Whoa, Kirby just took a big leap in percentage. As much as I love Tidus, I really can't complain. Kirby deserves this, too.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna

Yes, yes he does GO PUFFBALL
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Goldberg entertained me when he jobbed to inanimate objects.-The icon ownz all

Wow, look at Kirby go. He's gained .14% in the last ten minutes. He could easily get 56-57% before this is all said and done.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna

it does tend to get annoying when we're currently relying on characters outside of square to beat the power that is nintendo. konami and capcom are the only other companies with one or two strong bastion that can take on nintendo now.
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft

I don't have an issue with Squall around 31%. That's where he was in 2K3.

I wouldn't put Squall any higher based on Kirby's performance today though since that would also benefit Bomerman, and Bomberman approaching midcarder level is a little... I don't know.
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"No, you see. Here's the problem. You don't know the history of psychiatry. I do." - Tom Cruise

well if anything this contest will give post contest analysis experts plenty to write about
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft

What in the world... Kirby with 56%, and the day vote is just starting? Damn, either Tidus took another large drop this year, putting him well behind Yuna and Rikku for Pete's sake, or Kirby took a giant lead forward and he'll win the division.
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"You can't have gone over a kilometer up. 1500 meters, tops." -Samus Aran
"I'll express my love to you slowly, later." -Setzer Gabbiani

Well it works out pretty well with unadjusted Megaman.

That's not very good for Megaman though.
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"No, you see. Here's the problem. You don't know the history of psychiatry. I do." - Tom Cruise

But then just imagine how large a fall BOTH Tidus and Shadow must've suffered between 2003 and 2004.
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"You can't have gone over a kilometer up. 1500 meters, tops." -Samus Aran
"I'll express my love to you slowly, later." -Setzer Gabbiani

Well Tidus was based on Ganondorf who was based on Magus. Magus apparently being overrated, so I guess technically Tidus could have been said to never have fallen. 2002 is the only real oddity for him, in which case. And 2002 was an oddity for everyone.
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"No, you see. Here's the problem. You don't know the history of psychiatry. I do." - Tom Cruise

[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]

But then he'd have to have fallen again.

And the problem with unadjusted Megaman is, it seems everyone in 20XX underperformed... except Megaman and Snake. Search me.
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"You can't have gone over a kilometer up. 1500 meters, tops." -Samus Aran
"I'll express my love to you slowly, later." -Setzer Gabbiani

Yeah, Snake. But Megaman didn't really underperform or overperform. He did better than what his unadjusteds would imply but even with Conker's new game I'd think he falls short of what he was adjusted to.

Not that I think he's in any trouble against Sonic since Sonic's performance against Jin didn't exactly leave my jaw hanging. But if you have him making the finals over Crono... I don't know.
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"No, you see. Here's the problem. You don't know the history of psychiatry. I do." - Tom Cruise

whoamg


oh, and...


uhh

who would win between sonic and snake?
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PH33R THE HANDGESTURE! http://handgesture.ytmnd.com/

He fell short by a few tenths. If a new game, a SECOND one I might add, can only give Conker a few tenths... and these could be due to random variation anyway. And well, Megaman probably will beat Sonic anyway... it's just that the match won't happen this year.

I say we wait and see.
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"You can't have gone over a kilometer up. 1500 meters, tops." -Samus Aran
"I'll express my love to you slowly, later." -Setzer Gabbiani

Oh, and I call dibs on part 218. For the intro I'm going to pay a tribute to one of the greatest Flash movies ever!
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"You can't have gone over a kilometer up. 1500 meters, tops." -Samus Aran
"I'll express my love to you slowly, later." -Setzer Gabbiani

Well depending on who's stats you use, he either fell short by .7 or 1.2. I guess Conker's new game would make up for it though.

It's not as if Tidus's unadjusted stats have to be exact anyway. Did Megaman suffer a little loss in % against Link than there should have been? Probably, yeah. Just that he adjustment overcompensates a bit. The more accurate ratings could be right inbetween the adjusted and the unadjusteds for all we know.
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"No, you see. Here's the problem. You don't know the history of psychiatry. I do." - Tom Cruise

Aww man, I must say this match has me torn.

I have Tidus > Bowser. Yeah, I got owned.

And if I'd have won this match, I'd be back on the Top 50 too. Only until Knuckles/Squall (which I have Magus winning ^_^) but it's good to be on top.
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"Apple Kid is ****ing awesome as hell." - UltimaterializerX

a game like SSBM only gains in popularity. multiplayer games like that are crazy.

and the site's focus on RPGs is shifting, and quick. as cn said, FF7 is the only other thing to impress.

I'd amend that to FF7/KH, since Sora proving a possible challenge to Solid Snake is impressive in my book, and Riku didn't fair all that badly against Frog.
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Theifenburg Uncertainty Principle - Without any witnesses, who's to say what happened? (Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)

Oh, and the puffball has blown past the point of no return, he's up to nearly 3500 votes and definitely winning the morning vote. The only real question is whether the night vote will be able to make Tidus look halfway decent or if Kirby's just gonna carry through the whole match.
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Theifenburg Uncertainty Principle - Without any witnesses, who's to say what happened? (Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)

FFX characters as a whole seem to be dropping nowadays there quite unimpressive. bring FFXII and KHII
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft

From: voltch | Posted: 8/26/2005 10:27:12 AM | #321
FFX characters as a whole seem to be dropping nowadays there quite unimpressive. bring FFXII and KHII

FFX-2 definitely sent Rikku and Yuna on an upwards swing. It can be argued that Auron > Rikku > Yuna > Tidus at this point, with Auron losing some feathers since last time.
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"You can't have gone over a kilometer up. 1500 meters, tops." -Samus Aran
"I'll express my love to you slowly, later." -Setzer Gabbiani

Bold prediction:

If Vincent and Squall meet in the division finals, Squall will win.
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www.geocities.com/shdwdde/Fanfic/SC2K5CYOA
The Power is Yours.

either Tidus took another large drop this year, putting him well behind Yuna and Rikku for Pete's sake, or Kirby took a giant lead forward and he'll win the division.

A giant leap forward? Not quite. Maybe a bit, but not a large one. Kirby's doing close to what he would be expected to do based on his 2004 number and Tidus's unadjusted. Either way, adjusted Tidus puts him above 2003 Bowser now, heh.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna

Vincent > Squall. I won't say book it, but, uh...I'm, like, really confident in it, heh.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.

Vincent > Squall. I won't say book it, but, uh...I'm, like, really confident in it, heh.

Well, that's more of a useless prediction.

At this point, I think that character design/pics are a massive factor. Far more than before. The appeal of the pic is often enough to **** a poll's results.
---
www.geocities.com/shdwdde/Fanfic/SC2K5CYOA
The Power is Yours.

I guess my biggest mistake this contest was underestimating Squall (and thus Kirby, by extrapolation). Alas. There will be no customary early-third-round leaderboard entry for me this year.
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There's always someone better.

This also continues to be very confusing as far as the 20XX Factor is concerned. Tidus continues to act as if there wasn't one. Knuckles, Snake, and Mega Man seem to act like there was one.

If there wasn't one, Squall would be expected to do better on Knuckles than Snake did. Otherwise, he's projected to get 57.85%.

It's kinda odd how each match in the gauntlet has turned out to be more anti-climactic than the one before it. I think tomorrow will change that, if only because Ryu ought to be able to keep up with Bowser during the first night vote.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna

Heh, man, Bowser/Ryu almost HAS to be closer than any gauntlet match so far; we've gotta get something good from this string, surely.
---
Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.

wtf is wrong with tidus today kirby won like 200 votes in the last two updates.
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft

Heh, man, Bowser/Ryu almost HAS to be closer than any gauntlet match so far; we've gotta get something good from this string, surely.

I don't see what was wrong with today's match. Just because it's not a nail-biter doesn't mean it's not awesome.

And plus I think nailbiters are harder to get with the higher vote totals.
---
www.geocities.com/shdwdde/Fanfic/SC2K5CYOA
The Power is Yours.

I dunno about anybody else, but I'd really like to see a comprehensive pros/cons-list for the 20XXF adjustment.
---
Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.

Man, Kirby is really flying now. In the last hour, he has gained nearly .4% on Tidus.

Kirby's percentage in that time span: 58.51%

He's owning with the day vote like Sora was yesterday.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna

I don't see what was wrong with today's match. Just because it's not a nail-biter doesn't mean it's not awesome.

Well, we're talking in terms of drama for the match, more or less.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna

Oh, I'm not sayin' that today's match isn't nice; it is. I'd still like to see one close match come away from this though, and Bowser/Ryu has a great shot.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.

OMG kirby is winning so many votes he must be cheating.

wouldn't it cause chaos if kirby had been cheating like crono/mario II?
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft

Holy ****, I did not expect this much of a beating. I could have sees Kirby winning with 52-53% tops, but this is an absolute blowout (à la SSBM/MGS2). This ruins my perfect round 2, but oh well, at least I have Bowser beating Snake. I feel bad for the folks who had Tidus taking the division or beating Snake.
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For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener

Hey, don't cry for me. I'm lovin' this. KIRBY FOR THE DIVISION!

Heh, and everyone called Kirby the weakest 1 seed before the contest started.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna

I see Bowser vs Ryu as being blown wide open. I might be eating my words tomorrow morning.. but I don't see anything below 51% whichever way the wind blows.
---
www.geocities.com/shdwdde/Fanfic/SC2K5CYOA
The Power is Yours.

tomorrow will be a blowout as well i figure. but tidus being so damn weak man thats disapointing for a hero of an FF game
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft

This makes me sad. ;_;
I wanted to see Tidus vs. Ryu to see how he would fare compared to Rikku. But I guess we don't need that to know how much he blows anyway.

*goes back to play FFX-2, the game without the super weak main hero*
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I know what I'm getting into, I don't care if I die trying!-Peppita Rossetti

It's funny that last year I got the difficult Tidus and Sora matches right, and this year I got them wrong :-)

Although I did get Alucard's match wrong last year.
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Jon Thomson - MARIO, Samus, SOLID SNAKE, Bowser, CRONO, Squall, Sonic, MEGA MAN

Although I did get Alucard's match wrong last year.

The Plan at work, no doubt.
---
www.geocities.com/shdwdde/Fanfic/SC2K5CYOA
The Power is Yours.

still anyone surprised at the amount of votes kirby's gobling up at each update. it makes him look like an absolute monster
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft

Kirby is about to breach 57%. I am extremely impressed.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna

Heh, using 2k3 unadjusted Tidus, what would Kirby have to get to beat Solid 2k3?
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.

Kirby is currently pulling in about 61.5 percent of the vote. Tidus is getting smashed with the day vote.
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Hail to the Queen of Blades.

2003 Tidus? 52.3%

I'm assuming you meant unadjusted 2004 Tidus, so...

*checks*

???

58.87%

Wow.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna

I guess the KHF doesn't work on the child cameos.
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I know what I'm getting into, I don't care if I die trying!-Peppita Rossetti

Kirby is clearly taking the division now, folks. He's doing better against Tidus than Ryu did against Rikku, and Tidus SURELY can't be THAT far from her.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna