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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 203
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 8/13/2005 8:19:11 PM | Message Detail
2 AM and I'm still awake writing a song. If I get it all down on paper, it's no longer inside of me threatening the life it belongs to.



*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Summer 2002 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/1

Summer 2003 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/2

Spring 2004 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/3

Summer 2004 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/4

Summer 2005 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/5

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19



*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Summer 2002 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/13

Summer 2003 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/14

Spring 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/15

SFF Adjusted Spring 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/16

Summer 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/17

SFF Adjusted Summer 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/18

Spring 2005 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/27

All Time Extrapolated Standings:
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/alltimexsts.htm



*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html



*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm



*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, save for three from 2002:
http://www.sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php



*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

MMXcalibur's Contest Sites:
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

Poll Vote Total Updater:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/25

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251



!yawA tsoP
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/13/2005 8:20:09 PM | Message Detail
Impossible is just a word people use to make themselves feel better when they quit.

Behold the Legend!
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 2: (3) Mag...Er...(6) Knuckles the Echidna
From: outback | Posted: 8/13/2005 8:23:27 PM | Message Detail
Not bad, y'all! Don't be a sore loser.
---
NOMINATE KEN MASTERS FOR SC2K5
http://img291.echo.cx/img291/3398/ken23rc.gif
From: Aprosenf | Posted: 8/13/2005 8:24:06 PM | Message Detail
Taggage.
---
For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
From: kungfu chicken | Posted: 8/13/2005 8:24:42 PM | Message Detail
some what stats related poll: Has your vote ever been in the least bit influenced by a picture?
---
*pacing back in forth waiting for: advance wars ds, twilight princess, ffxii, kingdom hearts 2, castlevania dos*
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 8/13/2005 8:25:43 PM | Message Detail
Yes.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
"If my fate is to be destroyed... I must simply laugh!" -Magus
From: NewLib | Posted: 8/13/2005 8:25:59 PM | Message Detail
No
---
Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Tripling Gordon Freeman.
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 8/13/2005 8:26:30 PM | Message Detail
No.

---
~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 8/13/2005 8:26:34 PM | Message Detail
Yes. Y helo thar Duke Milkem.
---
"All pretty girls are a trap, a pretty trap, and men expect them to be."
MasterMage119
From: JonPen1416 | Posted: 8/13/2005 8:26:51 PM | Message Detail
Yes, many, many times.
---
I need to put something here.
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 8/13/2005 8:26:54 PM | Message Detail
Has your vote ever been in the least bit influenced by a picture?

Yes. I voted for Yuri solely because of his picture, despite the fact that I've never played his game.
---
Summer 2005 Contest - 23/26 points
Current Match Prediction: Tifa Lockheart vs. Vyse
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 8/13/2005 8:26:57 PM | Message Detail
A few examples: Cloud/Milkem, Cloud/Sephiroth, any picture with Celda, and a few sprite pics.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
"If my fate is to be destroyed... I must simply laugh!" -Magus
From: NewLib | Posted: 8/13/2005 8:27:38 PM | Message Detail
Actually, I take that back.

I did vote for Milkem based on the picture, but thats it.
---
Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Tripling Gordon Freeman.
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 8/13/2005 8:28:23 PM | Message Detail
The only one that would have been able to make me change my vote soley on the pic was Milkem, but I would have voted for him anyway.

---
~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: sidharta | Posted: 8/13/2005 8:31:21 PM | Message Detail
The only time a pic has almost influenced my vote was Cloud/Duke Milkem.

I already clicked Milk Nukem's button and was about to hit vote before my conscience sreamed, "STOP!! YOU DON'T EVEN KNOW WHO THE HELL HE IS!!".

I ended up voting Cloud, but had I knew who Duke Nukem is, I might have voted for him despite liking Cloud more.

---
Reserved for the winner of the SC2K5 Guru Challenge.
From: cyko | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:21:22 AM | Message Detail
Tifa is gonna beat Sonic. hide your children.....

btw - these champions chosen by the Top 50 never cease to amaze me:

of the 19 perfects -

Mario - 9
Master Cheif - 2
Zelda - 2
Ganondorf - 1
Sonic the Hedgehog - 1
Tifa Lockheart - 1
Zero - 1
Crono - 1
Yoshi - 1

of the whole Top 50 -


Mario - 30
Master Cheif - 5
Crono - 3
Zelda - 2
Ganondorf - 2
Sonic the Hedgehog - 1
Tifa Lockheart - 1
Zero - 1
Yoshi - 1
Magus - 1
Dante - 1
Samus Aran - 1
Squall Leonhart - 1

looks like Mario is still the favorite, followed by Master Cheif. wtf.....

---
"Start wearing purple, for me now. All your sanity and wits, they will all vanish, i promise. It's just a matter of time..."
From: Keno316 | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:22:08 AM | Message Detail
MC has more brackets than Crono? WTF?!
---
"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair & Millia Rage*
From: sidharta | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:23:58 AM | Message Detail
Oh yeah, Tifa > Sonic!

---
Reserved for the winner of the SC2K5 Guru Challenge.
From: cyko | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:32:40 AM | Message Detail
WITNESS TJF IN ALL IT'S FULL GLORY!!!!!

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2092

all you Sonic fans had better pray that Tifa does not get a bouncy bosom pic in Round 3.

---
"Start wearing purple, for me now. All your sanity and wits, they will all vanish, i promise. It's just a matter of time..."
From: creativename | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:36:31 AM | Message Detail
Hello, and welcome to the "Character not originating from Final Fantasy 7 or The Legend of Zelda" support group.

After you pick up the pieces of your shattered ego, please sign in at the front desk.
---
www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery
From: Mister Mario | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:39:49 AM | Message Detail
Excellent 500th post.
---
Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Master Ness
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:40:18 AM | Message Detail
She's over 79.
---
"All pretty girls are a trap, a pretty trap, and men expect them to be."
MasterMage119
From: MegatokyoEd | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:40:25 AM | Message Detail
HOLY CRAP!

79.34%
From: Keno316 | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:40:29 AM | Message Detail
79%...yep, she'll be cuadrupling by the end of the first night vote...
---
"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair & Millia Rage*
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:40:39 AM | Message Detail
From: JonPen1416 | Posted: 8/14/2005 3:37:50 AM | Message Detail | #491
Wow . . . sorry Ulti. Hopefully it gets a lot better after the Wedding.


Meh, it's always been like this. She gets to go and do whatever she wants, and I'm stuck home wondering what she's doing. I say anything, and I get the crying "You don't trust me waa waa waa" crap. I try going out and having fun myself, and no one wants me.

I hate girls.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
"If my fate is to be destroyed... I must simply laugh!" -Magus
From: Dranze | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:40:48 AM | Message Detail
Pinch me, please. 79%?!?!??
---
"I dont know what I am talking about? I know more about gaming than 90 percent of the users on the internet." -xmagxus
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:41:15 AM | Message Detail
It's gotten to the point where I'm so depressed that I don't even care about the contest anymore. Magus didn't exactly help this, either.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
"If my fate is to be destroyed... I must simply laugh!" -Magus
From: Haste2 | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:41:34 AM | Message Detail
ANOTHER .5%? Maybe she WILL outperform Cloud...oh my...

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:41:53 AM | Message Detail

Meh, it's always been like this. She gets to go and do whatever she wants, and I'm stuck home wondering what she's doing. I say anything, and I get the crying "You don't trust me waa waa waa" crap. I try going out and having fun myself, and no one wants me.

I hate girls.

In case you missed the post in the other topic, I suggest you think long and hard about whether or not you really want to marry this girl.
---
"All pretty girls are a trap, a pretty trap, and men expect them to be."
MasterMage119
From: BeTheMan | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:42:11 AM | Message Detail
That's awful, Ulti. For your sake, I really hope she settles down after the wedding.
---
ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO...Pac-Man?
From: Chinballz | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:42:23 AM | Message Detail
Pinch me, please. 79%?!?!??

*punches you in the ear*

That do it for ya?
---
Moisten your dreams with man urine.
http://www.geocities.com/nicklegends/ - All the Legends of the Hidden Temple info you could possibly want.
From: cyko | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:42:27 AM | Message Detail
trust me, Ulti man; after the honeymoon is over - it only gets worse. =/

if you have serious trust issues (and i mean SERIOUS. don't throw an otherwise great relationship away over a minor flaw.), then you really need to sit down and consider this before it's too late.

---
"Start wearing purple, for me now. All your sanity and wits, they will all vanish, i promise. It's just a matter of time..."
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:42:35 AM | Message Detail
ANOTHER .5%? Maybe she WILL outperform Cloud...oh my...

Unless she is inexplicably weak with the day vote, I'd bet money that she will.
---
"All pretty girls are a trap, a pretty trap, and men expect them to be."
MasterMage119
From: ExThaNemesis | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:42:45 AM | Message Detail
I repeat. NEVER. GETTING. MARRIED.
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:43:23 AM | Message Detail
I have. The problem is that I get jealous of everything really easy. I know she didn't do anything stupid, but I'm upset that she went anyway.

And how dare you give advice that is not in line with contest stats, Master Mage.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
"If my fate is to be destroyed... I must simply laugh!" -Magus
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:43:46 AM | Message Detail

And how dare you give advice that is not in line with contest stats, Master Mage.


I'm above the law. *hits you with a stick*
---
"All pretty girls are a trap, a pretty trap, and men expect them to be."
MasterMage119
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:44:05 AM | Message Detail
I don't know if it's a lack of trust or me being jealous :(

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
"If my fate is to be destroyed... I must simply laugh!" -Magus
From: DBZFIGHTERS | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:44:11 AM | Message Detail
Has a theory of SGF been proposed before?

Same Genre Factor?

Maybe RPG fans that normally supported Vyse prefered Tifa as the better RPG character.

---
Die hard Cubs, Pistons, Patriot and Maple Leaf fan
Owl Squad Member ( ēvē( ēvē )ēvē ) O RLY?
From: JonPen1416 | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:44:17 AM | Message Detail
Meh, it's always been like this. She gets to go and do whatever she wants, and I'm stuck home wondering what she's doing. I say anything, and I get the crying "You don't trust me waa waa waa" crap. I try going out and having fun myself, and no one wants me.

Wow, she sounds like MGS2 Rose. Not saying you're Raiden, seeing as just about everyone hates him, but Rose was always like that too. But in the end, they found a way to work it out. Hopefully you can too.

---
I need to put something here.
From: seeraamaazu | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:44:28 AM | Message Detail
Wow. This gives Tifa and Vincent a chance to meet eachother in the semifinals.
---
DEFENCE, DEFENCE
"Alas, history is nothing but a lie agreed upon" - Napoleon Bonaparte.
From: Haste2 | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:44:47 AM | Message Detail
We really need(ed) more bracket-thrashing matches this round...out of the past 15 matches, only two of them have had a prediction percentage below 70%. Of course, both of them were in the 30's, but still....

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:45:28 AM | Message Detail
We really need(ed) more bracket-thrashing matches this round...out of the past 15 matches, only two of them have had a prediction percentage below 70%. Of course, both of them were in the 30's, but still....

This round has been considerably more awesome than expected. Everyone knew round one would be the most boring one.
---
"All pretty girls are a trap, a pretty trap, and men expect them to be."
MasterMage119
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:46:01 AM | Message Detail
Over 79.
---
"All pretty girls are a trap, a pretty trap, and men expect them to be."
MasterMage119
From: andaca | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:46:19 AM | Message Detail
Just voted, just saw the poll.

I'm thinking two possibilities.

1)Sonic is in deep trouble.

2)Vyse is below the VFL.

Hm.
---
Hail to the Queen of Blades.
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:46:19 AM | Message Detail
Maybe RPG fans that normally supported Vyse prefered Tifa as the better RPG character.

Yet she's almost outperforming Cloud...
---
The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (0) Voters
From: LordOfDabu | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:46:46 AM | Message Detail
I remember seeing that 43% of all marriages in the United States end in divorce. Alas, this is not the type of statistics that are supposed to be discussed here!

Against characters like Vyse, I would expect pretty much the entire FF7 cast (as well as other top tier characters) to perform about the same. I mean, why wouldn't they?
---
.nS) quote of the week:
"I don't know how to work the machine. I just act like I know what I'm doing, and people tip me." - syst
From: DBZFIGHTERS | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:46:46 AM | Message Detail
Cloud didn't have breasts...

---
Die hard Cubs, Pistons, Patriot and Maple Leaf fan
Owl Squad Member ( ēvē( ēvē )ēvē ) O RLY?
From: therealmnm | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:46:57 AM | Message Detail
Well if one thing, this probably proves all the people on the Aeris tip wrong about how Aeris is more popular than Tifa. I've been saying for the LONGEST how I don't see Aeris being that popular. I know she has a good amount of fans, but I attributed strength in the contest is due to the power of FF7. Tifa is dominating this match like a true powerhouse.

I knew Tifa and Vincent would have great chances of breaking through the "noble nine" barrier. I agonized over Tifa vs. Sonic, but I picked Sonic based off the assumption that Tifa was probably not THAT much more popular than Aeris... enough to close the gap between Aeris and Sonic. I may be wrong.

If Vincent and Tifa were to switch places, I would have picked Vincent over Sonic with no hesitations, even though I don't care for Vincent at all and Sonic being my second favorite character.
---
MM are my INITIALS "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
From: Mister Mario | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:47:13 AM | Message Detail
...SGF?

That COULD be true. Like, Tifa and Vyse share the same RPG fanbase, spliting their voter pool, and making this a factor in Tifa appearing stronger than she really is.

It's a contest stats revolution.
---
Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Master Ness
From: Chinballz | Posted: 8/14/2005 12:47:16 AM | Message Detail
This contest now has more acronyms than I'd like to remember. That's an example of WGASF, or Who Gives A **** Factor. No offense to anyone. :)
---
Moisten your dreams with man urine.
http://www.geocities.com/nicklegends/ - All the Legends of the Hidden Temple info you could possibly want.
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