Bowser of course. I've been wary of overestimating Zelda off of her one match with Vivi. I'm already skeptical of the exact linearity of the x-stats. As for Vivi, I had a feeling he would be weaker this year. Like I said for Magus and Frog, I think Vivi had a bandwagon of people wanting him to do well last year, except not nearly as large. He did his job against DK, but I think he would fall apart against character with a relatively strong fanbase, like he did against Zelda.

As for this match, Zelda better pick it up. She's performing worse than Aeris did in 2k2. I know her young pic isn't THAT bad for her to perform so badly. We'll just have to see what Snake does in the upcoming rounds.
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MM are my INITIALS "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."

It's also easier to go from 67% to 60% than 57% to 50%. Don't forget that. Sure enough, it did get uglier... even if only slightly.
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Raiden fact of the post: Raiden doesn't need to morph to have the powers of a Ninja...

* phew *

Looks like I was worried over nothing, how foolish of me.

Good job Snake, justice has been served!

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Reserved for the winner of the SC2K5 Guru Challenge.

Awesome. I was worried that Snake would lose this. ^_^

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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.

It'll be next to impossible if Snake keeps up this percentage. It's a lot easier to fall from 67% to 59% than it is from 57% to 49%.

No, actually, it's not. The closer the percentages are to 50%, the smaller 1% actually is.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.

Knuckles nearly barely won the day vote against Magus, a CT character. I think his day-vote king status comes largely from facing Snake, who is ass with the day-vote.

Knuckles gained a lot after the vote stabalized in that match. Same against kefka. Still I know zelda well get close with the day vote, but going from 42% to victory is something never seen before after the percentage stabalized. She needs to bite back soon, or slow the bleeding.
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Knuckles nearly barely won the day vote against Magus, a CT character. I think his day-vote king status comes largely from facing Snake, who is ass with the day-vote.

You do know it was because of the day vote Knuckles won.
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I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.

And this is once again a lesson on overestimating a character after one blowout match...
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MM are my INITIALS "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."

Heh, it looks like MGS3 got Snake back in gear after all. No chance at all for Bowser to beat him if he does this well on Zelda.

By the way, who would you all take in Bowser vs. Zelda? That'd be a pretty tough match, IMO.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.

Well, Frog had 59% on Master Chief after an hour, with a lead of 616...
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb

wow, Snake pushing 58% here. if you base Snake off a constant Vivi, he's pretty damn strong, which makes me think Vivi overperformed on Seph even more. if he stays this strong, I'll be pretty shocked to see him go out to Bowser.

so much for complaining about the picture for two straight days, huh?

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http://picturesofwalls.com

And this is once again going to be a very boring match from the get-go.

Blargh.

[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]

Bowser would win against Zelda.
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb

[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]

And don't forget that Donkey Kong had well over 56% against Duck Hunt as late as 10:00AM.

Really, though, I think this one's over.
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"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.

Zelda was not in 2k2, and Bowser is beating Snake.
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb

It seems so. This is the last time we should ever consider a blowout on a character that's only shown up in one other contest to be worth something.

Edit: My brain somehow lost track of what I was typing... I think I need some sleep.
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Bowser isn't getting to Snake
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I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.

Bowser isn't getting to Snake

After ryu's piss poor performance, do you think he's still going to beat bowser? I'd call him a heavy underdog at best.
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sizeable percentage slice there...
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb

Well, Zelda just took almost a whole percent off Snake's lead there. Too bad his lead just got even larger, though. :/
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"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.

Yeah, lead still increased...


~RPGGamer~

little strokes did fell the great oak...
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb

to be fair to Zelda, Knuckles did gain 8% on Snake last year, and Zelda characters are Knuckles-esque with the day vote. this is most likely over, but Snake needs to build a nice lead that Zelda can't possibly overcome with the day vote.
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http://picturesofwalls.com

After ryu's piss poor performance, do you think he's still going to beat bowser? I'd call him a heavy underdog at best.

First of all how do you know Rikku isn't just strong she's a new character like Chun-Li

Second of all Tidus > Ryu > Bowser
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I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.

No, actually, it's not. The closer the percentages are to 50%, the smaller 1% actually is.

Wait, what?
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.

snake is one of the few non nintendo or square characters to have actual strength so it's good to see him winning against a nintendo character
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft

It's a start, anyway...we'll soon find out if it's an aberration or a sign of a heavy Snake board vote wearing off.
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ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO...Pac-Man?

Bowser was ahead of Ryu in 2k2 and 2k3, only in 2k4 was Ryu ever ahead of Bowser, due to SFAC.

This year, Ryu will most like revert back to his 2k2 or 2k3 numbers, and then lose to Bowser, who will then lose to Snake.

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Reserved for the winner of the SC2K5 Guru Challenge.

Bowser>ryu>kirby>tidus

>_> My kirby upset is looking possible at this point at least. Still rikku would have to be way too close to auron and tidus for ryu to beat a static 2k3 bowser that's probably stronger now. Well closer then I think she is.
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Percentage went down some more there. Vote gap just keeps on increasing, though...
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"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.

"Piss poor"? How much did you want Ryu to get? He only got 62% on KOS-MOS... I figured it'd be a given that Rikku >> KOS-MOS. His 55% didn't worry me a bit, I'm still confident in Ryu.

And Zelda's going to have to keep up her %age gains to convince me that she can pull a Master Chief. Say what you will about Chief's initial %, he telegraphed a comeback the whole time... his % just kept going up.

hey is this match ahead or behind of vivi/zelda?
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft

Bowser was ahead of Ryu in 2k2 and 2k3, only in 2k4 was Ryu ever ahead of Bowser, due to SFAC.

You shouldn't compare character from two different years, take a look at Zelda vs. Vivi and why would you think Ryu will go back to his regular numbers after he gain from a game.


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I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.

Umm, Bowser wasn't in 2k2, IIRC.
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The world is toroidal

No, actually, it's not. The closer the percentages are to 50%, the smaller 1% actually is.

Wait, what?

Consider this:

50% to 66.66% is 1:1 to 2:1
66.66% to 80% is 2:1 to 4:1
80% to 88.88% is 4:1 to 8:1

etc, etc. Snake got 94.3% on Tanner, and despite Link being 20% stronger than Snake, Link would only get 96.84% on Tanner. There's not much of a shift between 60-40 in either direction, it's once you get beyond that that it starts to really matter.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.

He only made it to round to. Couldn't he have overperformed on sonic for one reason or another? KOS-MOS didn't exactly look like her 2k4 projection was accurrate unless you think luigi = mario.
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Percentage went down some more there. Vote gap just keeps on increasing, though...

That's nothing to worry about, very few of us were expecting Snake to win with more than 55% anyway.

Zelda might make this match much closer with the day vote, but this match is already over.

---
Reserved for the winner of the SC2K5 Guru Challenge.

Round two*

My typos keep getting worse.
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Gah. Percentage bolted right up again. -_-
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"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.

That was a JUMP...hoo.
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I am preparing to change my sig just in case the time comes. Move along.

But I'm saying it's easier for Snake to drop when he's at a higher percentage.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.

well I'm off to bed
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I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.

i don't know what people are complaining about with the zelda picture. that's what zelda looks like. now the snake picture on the other hand....that's far from ideal for snake fans. it'll be interesting to see how this match plays out during the day.

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All my base are belong to Yoblazer, winner of the Guru Contest.

Okay, now if you make Vivi constant from his 2k4 level (even though he isn't), and assume that the percentage for this match will stay constant (though it won't), how strong is Snake? Humor me--nay, delude me, I say. I want to be deluded!
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I am preparing to change my sig just in case the time comes. Move along.

Zelda might make this match much closer with the day vote, but this match is already over.

no...it's not. I mean someone needs to at least raise the point again that this would be Snake's best time, bigger percentage comebacks have occurred, and the match isn't over until it actually is. I mean, I know it's been said fourteen million times, but, we can't have a whole page of it's over without at least a few, no it isn't's.
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb

i don't know what people are complaining about with the zelda picture. that's what zelda looks like. now the snake picture on the other hand....that's far from ideal for snake fans. it'll be interesting to see how this match plays out during the day.

LOZ fans tend to hate hate hate cartoony pictures after link lost to cloud with a WW pic.
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yeah, I could see the more "casual" votes being the ones that are cast in the daytime, as opposed to the people that rush to vote in the first 30 minutes. if there's going to be a picture effect, it'll happen in the day.
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http://picturesofwalls.com

more percentage slicing....
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb