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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 208
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 8/19/2005 8:16:49 AM | Message Detail
Luigi is alot like DK and Pac-Man many people will vote for you, but if he's against some one else you know/like people will abandon you.

Oh, so the site doesn't know who Ocelot, Kefka, Vercetti, and Ryu are, but they know who Sam Fisher and Scorpion are? Hmph.
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"It shall be engraved upon your soul! Divine Assault: Nibelung Valesti!" ~ Lenneth Valkyrie
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/19/2005 8:17:36 AM | Message Detail
Luigi is a bit different from DK and Pac-Man anyway. He does have a lot of hardcore fans (myself included).
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/19/2005 8:18:39 AM | Message Detail
Also, does anyone think this might be another match where the board underdog is the bracket favorite? Pac-Man's been in this situation before.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: Zaphod H | Posted: 8/19/2005 8:27:32 AM | Message Detail
Wouldn't be surprised if Pac-Man was the bracket favourite.

The reason I picked Revolver was because his Spring Contest performance was still fresh in my mind, heh. Otherwise I might've gone w/ Pac-Man.
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SSBM. Rock rock on!
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/19/2005 8:28:27 AM | Message Detail
Oh, and at this point, Ocelot's performance puts Bowser below Ryu's 2004 number, for what it's worth. That match still looks to be up in the air.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: Zylo the wolf | Posted: 8/19/2005 8:29:42 AM | Message Detail
Even if I will vote for Ryu, I think Bowser will take it. The other Mario characters looks stronger tha never and I can't see Rikku being close to Bowser's strength.
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When this happened, all of us got PWND by Smurf
http://www.freewebs.com/vgcg/Knuckles.jpg
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 8/19/2005 8:30:18 AM | Message Detail
I can't see Rikku being close to Bowser's strength.

I can!
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I know what I'm getting into, I don't care if I die trying!-Peppita Rossetti
From: Zaphod H | Posted: 8/19/2005 8:33:55 AM | Message Detail
So for the record, you guys use SFF adjusted 2k4 and Sp 2k5 stats for calculations?
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SSBM. Rock rock on!
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/19/2005 8:36:31 AM | Message Detail
Well, I was basing Ocelot off of 2003 Pac-Man, actually, not Sp2K5. I don't trust the Spring Contest values enough to use them in serious calculations. Plus, it was more just FYI than anything else. I don't think this is a harbinger of Bowser's doom or anything, but it doesn't make him look any better.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/19/2005 8:38:31 AM | Message Detail
Ocelot just took 20 off of the lead in the last update. Let's see if he's showing the signs of a comeback now.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: Slowflake | Posted: 8/19/2005 8:38:58 AM | Message Detail
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 8/19/2005 11:30:18 AM | #257
I can't see Rikku being close to Bowser's strength.

I can!


You can see Rikku beating Link, so that point is absolutely worthless.
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"You can't have gone over a kilometer up. 1500 meters, tops." -Samus Aran
"I'll express my love to you slowly, later." -Setzer Gabbiani
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 8/19/2005 8:39:03 AM | Message Detail
RPGuy makes some very convincing arguments that I desperately hope are true. Luigi 4 Life.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/19/2005 8:40:29 AM | Message Detail
And now it looks like it was just a fluke.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: Slowflake | Posted: 8/19/2005 8:42:27 AM | Message Detail
Funny. I just made some quick calculations, and it seems that to the board this match is the second biggest upset of all time. I always felt the BOP consensuses were way too big, but damn, two upsets bigger than Starcraft over Wind Waker...
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"You can't have gone over a kilometer up. 1500 meters, tops." -Samus Aran
"I'll express my love to you slowly, later." -Setzer Gabbiani
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/19/2005 8:43:44 AM | Message Detail
I'm surprised that more people didn't really expect it to be close enough for Pac-Man to win. I thought, even before the contest, that Ocelot would get 55% max.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 8/19/2005 8:48:56 AM | Message Detail
I thought it'd be close... but I just went with my gut, and the hand gesture. Seemed to screw me over. I keep hoping Ocelot can come back, no matter how much I know he can't after his pathetic night performance.

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~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 8/19/2005 8:50:50 AM | Message Detail
Yah I knew this was going to be close, but I used Ocelot > Kefka logic to put Ocelot over Pac-Man.
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I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.
From: LeonhartForever | Posted: 8/19/2005 8:59:14 AM | Message Detail
Well, hope isn't completely lost for Ocelot. He's not looking good, but he's not quite in no man's land yet.

And huzzah! I'm one step closer to unlimited posting with this account!
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It's just not the same without this name.
Faithful supporter of Squall Leonhart in SC2K5
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 8/19/2005 8:59:44 AM | Message Detail
Could this be Ocelot's stand? For my sake I hope so. Find out in less than a minute!

If that's not compelling, I don't know what is.

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~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: LeonhartForever | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:00:27 AM | Message Detail
And then Pac-Man makes a big jump.
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It's just not the same without this name.
Faithful supporter of Squall Leonhart in SC2K5
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:00:38 AM | Message Detail
Wow... three updates of relative stalls and then a 56 vote surge.

****.

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~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:01:09 AM | Message Detail
Could this be Ocelot's stand? For my sake I hope so. Find out in less than a minute!

Nope
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I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:05:34 AM | Message Detail
WELL THANK YOU VERY MUCH MR. BLUNTY MCBLUNT BLUNT.

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~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: LeonhartForever | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:05:53 AM | Message Detail
Pac-Man looks like he's really starting to take off now.
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It's just not the same without this name.
Faithful supporter of Squall Leonhart in SC2K5
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:06:27 AM | Message Detail
Yeah, he just nailed another 50 vote gainer...

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~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: jonthomson | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:07:03 AM | Message Detail
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 8/19/2005 3:26:43 PM | #229
So now we've seen Bowser, Yoshi, Luigi, and Pac-Man all do better than expected and you guys still think Luigi *overperformed* on Pac-Man? What will it take for you guys to give Luigi some credit?

Bowser did more or less what I expected. Yoshi did more or less what I expected. Luigi did a bit better coupled with what I expected to be a significant drop for KOS-MOS. I always thought this would be close and Pac-Man had a chance. Luigi will get some credit if he pulls 40% against Tifa.
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Jon Thomson - MARIO, Samus, SOLID SNAKE, Bowser, CRONO, Squall, Sonic, MEGA MAN
From: Aprosenf | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:08:53 AM | Message Detail
Wow, what a first round. I woke up, voted for Pac-Man, was once again shocked at the result. What surprises me even more, though, is that you guys have only ran through like 300-350 posts since the poll began. I was expecting at LEAST two full topics once I saw the poll results.

And I've never lost so many points in the first round (4), yet I still feel really confident in most of the rest of my bracket (everything except for Squall > Vincent and Sonic > Tifa).
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For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:09:40 AM | Message Detail
It's because this is the most boring "close" match ever.

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~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: Zaphod H | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:12:04 AM | Message Detail
So hypothetically speaking, Vyse pretty much has to have dropped unless Tifa wins the main bracket right?
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SSBM. Rock rock on!
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:12:19 AM | Message Detail
And Ocelot takes a 30 vote bite out of crime.

These are some weird voting patterns.

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~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:12:45 AM | Message Detail
True this topic will be buring like mad if Ocelot decides say to make a comeback, but he most likely won't until the night vote and that will be too late.
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I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:13:38 AM | Message Detail
So hypothetically speaking, Vyse pretty much has to have dropped unless Tifa wins the main bracket right?

Not technically.... it's thought of by many that once you get a high end character like that, and more or less Fodder, things can get a little wacky. I think he dropped, but not massively.

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~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:13:43 AM | Message Detail
She'll either at least make it to the finals, or the voting trends simply won't be transitive if he didn't.
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"i started playing mario brothers as luigi and threw the controller down in disgust in the middle of the game because he lacked character"--gokujont
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:14:48 AM | Message Detail
What surprises me even more, though, is that you guys have only ran through like 300-350 posts since the poll began. I was expecting at LEAST two full topics once I saw the poll results.

I'm guessing it's a combination of a rather boring close match and the fact that most people's brackets are already dead.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:15:20 AM | Message Detail
You're dead to me yo, dead.

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~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:16:11 AM | Message Detail
Oh what the holy bramble mittens, another 40 votes for Pac... these trends are annoying the hell out of me.

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~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:17:39 AM | Message Detail
It's also just not that important to most of the people in this topic--unlike Knux/Magus, which not only was a huge bracket breaker, but contradicted two years of Magus Noble Nine Contendership hopes.

...I really hate to see what the X-Stats are going to look like when all is said and done. Though at least there isn't the massive SFF anymore.
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"i started playing mario brothers as luigi and threw the controller down in disgust in the middle of the game because he lacked character"--gokujont
From: Kyle Bowen | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:19:01 AM | Message Detail
Hell, even if I lose this match I am still alive as far as my bracket is concerned.

But still this is a boring close match.

^_^


KB
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:19:56 AM | Message Detail
Now watch as Mario rSSF's Samus to win with 55% of the vote and beats Sonic in the finals with 52%. Madness, I tell ya.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: Zaphod H | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:20:19 AM | Message Detail
So assuming the premise of transitivity between years and matches still hold, anyone that beats Tifa will be a favourite?

Just thought it'll be interesting if say, Tifa loses to Sonic, and the Sonic loses to MM, etc; up to the point where if Vyse didn't drop, you'd have MM above Sephy or something like that.
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SSBM. Rock rock on!
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:20:48 AM | Message Detail
Then watch me fly to California and make babies with you.

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~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:21:44 AM | Message Detail
Well I still think Tifa will go down to Sonic, who will then go down to MM.... so yeah, Vyse dropped.

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~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:21:46 AM | Message Detail
With what we've seen now, if Sonic/Mega Man beats Tifa, Vyse would have HAD to drop--a lot, unless, of course, we take that pesky transitivity into account again.
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"i started playing mario brothers as luigi and threw the controller down in disgust in the middle of the game because he lacked character"--gokujont
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:22:43 AM | Message Detail
And 30 more votes for Pac. **** you 5 minute updates.

Well I've had enough of this, be back later to see Pac dominating some more.

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~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:25:40 AM | Message Detail
It's safely to say that the Pac-Man curse is gone.
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I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.
From: jonthomson | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:26:52 AM | Message Detail
Vyse will have dropped, book it. Apart from a few rabid fans which any character will have, his casual support (and that from the likes of Laharl, KOS-MOS et al) will have moved on to the RPG flavour of the month, which is seemingly that one Lloyd's in, whatever it's called.
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Jon Thomson - MARIO, Samus, SOLID SNAKE, Bowser, CRONO, Squall, Sonic, MEGA MAN
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:27:21 AM | Message Detail
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 8/19/2005 10:26:43 AM | Message Detail | #229
So now we've seen Bowser, Yoshi, Luigi, and Pac-Man all do better than expected and you guys still think Luigi *overperformed* on Pac-Man? What will it take for you guys to give Luigi some credit?


Guy, haven't you noticed that people are going to say whatever they have to to make sure that the stats make sense during every match in which the stats are proven to be ****ed up? After all, Ocelot not doing well today makes it obvious that Bowser and Ganon overperformed in every single one of their matches in the Spring and that Luigi SFFd Pac Man despite not being from the same company or on the same system!

Obvious SFF, just like Link vs Mega Man! And when Bowser and Ganon proceed to rip through their opponents, these people are all going to turn around and act like there were hidden signs all over the stats that made it clear from the beginning.




lol, x-stats

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
"If my fate is to be destroyed... I must simply laugh!" -Magus
From: shadow8021 | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:30:21 AM | Message Detail
Pac-Man's first victim since Kyo Kusanagi.
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Summer Contest Score: 29/31
Today's Pick: Revolver Ocelot
From: jonthomson | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:30:30 AM | Message Detail
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 8/19/2005 5:27:21 PM | #297
Luigi SFFd Pac Man despite not being from the same company or on the same system!

Pac-Man came out on the NES :-)

Just looked at the next couple of match pics. Kirby vs. Pac-Man in this format could have been quite amusing.
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Jon Thomson - MARIO, Samus, SOLID SNAKE, Bowser, CRONO, Squall, Sonic, MEGA MAN
From: Slowflake | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:31:36 AM | Message Detail
Ulti, that act wasn't funny the first time, it wasn't funny the 50th time, and it won't be funny the 765th time.
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"You can't have gone over a kilometer up. 1500 meters, tops." -Samus Aran
"I'll express my love to you slowly, later." -Setzer Gabbiani
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