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Summer 2005 Contest
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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 213
From: therealmnm | Posted: 8/23/2005 11:44:11 PM | Message Detail
http://oldskooled.keenspace.com/guest/guest_rhoads2.gif

Heh, I saw that when I was looking for a DD pic. XD moment ensued.
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MM are my INITIALS "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
From: Lopen | Posted: 8/23/2005 11:44:49 PM | Message Detail
The board/early vote is full of bracket voters, and Auron isn't greatly prefered to Ganon here. That's why Ganon took the early vote.
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Just look at the trends... unless it's CATS, the bracket favorite takes the very early lead.
From: therealmnm | Posted: 8/23/2005 11:45:25 PM | Message Detail
I meant everyone meaning Board 8 and all the rest of the message boards on the site. I'm sure we aren't the only active board during new poll time.
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MM are my INITIALS "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
From: Kaxon | Posted: 8/23/2005 11:46:15 PM | Message Detail
Zelda vs Snake has been my most anticipated match of the contest since before round 1 started. I like both characters, but I would really like to see Zelda pull this one out. There's just one thing that really worries me... for Zelda to beat Snake, Vivi has to be about equal to Knuckles... and by extention, Magus.

Come on Zelda, make this a match.
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Nominate Jay Solano for SC2k6
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/23/2005 11:47:21 PM | Message Detail
The board/early vote is full of bracket voters, and Auron isn't greatly prefered to Ganon here. That's why Ganon took the early vote.

Gannon also did castly better in the early vote against seph.

I meant everyone meaning Board 8 and all the rest of the message boards on the site. I'm sure we aren't the only active board during new poll time.

Most people outside the board wouldn't care that much, but I know what you mean. My only point is LOZ does extremely well at the start.
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From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/23/2005 11:47:35 PM | Message Detail
Vastly*
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From: transience | Posted: 8/23/2005 11:51:50 PM | Message Detail
I'll be pretty shocked if Zelda has more than a minimal lead in the first five minutes.
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http://picturesofwalls.com
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/23/2005 11:54:48 PM | Message Detail
First five minutes probably not, but in the first minute or two she'll pull out huge numbers. Probably around 55-60%
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From: sidharta | Posted: 8/23/2005 11:56:17 PM | Message Detail
First five minutes probably not, but in the first minute or two she'll pull out huge numbers. Probably around 55-60%

Yeah, just like what Ganon did yesterday.

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Reserved for the winner of the SC2K5 Guru Challenge.
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 8/23/2005 11:57:53 PM | Message Detail
So after 15 minutes I'm expecting Snake to have 55%+ of the votes since this will be his strongest time.
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I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/23/2005 11:58:10 PM | Message Detail
Gannon got about 65% in the first minute or so...
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From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 8/23/2005 11:58:51 PM | Message Detail
I never saw Zelda beating Ganondorf, but that's just me. I think it would play out in Bowser/Yoshi fashion, with a tinier edge to Zelda due to being titular.

*chuckles immaturely*

Heh, I actually wish CJay would go through a round one contest where no pictures were used, preferably the first-round. That'd be interesting to see; I would bet money Donkey Kong would beat Master Chief like that, for example.

No, no, no.

And go Zelda!!!

and nice post, slow.
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 8/23/2005 11:58:52 PM | Message Detail
that's because the board favors Ganon
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I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.
From: transience | Posted: 8/23/2005 11:59:10 PM | Message Detail
Ganon's first minute was a little weird thanks to the glitch, though.
From: greatone10 | Posted: 8/23/2005 11:59:39 PM | Message Detail
Actually Ganon did really bad in the first minute.
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BertTheOne | Can't hurt this Bert
Never eat a stoner. We have powers you havent even seen!
From: Zylo the wolf | Posted: 8/23/2005 11:59:45 PM | Message Detail
Just a few seconds left...
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When this happened, all of us got PWND by Smurf
http://www.freewebs.com/vgcg/Knuckles.jpg
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/23/2005 11:59:57 PM | Message Detail
A quick topic I made yesterday made the board's choice in characters apparent. Not many responses, but I'll dig it up in a second.
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From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:00:27 AM | Message Detail
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=23061749

There.
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From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:00:28 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake 46.84% 37
Zelda 53.16% 42
TOTAL VOTES 79
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:00:29 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake 37.93% 11
Zelda 62.07% 18
TOTAL VOTES 29


67.25%
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The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (0) Voters
From: transience | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:00:38 AM | Message Detail
wow, I had 15-7, Zelda.

Ganon with 67%.
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http://picturesofwalls.com
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:00:41 AM | Message Detail
Light that fire, Snake.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: greatone10 | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:00:52 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake 47.06% 24
Zelda 52.94% 27
TOTAL VOTES 51

Board favoring Zelda a bit here?
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BertTheOne | Can't hurt this Bert
Never eat a stoner. We have powers you havent even seen!
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:01:36 AM | Message Detail
It didn't last long, but she did get a small bit of starting support.
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From: transience | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:03:16 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake 56.89% 285
Zelda 43.11% 216
TOTAL VOTES 501

Snake's doing a number on Zelda here in the early going. this should be his best time, though.

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http://picturesofwalls.com
From: Kaxon | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:03:33 AM | Message Detail
Looks like Snake is still Noble.
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Nominate Jay Solano for SC2k6
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:03:55 AM | Message Detail
This appears to be over before it started unless zelda gets her ass in gear soon. Guess the noble nine won't be broken on this day.
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From: transience | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:05:02 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake 57.06% 404
Zelda 42.94% 304
TOTAL VOTES 708


100.

it's stupid to call this over. it's four minutes in.
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http://picturesofwalls.com
From: Lopen | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:05:09 AM | Message Detail
From: Dranze | Posted: 8/23/2005 4:20:29 PM | Message Detail

Snake with at least 55%.

These assumptions are really, really, almost delusional.


Do they look delusional now? I said it before, and I'll repeat it now. I'd be a bit surprised if Snake finished this with less than 55%
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From: Zylo the wolf | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:05:16 AM | Message Detail
Above 100 votes already.

Solid Snake is the winner!
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When this happened, all of us got PWND by Smurf
http://www.freewebs.com/vgcg/Knuckles.jpg
From: cavedog0 | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:05:20 AM | Message Detail
If Snake would lose to such a disgrace as Zelda, I... I don't know what I would do...
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"Chief, I smell ass and it's coming from your direction." - FFMrebirth
Go, Pack, Go!
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:05:23 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake 57.06% 404
Zelda 42.94% 304
TOTAL VOTES 708

Lead of 100.

Let's not call this match yet, but if Snake keeps this % until morning, I'd say it's over.
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The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (0) Voters
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:05:47 AM | Message Detail
told you this match was overhyped
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I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.
From: Phediuk | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:05:51 AM | Message Detail
Ouch. Talk about an anticlimax.
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"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:05:59 AM | Message Detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
37-----36-------86.1111111
36-----165------88.4848485
35-----943------89.0774125
34-----1901-----85.8495529
33-----2722-----84.4232182
32-----3440-----80.4941860
31-----3702-----75.9319287
30-----3666-----72.7495908
29-----3488-----71.4736239
28-----3151-----67.0898128
27-----2579-----59.4804188
26-----2012-----56.7594433
25-----1466-----51.4324693
24-----1172-----44.9658703
23-----932------38.7339056
22-----689------34.9782293
21-----445------29.8876404
20-----322------28.2608696
19-----229------24.4541485
18-----172------25.5813953
17-----115------12.1739130
16-----83-------19.2771084
15-----56-------7.1428571
14-----29-------10.3448276
13-----20-------15.0000000
12-----7--------14.2857143
11-----5--------20.0000000
10-----8--------0.0000000
9------9--------11.1111111

Everybody with a score of 8 or less got the match wrong. For what was supposed to be a close match, the top tiers were very one sided. High 80s in favor of Ganondorf. Spring Contest influence?

Only six people fell off the Top 50 today. J_A_C_K, blair_gilmore, Xsoldier50, Tenshigure, agutti and SupaTroopa1224 did not have Ganondorf winning.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:06:58 AM | Message Detail
I'm going to wait another update or two before calling the match overhyped. If zelda can get over 45% in the next two updates, then she might be able to salvage a close match out of the day vote. Still a 100 lead within five minutes doesn't look good.
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From: chaos knight | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:07:09 AM | Message Detail
So if Snake can keep this up, then I really feel sorry for Vivi. Ouch.
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[Player] A bunch of JP just trained me!
[GM] Well you're still here, so they obviously didn't do it right.
LBSJ
From: transience | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:07:53 AM | Message Detail
let me ask: Bowser or Zelda? and if Bowser, by a little or by a lot?
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http://picturesofwalls.com
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:08:13 AM | Message Detail
and this is why Snake is part of the Noble 9
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I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.
From: Lopen | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:08:37 AM | Message Detail
Yeah, always wait for an update or two... still, Zelda was the board favorite, it seems... so uh... this might just get uglier before the night vote is done.
From: Mac Arrowny | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:09:39 AM | Message Detail
Zelda: 2005-08-24 00:05:00 441 327 57.42% 42.58% 768 114
Knuckles: 2004-09-10 00:10:21 407 835 32.77% 67.23% 1242 428

Snake fell 8% against Knuckles. Will he do the same against Zelda?
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:10:34 AM | Message Detail
Knuckles is also king of the day vote, but she'll make it more respectable then this.
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From: RPGGamer0 | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:10:34 AM | Message Detail
He'll have 8% to spare.


~RPGGamer~
From: Lucid Faia | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:10:49 AM | Message Detail
Now up to nearly 200. Forget about it.

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2nd Place, Spring Contest 2005
World Champion: Gyruss, Link's Awakening, Mega Man X, Solstice, Super Mario World, Zombies Ate My Neighbors
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:11:01 AM | Message Detail
Almost 200

Anyone who still thinks this will be close is kidding themselves now.
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I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.
From: Phediuk | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:11:04 AM | Message Detail
200 vote lead in 10 minutes.

It's over. Better luck next time, Zelda. *cue Price is Right loss music*
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"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:11:10 AM | Message Detail
Lead of nearly 200?

...why did you all scare me like that? ;_;
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I am preparing to change my sig just in case the time comes. Move along.
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:11:28 AM | Message Detail
Snake fell 8% against Knuckles. Will he do the same against Zelda?

It'll be next to impossible if Snake keeps up this percentage. It's a lot easier to fall from 67% to 59% than it is from 57% to 49%.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: transience | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:11:56 AM | Message Detail
I don't think Zelda was even close to the board favourite. the people who have the underdog in their bracket always speak up in the hours leading up to the match - I actually thought Vivi was the board favourite based on all the pre-polls and board conversation and everything else. several people insisted that Auron was definitely the board favourite, too. same thing happened with Zelda.
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http://picturesofwalls.com
From: Mac Arrowny | Posted: 8/24/2005 12:12:15 AM | Message Detail
Knuckles is also king of the day vote, but she'll make it more respectable then this.

Knuckles nearly barely won the day vote against Magus, a CT character. I think his day-vote king status comes largely from facing Snake, who is ass with the day-vote.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
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