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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 217
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 8/26/2005 8:45:29 AM | Message Detail
Looks like poll 841 was pretty accurate after all. The only mystery is "Would Lulu really do better than Yuna?"
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I know what I'm getting into, I don't care if I die trying!-Peppita Rossetti
From: voltch | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:00:18 AM | Message Detail
this is scary what kirby's done today. he's gone from low midcarder to potential division taker. that seems bizzare for some odd reason
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: EggDragon2001 | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:04:11 AM | Message Detail
So......call it now. Bowser or Ryu? I've changed that selection so many times that it isn't even funny, but I ended up with Bowser
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*is chubtoad*
Early to bed, early to rise, gives a man a small ***** size
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:06:07 AM | Message Detail
Yeah, I meant 2k4 unadjusted Tidus, heh.

Man, imagine the brackets DECIMATED if Kirby was to beat Solid Snake. While I don't buy it happening, I don't completely believe Solid is at his 2k3 level either...

...man, this contest rules.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:07:01 AM | Message Detail
Bowser rather easily. I have a feeling his performance will create just as much buzz as Kirby's will here.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:07:05 AM | Message Detail
Well, in a sense, this would suggest Squall > Snake, depending on how you look at it.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: voltch | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:07:31 AM | Message Detail
by the way does anyone have a graph of how the votes are coming in like the one cjayc showed us for kefka/vercetti? i just want to see how bad it makes tidus look. i mean losing more than 100 votes an update is pretty bad
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:08:08 AM | Message Detail
And for the record, adjusted Kirby beats unadjusted Tidus with 57.13%.

Kirby just passed that.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: Starion | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:08:12 AM | Message Detail
Speaking of Solid, did his performance against Zelda indicate a decrease or increase in strength from last year?
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:08:43 AM | Message Detail
Ah, that it could Leonhart. However, I don't buy that one 'til I see Knuckles/Squall.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:08:43 AM | Message Detail
I would kill to see Sora face Kirby.
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I know what I'm getting into, I don't care if I die trying!-Peppita Rossetti
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:09:40 AM | Message Detail
Speaking of Solid, did his performance against Zelda indicate a decrease or increase in strength from last year?

It seems to indicate that he's very close to his adjusted 2004 number, depending on where Zelda is.

And then we look and Tidus, and...well...
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: ExquisiteSamurai | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:10:55 AM | Message Detail
*wtf* .. I am completely OWNED by Kirby.. He's just smashing Tidus.. wow, I am certainly impressed..


Curious matches/rematch:
Kirby vs. Auron
Kirby vs. Squall *rematch*

who wins?

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"Life...Dreams...Hope...Where'd they come from? And where are they headed...? These things...I'm going to destroy!!" -Kefka
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:12:48 AM | Message Detail
Kirby/Auron COULD be a good match with a performance like this, heh.

Lemme throw this one out there for ya'll though: Kirby VS Aeris, who wins?
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: ExquisiteSamurai | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:13:41 AM | Message Detail
Aerith and I probably won't be looking back... =/

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"Life...Dreams...Hope...Where'd they come from? And where are they headed...? These things...I'm going to destroy!!" -Kefka
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:14:21 AM | Message Detail
Kirby vs. Squall *rematch*

who wins?


Squall still wins with around 55% or so. This match just legitimizes his 2004 number.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: voltch | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:15:30 AM | Message Detail
since this contest has already proved itself to be great which characters would you like to see next year?

i'm nominating robo,rayman and bahamut for sure.
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: ExquisiteSamurai | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:15:33 AM | Message Detail
wow.. I never thought FFX characters would be this weak.. Even Auron is not all that powerful.. =/

FFXII characters > FFX in terms of strength. BOOK IT!

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"Life...Dreams...Hope...Where'd they come from? And where are they headed...? These things...I'm going to destroy!!" -Kefka
From: Shadowdude II | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:16:02 AM | Message Detail
Rikku > Tidus is the greatest sin to ever hit this contest, barring Samus > Frog.
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www.geocities.com/shdwdde/Fanfic/SC2K5CYOA
The Power is Yours.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:16:42 AM | Message Detail
Something tells me that Vaan won't be very popular...
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: SonicRaptor | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:16:49 AM | Message Detail
Ah hell, I am completely out. I had Tidus and Magus taking their respective divisions.

Still, I was one of the 35% that had Sora over Alucard...that has to count for something.
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Today's subliminal thought is:
From: voltch | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:17:59 AM | Message Detail
so who is most likely to be the strongest ashe or vaan ?
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: ExquisiteSamurai | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:18:03 AM | Message Detail
Still, I was one of the 35% that had Sora over Alucard...that has to count for something.


Wow, I didn't noticed that only 35% had Sora > Alucard .. Damn this contest keeps amazing me!

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"Life...Dreams...Hope...Where'd they come from? And where are they headed...? These things...I'm going to destroy!!" -Kefka
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:19:13 AM | Message Detail
so who is most likely to be the strongest ashe or vaan ?

An initial guess based on what I've seen...

Balthier > Ashe > Vaan
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: voltch | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:21:50 AM | Message Detail
but man who was surprised at first about ashe's gender. i mean if you never saw a pick you can easily imagine something that looks like ash ketchup
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: SonicRaptor | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:23:14 AM | Message Detail
this is scary what kirby's done today. he's gone from low midcarder to potential division taker. that seems bizzare for some odd reason

Except the odds of him taking his division are slim. The winner of Bowser/Ryu will most likely take Dream Division.
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Today's subliminal thought is:
From: Dark Ninja1521 | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:25:05 AM | Message Detail
Btw, who do you guys have as the winner to MC vs. DK?
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Summer Contest 2005: 37/42
From: jonthomson | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:26:00 AM | Message Detail
From: Dark Ninja1521 | Posted: 8/26/2005 5:25:05 PM | #377
Btw, who do you guys have as the winner to MC vs. DK?

MC 55/45 or there abouts.
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Jon Thomson - MARIO, Samus, SOLID SNAKE, Bowser, CRONO, Squall, Sonic, MEGA MAN
From: ExquisiteSamurai | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:26:03 AM | Message Detail
who do you guys have as the winner to MC vs. DK?

It might be very close but the victor will be MC

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"Life...Dreams...Hope...Where'd they come from? And where are they headed...? These things...I'm going to destroy!!" -Kefka
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:27:53 AM | Message Detail
Heh, you know what I wish for now? I wish Cecil would have been replaced with Bomberman this year; that would have really thrown the "lol x-stats" people into a fiesta if Tidus deserves to be adjusted (which looks doubtful, but work with me). Just to catch a glimpse...

2k2: Bomberman gets 45.04% on Kirby.
2k3: Bomberman gets 37.18% on Kirby.
2k4: Bomberman gets 39.18% on Kirby.
2k5: Bomberman currently gets 35.95% on Kirby.


*realizes it's not half as bad as I was expectin' before I started this post*


...ya know, I wouldn't be too surprised at that right now, actually. Between Kirby probably gainin' and the stats not accounting for a possible Bomberman drop this year (which, mind you, 2k3 was his weakest year; high vote-totals may hurt him), and that's actually pretty reasonable.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:29:11 AM | Message Detail
Ah hell, I am completely out. I had Tidus and Magus taking their respective divisions.

Join the club. This sucks.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: voltch | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:30:57 AM | Message Detail
well from the looks of it a contest newb's favourite bracket might be the winner. this board's brackets are basically either dead or are on the verge of dying
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:31:47 AM | Message Detail
This record is going to cut it close to 100,000 at this rate, but I think it'll pass it easily because the ends of matches should be more loaded than before.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: SonicRaptor | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:33:20 AM | Message Detail
Btw, who do you guys have as the winner to MC vs. DK?

Close match with MC edging DK out.
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Today's subliminal thought is:
From: jetaudio77 | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:33:29 AM | Message Detail
Mines defit. dead. After having Magus win his division and that having failed obviously. I knew I couldn't take anymore blows in order to just have an outside chance. With Ocelot's loss and Tidus's loss its over.

On the plus side I have the annoying Kirby theme song in my head.
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Your opinion is better then mine.
From: Shadowdude II | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:33:57 AM | Message Detail
MC will make DK look like CATS.

If he doesn't then DK will win.
---
www.geocities.com/shdwdde/Fanfic/SC2K5CYOA
The Power is Yours.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:34:30 AM | Message Detail
Hey, I just noticed that my Analysis curse lives on! Huzzah!
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: jonthomson | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:34:57 AM | Message Detail
Ramza Beoulve or Tidus?

Kirby or Magus?
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Jon Thomson - MARIO, Samus, SOLID SNAKE, Bowser, CRONO, Squall, Sonic, MEGA MAN
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:35:32 AM | Message Detail
Tidus. Kirby is stronger than he was in 2003, I think.

Kirby over Magus, baby.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: Shadowdude II | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:35:37 AM | Message Detail
Tidus and Kirby.
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www.geocities.com/shdwdde/Fanfic/SC2K5CYOA
The Power is Yours.
From: swirldude | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:35:43 AM | Message Detail
Anyone find it ironic that the only board member victory in these contests was the Game Contest which we had no X-Stats for?
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Knuckles the Echidna's road to the Sc2k5 Title!
Round 2: (2)Squall Leonhart
From: RamzaB | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:36:09 AM | Message Detail
And for the record, adjusted Kirby beats unadjusted Tidus with 57.13%.

I'd think the night vote will lower Kirby's currently ridiculous margin, but then again, he's dominated the entire match. I'm actually pretty surprised with that Bomberman-Kirby Stat, makes you wonder how many people actually looked into the X-Stats before deciding Tidus was shoe in, because a gain like that was actually fairly predictable, assuming Bomberman's fanbase has stayed fairly consistent (which it more or less has).

My guess is if we'd seen those stats after Tidus-Bomberman there'd be a lot less people surprised right now, since even using 04 Bomberman-Kirby, a Kirby win in this match would have looked likely. Excellent post, Harrich.
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Theifenburg Uncertainty Principle - Without any witnesses, who's to say what happened? (Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: dethfdddddh | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:36:29 AM | Message Detail
CAN'T believe you're the first one to see that Kirby is making Tidus look like Ramza, Jonthomson.
From: swirldude | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:37:20 AM | Message Detail
I completely forgot about Ramza. Good grief Kirby.
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Knuckles the Echidna's road to the Sc2k5 Title!
Round 2: (2)Squall Leonhart
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:38:02 AM | Message Detail
Hmmm....

Bring Ramza back in 2006! Yes, I'll use this match to rally support.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: RamzaB | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:39:21 AM | Message Detail
CAN'T believe you're the first one to see that Kirby is making Tidus look like Ramza, Jonthomson.

He's not, HarricH posted on it when the match started.

I'd take Ramza, but that's probably bias. ;)
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Theifenburg Uncertainty Principle - Without any witnesses, who's to say what happened? (Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: dethfdddddh | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:39:46 AM | Message Detail
Oh.

>_>;
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:41:39 AM | Message Detail
CAN'T believe you're the first one to see that Kirby is making Tidus look like Ramza, Jonthomson.

http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/detail.php?board=8&topic=23126013&message=252272209

Glad to see RamzaB beat me to this though, heh.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: RamzaB | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:42:17 AM | Message Detail
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/26/2005 12:31:46 AM | Message Detail
Well, I'm gonna go to bed; I have Spanish 150 first thing in the morning...

...heh, would anybody dare take Ramza over Tidus?


'Sokay, it deserved to be brought up again now that the match looks like it might actually finish that way. And Sir Chris, he's got my vote.
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Theifenburg Uncertainty Principle - Without any witnesses, who's to say what happened? (Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: dethfdddddh | Posted: 8/26/2005 9:42:22 AM | Message Detail
Sorry, Harrich.
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