amanosquall.jpg

... Oh, God. >_>

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<_<
From: Tarrot | Posted: 9/2/2005 10:52:26 PM | Message Detail
I think Squall beat Luigi by a higher percentage than this. Of course, this was before Superstar Saga, which might explain Tifa's difficulty in victory.

Still, Squall I think will be beatby Vincent in a case of RSFF, as FF7 fans will vote against Squall and for Vincent. I do believe Squall is stronger against non-FF7 characters though.
From: Mumei | Posted: 9/2/2005 10:53:36 PM | Message Detail
I think Squall beat Luigi by a higher percentage than this.

60 - 40 in 2003.

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<_<
From: kungfu chicken | Posted: 9/2/2005 10:58:54 PM | Message Detail
off topic: is ther any word on maxpaybe 3? game told in film noir comic kick ass.
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current goty:Advance wars duel strike
possible goty contenders: castlevania dos, we love katamari, mario kart ds
From: Mister Mario | Posted: 9/2/2005 11:05:49 PM | Message Detail
I don't think there's been anything concrete on Max Payne 3. I can't ****ing wait though.
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Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Master Zero
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/2/2005 11:31:43 PM | Message Detail
Tifa's done really well with the night vote, from what I can see.

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http://img177.imageshack.us/img177/5980/12mw.gif
Both knowledgeable and experienced, he can get past any tight situation without so much as breaking a sweat.
From: swirldude | Posted: 9/2/2005 11:33:30 PM | Message Detail
I wonder why...

I also note that was post 69.
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This sig sucks and is now about trains.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/2/2005 11:38:34 PM | Message Detail
I'll say Tifa has a cool 41.55% of the brackets.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Devil Division Final: (5)Vincent Valentine
From: LordOfDabu | Posted: 9/2/2005 11:38:42 PM | Message Detail
These vote totals are great, and I'm only expecting them to go up come the third round.
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There is only one war of the brood!
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/2/2005 11:59:13 PM | Message Detail
Well, I guess all we'll get to learn from this match is if Leon is stronger than Conker. It's gonna be a snoozefest.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Devil Division Final: (5)Vincent Valentine
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 9/3/2005 12:00:30 AM | Message Detail
Mega Man 65.63% 21
Leon Kennedy 34.38% 11
TOTAL VOTES 32

41.18% like TJF.
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The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (0) Voters
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/3/2005 12:00:41 AM | Message Detail
Bah, so close. She had 41.18%.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Devil Division Final: (5)Vincent Valentine
From: MegatokyoEd | Posted: 9/3/2005 12:01:11 AM | Message Detail
Mega Man 67.74% 42
Leon Kennedy 32.26% 20
TOTAL VOTES 62

Pretty low bracket % for Tifa.
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/3/2005 12:01:30 AM | Message Detail
Heh. That's funny.



Nice guess, Leon. =p

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http://img177.imageshack.us/img177/5980/12mw.gif
Both knowledgeable and experienced, he can get past any tight situation without so much as breaking a sweat.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/3/2005 12:02:59 AM | Message Detail
Wow, Leon's doing pretty good here.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Devil Division Final: (5)Vincent Valentine
From: Mister Mario | Posted: 9/3/2005 12:04:04 AM | Message Detail
Gordon really did increase.
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Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Master Zero
From: Dranze | Posted: 9/3/2005 12:06:31 AM | Message Detail
I guess Leon isn't as weak as we thought.
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/3/2005 12:06:42 AM | Message Detail
Mega Man 66.61% 421
Leon Kennedy 33.39% 211
TOTAL VOTES 632

Pretty good deal for Leon.

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http://img177.imageshack.us/img177/5980/12mw.gif
Both knowledgeable and experienced, he can get past any tight situation without so much as breaking a sweat.
From: NewLib | Posted: 9/3/2005 12:08:31 AM | Message Detail
Good news for Leon because for the most part this is where MM holds his best percentages.
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Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Gordon Freeman; 2. Mega Man
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/3/2005 12:09:33 AM | Message Detail
Leon's avoiding the doubling at the first update.

Chaos Division: Upper Half

Sonic the Hedgehog: 50.00%
Diablo: 31.45%
Kratos Aurion: 27.19%
Jin Kazama: 23.85%

Chaos Division: Lower Half

Tifa Lockheart: 50.00%
Luigi: 46.64%
KOS-MOS: 31.71%
Vyse: 21.93%

For the record, KOS-MOS would be expected to get 65.42% on Vyse based on these numbers.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Devil Division Final: (5)Vincent Valentine
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 9/3/2005 12:11:24 AM | Message Detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
56-----1--------100.0000000
55-----8--------37.5000000
54-----19-------31.5789474
53-----58-------46.5517241
52-----161------45.3416149
51-----402------52.9850746
50-----630------48.5714286
49-----939------43.9829606
48-----1290-----41.0077519
47-----1627-----39.3362016
46-----1924-----37.4740125
45-----2003-----38.4423365
44-----2193-----38.7596899
43-----2341-----38.2742418
42-----2170-----41.0599078
41-----2146-----35.6011184
40-----2080-----41.0576923
39-----1924-----39.7609148
38-----1789-----41.8110676
37-----1498-----45.1268358
36-----1336-----43.8622754
35-----1136-----47.6232394
34-----989------42.6693630
33-----921------46.9055375
32-----838------45.7040573
31-----623------46.5489567
30-----550------47.2727273
29-----454------49.3392070
28-----350------43.4285714
27-----282------43.6170213
26-----219------41.5525114
25-----174------46.5517241
24-----129------37.2093023
23-----98-------37.7551020
22-----73-------43.8356164
21-----61-------31.1475410
20-----42-------40.4761905
19-----27-------44.4444444
18-----17-------35.2941176
17-----12-------33.3333333
16-----6--------50.0000000
15-----3--------0.0000000
14-----3--------0.0000000
13-----1--------0.0000000
12-----4--------25.0000000
11-----4--------25.0000000
10-----8--------25.0000000
9------8--------0.0000000
8------23-------4.3478261
7------27-------0.0000000
6------37-------2.7027027

Everybody with a score of 5 or less got the match wrong.

Brutal round. The lone -2 makes it through again. From the -3s down the prediction percentage is just terrible, jumping all over the place from the mid-30s the the high-40s until is fades away at the end.

22 people fell off the Top 50 today. minivirus2, ClockworkDragon, WuTugu, schoony_5, donutboi, Quillus, Littleleary8, Absolute_Zer0_X, KingBroly, JaydaJewlr, Ghost617, W00T_Blade, reno_revolts, MysticPlatypus, big_ritt, Paulie_Gatto, link2k1, vikings2008, MHSWrestler, FTownsoldier33, Eric48x and Cubizmo did not have Tifa winning today.

7 people managed to stay on the Top 50 even after getting the match wrong. They were: squashbanana, Omnipotent_user, Jay_Pee, MadMeesecow, Sanosuke3, Dadge86 and RidiculousNic.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
From: Keno316 | Posted: 9/3/2005 12:12:20 AM | Message Detail
Where's MasterMage been through all this anyway?
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair & Millia Rage*
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 9/3/2005 12:13:39 AM | Message Detail
42 toneman887 55 Yoshi

YES, Go Yoshi!
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 9/3/2005 12:16:41 AM | Message Detail
42 toneman887 55 Yoshi

...How do these people have a good score and pick Yoshi? O.o
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The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (0) Voters
From: NewLib | Posted: 9/3/2005 12:16:47 AM | Message Detail
Oh yeah Top 50 and who they predict to win:
Samus: 20
Mario: 14
Crono: 11
Mega Man: 2
Master Cheif: 1
Zero: 1
Yoshi: 1

Besides a big WTF at the last three, the top 4 characters are the top 4 picks to win.

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Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Gordon Freeman; 2. Mega Man
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 9/3/2005 12:18:09 AM | Message Detail
...How do these people have a good score and pick Yoshi? O.o

They've seen the truth! Yoshi will beat Megaman!
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/3/2005 12:18:47 AM | Message Detail
Here's an estimated range for Leon and Gordon...

If Mega Man hits around 70%:

Leon Kennedy (adjusted Mega Man): 23.16% on Link, between Kefka and Tails.
Gordon Freeman: 19.19%, almost equal with Vyse (GFFL, anyone?)

Leon Kennedy (unadjusted Mega Man): 20.84%, right below Viewtiful Joe.
Gordon Freeman: 17.26%, right below Conker and above Sam Fisher (heh heh).

If Mega Man gets the doubling:

Leon Kennedy (adjusted Mega Man): 25.70%, right below Tommy Vercetti
Gordon Freeman: 21.32%, right below Jill Valentine

Leon Kennedy (unadjusted Mega Man): 23.13%, pretty much right where 30% against adjusted Mega Man puts him.
Gordon Freeman: 19.16%

Either Gordon Freeman is looking like high fodder this year (or even non-fodder), he overperformed on Leon Kennedy just because he can't get below 40%, or maybe Mega Man dropped. Heck, those unadjusted numbers certainly look more reasonable to me, but you never can tell.

Regardless, Leon looks good to rank above Jill Valentine 2004.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Devil Division Final: (5)Vincent Valentine
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 9/3/2005 12:19:26 AM | Message Detail
Where's MasterMage been through all this anyway?

He's closing his account like he said he would if Tifa beat Luigi.
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=23293526
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/3/2005 12:20:02 AM | Message Detail
Leon Kennedy (adjusted Mega Man): 25.70%, right below Tommy Vercetti

I called this one!

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http://img177.imageshack.us/img177/5980/12mw.gif
Both knowledgeable and experienced, he can get past any tight situation without so much as breaking a sweat.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/3/2005 12:21:11 AM | Message Detail
I don't think you called Gordon = Jill though.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Devil Division Final: (5)Vincent Valentine
From: Keno316 | Posted: 9/3/2005 12:21:33 AM | Message Detail
He'll be back...you'll see...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair & Millia Rage*
From: NewLib | Posted: 9/3/2005 12:23:06 AM | Message Detail
I claim Leon is underperforming. CAPCOM SFF...

>_> <_<
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Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Gordon Freeman; 2. Mega Man
From: Heroic Dr Wily | Posted: 9/3/2005 12:23:11 AM | Message Detail
I hope Mega Man gets a huge day vote so that Leon ranks below Jill and Nemesis.
From: NewLib | Posted: 9/3/2005 12:24:23 AM | Message Detail
Mega Man never has a huge day vote.
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Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Gordon Freeman; 2. Mega Man
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 9/3/2005 12:24:26 AM | Message Detail
he overperformed on Leon Kennedy just because he can't get below 40%

He didn't overperform, he underperformed. Gordon Freeman is quite clearly the most powerful contestant in the contest. The only reason he has never won a match is because he is being held back time and time again by the very force that holds the universe together, GFNW.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
From: Heroic Dr Wily | Posted: 9/3/2005 12:24:55 AM | Message Detail
Has there ever been any Capcom SFF? Zero avoided Mega Man, Dante wasen't effected by Ryu and Proto Man probably is that weak.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/3/2005 12:25:33 AM | Message Detail
Capcom SFF seems pretty elusive indeed. I think Mega Man would destroy Wily with it though.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Devil Division Final: (5)Vincent Valentine
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