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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 225
From: creativename | Posted: 8/30/2005 1:42:44 AM | Message Detail
I added a note to the page to make it a bit clearer.
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www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery
From: Mister Mario | Posted: 8/30/2005 1:42:46 AM | Message Detail
Barely losing, in a TOO DAMN CLOSE manner, is hardly better than saying that he would win. It's like this is a court of law, and you're trying to get out on a technicallity. Well it's not, and we can still see that you messed up. Badly. So nyah.

:P :P :P
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Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Master Zero
From: lettuce Kefka | Posted: 8/30/2005 1:44:14 AM | Message Detail
I maybe be wrong, as I don't know how you do the current update, but couldn't you just dop something like...

If CharacterATotalVotes > CharacterBTotalVotes then

If LeadCurrent > LeadPrevious then
LeadDifference = Leadcurrent - LeadPrevious
Display CharacterA & " up by " LeadDifference
Else
LeadDifference = LeadPrevious - LeadCurrent
Display CharacterA & " down by " LeadDifference
End if

Else

If LeadCurrent > LeadPrevious then
LeadDifference = Leadcurrent - LeadPrevious
Display CharacterB & " up by " LeadDifference
Else
LeadDifference = LeadPrevious - LeadCurrent
Display CharacterB & " down by " LeadDifference
End if

End if


There's likely a much more efficient way of doing it, that quite messy looking at it.

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Ahem! There's LETTUCE on my boots!
http://www.geocities.com/lettucekefka/
From: ernest | Posted: 8/30/2005 1:44:48 AM | Message Detail
so vincent ain't the beast we thought. man does that mean CATS has a chance at kerrigan?
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So what do you do all day ? I run a couple of newspapers.- Orson Welles in Citizen Kane
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 8/30/2005 1:45:34 AM | Message Detail
It funny, but the worst owning I've suffered so far involves my memory only being reliable for 12 times as long as the random passerbys. In the time since 2k3 I've moved twice, had an altogether erratic job and I still manage to get lambasted for not keeping details of a 2 year old match stright in my mind. Mind you both matches were from before I was actaully a stats junky (which didn't happen until after SC2k3 was fiinshed) and I still can at least remember the basic details of them, if not the complete circumstances.

On the other hand, taking a quote of mine that directly and explicitly states that I was not claiming that Vincent was greater than Crono is taken for the exact opposite meaning in an attempt to try to use it against me is merely amusing. I appreciate your self owning, it make me feel better about Vincent not exceeding my expectations.
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First you make a circle, then you dot the eyes, add a great big smile and presto, it's Kirby!
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 8/30/2005 1:45:42 AM | Message Detail
Face CATS versus completely unrecognizable Kerrigan? I'd take that in a heartbeat.
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: Mister Mario | Posted: 8/30/2005 1:46:22 AM | Message Detail
He'd kill Kerrigan. Well, he'd do better than he did against Ansem, in any case. <_<

Go CATS!
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Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Master Zero
From: Mister Mario | Posted: 8/30/2005 1:47:55 AM | Message Detail
Clearly, Vincent is a few votes away from being equal to Crono, or above Mario. These expectations have clearly proved accurate. Clearly.
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Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Master Zero
From: Mister Mario | Posted: 8/30/2005 1:48:58 AM | Message Detail
That above should sooo say equal. Woops.
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Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Master Zero
From: creativename | Posted: 8/30/2005 1:49:08 AM | Message Detail
Yes lettuceKefka, it would be like that.

But if I add that it won't be tonight.
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www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 8/30/2005 1:51:20 AM | Message Detail
"I bolded the important part for you."

And "Too damn close" doesn't imply a win, in fact it doesn't imply a set %. I consider this current match too damn close as well. What's your point? I need a match to be more than 45-55 before I don't consider it close. Perhaps my expectations are different, but I don't need a match to end like MC vs. Frog to sit back and say "damn, that brand spanking new character is too damn close to the elites". By no means was I calling even a 49-51 match, and if anyone would have asked me directly then I wouldn't have said anything better than 47% for Vincent, that being a non-statistical rough estimate of best case scenario. So again, thank you for missing the entire point of the post you copied, and I hope English classes go well for you this semester.
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First you make a circle, then you dot the eyes, add a great big smile and presto, it's Kirby!
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 8/30/2005 1:51:54 AM | Message Detail
Just so I know, it *is* safe to say Sonic > Vincent though, right? Tifa better show she's the real deal come Luigi...
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 8/30/2005 1:52:37 AM | Message Detail
"From: Mumei | Posted: 8/30/2005 1:42:31 AM | Message Detail
I actually checked a conversation I had with Chichiri on AIM during or shortly after Vincent's match with Kerrigan, and he said that he was hoping for 45% for Crono against Vincent"

Hmm, looks like the evidence is in. 45% in favor of Vincent you say? Directly from me over AIM, you say? Hmm, sounds like what I've been saying all along.
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First you make a circle, then you dot the eyes, add a great big smile and presto, it's Kirby!
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 8/30/2005 1:53:03 AM | Message Detail
I think it's safe to say that Tifa > Aeris > Vincent, which I figured before this contest even started.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
"If my fate is to be destroyed... I must simply laugh!" -Magus
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 8/30/2005 1:53:46 AM | Message Detail
Perhaps, but the question is--by how much?
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: Delirium Trigger | Posted: 8/30/2005 1:54:24 AM | Message Detail
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 8/30/2005 4:53:03 AM | Message Detail
I think it's safe to say that Tifa > Aeris > Vincent, which I figured before this contest even started.


lol x-stats

>_>

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Explicit Content.
Cheer Up Emo Kids.
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 8/30/2005 1:54:51 AM | Message Detail
"Just so I know, it *is* safe to say Sonic > Vincent though, right? Tifa better show she's the real deal come Luigi..."

Not exactly. If DMC 3 did as much as its supporters claim and Vincent does like he did against Kerrigan he can pull through with a 45-55 barring bad luck. Given higher vote totals may mean bad luck for Sonic (a la 2k3) that could still make the match interestingly close.
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First you make a circle, then you dot the eyes, add a great big smile and presto, it's Kirby!
From: Mumei | Posted: 8/30/2005 1:55:08 AM | Message Detail
Hmm, looks like the evidence is in. 45% in favor of Vincent you say? Directly from me over AIM, you say? Hmm, sounds like what I've been saying all along.

So that's your way of saying that you are done arguing about this? >_>

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<_<
From: ernest | Posted: 8/30/2005 1:55:18 AM | Message Detail
by the way. did vyse weaken this year? skies of arcadia is getting less and less well known nowadays. one day maybe the fodder line will be at CATS
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So what do you do all day ? I run a couple of newspapers.- Orson Welles in Citizen Kane
From: Delirium Trigger | Posted: 8/30/2005 1:56:48 AM | Message Detail
by the way. did vyse weaken this year? skies of arcadia is getting less and less well known nowadays. one day maybe the fodder line will be at CATS

Wha????

SoA is getting less well known nowadays? Did everyone that knew about it die of an obscure disease or something?

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Explicit Content.
Cheer Up Emo Kids.
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 8/30/2005 1:57:43 AM | Message Detail
"So that's your way of saying that you are done arguing about this?"

'Fraid not, chap. Seems that despite you clearly showing that the only % I ever laid down (and in what seems to be a best case scenario, though I don't claim to have not hoped for higher) was and still is 45-55 that people tihnk that they are outright owning me. Sad, too, because they seem to think their Ace high hand is a winner.
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First you make a circle, then you dot the eyes, add a great big smile and presto, it's Kirby!
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 8/30/2005 1:57:48 AM | Message Detail
Well, yeah, I was speaking generally. I think Vincent would make the match interesting, and would come close a la Aeris in 2k3. But I think for all intents and purposes we would call Sonic the favorite as of this day.

I'm actually quite anxious to see Sonic/Diablo and Tifa/Luigi at this point.
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 8/30/2005 1:59:54 AM | Message Detail
"Did everyone that knew about it die of an obscure disease or something?"

Well, there seems to be some sort of brain malady in this very topic that prevents people from listening to cold hard facts such as were brought in by Mumei.
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First you make a circle, then you dot the eyes, add a great big smile and presto, it's Kirby!
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 8/30/2005 2:00:18 AM | Message Detail
SoA is getting less well known nowadays? Did everyone that knew about it die of an obscure disease or something?

While I can't speak for him, the fact that more and more time has passed since Skies was released and a new influx of casual voters can't be good for the cult game. Again, I don't think Tifa's anywhere near Seph. She's still a threat to Sonic--but I still recommend just waiting and seeing.
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: Mister Mario | Posted: 8/30/2005 2:00:24 AM | Message Detail
45% doesn't equal too damn close. And he's pretty much nowhere near that, going by this match.

Hmmm... How many people have said that DMC3 would give Dante a sizable boost? Not many, IIRC. Whether it should and whether it did, are two different things :)
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Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Master Zero
From: Mumei | Posted: 8/30/2005 2:01:13 AM | Message Detail
'Fraid not, chap. Seems that despite you clearly showing that the only % I ever laid down (and in what seems to be a best case scenario, though I don't claim to have not hoped for higher) was and still is 45-55 that people tihnk that they are outright owning me. Sad, too, because they seem to think their Ace high hand is a winner.

... I was really thinking of you (and them, for that matter) realizing what a stupid argument it was and just dropping the issue entirely and focusing on more... interesting debates.

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<_<
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 8/30/2005 2:01:44 AM | Message Detail
Oh, Sonic's the clear favorite over Vincent in a match, but it's far from unwinable. If it were in the bracket next year and DoC still wasn't out I wouldn't take it, but I wouldn't discredit anyone who did.
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First you make a circle, then you dot the eyes, add a great big smile and presto, it's Kirby!
From: Delirium Trigger | Posted: 8/30/2005 2:02:00 AM | Message Detail
Updater missed an update..

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Explicit Content.
Cheer Up Emo Kids.
From: RamzaB | Posted: 8/30/2005 2:02:43 AM | Message Detail
Hmm...interesting, it appears I'm going to lose my bet. Ah, well. :)
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Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: Kaxon | Posted: 8/30/2005 2:03:10 AM | Message Detail
I read just fine, thanks. Your grammar could use some work though, so sure, why don't we read what you wrote out loud.

I've been calling Vincent = Mario

This part seems pretty clear.

I've been calling Vincent = Mario since Mario > Crono so

Here's where things start to break down, as you need to drop either the "since" or the "so", and either add an "and" before "since" or start a new sentence there. But on the whole it seems fairly clear that you're claiming Mario is stronger than Crono.

it's fair if I call him > Crono now (which I haven't, though I think it'll be too damn close).

And I think we both agree this is the most important part, where you say Crono vs Vincent would be "too damn close". "Too damn close" doesn't imply 45-55 to anyone in this topic, except you, supposedly. That's especially true after in the same post you've claimed both that Vincent is as strong as Mario, and that Mario is stronger than Crono.
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Nominate Jay Solano from Operation Shadow for SC2k6
From: Mister Mario | Posted: 8/30/2005 2:03:48 AM | Message Detail
For that to happen, Dante would have had to have gotten a fairly large boost from DMC3. Do you guys think it's possible? I'm not sure.
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Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Master Zero
From: ernest | Posted: 8/30/2005 2:04:18 AM | Message Detail
so what happened to lara croft? did all her supporters die or forget about her? same with crash
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So what do you do all day ? I run a couple of newspapers.- Orson Welles in Citizen Kane
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 8/30/2005 2:05:26 AM | Message Detail
Well, Chichiri, it looks as if the match results haven't dampened your usual style and flair.

and Go Dante!
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb
From: Delirium Trigger | Posted: 8/30/2005 2:06:01 AM | Message Detail
From: ernest | Posted: 8/30/2005 5:04:18 AM | Message Detail
so what happened to lara croft? did all her supporters die or forget about her? same with crash


No, they got less popular not less well known.

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Explicit Content.
Cheer Up Emo Kids.
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 8/30/2005 2:06:20 AM | Message Detail
and did/do people really think Vincent was cheating? I was sort of surprised to see that, but I've been watching Full Metal Alchemist and Cowboy Bebop, so I wasn't really paying attention to the match.
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 8/30/2005 2:06:24 AM | Message Detail
Does it really matter? Is the situation so volatile that we need to nitpick over whether someone made a slightly out there prediction or not? We're all human, we all make mistakes. Right or wrong, this just seems...petty.

Oh, and Dante is really giving Vincent hell right now.
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: Delirium Trigger | Posted: 8/30/2005 2:06:59 AM | Message Detail
Dammit... Dante is really slowing the bleeding, but he's still taking hits.

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Explicit Content.
Cheer Up Emo Kids.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 8/30/2005 2:07:24 AM | Message Detail
At the beginning, the voting patterns seemed akin to Kefka/Vercetti *cough* but it seems to have stopped that trend now.
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: Delirium Trigger | Posted: 8/30/2005 2:10:02 AM | Message Detail
If Dante wins this next update if only by 1 vote I'll be elated.

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Explicit Content.
Cheer Up Emo Kids.
From: Delirium Trigger | Posted: 8/30/2005 2:10:25 AM | Message Detail
Screw that.

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Explicit Content.
Cheer Up Emo Kids.
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 8/30/2005 2:10:56 AM | Message Detail
"45% doesn't equal too damn close."

To you maybe not, but then again I remember the same thing being said about Ulti's comments on the 57-43 match that SSBM had with MGS2. It's a matter of perception and, often times, hyperbole. It is not, however, a descriptor of expected outcomes. If there was soem character saying I couldn't use the phrase too damn close unless it was an old-school MvC affair of the next coming of Frog vs MC then i wouldn't have used it. As it stands, it's merely a set of words implying that I expected a good match with a character doing far, far better than expected. Lay off it, even the "voice of reason" has stepped in and said concisely that I never made claim to anything but a 55-45 match.

"How many people have said that DMC3 would give Dante a sizable boost?"

What does that have to do with anything? I'm not sitting here saying that I STILL think he can manage 45-55, so what point are you trying to make? That you're a bigger ass than I am? Congrats, you win! But don't worry, I'll get ya back next time we vie for the crown at CSaDMania CCXXVIII.

"... I was really thinking of you (and them, for that matter) realizing what a stupid argument it was and just dropping the issue entirely and focusing on more... interesting debates."

In reverse order...

1: There are no debates more interesting. The hopes of anyone who wanted to see a real shakeup in these contests are dashed and those who didn't are a bunch of friggin haters

2: Most arguments are stupid, that's never stopped me from wasting away hours on them before and it apparently hasn't occured to some other people. It's entertainment, it's like a wrestling match with front row seats. Or, in my case, turnbuckle seats.
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First you make a circle, then you dot the eyes, add a great big smile and presto, it's Kirby!
From: Mister Mario | Posted: 8/30/2005 2:11:17 AM | Message Detail
Won't deny that it's petty. But Chichiri quite clearly insulted us, even though he was one of the people that said Vincent would come close to Crono, which are the people who are very clearly wrong in this case. So it's petty, but for a reason.
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Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Master Zero
From: Mister Mario | Posted: 8/30/2005 2:12:19 AM | Message Detail
"How many people have said that DMC3 would give Dante a sizable boost?"

That wasn't an attack on you. O_o

I was really just wondering.
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Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Master Zero
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 8/30/2005 2:12:51 AM | Message Detail
Does it really matter? Is the situation so volatile that we need to nitpick over whether someone made a slightly out there prediction or not? We're all human, we all make mistakes. Right or wrong, this just seems...petty.

It's more fun to be petty, and yes, everything matters on an internet message board.
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb
From: Delirium Trigger | Posted: 8/30/2005 2:12:53 AM | Message Detail
Exactly.. no one would have cared if they just had a different opinion than us, but the way they went about it was what annoyed us.

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Explicit Content.
Cheer Up Emo Kids.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 8/30/2005 2:15:15 AM | Message Detail
For some reason, I have a feeling that Dante is going to die during the day. We don't exactly have a lot of data on Vincent, so it's more of a gut feeling, but I think he'll start to pull away once the day vote hits.
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: Delirium Trigger | Posted: 8/30/2005 2:15:23 AM | Message Detail
5:15 in the morn, Vincent nabs another 6, and I'm off to bed.

---
Explicit Content.
Cheer Up Emo Kids.
From: RamzaB | Posted: 8/30/2005 2:15:45 AM | Message Detail
That wasn't an attack on you. O_o

I was really just wondering.


Well, I can think of atleast one guy who said that. Of course, he thinks Dante will win the match, too.
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Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: Mister Mario | Posted: 8/30/2005 2:16:05 AM | Message Detail
Me too. G'night, y'all.
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Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Master Zero
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 8/30/2005 2:17:29 AM | Message Detail
"Here's where things start to break down, as you need to drop either the "since" or the "so", and either add an "and" before "since" or start a new sentence there. But on the whole it seems fairly clear that you're claiming Mario is stronger than Crono."

Yes, a terrible grammatical error on my part. Thankfully it doesn't distort the message for the majority.

"Too damn close" doesn't imply 45-55 to anyone in this topic, except you, supposedly."

And 57% is only a decimation to Ulti. So what? I used some hyperbole, I exaggerated a bit. It makes the words more interesting to read, and if you'd mind catching up with the topic you'll see that it has been mentioned by an outside source that the only figure I ever pulled up was 45% for Vincent. I may have used stronger words than you would have, but I never once changed my opinion on the actual %.

"That's especially true after in the same post you've claimed both that Vincent is as strong as Mario, and that Mario is stronger than Crono."

No, I said that in the past I claimed Mario = Vincent and that at the time Mario > Crono so it would be fair if I chose to say Vincent > Crono given the nature of Crono and Mario's past relationship. However, I also explicitly stated that I was in fact NOT calling Vincent over Crono. And, I've clarified that point* multiple times, it'd be helpful to us all if you'd read at least one of them.

*Note: because I'm certain you'll continue to take my words out of context, as you are so fond of doing, "that point" is of course me not claiming Vincent > Crono.
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First you make a circle, then you dot the eyes, add a great big smile and presto, it's Kirby!
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