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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 218
From: Kagato Toujou | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:00:45 AM | Message Detail
Bowser 73.91% 17
Ryu 26.09% 6
TOTAL VOTES 23

That looks about right.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:01:14 AM | Message Detail
Kirby was the favorite to win the four pack, eh? Kinda surprising.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: arkenaga | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:01:18 AM | Message Detail
Bowser 133.33% 4
Ryu 0% 0
TOTAL VOTES 3

Pwnage by Bowser.

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"Those people who think they know everything are a great annoyance to those of us who do." ~ Isaac Asimov
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:01:22 AM | Message Detail
Kirby was the favorite?

I think the bracket makers favour Nintendo.
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I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.
From: Agent M | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:01:23 AM | Message Detail
Bowser 64.71% 44
Ryu 35.29% 24
TOTAL VOTES 68
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:02:09 AM | Message Detail
Bowser 60.6% 183
Ryu 39.4% 119
TOTAL VOTES 302

!!!
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb
From: MegatokyoEd | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:02:25 AM | Message Detail
.... Yeah Bowser seems to have this.
From: Mister Mario | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:02:31 AM | Message Detail
Buuuuuuuuurn.
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Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Master Zero
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:03:31 AM | Message Detail
Yikes. Bowser's trying to run away with this one pretty quickly.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:03:41 AM | Message Detail
Bowser is definitely looking to have this already. <3

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To the man whose spirit was so free it was bothersome... Kurosaki Ichigo, my sword has been broken by your freedom of spirit.
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:03:56 AM | Message Detail
Bowser showing no mercy early...

BUT KIRBY WILL STILL WIN!
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SC2K5: Samus is going all the way!
Bowser vs. Ryu - Bracket: Bowser - Vote: Bowser (40/46)
From: The GrowlanserG | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:04:07 AM | Message Detail
Ryu is going to come back no sweat....

>_>
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Still more fighting >_<
http://img358.imageshack.us/img358/8308/normal110513627024310uy.jpg My eye!
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:04:33 AM | Message Detail
This is....inhumane....
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb
From: cyko | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:04:35 AM | Message Detail
100 vote lead in only 4 minutes.

Bowser 58.5% 351
Ryu 41.5% 249
TOTAL VOTES 600

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"Start wearing purple, for me now. All your sanity and wits, they will all vanish, i promise. It's just a matter of time..."
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:04:42 AM | Message Detail
Bowser 58.43% 350
Ryu 41.57% 249
TOTAL VOTES 599

Lead over 100. Yikes.
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The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (0) Voters
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:05:14 AM | Message Detail
I love both these guys, but seeing another possible feather in the "Nintendo has increased" cap makes me happy.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: MegatokyoEd | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:05:15 AM | Message Detail
At this rate Bowser is going to look like he could comfortably beat Sonic.
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:05:45 AM | Message Detail
The power of the board vote, hopefully

120 lead
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I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:05:59 AM | Message Detail
The best Ryu can hope is that he gets that first night vote, because Bowser is going to start running by morning.

Bowser could win with over 60%....wow.
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SC2K5: Samus is going all the way!
Bowser vs. Ryu - Bracket: Bowser - Vote: Bowser (40/46)
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:06:02 AM | Message Detail
Bowser 58.67% 396
Ryu 41.33% 279
TOTAL VOTES 675

117 vote lead at the 5 minute mark. Good deal.

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To the man whose spirit was so free it was bothersome... Kurosaki Ichigo, my sword has been broken by your freedom of spirit.
From: creativename | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:07:31 AM | Message Detail
There's nothing surprising about Bowser doing real well early. He's both the board favorite and the heavy bracket favorite.

If this match works like Bowser vs. Chun-Li, then Bowser should drop slowly until about an hour from now. That'll be around the percentage he finishes with. Though after that Ryu should continue to gain until the morning; but those gains will be erased by the morning vote.
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www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:07:50 AM | Message Detail
The Koopa King shall be making his final four appearance yet again. <3

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To the man whose spirit was so free it was bothersome... Kurosaki Ichigo, my sword has been broken by your freedom of spirit.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:08:09 AM | Message Detail
Looking back at his match with Chun-Li, Bowser was pushing 70% for the first 15 minutes. Ryu ought to bring the percentage down a bit here soon.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: creativename | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:08:50 AM | Message Detail
I highly doubt Bowser will finish with 60%. He should finish some points below where he is now actually.
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www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery
From: Phediuk | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:08:59 AM | Message Detail
Jesus H. Christ.

This is Ryu's strongest time, too. *sigh*

Looks like Nintendo has taken a serious boost this contest. Look out, Snake.
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"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
From: cyko | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:09:07 AM | Message Detail
49 ThePinkFloyd 43 Leon Kennedy

WTF......

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"Start wearing purple, for me now. All your sanity and wits, they will all vanish, i promise. It's just a matter of time..."
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:09:21 AM | Message Detail
There's nothing surprising about Bowser doing real well early. He's both the board favorite and the heavy bracket favorite.

There still is. I mean, unless it's down to, say, 52% next update, I'd say this is above and beyond anyone's bowser expectations. He's doing much better than Sonic was at this point. This is quite something, should it hold, and I get the feeling it will.
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:10:16 AM | Message Detail
Sonic's night vote isn't that good though.
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: MegatokyoEd | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:10:18 AM | Message Detail
Bowser's lead increased again. Ryu's dead.
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:10:38 AM | Message Detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
43-----5--------80.0000000
42-----42-------57.1428571
41-----345------40.0000000
40-----666------61.7117117
39-----1205-----60.0000000
38-----1887-----66.9316375
37-----2350-----66.3829787
36-----2737-----67.1903544
35-----2993-----64.5506181
34-----3014-----64.8639681
33-----2931-----60.1160014
32-----2805-----56.3992870
31-----2499-----53.8615446
30-----2129-----48.8022546
29-----1712-----46.0280374
28-----1430-----41.1888112
27-----1136-----39.6126761
26-----915------35.1912568
25-----715------32.0279720
24-----612------28.4313725
23-----425------23.7647059
22-----290------23.4482759
21-----225------21.3333333
20-----156------22.4358974
19-----98-------8.1632653
18-----79-------15.1898734
17-----65-------13.8461538
16-----32-------9.3750000
15-----26-------30.7692308
14-----13-------30.7692308
13-----6--------0.0000000
12-----3--------0.0000000
11-----3--------66.6666667

Everybody with a score of 10 or less got the match wrong. So much for being a bracket buster. Kirby was actually the favorite to take down Tidus. For the first time in almost a week the -3s don't do the best. In fact they did quite poorly on this match.

21 people fell off the Top 50 today. Shrimpcracker89, darkone_420, pie14pie, Vanhugen, Zealot185, DDRSoulEdge7, OK_Undertow, Vip3r_Vixen, dtboy, Heroisch_Sonic, tapotti, no_cure, nez77, JDTAY, archbishop, LoopZoop, Dancingbaby, Ghost617, Paratroopa1, Finalxflash and Dark115 did not have Kirby winning the match.

lightspear was on the Top 50 and got the match incorrect but makes it back on as a -3 instead of a -1.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:10:57 AM | Message Detail
49 ThePinkFloyd 43 Leon Kennedy

WTF......


WTF indeed. That's really strange to see in the top fifty this far in. Then again we do have multiple people in the top fifty having MC win the contest.
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Please sign this petition for a history board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=21995996
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:11:21 AM | Message Detail
200 votes!!!

yah my favorites bracket will PWN me until Mario vs. Samus and that's when our brackets will have the fight of the year.
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I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.
From: mattman1624 | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:12:09 AM | Message Detail
If Ryu loses, my bracket is doomed. I had Ryu in the final four.
From: Mister Mario | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:12:18 AM | Message Detail
I'd say this is above and beyond anyone's bowser expectations

An hour or so ago, I posted that Bowser would peform much like Kirby. So far so good.
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Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Master Zero
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:12:37 AM | Message Detail
And huzzah for a Squall bracket at #4! Let's get another one up top before the end of the contest!
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: creativename | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:12:45 AM | Message Detail
This is Ryu's strongest time, too. *sigh*

Actually it's not. It is Bowser's strongest time though.


There still is. I mean, unless it's down to, say, 52% next update, I'd say this is above and beyond anyone's bowser expectations. He's doing much better than Sonic was at this point. This is quite something, should it hold, and I get the feeling it will.

But it won't hold, as I have already stated. Him getting this much early should not surprise anyone. It's not like he'll drop precipitously, but he it's quite unlikely he'll finish with 58%. Ryu is going to be increasing all night.
---
www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery
From: xfile1971 | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:14:48 AM | Message Detail
Considering how well "classic" characters and Nintendo characters have been doing, do a lot of people think DK is going to beat Master Chief?
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:15:36 AM | Message Detail
230

good Ryu is slowing the bleeding
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I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.
From: chaoscell | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:16:05 AM | Message Detail
I'd kill to see this percent hold all day and night. Bowser in the noble nine would be sweet justice, considering he's never lost to anyone not noble nine.

-=Æ=-
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http://www.audioscrobbler.com/user/chaoscell/
http://jackisback.ytmnd.com/ http://objp.ytmnd.com/
From: cyko | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:16:22 AM | Message Detail
7 JohnDeere04 44 Samus

and congrats to my buddy, JohnDeere, who is now the highest ranked person with Samus taking it all!! ^_^

i found it amusing, though, that he fell off the Top 50 when Magus lost, got back on when Gordon lost, fell off again when Pac-Man won, and returned to the Top 50 yet again when Ganondorf won. now, he's all the way up to 7th. w00t!


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"Start wearing purple, for me now. All your sanity and wits, they will all vanish, i promise. It's just a matter of time..."
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:17:54 AM | Message Detail
Ryu's peak lead on Sonic was about an hour in... let's see if he can win an update around then. I doubt it though.
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The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (0) Voters
From: creativename | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:19:45 AM | Message Detail
My guess is that Bowser should finish with 55%-56%, though Ryu will likely break 45% before the morning comes. He might even win some updates about 4 hours in.
---
www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery
From: chaoscell | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:20:06 AM | Message Detail
Anyone else find it a reasonable theory that Ryu's declined, and this isn't all Bowser?

-=Æ=-
---
http://www.audioscrobbler.com/user/chaoscell/
http://jackisback.ytmnd.com/ http://objp.ytmnd.com/
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:20:42 AM | Message Detail
Now that the board vote has seemingly worn off, Ryu's gaining percentage quickly.
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:20:45 AM | Message Detail
Bowser up by 26
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I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:20:51 AM | Message Detail
The 2004 adjusted stats project Ryu to beat Bowser with 51.6%.
The 2003 stats project Bowser to beat Ryu with 50.45%.

Hmmm... I suppose one could make a case for Bowser underperforming against Cloud in 2003 and then getting SFF'd in 2004, meaning he was underrated all along.

*dies*
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:21:23 AM | Message Detail
But it won't hold, as I have already stated. Him getting this much early should not surprise anyone. It's not like he'll drop precipitously, but he it's quite unlikely he'll finish with 58%. Ryu is going to be increasing all night.

Still though, he's doing better than Sonic at this point. That's really something.

and good call, Mr. Mario!
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb
From: MegatokyoEd | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:21:33 AM | Message Detail
I think alot of characters dropped from 2k4. Alucard and Ryu are the clear examples though.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:22:55 AM | Message Detail
Once again, Bowser is strong with the night vote. Sonic isn't. There's a difference here.

And as I said before this match began, if anyone wins easily, it's Bowser. That's pretty much the best predictor of who will win, at least it has been for me thus far.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: cyko | Posted: 8/27/2005 12:23:35 AM | Message Detail
Anyone else find it a reasonable theory that Ryu's declined, and this isn't all Bowser?

nope. maybe if Bowser was the only Nintendo character to overperform, but since he's a bout the 5th Nintendo character this week to overperform, i'm still pushing for a voter pool shift towards Nintendo.

---
"Start wearing purple, for me now. All your sanity and wits, they will all vanish, i promise. It's just a matter of time..."
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