Ryu can still win. I hope he does.
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Summer 2005 Contest - 40/46 points
Current Match Prediction: Bowser vs. Ryu (Street Fighter)

...It just dawned on me what a genius CJayC is. He made all those SFF matches so there'd be a 2 year gap when it came to us predicted the true strengths of characters. A lot of characters were just set with their 2003 value, meaning they had a full 2 years to increase or decrease. Then he makes an amazingly good bracket like this, and we all get bent over with it.

Sly as a fox that CJayC.

-=Æ=-
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http://www.audioscrobbler.com/user/chaoscell/
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From: cyko | Posted: 8/27/2005 3:23:35 AM
Anyone else find it a reasonable theory that Ryu's declined, and this isn't all Bowser?

nope. maybe if Bowser was the only Nintendo character to overperform, but since he's a bout the 5th Nintendo character this week to overperform, i'm still pushing for a voter pool shift towards Nintendo.


No doubt that Nintendo has increased. But is this 58-42 all a Nintendo increase, or Ryu dropping as well?

-=Æ=-
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http://www.audioscrobbler.com/user/chaoscell/
http://jackisback.ytmnd.com/ http://objp.ytmnd.com/

WHY'D YOU DO IT CJAYC
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.

I really doubt Ryu dropped. There's nothing surprising about this match so far at all. It's following expectations quite nicely so far.

This should only surprise you if you ignored the Spring Contest results.
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www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery

Wow, Bowser's % went up.
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The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (0) Voters

Bowser up by 62

one more update and I'm going to bed
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I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.

Anyone else find it a reasonable theory that Ryu's declined, and this isn't all Bowser?

Not declined, but I think he was overrated in 2k4 by a bit. Him and kos-mos increased roughly the same amount in the xstats from 2k3. I think it's more then reasonable to assume that Ryu is at his 2k3 level, and was all along, and just overperformed on sonic a bit.
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It's not going to be 58-42 by the end of the match, that's for sure.

So, how do you guys think Bowser/Kirby's going to go down? How much SFF will there be?
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"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.

But is this 58-42 all a Nintendo increase, or Ryu dropping as well?

A bit of both. Spring 2k5 Bowser if projected to get 54% on Summer 2k4 Ryu. If Ryu dropped a tiny bit or the match ends a bit closer, the projection will be pretty close.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."

Well, the weird thing is that Ryu did pretty much what he was supposed to do on both KOS-MOS and Sonic, and yet all three seemingly went up by approximately the same amount.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna

From: creativename | Posted: 8/27/2005 3:25:28 AM
I really doubt Ryu dropped. There's nothing surprising about this match so far at all. It's following expectations quite nicely so far.

This should only surprise you if you ignored the Spring Contest results.


Correct me if I'm wrong...According to the Spring Contest, Bowser would beat 2003 Megaman, right?

-=Æ=-
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So, how do you guys think Bowser/Kirby's going to go down? How much SFF will there be?

Hopefully next to none, so the xstats don't get supremely ****ed in an entire division.
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2003 Mega Man? Not by a long shot. He's not even above Sonic.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna

Correct me if I'm wrong...According to the Spring Contest, Bowser would beat 2003 Megaman, right?

That's assuming Sephiroth stays constant from 2k3 to last spring, which assumes Sephiroth stays constant, which doesn't seem to happen.
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The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (0) Voters

Bowser up by 68

yup this is over.
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I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.

Well, they are both Nintendo, that can't be good for Kirby. That will be a good matchup, assuming Bowser wins this one, because it should show that Bowser > Ganondorf. As it should be.
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb

If Bowser's spring ranking is correct then WTF happened to Ocelot?

Correct me if I'm wrong...According to the Spring Contest, Bowser would beat 2003 Megaman, right?

I assume you mean 2004 Mega Man. Spring Bowser is at 34.79% and 2K4 unadjusted Mega Man is at 34.74%, so I suppose the answer is yes. But remember that the Spring Bowser value is derived from a least squares regression as a direct value on BL is obviously not possible.
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www.sc2k5.com/gallery

I guess Pac-Man was more underrated than we thought. We haven't gotten a good read on him since 2002, after all.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna

He got Wakka'D. Makes sense, considering how every FFX character besides Tidus has performed.
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The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (0) Voters

I take back what I said about nothing in this match being surprising; Bowser increasing in percentage right now is mildly suprising.
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www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery

I really think that Ocelot is stronger than Pac-Man in a neutral sense. i.e., I'd still pick him to win in a match where the pictures weren't so one-sided.
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www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery

Bleh, so the gauntlet continues the trend of each match being more anti-climactic than the last.

Well, good job, Ryu. Here's hoping you finish with at least 45% before all is said and done.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna

leaderboard champ update -

Mario - 21
Crono - 9
Samus - 8
Ganondorf - 5
Megaman - 2
Master Chief - 2
Solid Snake - 1
Squall - 1
Leon Kennedy - 1

i dunno what's more surprising. the one bracket for Leon or the FIVE brackets for Ganondorf. i guarantee all 5 of those Ganondorf brackets have Ganon over Bowser in the Final 4 because they paid way too much attention to the Spring Contest.

that being said, i am half to bed with Bowser comfortably ahead.

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"Start wearing purple, for me now. All your sanity and wits, they will all vanish, i promise. It's just a matter of time..."

Given that the last match was an upset relative to board expectations, it's not really appropriate to call it anti-climactic.

And I think a lot of us are getting the feeling Master Chief vs. DK could be pretty close.
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www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery

Ganondorf having so many winners isn't really surprising considering how fresh the Spring Contest still is in the minds of many and knowing how dominant LoZ in general is here.

I think it'll be interesting to see what Samus's percentage is to get out of her division.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna

Given that the last match was an upset relative to board expectations, it's not really appropriate to call it anti-climactic.

Well, in terms of drama for the match itself, it was. It was over before the first freeze.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna

Just for kicks:

Sonic the Hedgehog 55.54% 43795
Ryu 44.46% 35057
TOTAL VOTES 78852

Solid Snake 57.26% 61510
Ryu 42.74% 45915
TOTAL VOTES 107425

Samus Aran 57.85% 39293
Ryu 42.15% 28630
TOTAL VOTES 67923

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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb

If it means anything, chun-li reached her peak around four hours into the match. From the first hour to the fourth hour she gained about 2.3% on bowser, and then began to slide in the morning.
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Please sign this petition for a history board:
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And I think a lot of us are getting the feeling Master Chief vs. DK could be pretty close.

Heh. I can just imagine the Gauntlet being composed of five ho-hum matches, only to be followed by another DK barn burner. The 2005 Contest pwns the board again!
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.

And I really don't expect MC/DK to be all that close, personally. It's one of those things where I'm not sure where people are getting the idea that it'll happen from, like Knuckles beating Squall.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna

Knowing DK he'll be neck and neck with MC all day and lose by 7 votes.

It would be stranger for our feeling to be right than wrong though. And our feeling isn't really being backed by much, too.

Master Chief losing to Donkey Kong is just...an aberration to sanity.
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb

I expect DK to jump out to an early lead, manage to build it up a bit before the morning and day votes give it to the Chief. In the evening, DK comes back and we have a classic DK thriller.
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The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (0) Voters

It's one of those things where I'm not sure where people are getting the idea that it'll happen from, like Knuckles beating Squall.

Yeah, just like that. But at least with that, to Knuckles' credit, he did beat Magus.
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb

...And of course, DK wins by three votes.
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The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (0) Voters

In the evening, DK comes back and we have a classic DK thriller.

Wasn't it the evening that nearly gave Duck Hunt the win, and what ultimately destroyed DK against Vercetti?
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb

Even with his impressive standing last year, Microsoft's growing popularity in the industry, and the record-shattering Halo 2, it's still the Xbox's guy in a GameFAQs contest. I'd be overjoyed if DK were to make a great match of it, but I wouldn't truly be surprised.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.

Yeah, DK is overdue for a close match. He didn't have one last summer (though DK/Duck Hunt compensated for it). I guess that's one factor we can rely on. Either a monkey or a frog will have a ridiculously close match every contest.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna

At least a sizable amount of the Leaderboard has Samus winning finally. For the longest time it was all Mario, Crono, and... Master Chief...
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Nope. God himself couldn't beat Sephiroth. FFVII Fanboys outnumber Christians. ~ jkmill550

Animal Close Match Factor? Hmmm...that's surprisingly apt. Off the top of my head, there's also Shadow (vs. Tidus) and Sonic (vs. Samus 2K2) ;)
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www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery

Well, we've already seen an echidna have a close match...
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna

Eep. No lead change on that one...
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb

Huzzah for Ryu! Fight back now!
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna

We'll see in the next update if Ryu has any chance whatsoever for a comeback.
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Summer 2005 Contest - 40/46 points
Current Match Prediction: Bowser vs. Ryu (Street Fighter)

Ryu has no chance for a comeback.
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www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery

Nay, but you underestimate the fighting spirit of Ryu!
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna

honestly. what does it take to believe maste chief can win this? i bet that at least 85% of those who had him winning have a gamespot account
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft

All better.
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb