What do you mean at this rate it will be close by mourning? Dorf is gaining 240 votes every hour.

For about the last 30 minutes, he's gaining 10-20 votes per hour and seemingly getting lower every time. It won't be long before Auron comes very close to winning an update or actually does.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna

ganondorf won under 10 votes in the last update. auron is starting to show a small sign of decency
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft

Yuna's % went up during the day, which means either she started getting slightly more votes than she was per update, Ganondorf was getting slightly fewer votes, or a combination of the two.

If it was 50/50, and Yunauron (since I forgot which we were discussing >_>) started gaining more votes and Ganon started gaining fewer than he was, then Ganon would fall behind.
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The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (0) Voters

Even if you assume that it was 50-50 then, Ganon still gets more votes. I'm sorry, but I really don't understand what you mean.

If you're assuming the match was 50/50 at one point, Ganon obviously wouldn't be making such large gains. Assuming the match was 50/50, at the point Yuna's percentage began to increase significantly, her percentage in a 50/50 match would as well, meaning she would be drawing in a larger intake of the votes than she was before. It really has nothing to do with the lead at all. None whatsoever.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna

I want anyone to show me how Yuna would've won if it was 50-50 at ANY point in this. Please, go ahead.


The assumption is that we have a stronger Yuna, who has the same trends she does. She starts at 50%, ten minutes into the poll. She gains 8% over the next 4.5 hours, then loses 3% over the next 8 hours, gaining 1% of that back by the end, concluding the poll with 59%.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.

heh, so much for that, Leon.

447'D
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http://picturesofwalls.com

...Ganondorf sucks.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna

ganon made one hell of a spectacular surge in the last update.
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft

A part of me fears asking this, but why is Auron expected to be stronger with the day vote?
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.

He has a sword that he actually uses.
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The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (0) Voters

...Ganondorf sucks.

Ganon is the best character Nintendo has ever produced, good sir. Auron is one of Square's worst.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.

Because Yuna was, mostly. And because he wasn't over 70% against Big Boss until day time either.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna

How'd the day vote go in Tidus vs. Ganon? I don't remember that match too well.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.

Auron stiffs the government on casino taxes.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.

actually, I wonder: when does everyone consider to be "the day vote" and "the night vote"? I always assumed it was when people woke up (say, 10am EST) to evening (say, 7pm EST), and after that is the night vote.
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http://picturesofwalls.com

Ganon is the best character Nintendo has ever produced,

He isn't Meta-Knight.
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The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (0) Voters

Ganon is the best character Nintendo has ever produced, good sir. Auron is one of Square's worst.

*laughs uncontrollably*

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I know what I'm getting into, I don't care if I die trying!-Peppita Rossetti

A part of me fears asking this, but why is Auron expected to be stronger with the day vote?

He won't be strong enough with it for it to matter, but looking at Ganon's match against Yuna, Yuna gained a slightly higher percentage of the vote during the day than he did during the night vote (hope you guys that don't understand what we mean by winning the day vote catch note of that). It would only be natural to assume that Auron would follow suit, especially seeing him nab a slightly higher percentage of the vote during the day than he did during the night against Big Boss.
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MM are my INITIALS "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."

Ah...I think I get it. I was talking about a totally different concept; I was thinking that although we were assuming that Ganon - Yuna was at 50-50, we were keeping Ganon's rates of gaining the votes the same as if he weren't.

I'm sorry about that. ^_^;

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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.

anyone found it odd that when auron was diminishing ganondorf's percentage and reducing him to increasing his lead by under 10 votes ganon suddenly gains 40 votes
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft

How'd the day vote go in Tidus vs. Ganon? I don't remember that match too well.

http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/GanondorfvsTidus.txt
Keep in mind that this was a 2k3 match which means it started 2 hours earlier.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."

Well, Auron held him to a minimal gain again.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna

no, not at all. that's simply a voting anomaly. if anyone calls shenanigans on that, I'm laughing at them.

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http://picturesofwalls.com

anyone found it odd that when auron was diminishing ganondorf's percentage and reducing him to increasing his lead by under 10 votes ganon suddenly gains 40 votes

Yeah, WTF was that. Especially because the last update was normal.
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I need to put something here.

actually, I wonder: when does everyone consider to be "the day vote" and "the night vote"? I always assumed it was when people woke up (say, 10am EST) to evening (say, 7pm EST), and after that is the night vote.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but it goes something like this:

FIRST VOTE!!1 - 4:00 AM PST = First night vote
4:00 AM - 8:00 AM = Morning vote
8:00 AM - 6:00 PM = Day vote
6:00 PM - Mass refreshing for first vote = Second night vote
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The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (0) Voters

anyone found it odd that when auron was diminishing ganondorf's percentage and reducing him to increasing his lead by under 10 votes ganon suddenly gains 40 votes

Meh, Ganon didn't take in an unusual number of votes. Just a suck update for Auron that period.

It seems Tidus did better with the morning and the second night vote, while Ganondorf did better with the day vote. Regardless, at this point, Tidus had a higher percentage than Auron does, but he was actually behind by nearly 500 right now.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna

anyone found it odd that when auron was diminishing ganondorf's percentage and reducing him to increasing his lead by under 10 votes ganon suddenly gains 40 votes

Not at all. At a time like this, when we're only getting ~300 votes per update, it doesn't take much to cause a minor swing like that.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.

Just shy of 500.
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Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Master Zero

it looks like Ganon hit his lowest point on Tidus at 08:15 (actually 06:15, I guess?), which matches up to Ganon/Yuna. if those voting trends hold, Auron needs a lead before 6am or so PST.
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http://picturesofwalls.com

In other words, their matches are looking awfully similar for the first hour and a half. Only the lower vote totals make the percentage look bigger.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna

Well, as long as Ganon keeps minimally gaining on the lead, I'm happy. I don't see any huge vote swings for any Nintendo/Square matchups since both have characters that are relatively popular in all regions.
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MM are my INITIALS "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."

Also keep in mind that Tidus hasn't shown himself to be particularly strong with the day vote in past matches either, but he held his own against Ganon for the most part.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna

And Auron wins an update!
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna

AURON TOOK 2 VOTES BACK COMEBACK IMMINENT RUN FOR YOUR LIVES
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The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (0) Voters

Hurray! Auron won an update!

The only problem is that now I have to wait till the next update again. <_<
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I need to put something here.

Lets hope he keeps winning them. :)
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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.

auron's comeback is on
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft

great! at this pace, he'll be ahead in 20 hours!
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http://picturesofwalls.com

I'm kinda upset I missed the beginning of the poll because I fell asleep. So what happened? The match stayed at 0 votes for about 5-6 minutes?
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna

it must have been auron's secret strategy. deceive us,make us give up on him and now comeback
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft

there was a glitch in the matrix. basically, the poll had no options to vote for the first five minutes.
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http://picturesofwalls.com

I'm kinda upset I missed the beginning of the poll because I fell asleep. So what happened? The match stayed at 0 votes for about 5-6 minutes?

Yeah, that. And 500 topics about it being due to 2101AD...

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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.

it was CATS's work on poll 2101
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft

Yeah, I knew it was poll 2101.

And it's also Squall's birthday today! Hurray! Auron's gotta win one for the team now!
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna

So what happened? The match stayed at 0 votes for about 5-6 minutes?

Pretty much. Then around 3:04 or so it started up again, but it wasn't instant updates, and it froze there until 3:05 where it normally would. Both of these freezes were Ganon with ~65%.
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I need to put something here.

that's more like it. good boy, Ganon.
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http://picturesofwalls.com

Interesting.

Well, Ganondorf went up by 15 votes that time. I'm off to bed, and if Auron's not fighting for the lead by the time I wake up (around noonish), then I don't think he'll win.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna

that's more like it. good boy, Ganon.

...
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I know what I'm getting into, I don't care if I die trying!-Peppita Rossetti

Heh heh.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna