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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 211
From: SonicRaptor | Posted: 8/22/2005 10:22:33 AM | Message Detail
You know, Zero has always been a force in these contests. Always in the Top 15 or so...yet people still miss the ball with him. 51% had him getting past the second round this time (last year it was 35% or so having him beat Vercetti).
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Today's subliminal thought is:
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 8/22/2005 10:22:46 AM | Message Detail
I'd take Luigi over Frog in half a second, especially after what we've seen from the CT supporting crew.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: Lopen | Posted: 8/22/2005 10:24:53 AM | Message Detail
Don't blame me, I picked Protoman! Teach me to think the original Mega Mans accounted for more of Mega Man's popularity.
From: SonicRaptor | Posted: 8/22/2005 10:25:18 AM | Message Detail
I thought the same when I picked Wily over Ocelot a few months back.
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Today's subliminal thought is:
From: ExquisiteSamurai | Posted: 8/22/2005 10:27:24 AM | Message Detail
I'd take Luigi over Frog in half a second, especially after what we've seen from the CT supporting crew.

As will I

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"Life...Dreams...Hope...Where'd they come from? And where are they headed...? These things...I'm going to destroy!!" -Kefka
From: NewLib | Posted: 8/22/2005 10:28:48 AM | Message Detail
Especially with Luigi going all WEEGI TIME on KOS-MOS
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Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Gordon Freeman; 2. Mega Man
From: dethfdddddh | Posted: 8/22/2005 10:30:45 AM | Message Detail
How strong would X be, anyway?
From: NewLib | Posted: 8/22/2005 10:31:42 AM | Message Detail
X is already in the contest...
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Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Gordon Freeman; 2. Mega Man
From: SonicRaptor | Posted: 8/22/2005 10:32:24 AM | Message Detail
X and the original Mega Man are two different robots, but let's not get into this debate again.
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Today's subliminal thought is:
From: Lopen | Posted: 8/22/2005 10:36:55 AM | Message Detail
X would be virtually identical to Mega Man in strength, I'm positive of it. That's why I'm glad he's not in it, and I think it's a good ruling by CJay.
From: ExquisiteSamurai | Posted: 8/22/2005 10:38:25 AM | Message Detail
They are pretty much the same but I just wish CjayC would use MMX pics once in a while..!!!seriously!!

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"Life...Dreams...Hope...Where'd they come from? And where are they headed...? These things...I'm going to destroy!!" -Kefka
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 8/22/2005 10:39:43 AM | Message Detail
Indeed. If they're considered one and the same within the contest, at least use an occasional X pic.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: Lopen | Posted: 8/22/2005 10:42:32 AM | Message Detail
I'm not against that. I think we should see an X pic, too.
From: ExquisiteSamurai | Posted: 8/22/2005 10:43:45 AM | Message Detail
I am sure this has been mentioned before but I most likely missed it..

What are you percentage predictions on Tifa vs. Luigi?

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"Life...Dreams...Hope...Where'd they come from? And where are they headed...? These things...I'm going to destroy!!" -Kefka
From: lettuce Kefka | Posted: 8/22/2005 10:44:13 AM | Message Detail
Maybe no one nominates him as "X" or whatever. >_>
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Ahem! There's LETTUCE on my boots!
http://www.geocities.com/lettucekefka/
From: jonthomson | Posted: 8/22/2005 10:44:31 AM | Message Detail
From: ExquisiteSamurai | Posted: 8/22/2005 6:43:45 PM | #214
I am sure this has been mentioned before but I most likely missed it..

What are you percentage predictions on Tifa vs. Luigi?


60/40 to Tifa
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Jon Thomson - MARIO, Samus, SOLID SNAKE, Bowser, CRONO, Squall, Sonic, MEGA MAN
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/22/2005 10:46:21 AM | Message Detail
I'm not opposed to seein' X-pics...but NES Mega Man owns the hell out of any other Mega Man I know.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: lettuce Kefka | Posted: 8/22/2005 10:59:50 AM | Message Detail
Since it's believed Ganon over performed in the villains contest. What do you think the chances are he's on par with Magus this year?
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Ahem! There's LETTUCE on my boots!
http://www.geocities.com/lettucekefka/
From: ExquisiteSamurai | Posted: 8/22/2005 11:01:23 AM | Message Detail
He's not.. He's gotten quite stronger and with the beastly Nintendo popularity rising this year, he's quite ahead of Magus

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"Life...Dreams...Hope...Where'd they come from? And where are they headed...? These things...I'm going to destroy!!" -Kefka
From: lettuce Kefka | Posted: 8/22/2005 11:03:10 AM | Message Detail
Looking at it, I just thought I'd point out, using Alucards '02 level (Yes, I know this is inaccurate) and Ganon vs. Alucard, I got Ganon to be 26.49% on Link. Now, isn't this pretty much on par with what Magus is this year?

So, think could be good for Auron.
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Ahem! There's LETTUCE on my boots!
http://www.geocities.com/lettucekefka/
From: NewLib | Posted: 8/22/2005 11:05:49 AM | Message Detail
So why are you using Alucard's 2k2 numbers when Alucard's 2k3 numbers are perfectly fine and might actually have him underrated?
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Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Gordon Freeman; 2. Mega Man
From: Lopen | Posted: 8/22/2005 11:05:54 AM | Message Detail
I'm screwed either way if I go along with that, considering I also have Alucard > Sora.

But, just some food for thought. If you keep Yuna constant Ganondorf drops to 30.48% on 2k3 Link. I think this will be closer to his actual value than 35% or whatever the hell they have him at.
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 8/22/2005 11:57:38 AM | Message Detail
I don't believe Riku gets 28% on Samus. There's something wrong here...
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I know what I'm getting into, I don't care if I die trying!-Peppita Rossetti
From: Delirium Trigger | Posted: 8/22/2005 12:06:01 PM | Message Detail
The more time passes, the more I think the favorite (according to the board) will win every gauntlet match, and the only upset we'll see is DK > MC. Heh, it would make my day though, since I love that big ugly ape.

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Explicit Content.
Cheer Up Emo Kids.
From: ExquisiteSamurai | Posted: 8/22/2005 12:06:53 PM | Message Detail
I would also love to see DK > MC

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"Life...Dreams...Hope...Where'd they come from? And where are they headed...? These things...I'm going to destroy!!" -Kefka
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/22/2005 12:16:33 PM | Message Detail
I won't be mad to see DK get to face Crono instead of MC...but I'd rather see MC than DK advance.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: voltch | Posted: 8/22/2005 12:17:37 PM | Message Detail
i wonder how fast the stats topic will fill up during the gauntlet?
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/22/2005 12:18:59 PM | Message Detail
Far too fast for a college-guy like me; Solid/Zelda is the same day classes start for me. Thank God I have an easier schedule than I should this semester, heh.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: voltch | Posted: 8/22/2005 12:23:52 PM | Message Detail
i start school 3 of september thus i can watch all of the gauntlet.
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 8/22/2005 12:24:44 PM | Message Detail
I start next week. Only two days of class a week, so I really shouldn't miss anything.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: BeTheMan | Posted: 8/22/2005 12:26:16 PM | Message Detail
Not sure how my school came up with this one, but I've got another three weeks until the start of the semester...looks like I'll be lurking around here for a while.
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ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO...Pac-Man?
From: ExquisiteSamurai | Posted: 8/22/2005 12:35:55 PM | Message Detail
I started today already and so I am going to miss quite a bit of the guantlet.. =(

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"Life...Dreams...Hope...Where'd they come from? And where are they headed...? These things...I'm going to destroy!!" -Kefka
From: meche313 | Posted: 8/22/2005 12:40:46 PM | Message Detail
I started since August 11th, so I have miss quite a bit matches. Not that it matters a lot, I just missed the beginning of them.
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That's right. Cloud N. Candy would get a NEGATIVE percentage, and RPGuy's extrapolated calculator would crash. - therealmnm
From: Heroic Knuckles | Posted: 8/22/2005 12:43:29 PM | Message Detail
From: ExquisiteSamurai | Posted: 8/22/2005 4:35:55 PM | Message Detail
I started today already and so I am going to miss quite a bit of the guantlet.. =(

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58th/125 in the Guru Standings. Why did I pick Kratos? *sigh*
From: Brett with Atreyu | Posted: 8/22/2005 12:43:37 PM | Message Detail
After this match, using unadjusted Frog, Samus beats is 48% in the stats.

Using adjusted Frog, Samus is at 53%.

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Magus screwed my bracket over. Yay!
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 8/22/2005 12:47:02 PM | Message Detail
After hitting 70.7ish, Samus is down to 70.5. Not a big deal, but still, it''s not exactly dark outside...
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb
From: Mister Mario | Posted: 8/22/2005 12:49:30 PM | Message Detail
New Factor time...

I bring thee the F?MLFF.

Frog? More Like Fraud Factor.

It's the opposite of the MFF.

ANY TAKERS?!
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Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Master Zero
From: Gooper Blooper | Posted: 8/22/2005 1:04:09 PM | Message Detail
I start school on Alucard/Sora, but I'll still be here. Just not as often.
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Chun-Li > Bowser book it - lol_internet
Vote for Kirby in SC2K5!
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 8/22/2005 1:22:36 PM | Message Detail
Alright, just got home, so I have some comments to make.

First, about yesterday, WTF @ Zero's percentage? 54%? After 2 years of doing good (48% on Sonic and 43% on Mega Man), Zero STILL can't the Round 3 bracket support? Hell, he only had 70% getting past Hayabusa. I wonder why is that...people really thought Lloyd/Wesker was going to take down Zero/Ryu?

And BOOYAH! at Samus's percentage today. Over 70% and rising. I told you guys that Frog would be exposed for the weak bastard he is. Liquid proved he was overrated, Chief proved he was overrated, and now Frog gets his ass kicked. This is good to see from my winner. Only thing that worries me now is Snake. I'm guessing a Frog overperformance (because of the sprite) with a Snake underperformance (Solid ****). Still doesn't make me confident for his match with Zelda.

And this DOES make Sora > Alucard look good, though I have been pretty confident in it for a while.
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SC2K5: Samus is going all the way!
Samus vs. Frog - Bracket: Samus - Vote: Samus (32/36)
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 8/22/2005 1:25:50 PM | Message Detail
Does this mean Sora > Snake? Frog is getting 30% on Samus, when he got 48% on Snake. Sora got 34% on Samus.
If Snake gets past Zelda, he's going down to Sora!

>_>
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I know what I'm getting into, I don't care if I die trying!-Peppita Rossetti
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/22/2005 1:29:01 PM | Message Detail
No, Snake will still beat Sora when they face off.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: voltch | Posted: 8/22/2005 1:32:50 PM | Message Detail
well i think this match sort of proves match pics are influential. i can't see samus cripling snake to nothingness
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: BeTheMan | Posted: 8/22/2005 1:33:59 PM | Message Detail
Eh...depends what you mean by crippling. Samus would be somewhere in the low to mid 60's on Snake.
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ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO...Pac-Man?
From: Zylo the wolf | Posted: 8/22/2005 1:35:02 PM | Message Detail
Correction. Alucard will beat Sora than win over Solid Snake because Solid Snake will get the Solid ****** pic and Alucard will get his Sotn pic.

He then losses to the winner in of the Dream Division.
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When this happened, all of us got PWND by Smurf
http://www.freewebs.com/vgcg/Knuckles.jpg
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/22/2005 1:35:25 PM | Message Detail
Well, Samus got 57%+ on Sonic. She'd get 60% on Snake easily.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: MegatokyoEd | Posted: 8/22/2005 1:35:48 PM | Message Detail
Alucard won't be able to win over Snake since he's losing to Zelda in 2 days.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/22/2005 1:35:57 PM | Message Detail
And last I checked, Alucard's SotN picture looked like absolute trash, too.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 8/22/2005 1:39:23 PM | Message Detail
Well, I'm not pleased in the slightest by this outcome.

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To the man whose spirit was so free it was bothersome... Kurosaki Ichigo, my sword has been broken by your freedom of spirit.
From: Brainstruck | Posted: 8/22/2005 1:40:00 PM | Message Detail
Why not?
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Speak of Galcian again in that tone and I shall cleave you in two
- Ramirez, Skies of Arcadia
From: Mister Mario | Posted: 8/22/2005 1:41:02 PM | Message Detail
Solid Snake will get the Solid ****** pic and Alucard will get his Sotn pic

This would be the best and worst match picture ever, at the same time.
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Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Master Zero
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