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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 203
From: Dark115 | Posted: 8/14/2005 7:39:38 AM | Message Detail
Hey these numbers are looking great for Tifa

*imagines a Samus vs. Tifa final*
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From: Phediuk | Posted: 8/14/2005 7:39:40 AM | Message Detail
Man, Tifa's not doing so great with the morning vote.
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"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
From: Dranze | Posted: 8/14/2005 7:40:12 AM | Message Detail
If there were a female character contest, Samus Vs Tifa would be a pretty good final, anyway.
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"I dont know what I am talking about? I know more about gaming than 90 percent of the users on the internet." -xmagxus
From: Phediuk | Posted: 8/14/2005 7:57:05 AM | Message Detail
I can't believe people still can't grasp the concept of Tifa beating Sonic.

She's beating Vyse worse than Sonic beat Jin, for God's sake. And I had never heard of Jin before this contest, though I correctly guessed he was from Tekken.

This match is not the same as Samus/Lara. Lara is complete and outright fodder; Vyse is our literal definition of borderline fodder. Furthermore, Vyse's reputation hasn't been tainted by endless crappy sequels.
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"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/14/2005 7:58:46 AM | Message Detail
Hmm....78% of brackets predicted the results. Looks like people have taken a lot of their predictions out of what happened in the spring contest.

Tifa is doing insanely well right now. Maybe Vyse underwent some sort of drop? Before people start insisting that he isn't the kind of character that would drop, think about this. Do you really think tifa would beat samus and sephiroth? I sure as hell don't until I see her do this in another match.
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From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:00:53 AM | Message Detail
NO! No drop for Vyse. I won't accept that, not by a longshot, not when there's other perfectly good explanations just waiting in the wings, and ones that actually have actual credence to the theories.
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I'm about to get sigged by Karma Hunter, and all I'll get is this lousy T-shirt.--Clockwork Dragon
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:04:19 AM | Message Detail
Such as?
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From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:05:39 AM | Message Detail
*sigh*

Do I have to shout it from the rafters?

A return of characters to their 2k3 levels.
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I'm about to get sigged by Karma Hunter, and all I'll get is this lousy T-shirt.--Clockwork Dragon
From: chronicfreeze | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:06:18 AM | Message Detail
I started thinking about Tifa v Samus final earlier, then I slapped myself for thinking Tifa could get that far. Sure, she may have what it takes to take out Sonic, and maybe even Mega Man....but I am going to say that Crono would SFF her into the ground if he gets past Vincent, which he should have little problem with. Besides; Mario is going to take care of Samus.
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From: Dranze | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:06:21 AM | Message Detail
For Tifa to even be equal with Sonic (As of now), Vyse would drop between Laharl and Pac-man.

Ugh, just give it up.
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"I dont know what I am talking about? I know more about gaming than 90 percent of the users on the internet." -xmagxus
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:07:36 AM | Message Detail
Do I have to shout it from the rafters?

A return of characters to their 2k3 levels.


Vyse barely underwent any change from 2k3 to 2k4.
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From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:08:47 AM | Message Detail
Vyse barely underwent any change from 2k3 to 2k4.

This isn't about Vyse changing at all. This is about Cloud, and that I think in 2k3 he would have done better on Vyse than he did in 2k4.
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I'm about to get sigged by Karma Hunter, and all I'll get is this lousy T-shirt.--Clockwork Dragon
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:09:16 AM | Message Detail
For Tifa to even be equal with Sonic (As of now), Vyse would drop between Laharl and Pac-man.

Maybe so, but I have a hard time believing she'd win the contest, which these results imply she's capable of.
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From: Dranze | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:09:43 AM | Message Detail
And why do you say that? I mean, they both performed around expected.
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"I dont know what I am talking about? I know more about gaming than 90 percent of the users on the internet." -xmagxus
From: Dranze | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:11:03 AM | Message Detail
Maybe so, but I have a hard time believing she'd win the contest, which these results imply she's capable of.

So do I, I really do, but her being from FFVII just makes it not so crazy.
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"I dont know what I am talking about? I know more about gaming than 90 percent of the users on the internet." -xmagxus
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:11:28 AM | Message Detail
Well her projected value as of now shouldn't put her terribly far behind 2k4 samus, if she's even behind that at all.
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From: Phediuk | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:11:44 AM | Message Detail
Furthermore, let's check out some cold hard facts, here:

Vincent received 79,200 votes in his match.

Sonic got 69,317.

Vincent got almost 10,000 more votes.

Let's compare this to other members of the soon-to-be-dissolved Noble Nine:

Mario's votes against Joanna: 80,185

Samus' votes against Yuri: 74,493

Snake's votes against Manny: 77,063

Crono's votes against Zidane: 74,580

The only "Noble Nine" character that Vincent hasn't outdone is Mario, and I think we can attribute his slightly higher vote total to being in the first match of the contest.
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"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:11:47 AM | Message Detail
And why do you say that? I mean, they both performed around expected.

True, but there's a reason why the rankings are relative--but moreover, I believe there's a *reason* why we would be seeing a return to 2k3 levels over 2k4. Tell me, (because I can't remember for the life of me), when was the position of the poll changed last year?
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I'm about to get sigged by Karma Hunter, and all I'll get is this lousy T-shirt.--Clockwork Dragon
From: Slowflake | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:12:24 AM | Message Detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
From: Slowflake | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:13:08 AM | Message Detail
Take a gander at what I've concocted... a little chart comparing various characters to Vyse and between themselves. I'll add Tifa into the mix once the match is over.

http://www.freewebs.com/slowflake/tifachart.txt
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"You can't have gone over a kilometer up. 1500 meters, tops." -Samus Aran
"I'll express my love to you slowly, later." -Setzer Gabbiani
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:13:35 AM | Message Detail
So do I, I really do, but her being from FFVII just makes it not so crazy.

It still kind of does. I don't believe that tifa is capable of being ahead of sephiroth. I just don;t. If she performs like this next round then I will, but as of now a moderate sized vyse drop seems more likely to me then tifa being the third strongest competitor we've ever seen.
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From: Slowflake | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:14:29 AM | Message Detail
Who talks about Tifa > Sephiroth? We're talking Samus and Crono here.
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"You can't have gone over a kilometer up. 1500 meters, tops." -Samus Aran
"I'll express my love to you slowly, later." -Setzer Gabbiani
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:15:41 AM | Message Detail
I'm aware of that, but these results would put her ahead of sephiroth at the moment, correct? Or am I just way off?
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From: Dranze | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:16:22 AM | Message Detail
Well, maybe a Sephiroth that dropped, but 2k4 Sephiroth, no.
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"I dont know what I am talking about? I know more about gaming than 90 percent of the users on the internet." -xmagxus
From: Slowflake | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:16:39 AM | Message Detail
WAAAAAAAAAAAAAAY off. She's barely ahead of Samus as it is, and still dropping.
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"You can't have gone over a kilometer up. 1500 meters, tops." -Samus Aran
"I'll express my love to you slowly, later." -Setzer Gabbiani
From: Dark115 | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:17:33 AM | Message Detail
And to think we all thought the Dream Division would be the hardest to predict
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From: Dranze | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:19:25 AM | Message Detail
This Division is less harder than the Dream one, actually. We all know who'd win round 1, Sonic > Diablo, obviously, and also Tifa > Luigi, the finals is the only thing to really worry about.
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"I dont know what I am talking about? I know more about gaming than 90 percent of the users on the internet." -xmagxus
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:20:39 AM | Message Detail
Alright. She's still far closer then I'm willing to buy. If she finishes ahead of samus by the end of this that would make her strong enough to win the contest... which seems unlikely to say the least.
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From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:21:56 AM | Message Detail
No division seems as up in the air as the devil division.
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From: meche313 | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:22:21 AM | Message Detail
Well, at least I have her over Sonic. I should had put her over Megaman also, though I agree that it is a bit too early to know.
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That's right. Cloud N. Candy would get a NEGATIVE percentage, and RPGuy's extrapolated calculator would crash. - therealmnm
From: Dranze | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:22:24 AM | Message Detail
It's not that hard for me to see Tifa > Sephiroth, I mean Sephiroth isn't even playable, and if I'm not mistaken (Sorry, I never played the game), isn't Tifa playable?
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"I dont know what I am talking about? I know more about gaming than 90 percent of the users on the internet." -xmagxus
From: Slowflake | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:22:40 AM | Message Detail
It doesn't mean she'll win the contest, Jesus. She can still do anything between barely losing to Sonic and take the main bracket.

Besides, technically the title lies in the ToC.
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"You can't have gone over a kilometer up. 1500 meters, tops." -Samus Aran
"I'll express my love to you slowly, later." -Setzer Gabbiani
From: FourthDeus | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:22:54 AM | Message Detail
She's beating Vyse worse than Sonic beat Jin, for God's sake. And I had never heard of Jin before this contest, though I correctly guessed he was from Tekken.

So you're saying because you haven't heard of Jin...that means he obviously isn't a popular character...yet Vyse somehow is?

FUN WITH FACTS: Tekken 3 is the best selling 3D fighter of all time, a game which Jin starred in.

MORE FUN TIME WITH FACTS: Tekken 5 was released a few months ago, and was universally praised as a return to form for the series.

EXTREME SATURDAY MORNING FUN TIME WITH FACTS: Jin got into the contest without absolutely NO board support whatsoever.

LATE NIGHT FUN WITH FACTS WITH BILL MAUER: Tifa will not beat Sonic. All this match proves, once and for all, that there is no trastivity with matches.

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5/18/05
Never forget. Never forgive.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:23:22 AM | Message Detail
Yeah, Tifa's playable, but so is Aeris. There's a reason why Sephy FAR outstrips them both. He's far more important than anyone except Cloud.
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I'm about to get sigged by Karma Hunter, and all I'll get is this lousy T-shirt.--Clockwork Dragon
From: Slowflake | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:23:29 AM | Message Detail
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/14/2005 11:21:56 AM | #229
No division seems as up in the air as the devil division.

Well, Vincent made "GAME OVER" neons out of... whatever Kerrigan has sticking out of her back.
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"You can't have gone over a kilometer up. 1500 meters, tops." -Samus Aran
"I'll express my love to you slowly, later." -Setzer Gabbiani
From: meche313 | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:23:59 AM | Message Detail
She is playable. Also, although Aeris may be more known because of the spoiler, at least you can use Tifa more.
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That's right. Cloud N. Candy would get a NEGATIVE percentage, and RPGuy's extrapolated calculator would crash. - therealmnm
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:24:26 AM | Message Detail
Well yeah, I'm talking about the main bracket though. If she finishes ahead of what samus would do I still don't think she stands a chance at winning the main bracket.
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From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:26:23 AM | Message Detail
Well, Vincent made "GAME OVER" neons out of... whatever Kerrigan has sticking out of her back.
Probably, but some people still think dante could beat him (which doesn't seem possible right now), and he could still lose to squall depending on how weak kerrigan really is.
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From: Slowflake | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:27:47 AM | Message Detail
Kerrigan would need to be as weak as JC Denton to lose to either. No f'n way.
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"You can't have gone over a kilometer up. 1500 meters, tops." -Samus Aran
"I'll express my love to you slowly, later." -Setzer Gabbiani
From: Slowflake | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:28:08 AM | Message Detail
*for Vincent to lose to either
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"You can't have gone over a kilometer up. 1500 meters, tops." -Samus Aran
"I'll express my love to you slowly, later." -Setzer Gabbiani
From: Heroic Knuckles | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:29:02 AM | Message Detail
Jin got into the contest with absolutely NO board support whatsoever.

Fixed.
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>_<
60th/125 in the Guru Standings.
From: Dark115 | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:29:31 AM | Message Detail
Devil Division > Dream Division in terms of predictability

Kirby
Cecil 87.53%

Tidus
King of All Cosmos 85.46%

Bowser
Chun Li 88.07%

Ryu
Rikku 74.98%

compared to

Dante
Terra 88.33%

Sarah Kerrigan
Vincent Valentine 75.77%

Magus
Knuckles the Echidna 35.08%

Squal Leonhart
Geno 89.12%

Now I know thats just the first round and the dream division gets much harder afterwards but so does the Devil Division. There's the argument with Dante/Vincent, and the unexpected arguement of Knuckles/Squall. Then there's the division finals. And of course possibly the biggest first round upset ever with Magus/Knuckles.
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From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:30:26 AM | Message Detail
She could be that weak. She probably isn't quite that weak, but she could be. There wasn't much of any rallying on oter sites like starcraft got, and being from a popular game doesn't exempt a character from being absolute fodder.
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From: Phediuk | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:35:45 AM | Message Detail
Wait, Tifa's starting to go up again. Perhaps this is the start of the day vote.
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"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
From: Dranze | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:39:57 AM | Message Detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
From: Dranze | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:41:29 AM | Message Detail
Er, wait, nevermind.
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"I dont know what I am talking about? I know more about gaming than 90 percent of the users on the internet." -xmagxus
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:42:15 AM | Message Detail
From: Tequilla Gundam | Posted: 8/14/2005 9:22:57 AM | Message Detail
Im with Karma Hunter on this one. Stop being such a ***** with the stats. THEY HAVE FAILED US NEARLY EVERY MATCH. Someone being underrated or overrated and etc. Use your own common sense and not the numbers.

From: shadow8021 | Posted: 8/14/2005 9:24:49 AM | Message Detail
Ever notice that every time you guys underestimate Sonic and think he's gonna lose to a non-noble nine character, he always wins? Wait until Tifa faces Luigi before we can say anything.



http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/detail.php?board=8&topic=22862564&message=248940324

I like to think I explained well why this match is as good as any to prepare for Sonic/Tifa. Read.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: Slowflake | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:48:19 AM | Message Detail
Random factoid: Aeris pulled worse numbers on Tina Armstrong.

Do what you will with that piece of info, but that's foreshadowing at its best. Tina's just about the worst kind of fodder, while Vyse is freaking Mr. Fodder Line himself.
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"You can't have gone over a kilometer up. 1500 meters, tops." -Samus Aran
"I'll express my love to you slowly, later." -Setzer Gabbiani
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:50:20 AM | Message Detail
Aeris doing worse against Tina is 2k2...though I do admit that is a big difference even for that.
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I'm about to get sigged by Karma Hunter, and all I'll get is this lousy T-shirt.--Clockwork Dragon
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/14/2005 8:53:23 AM | Message Detail
Will somebody please post the vote-totals thus far? I'd like to see if Tifa is able to get close to the list of characters I made the other day that have ever gotten 80,000+ and 79+% on an opponent before.
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