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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 205
From: Mister Mario | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:02:16 AM | Message Detail
HE GOT THE 66%! HE GOT IT! BLESS THE POOR LAMB, HE GOT IT!

Luigi 66% 70232
KOS-MOS 34% 36187
TOTAL VOTES 106419

woo
---
Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Master Ness
From: Phediuk | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:02:17 AM | Message Detail
Yeah, I noticed that it ended right on 66%, too.

One of these days, we'll get a poll that's exactly a doubling. One of these days...
---
"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:02:17 AM | Message Detail
It's been 2 minutes MM
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I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.
From: Sir Bormun | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:02:43 AM | Message Detail
Ulti, I'll volunteer for writing. Preference would be Auron vs. Ganon, if each person is doing one match, but I don't really care.
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I can't think of anything to put here, but I can't just leave it blank, can I?
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:03:11 AM | Message Detail
It's been 2 minutes MM

I said imminent. Or impending. I'm not sure which word I meant to use.
---
"All pretty girls are a trap, a pretty trap, and men expect them to be."
MasterMage119
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:03:31 AM | Message Detail
YAY! KOS-MOS got 34%! Stupid Luigi! Go be eaten by a ghost!
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I know what I'm getting into, I don't care if I die trying!-Peppita Rossetti
From: LordOfDabu | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:03:32 AM | Message Detail
I think Mega Man's picture will hurt him a bit as the day goes on.

Why can't we get an X picture sometime?
---
.nS) quote of the week:
"I don't know how to work the machine. I just act like I know what I'm doing, and people tip me." - syst
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:03:55 AM | Message Detail
Oh, they both mean the same thing. God I'm tired...
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"All pretty girls are a trap, a pretty trap, and men expect them to be."
MasterMage119
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:04:40 AM | Message Detail
Aeris/Sora was very close to an exact doubling, if I recall correctly.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:04:55 AM | Message Detail
Why can't we get an X picture sometime?

Despite what CJayC says they are different characters.

>_>
---
I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:05:03 AM | Message Detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
27-----17-------94.1176471
26-----183------95.6284153
25-----1263-----95.2494062
24-----2977-----94.6254619
23-----4642-----93.9034899
22-----5541-----91.4816820
21-----5432-----86.7083947
20-----4446-----85.0202429
19-----3375-----80.2666667
18-----2261-----75.0110571
17-----1456-----68.2692308
16-----905------58.4530387
15-----473------57.2938689
14-----277------44.7653430
13-----157------38.2165605
12-----77-------37.6623377
11-----51-------39.2156863
10------10------30.0000000
9------5--------20.0000000
8------7--------0.0000000
7------15-------13.3333333
6------30-------10.0000000
5------36-------8.3333333
4------54-------0.0000000
3------56-------8.9285714
2------44-------2.2727273
1------3--------0.0000000

Very nice performance considering there opponents were supposed to be statistically equal.

Only one person fell off the Top 50 today. whybanme had KOS-MOS beating Luigi.
---
"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
From: Phediuk | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:05:08 AM | Message Detail
A bad picture doesn't mean a goddamn thing for MM. He doesn't have recognizability issues.
---
"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:05:36 AM | Message Detail
I think Mega Man's picture will hurt him a bit as the day goes on.

Why am I one of the few people who think Conker looks a lot worse? Mega Man looks like Mega Man. Conker looks hideous. As Slowflake put it, he looks like he's in decomposition.
---
Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: Sir Bormun | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:05:47 AM | Message Detail
Hmm, as I expected, MM is performing better than what was indicated by the ole' X-Stats.

I wonder when the first "Mega Man will beat Crono cause he's doing better against Conker than he did!" post will occur?
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I can't think of anything to put here, but I can't just leave it blank, can I?
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:06:15 AM | Message Detail
Conker looks stoned.
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The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (0) Voters
From: LordOfDabu | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:06:38 AM | Message Detail
Picture voting doesn't necessarily have anything to do with how recognizable the character is.
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.nS) quote of the week:
"I don't know how to work the machine. I just act like I know what I'm doing, and people tip me." - syst
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:06:55 AM | Message Detail
The updater kicks in as Mega is right under 81%

What crazy call will I make tonight?

MMX > Sonic/Tifa/Luigi........./Diablo

CONSIDER IT BOOK'D!
---
Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Mega Man vs. Conker - Bracket: Megai - Vote: Mega (25/28)
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:07:26 AM | Message Detail
After seeing so many "impressive losers" on the top half of the bracket, the bottom half has been pretty much the opposite of that. So far only CATS and Jin have really qualified as "impressive losers."
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: Lopen | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:07:26 AM | Message Detail
From: Lopen | Posted: 8/15/2005 11:15:41 PM | Message Detail
Mega Man will reach 80% tomorrow, I've foreseen it. You guys are ignoring the MMIASUFKF. This will put Mega Man over the threshold, regardless of where he is in relation to Crono.


Will Lopen go 4 for 4 with his absurd percentage predictions? Lets hope so, tonight! Actually, I'm not so sure how absurd this is... but it's a good 5% higher than most of this topic was predicting so I'm good with it.
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Raiden fact of the post: Raiden alone knows that the day vote cannot possibly help Conker.
From: Sir Bormun | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:07:27 AM | Message Detail
If I were voting based on picture, though, my thoughts on this pic would be "Bleh, they both suck". So... nah, I don't see it.
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I can't think of anything to put here, but I can't just leave it blank, can I?
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:07:46 AM | Message Detail
Oh, and Kratos Aurion, too.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: Mac Arrowny | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:09:07 AM | Message Detail
Conker should've gone up, thanks to L&R. I wouldn't be surprised to see him at the level of Vyse 2k4 in the XS.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:09:19 AM | Message Detail
HaRRicH - Mario vs Ness
therealmnm - Zero vs Lloyd
NewLib - Samus vs Frog
MM119 - Ganondorf vs Auron
Phediuk - Solid Snake vs Zelda
**OPEN** - Alucard vs Sora
Leonhart4 - Kirby vs Tidus
Phediuk or HaRRicH - Bowser vs Ryu

I saw three people talk about Bowser/Ryu, but therealmnm never said that he wanted it outright. MM119 claimed Ganon/Auron before Bormun did.

Did I miss anything? And no one wants a potentially great match in Alucard/Sora? :(

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
"If my fate is to be destroyed... I must simply laugh!" -Magus
From: therealmnm | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:10:40 AM | Message Detail
I WANT Bowser/Ryu... I thought Harrich conceded it.... Meh.
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MM are my INITIALS "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:10:56 AM | Message Detail
I'll take Alucard vs Sora also.
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"All pretty girls are a trap, a pretty trap, and men expect them to be."
MasterMage119
From: Sir Bormun | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:11:06 AM | Message Detail
Hypothesis of mine regarding a boost for Conker...

Just because a fodder character has a new game out does not mean that the fodder character will necessarily increase. Usually, in fact, it won't help much. I'm looking at you, Fisher.
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I can't think of anything to put here, but I can't just leave it blank, can I?
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:11:25 AM | Message Detail
Eh, Live & Reloaded didn't really sell all that well. I don't know that he'd actually increase from it. If anyone below the fodder line were to benefit from a new release and jump above it, it would be Jak, as his series has sold pretty well all around and he had a new game last year. Of course, we won't know if he did since he didn't make it back.

And I think Conker's picture looks pretty good, mostly because of how ridiculously detailed it looks.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:11:27 AM | Message Detail
MM goes up a bit. I don't think he'll hold this overnight. I'm predicting he'll fall into the upper 70's by morning.

Peace.
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Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Mega Man vs. Conker - Bracket: Megai - Vote: Mega (25/28)
From: Heroic_Cable | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:11:27 AM | Message Detail
Conker's fanbase is too cult to be boosted by any game, if he got more votes it would be from Xbox owners and this isen't much of an Xbox freindly site.
From: Sir Bormun | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:11:46 AM | Message Detail
Can I have Alucard vs. Sora, then, if MM's got the other one?
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I can't think of anything to put here, but I can't just leave it blank, can I?
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:11:57 AM | Message Detail
Oh and by the way, I don't care if more than one person does a writeup. If five guys feel like doing their own writeup for Bowser/Ryu, by all means, knock yourselves out and e-mail away. The more the merrier, and given that people are apt to forget to write, it may be better to do it that way regardless. All I care about is getting the matches covered.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
"If my fate is to be destroyed... I must simply laugh!" -Magus
From: NewLib | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:12:59 AM | Message Detail
Why arent people freaking out like they were with Tifa. Mega Man is projected to completely backhand Sephiroth with these numbers.
---
Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Tripling Gordon Freeman.
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:12:59 AM | Message Detail
I'd do Alucard/Sora if I knew much about either of them...but I don't, so meh. I'm cool with doin' Bowser/Ryu, but if somebody else (like Phediuk or therealmnm, for example) wants to do it, I'll back out. College will be starting right around that time for me,and that match could be a big one.
---
Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:13:16 AM | Message Detail
Can I have Alucard vs. Sora, then, if MM's got the other one?

Yeah, give it to Bormun then.
---
"All pretty girls are a trap, a pretty trap, and men expect them to be."
MasterMage119
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:13:27 AM | Message Detail
...that last post of mine really made having signups ****ing pointless, didn't it? =p

Yeah, write for whatever you want. Just try to work something out to get all the matches covered is all I ask.

(Now watch me get like 50 people all writing for each match now that I've said this.)

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
"If my fate is to be destroyed... I must simply laugh!" -Magus
From: Mac Arrowny | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:13:44 AM | Message Detail
Eh, Live & Reloaded didn't really sell all that well. I don't know that he'd actually increase from it. If anyone below the fodder line were to benefit from a new release and jump above it, it would be Jak, as his series has sold pretty well all around and he had a new game last year. Of course, we won't know if he did since he didn't make it back.


I dunno, it's not selling badly. On a level with Devil May Cry 2 and Castlevania: Symphony of the Night, IIRC.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:13:55 AM | Message Detail
If anyone below the fodder line were to benefit from a new release and jump above it, it would be Jak, as his series has sold pretty well all around and he had a new game last year.

But Jak is above the VFL.

And Mario/Mega Man would probably be the third best final we could have, in my opinion. Behind Mario/Sonic, and Mario/Crono, of course.
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"It shall be engraved upon your soul! Divine Assault: Nibelung Valesti!" ~ Lenneth Valkyrie
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:14:37 AM | Message Detail
Okay, I'm just taking Ganondorf vs Auron. If anyone else writes for it, I will PERSONALLY beat you with a stick.
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"All pretty girls are a trap, a pretty trap, and men expect them to be."
MasterMage119
From: BeTheMan | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:15:00 AM | Message Detail
We're going to have to wait a while to see if Conker's going to benefit from the X-Box day vote.
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ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO...Pac-Man?
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:15:01 AM | Message Detail
Why arent people freaking out like they were with Tifa. Mega Man is projected to completely backhand Sephiroth with these numbers.

Because Tifa is FF7...... and she finished like that too. It's only 15 minutes in. If MM stays here, although I doubt it, I'll be happy. And for the record, I don't think Tifa will take out Sonic.

---
~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:15:02 AM | Message Detail
Bah, I forgot about Jak being above the line in the adjusted stats. My bad.
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:15:41 AM | Message Detail
Oh, and Mega Man is CLEARLY getting Platformer SFF.

Clearly.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: NewLib | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:16:05 AM | Message Detail
No people were freaking out 5 minutes into the match with Vyse.
---
Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Tripling Gordon Freeman.
From: Lopen | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:19:48 AM | Message Detail
This topic is chock full of FF7 marks, I've come to this conclusion after Vincent/Kerrigan and later, Tifa/Vyse.

But I wouldn't take this seriously even if Mega Man does keep this %age (I think he will, for the record). Mega Man annihilates fodder like it's his job. Even though if it is to be taken seriously, I'm all about it, considering I have Mega > Crono in my bracket.
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Raiden fact of the post: I'm tired, Raiden is too. Those are enough facts, really.
From: NewLib | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:20:25 AM | Message Detail
Yeah, this topic needs more Zelda marks like me ;_;
---
Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Tripling Gordon Freeman.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:21:24 AM | Message Detail
Heroic Mario would probably kick himself if Mega Man won the main bracket a year later and he didn't pick him.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: chaos knight | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:22:19 AM | Message Detail
So can Mega Man possibly end up quadrupling Conker when many expected that he would just barely triple him at most?

This whole contest so far has been ****ing insane.
---
[Player] A bunch of JP just trained me!
[GM] Well you're still here, so they obviously didn't do it right.
LBSJ
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:23:16 AM | Message Detail
Conker will surely gain some back during the day; with him having a new game on another system in a different generation of systems and having a different selling point than the original, that had to make for SOME kind of increase, despite not-so-great sales for now.

What I wonder is how Mega Man can do it IIFF he finishes like this; no matter what reasonable projection you make, Conker's supposed to do no worse than 22.74%...and that's against an adjusted Mega Man (where many signs say he shouldn't be adjusted) and being without C:L&R. I doubt Conker dropped, and I think he gained a lil'...so, in my mind, either Conker will gain a good amount by the end of the match or Mega Man somehow gained strength.
---
Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:24:10 AM | Message Detail
And for the record, Crono had 79.5% on Conker right now.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 8/16/2005 12:24:34 AM | Message Detail
Or, DUN DUN DUN, the stats can't predict the percentages that accurately.

And yes, I will say this EVERY day that a match is far off the mark.
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"All pretty girls are a trap, a pretty trap, and men expect them to be."
MasterMage119
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