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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 214
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/24/2005 9:50:03 AM | Message Detail
Yoshi makes it too easy though. At least use someone who could challenge Auron, like Zero.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/24/2005 9:50:18 AM | Message Detail
Favoritism would have me pick Zelda, though it could really go either way against Ryu.

Zelda >or= Auron
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/24/2005 9:51:13 AM | Message Detail
An Auron/Squall match wouldn't be cliche.....
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: jonthomson | Posted: 8/24/2005 9:51:13 AM | Message Detail
I was thinking about Zero, but then thought that Zero would win rather easily.
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Jon Thomson - MARIO, Samus, SOLID SNAKE, Bowser, CRONO, Squall, Sonic, MEGA MAN
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 8/24/2005 9:51:29 AM | Message Detail
Snake > Aeris > Sora

Sora > Aeris
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I know what I'm getting into, I don't care if I die trying!-Peppita Rossetti
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 8/24/2005 9:51:58 AM | Message Detail
I said it a month ago, and I will repeat it:

If Snake gets his Solid **** picture next round, Sora will beat him. Book it.

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RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/05
Fighting Illini (37-2): #2 in the nation, #1 in our hearts
From: MegatokyoEd | Posted: 8/24/2005 9:52:35 AM | Message Detail
I can't see Snake losing even if he gets Solid ****. Sora's weaker than Zelda.
From: jonthomson | Posted: 8/24/2005 9:53:27 AM | Message Detail
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 8/24/2005 5:51:58 PM | #206
I said it a month ago, and I will repeat it:

If Snake gets his Solid **** picture next round, Sora will beat him. Book it.


Alucard>Sora

This being the same Sora that people were booking to lose to Hayabusa last year?
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Jon Thomson - MARIO, Samus, SOLID SNAKE, Bowser, CRONO, Squall, Sonic, MEGA MAN
From: Zylo the wolf | Posted: 8/24/2005 9:54:06 AM | Message Detail
Zelda can't be much weaker than Sora. No matter which picture Soild Snake gets, he wins over Sora. And we all know Solid Snake would rSFF Alucard :D
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When this happened, all of us got PWND by Smurf
http://www.freewebs.com/vgcg/Knuckles.jpg
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/24/2005 9:55:58 AM | Message Detail
I still think Frog over-performed so much more because he got a CT sprite than because Solid got a bad pic. Afterall, Magus did the same thing against Link, and most/all of us have said that Kefka would be stronger with a sprite of him (in human form). Solid **** certainly won't help his cause, but I wouldn't think it'd cost him the match against Sora unless it's close.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 8/24/2005 9:57:44 AM | Message Detail
Snake would beat Sora if his picture was comprised of actual feces. The pressure of keeping the original Noble Nine intact rests on Sonic's shoulders for now.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: jonthomson | Posted: 8/24/2005 10:03:02 AM | Message Detail
Has anyone got a link to that all time xstats list that looks like a huge wall of text?
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Jon Thomson - MARIO, Samus, SOLID SNAKE, Bowser, CRONO, Squall, Sonic, MEGA MAN
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/24/2005 10:05:44 AM | Message Detail
Check the first post.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 8/24/2005 10:05:48 AM | Message Detail
Completely random question: Who is the strongest EA character to make it in a contest? Does EA even... have characters?
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/24/2005 10:06:40 AM | Message Detail
John Madden.

In all seriousness, I don't think they have ever had characters in the contest.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: ina300 | Posted: 8/24/2005 10:11:24 AM | Message Detail
Besides for the Sims, EA only does license and sports games. So all of their charecters are ineligable.

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Kenshin-when i say im going to kill you their is nothing you can do but die
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/24/2005 10:13:17 AM | Message Detail
There ARE the SSX games, and I'm pretty sure there are some original rappers in their Def Jam wrestling games too.....
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: jonthomson | Posted: 8/24/2005 10:13:22 AM | Message Detail
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/24/2005 6:05:44 PM | #213
Check the first post.

Oh yeah. So many links there that I was bound to miss it. That's bandwidth'd anyway :-)
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Jon Thomson - MARIO, Samus, SOLID SNAKE, Bowser, CRONO, Squall, Sonic, MEGA MAN
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/24/2005 10:15:09 AM | Message Detail
It is, isn't it...ouch. At least the all-time stats aren't something we should actually measure most characters by.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: jonthomson | Posted: 8/24/2005 10:31:38 AM | Message Detail
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/24/2005 6:15:09 PM | #219
It is, isn't it...ouch. At least the all-time stats aren't something we should actually measure most characters by.

I didn't want them to "accurately" measure anyone, just to see where everyone is roughly on one big list. Just for a bracket I'm thinking about making.
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Jon Thomson - MARIO, Samus, SOLID SNAKE, Bowser, CRONO, Squall, Sonic, MEGA MAN
From: Zylo the wolf | Posted: 8/24/2005 10:40:54 AM | Message Detail
I'm not 100% about this. But if Zelda can kill Vivi and still doing worse than expected against Solid Snake then what says that Vincent and Tifa isn't overrated as well?
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When this happened, all of us got PWND by Smurf
http://www.freewebs.com/vgcg/Knuckles.jpg
From: Lopen | Posted: 8/24/2005 10:41:07 AM | Message Detail
This topic is hugely underestimating Ryu. This guy has been consistently good all three years, and never once has he been hidden behind a "debatable opponent". He's never lost with less than 40%, and I think that counts for more than you'd like to think. 45% on Sonic > 32% on Link or Cloud... I believe that, and continue to believe that. Regardless of what X-Stats say.

Ryu with 52% in a few days... *insert cliche phrase involving reading material here*
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Raiden fact of the post: 18% on Snake > 47% on Link.
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/24/2005 10:43:28 AM | Message Detail
never once has he been hidden behind a "debatable opponent".

WDF.

Regardless, I give Ryu credit; I can see Bowser/Ryu goin' either way. I just stand by my faith of Bowser winnin' with about 51.5% of the votes.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 8/24/2005 10:44:44 AM | Message Detail
There seems to be too much Zelda disappointment in this topic. Think back to before the contest and before she killed Vivi, how much did you really think she would get on Snake?
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb
From: Zylo the wolf | Posted: 8/24/2005 10:47:21 AM | Message Detail
I want Ryu to win, but I can't see him winning over Bowser if he just got 45% on Rikku.
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When this happened, all of us got PWND by Smurf
http://www.freewebs.com/vgcg/Knuckles.jpg
From: voltch | Posted: 8/24/2005 10:47:55 AM | Message Detail
if sonic were to lose against tifa would that shater the noble nine system?
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/24/2005 10:47:58 AM | Message Detail
Vivi, Zelda, and Solid are all shakier from 2k3 and up than Vyse (from what we've seen thus far, anyways). We don't know if Vincent's stronger or weaker than Tifa, granted, but we have a good idea on Tifa; her match against Vyse is pointing to her dominating Sonic and Mega Man (I think beating Crono, too?). While I don't think she'll DOMINATE, per say, I currently think Tifa's taking down Sonic and Mega Man.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 8/24/2005 10:48:12 AM | Message Detail
Me neither since that would mean he lost to Rikku first.
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"No, you see. Here's the problem. You don't know the history of psychiatry. I do." - Tom Cruise
From: jonthomson | Posted: 8/24/2005 10:49:20 AM | Message Detail
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/24/2005 6:47:58 PM | #227
her [Tifa's] match against Vyse is pointing to her dominating Sonic and Mega Man

I'm still thinking that Vyse has dropped significantly.
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Jon Thomson - MARIO, Samus, SOLID SNAKE, Bowser, CRONO, Squall, Sonic, MEGA MAN
From: Ayvuir | Posted: 8/24/2005 10:50:12 AM | Message Detail
Sonic wont lose to Tifa, i wont be surprised if he makes it to the semi's maybe even the final.
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Vincent's Path to Victory: Round 1 - (4) Sarah Kerrigan OWNED 79200 - 21058 Round 2 - (1) Dante
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 8/24/2005 10:50:22 AM | Message Detail
Both Tifa and Vincent have to win their next matches before they go one to defeat members of the Noble Nine. And they both have considerable opponents, too.
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/24/2005 10:50:42 AM | Message Detail
Think back to before the contest and before she killed Vivi, how much did you really think she would get on Snake?

I feared either her OR Vivi could beat Solid at first, and I know both Ulti and (I think) RPGuy thought mighty hard about it since her 2k3 number was still stronger than Solid's 2k4 number.


if sonic were to lose against tifa would that shater the noble nine system?

Yep.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: Zylo the wolf | Posted: 8/24/2005 10:51:42 AM | Message Detail
if he just got 45% on Rikku.

Lol this guy doesn't know basic math.

UNDERAGE USER ALERT!
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When this happened, all of us got PWND by Smurf
http://www.freewebs.com/vgcg/Knuckles.jpg
From: transience | Posted: 8/24/2005 10:52:00 AM | Message Detail
it's funny how much one match sways things. very few people (4, I think) were expecting Zelda to beat Snake before she beat Vivi. I wouldn't call 45% on a Noble Nine character disappointing. she's at a solid 32% or so on the x-stats, assuing nothing weird happens. that's pretty good.

and I'd take her over Ryu, yeah.

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http://picturesofwalls.com
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 8/24/2005 10:52:41 AM | Message Detail
if sonic were to lose against tifa would that shater the noble nine system?

It would certainly shatter the fabric of the original Noble Nine. I'm betting that the term "Noble Nine" would remain in our lexicon, but it would only describe the nine strongest characters in a given contest, not "those nine who can not lose to anyone outside of their group."
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: voltch | Posted: 8/24/2005 10:52:43 AM | Message Detail
man the noble nine although there are genuinely strong characters are feeling the king oof pressure the top tennis players suffer. someone is always knocking on the front door to take there place
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: jonthomson | Posted: 8/24/2005 10:53:58 AM | Message Detail
Tifa would then join the nine and someone would have to come up with some amusing thing that alliterates with ten.
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Jon Thomson - MARIO, Samus, SOLID SNAKE, Bowser, CRONO, Squall, Sonic, MEGA MAN
From: voltch | Posted: 8/24/2005 10:54:09 AM | Message Detail
*kind of
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: voltch | Posted: 8/24/2005 10:56:00 AM | Message Detail
if tifa,vincent and another character beats a noble niner we will end up with the tremendous twelve.that's way to many char's in an exclusif group
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/24/2005 10:56:09 AM | Message Detail
I won't say it's impossible for Vyse to drop, but he was very consistant from 2k3 to 2k4. Vyse also lost to Cloud last year, so him being so consistant has nothing to do with SFF (not that you're implying it; I just know others do). I just don't think Vyse could drop so much against Tifa less than a year later from his match against Cloud. One other thing about Vyse dropping so much is that I don't buy him gettin' too close to Ramirez's numbers. A lil' drop, sure, I'll accept that, but I just think that, all things considered, Tifa is gonna make it to the Final Four.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: jonthomson | Posted: 8/24/2005 10:57:41 AM | Message Detail
From: voltch | Posted: 8/24/2005 6:56:00 PM | #239
if tifa,vincent and another character beats a noble niner we will end up with the tremendous twelve.that's way to many char's in an exclusif group

Tifa might beat Sonic. Vincent doesn't even get to Crono, and would lose that match anyway. As for another, the only real possibility is that Snake slips up. Which isn't going to happen. Tifa>Sonic is the only result that could change things.
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Jon Thomson - MARIO, Samus, SOLID SNAKE, Bowser, CRONO, Squall, Sonic, MEGA MAN
From: Lopen | Posted: 8/24/2005 10:58:59 AM | Message Detail
Oh, and this is what made me make the post...

1 out of every 6 people (approximately 16000) would need to have Ryu > Bowser > Chun Li. I just can't see that happening, and I rank them Ryu > Chun > Bowser.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=966
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=985

Ryu gained 8496 votes in this poll as opposed to Ken. He's already halfway there, and there are three factors I believe that make this very attainable against Bowser.

1. Higher vote totals mean Ryu has the potential to rake in more votes.
2. Samus, being the more popular character here, is more likely to have more people that think Samus > all SF characters, than people who have Bowser > all SF characters.
3. I think Ken is significantly more popular than Chun Li (speculation, but not without support). Meaning it's easier for Chun Li to get a character stuck between Ryu than it is for Ken to.

And, Rikku's an unknown... I wouldn't doubt she's a bit more popular than Tidus, actually. She seems to be the second most popular in general.
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I have Ryu > Bowser > Chun Li, by the way... and Ken > Ryu > Bowser just in case you were wondering. Also I'd vote Samus over Chun, but neither Ryu nor Ken.
From: voltch | Posted: 8/24/2005 10:58:59 AM | Message Detail
i meant in long term future. now that tifa and vincent have tasted summer contest blood there gonna want some more
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 8/24/2005 11:00:24 AM | Message Detail
I think Zelda would be doing about 2% better with an SSBM pic. >_>
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I know what I'm getting into, I don't care if I die trying!-Peppita Rossetti
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 8/24/2005 11:04:31 AM | Message Detail
Just to make sure, the Noble Nine are:
Link, Cloud, Sephiroth, Samus, Crono, Sonic, Megaman, Mario, Snake?



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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb
From: transience | Posted: 8/24/2005 11:10:40 AM | Message Detail
1. Higher vote totals mean Ryu has the potential to rake in more votes.

I know it goes without saying, but this is true for everyone.

2. Samus, being the more popular character here, is more likely to have more people that think Samus > all SF characters, than people who have Bowser > all SF characters.

I would expect it to be more likely that people have Samus > Bowser > SF characters than Samus > SF > Bowser.

3. I think Ken is significantly more popular than Chun Li (speculation, but not without support). Meaning it's easier for Chun Li to get a character stuck between Ryu than it is for Ken to.

personally, I think that Ken and Chun Li are close. Ken might be a little stronger, but not by a lot.

more power to you if Ryu wins, but it's tough to argue that Bowser isn't the favourite. and a big one at that.
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http://picturesofwalls.com
From: transience | Posted: 8/24/2005 11:12:36 AM | Message Detail
oh, and I dispute yoblazer's (I think it was him) claim that we could just plug someone new into the Noble Nine idea. the term "Noble Nine" should be thrown out if Snake or Sonic loses.
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http://picturesofwalls.com
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 8/24/2005 11:17:04 AM | Message Detail
Yeah, throw it out, go with Elite Eight and just be done with it.

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RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/2005
SC2k5 - 37/40 (Kefka, Magus, Ocelot)
From: Lopen | Posted: 8/24/2005 11:17:32 AM | Message Detail
I would expect it to be more likely that people have Samus > Bowser > SF characters than Samus > SF > Bowser.

That's not exactly what I was saying. Those cases are irrelevant anyway as Bowser has already lost his votes there.

What I was saying is that it's less likely for the order to be Ryu > Samus > Ken than it is for Ryu > Bowser > Chun Li, because Samus has a higher potential to be in the position of Samus > Ryu > Ken (Chun Li). (she's stronger, after all).
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It really comes down to whether you think Ken and Chun Li have a significant gap between em... I think they do.
From: Phediuk | Posted: 8/24/2005 11:40:03 AM | Message Detail
Well, the Noble Nine lives for another day. :/

I was really hoping for an upset here. *sigh*
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"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
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