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Summer 2005 Contest
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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 200
From: Haste2 | Posted: 8/12/2005 4:38:32 PM | Message Detail
I hope next year is a Game Contest, personally. But, I'll nominate Wario and Strider Hiryu.

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 8/12/2005 4:39:11 PM | Message Detail
And Tidus' performance against KoaC doesn't speak too well about that either.

No, that proves that MM should have been adjusted MORE. >_>

KING FOR THE WIN.

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~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: sidharta | Posted: 8/12/2005 4:40:32 PM | Message Detail
potential Nomination Rally candidates:

Nightmare
another FF6 rep (Shadow, Mog, Locke, Celes, Edgar, Sabin)
Aeris (bleh....)
Shadow the Hedgehog (double bleh.....)


I'd help with Nightmare and Aeris, as well as one or two from FF VI.
I'll help with Shadow too if I have any spare nominations.

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Reserved for the winner of the SC2K5 Guru Challenge.
From: Slowflake | Posted: 8/12/2005 4:40:37 PM | Message Detail
If Clinkeroth returns to the main bracket next year, I say only keep Cloud, Seph, and whoever's stronger between Tifa, Aeris and Vincent. Same for FF10: keep only the three strongest, which means Yuna would have to be ejected.

And while we're on the subject of Leonhart's rallying, I'd like to attempt pulling a Shake and getting an obscure PC character in the contest. How would I get around to doing that?
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"You can't have gone over a kilometer up. 1500 meters, tops." -Samus Aran
"I'll express my love to you slowly, later." -Setzer Gabbiani
From: Slowflake | Posted: 8/12/2005 4:42:01 PM | Message Detail
I know I'm nominating Locke next year.

LOCKE FOR SC2K6. BOOK IT.
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"You can't have gone over a kilometer up. 1500 meters, tops." -Samus Aran
"I'll express my love to you slowly, later." -Setzer Gabbiani
From: sidharta | Posted: 8/12/2005 4:44:49 PM | Message Detail
I hope next year is a Game Contest, personally. But, I'll nominate Wario and Strider Hiryu.

No, let LoZ:TP settle down for a year and gain some fanbase, then see if it can topple FF VII.

I'd rather have a "Best.Female.Char.Contest" for next Spring.

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Reserved for the winner of the SC2K5 Guru Challenge.
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 8/12/2005 4:47:42 PM | Message Detail
I'd rather have a "Best.Female.Char.Contest" for next Spring.

Y HALO THAR SAMUS.

But seriously... other than the winner, and the few characters we know would perform well, it would be intresting to see. At least a change from this contest. I love it and all, but it is getting a bit old.

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~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: sidharta | Posted: 8/12/2005 4:48:15 PM | Message Detail
If Clinkeroth returns to the main bracket next year, I say only keep Cloud, Seph, and whoever's stronger between Tifa, Aeris and Vincent. Same for FF10: keep only the three strongest, which means Yuna would have to be ejected.

I hope Clinkeroth (and any future champs) stay in the ToC for good.
They make too many matches too predictable.

I'd say eject Tidus, he's the one who has been dissappointing us the whole time.

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Reserved for the winner of the SC2K5 Guru Challenge.
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 8/12/2005 4:48:59 PM | Message Detail
I agree with the ToC, but it's gonna get to the point where we're so fodderific it isn't even funny.

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~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 8/12/2005 4:49:56 PM | Message Detail
I wouldn't mind having another entrant from Final Fantasy VII -- hell, I'd be happy with all of them in the contest for pure strength purposes, but no one will agree with me on that.

But if there's support for another FFVII character I would have to put it behind Red XIII. I would imagine him being a little under Aeris, but clearly above any sort of fodder. I'm also a fan of getting Laguna into the contest to see how he would perform.

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Cloud: What’s going to happen to the Planet?
Sephiroth: That… will be for you to decide.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 8/12/2005 4:50:26 PM | Message Detail
I agree with the ToC, but it's gonna get to the point where we're so fodderific it isn't even funny.

You mean like in 2k2? <_____________<
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I'm about to get sigged by Karma Hunter, and all I'll get is this lousy T-shirt.--Clockwork Dragon
From: sidharta | Posted: 8/12/2005 4:51:47 PM | Message Detail
I agree with the ToC, but it's gonna get to the point where we're so fodderific it isn't even funny.

Well, we can eject the "weakest" former champ back into the main bracket once ToC hit 8 or so.

But it would be funny if the ToC became the "real" contest, and the main bracket is just a filtering run.

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Reserved for the winner of the SC2K5 Guru Challenge.
From: Slowflake | Posted: 8/12/2005 4:51:57 PM | Message Detail
I'd say eject Tidus, he's the one who has been dissappointing us the whole time.

Until otherwise noted, he's still the second strongest of the FF10 cast, and should stay in. If anyone's getting the boot it should be Yuna.

I hope Clinkeroth (and any future champs) stay in the ToC for good.

...no. I hope it's a one-time thing. We will already have enough of two paper champions, any more and it's just going to be pointless.
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"You can't have gone over a kilometer up. 1500 meters, tops." -Samus Aran
"I'll express my love to you slowly, later." -Setzer Gabbiani
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 8/12/2005 4:52:02 PM | Message Detail
No, let LoZ:TP settle down for a year and gain some fanbase, then see if it can topple FF VII.

Then Square busts out a FFVII remake. =p

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Cloud: What’s going to happen to the Planet?
Sephiroth: That… will be for you to decide.
From: sidharta | Posted: 8/12/2005 4:55:45 PM | Message Detail
...no. I hope it's a one-time thing. We will already have enough of two paper champions, any more and it's just going to be pointless.

I agree that Seph doesn't belong in there yet, but if you limit ToC contestants to 4 or 8, it would still make some sense.

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Reserved for the winner of the SC2K5 Guru Challenge.
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 8/12/2005 4:57:32 PM | Message Detail
Well, we can eject the "weakest" former champ back into the main bracket once ToC hit 8 or so.

I actually kinda like that.

But I would still love a 64 character contest (31 matches unfortunately) in a tag team style bracket. 1 seed & 16 seed as partners. And so on, so that instead of your usual first round opponent, they would be your partner. It could be crazy, fun as hell, you could throw every stat out the window, and it would make a nice Spring Contest due to the length of it. I would say make it 63 matches, but with 128 characters, well, fodder ahoy.

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~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: sidharta | Posted: 8/12/2005 4:58:38 PM | Message Detail
Btw, Slow, about your sig:

"You can't have gone over a kilometer up. 1500 meters, tops." -Samus Aran

Did Samus really said that in game?
Or did a user named Samus Aran said it?

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Reserved for the winner of the SC2K5 Guru Challenge.
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 8/12/2005 4:59:45 PM | Message Detail
*say.

>_>

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~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: Dark115 | Posted: 8/12/2005 5:09:45 PM | Message Detail
I'll be nominating Nightmare, Aeris and Shadow. As for FF6, i'll probably either nominate Celes or Locke (whoever the board decides to support). I'd also like to see Rikku return as she's proven she's got some power in her.
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http://users.ign.com/collection/Dark115.
Currently Playing: God of War (PS2), Final Fantasy VIII (PS1), Mega Man X4 (PS1)
From: Mac Arrowny | Posted: 8/12/2005 5:11:12 PM | Message Detail
With regards to release time factor, many argue that it had a large effect on the results for the Spring 2004 contest. See: SMW vs. Sonic 2, FFVII vs. MGS, OoT vs. Goldeneye, etc. Although I suppose that's more "same generation" factor.

But here we go:
Seph himself, MM, Mario, SS, Vercetti, Dante, Knux, DK, and Lara.


All of those characters, except Mario, were in Mega Man's division. And since the 2k4 stats assume Mario is constant between 2k3 and 2k4, he can't decrease. I think this is a better argument for a Mega Man overperformance on Seph, WDF-style, because nobody wanted an all-FFVII final.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
From: NewLib | Posted: 8/12/2005 5:11:19 PM | Message Detail
I just want a game contest back peroid.

As for nominations:
A fourth Zelda character (Midna or whoever is another big name in the new Zelda game)
Shadow (deserves another shot)
Locke (cause I love him)
Yoshimitsu
Sub-Zero

There is 5 and Im sure Ill nominate someone from the upcoming games...
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Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Tripling Gordon Freeman.
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 8/12/2005 5:13:36 PM | Message Detail
Games contests just don't seem as boneriffic as character contests to me for some reason.

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~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: Slowflake | Posted: 8/12/2005 5:14:03 PM | Message Detail
About the Samus quote: web comic.

Oh, and please, don't nominate Shadow if you know what you're doing. Do you think I'd still be here today if it was Shadow upsetting Magus instead of Knuckles?
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"You can't have gone over a kilometer up. 1500 meters, tops." -Samus Aran
"I'll express my love to you slowly, later." -Setzer Gabbiani
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/12/2005 5:15:53 PM | Message Detail
Of course, if Tifa triples her opponent, then hello threesome.

"Tifa" and "Threesome" in the same sentence, heh. That's the kind of erotic subtlety I'd expect from MasterMage.

And while we're on the subject of Leonhart's rallying, I'd like to attempt pulling a Shake and getting an obscure PC character in the contest. How would I get around to doing that?

If you want to pull a Shake, just tell everyone that you'll leave the board forever unless a certain character gets in.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (2) Squall Leonhart 74412 (74.84%), (7) Geno 25022 (25.16%)
From: Seanchan | Posted: 8/12/2005 5:15:58 PM | Message Detail
Seifer or Rinoa should be nominated
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<reptile-> The first time hypr opened a box of Cheerios and looked inside he yelled, "OH WOW! DONUT SEEDS!"
<hypr> wtf are donut seeds
From: NewLib | Posted: 8/12/2005 5:17:27 PM | Message Detail
Here is a question: Which one of the two "historic" matches do you think will be remembered more: Vercetti/Kefka because of Georgy or Magus/Knuckles because Red > You.
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Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Tripling Gordon Freeman.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/12/2005 5:20:28 PM | Message Detail
Magus/Knuckles will be remembered more for its unexpectedness and bracket busting. Kefka/Vercetti will always have an asterisk, but it was a meaningless match other than that.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (2) Squall Leonhart 74412 (74.84%), (7) Geno 25022 (25.16%)
From: kungfu chicken | Posted: 8/12/2005 5:21:42 PM | Message Detail
magus and knuckles no question.

also please rank the characters i would want to see in a contest as low end fodder, high end fodder, mid card, or possable elitie.

any advance wars CO
Marth or Roy
stranger from strangers wrath
doom marine
soma cruz
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*pacing back in forth waiting for: advance wars ds, twilight princess, ffxii, kingdom hearts 2, castlevania dos*
From: Lopen | Posted: 8/12/2005 5:22:23 PM | Message Detail
Vercetti/Kefka was the far more interesting match, so I figure that one will be better remembered... or at least more fondly remembered. Nothing that special about Magus/Knuckles aside from an unexpected result.
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Raiden fact of the contest: Alucard is a plagiarist, this year Raiden will prove it!
From: Slowflake | Posted: 8/12/2005 5:22:43 PM | Message Detail
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/12/2005 8:20:28 PM | #477
Magus/Knuckles will be remembered more for its unexpectedness and bracket busting. Kefka/Vercetti will always have an asterisk, but it was a meaningless match other than that.

What he said. Now, Vercetti's match will go down in history as according to plan, but almost not because of a cheater. But Knuckles... when you say, NOBODY got it right. 0/152 in the BOP, 0/123 in the Gurus, 0/97 in the Oracle. NOBODY got it.
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"You can't have gone over a kilometer up. 1500 meters, tops." -Samus Aran
"I'll express my love to you slowly, later." -Setzer Gabbiani
From: Slowflake | Posted: 8/12/2005 5:23:44 PM | Message Detail
Marth and Roy a tiny bit above the VFL, the rest utter crap.
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"You can't have gone over a kilometer up. 1500 meters, tops." -Samus Aran
"I'll express my love to you slowly, later." -Setzer Gabbiani
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 8/12/2005 5:24:08 PM | Message Detail
Knuckles over Magus, the day GameFAQs finally chose correctly.

IMO at least >.>

But Barriers, Barriers and more barriers will also be special.

And Marth and Roy would be high-end fodder, the rest low-end.
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Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Sonic vs, Jin - Bracket: Sonic - Vote: Sonic (21/24)
From: Dark115 | Posted: 8/12/2005 5:24:50 PM | Message Detail
I doubt Shadow would beat Magus anyways. Knuckles > Shadow
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http://users.ign.com/collection/Dark115.
Currently Playing: God of War (PS2), Final Fantasy VIII (PS1), Mega Man X4 (PS1)
From: COKES | Posted: 8/12/2005 5:25:06 PM | Message Detail
I like Knux more than Magus, but that match ****ed things up royally for me, and countless others.
~~~
Trivia XV: Dragostea Din Tei
http://www.audioscrobbler.com/user/cokes311/
From: swirldude | Posted: 8/12/2005 5:26:01 PM | Message Detail
I would expect Shadow to beat Knuckles because oftentimes, GameFAQs has shown to lack good taste.

Good thing that didn't happen two days ago <3
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Knuckles the Echidna's road to the Sc2k5 Title!
Round 2: (2)Squall Leonhart
From: COKES | Posted: 8/12/2005 5:27:12 PM | Message Detail
I doubt that Shadow would beat Knuckles, regardless of GameFAQs taste. You wouldn't hesitate to say that Magus > Tidus.
~~~
Trivia XV: Dragostea Din Tei
http://www.audioscrobbler.com/user/cokes311/
From: Slowflake | Posted: 8/12/2005 5:27:12 PM | Message Detail
From: Dark115 | Posted: 8/12/2005 8:24:50 PM | #483
I doubt Shadow would beat Magus anyways. Knuckles > Shadow

Shadow outranked Knuckles last year, in spite of being behind the suspicious Megaman/Tidus match.
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"You can't have gone over a kilometer up. 1500 meters, tops." -Samus Aran
"I'll express my love to you slowly, later." -Setzer Gabbiani
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 8/12/2005 5:30:00 PM | Message Detail
I think the Sonic hierarchy here goes...

Sonic >> Shadow > Knuckles >> Tails >>> Robotnik
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Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Sonic vs, Jin - Bracket: Sonic - Vote: Sonic (21/24)
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 8/12/2005 5:30:23 PM | Message Detail
I've always had a hell of a time thinking who I would pick between Knuckles/Shadow, regardless of what the stats say. I have a feeling that once Shadow is up against another badass from his own series, being a Sonic clone won't count for much.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: LuniNutz99 | Posted: 8/12/2005 5:30:48 PM | Message Detail
Knux would beat Shadow

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Lunatic Under Narcotic Influence
Score:20/23 Next Match: Squall
From: COKES | Posted: 8/12/2005 5:30:54 PM | Message Detail
I'm not convinced that Shadow > Knux. And there is definitely room for a few more >>>'s in between Knuckles and Tails, IMO.
~~~
Trivia XV: Dragostea Din Tei
http://www.audioscrobbler.com/user/cokes311/
From: NewLib | Posted: 8/12/2005 5:31:24 PM | Message Detail
I pray to all that is holy for a Knux win of Shadow.
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Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Tripling Gordon Freeman.
From: sidharta | Posted: 8/12/2005 5:31:38 PM | Message Detail
All of those characters, except Mario, were in Mega Man's division. And since the 2k4 stats assume Mario is constant between 2k3 and 2k4, he can't decrease. I think this is a better argument for a Mega Man overperformance on Seph, WDF-style, because nobody wanted an all-FFVII final.

The problem with WDF is that MM already dropped between 2k2 and 2k3, if you consider WDF to be true, then MM's drop between 2k2 and 2k3 became unholy.

Seph also dropped between 2k3 and 2k4, despite losing to the exact same opponent in both years, WDF can't even begin to account for that.

Mario's value against Cloud decreased by 1% between 2k3 and 2k4.
And IIRC, 2k4 X-stats assumed a static Cloud (NOT Mario) between 2k3 and 2k4, although I personally doubt that.

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Reserved for the winner of the SC2K5 Guru Challenge.
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 8/12/2005 5:34:43 PM | Message Detail
I've always had a hell of a time thinking who I would pick between Knuckles/Shadow, regardless of what the stats say. I have a feeling that once Shadow is up against another badass from his own series, being a Sonic clone won't count for much.

I'd probably take Knuckles, as they have similar appeal, but signs point to Shadow being a bit overrated, and besides, Knuckles is a cooler character. I wouldn't feel right taking Shadow.
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"All pretty girls are a trap, a pretty trap, and men expect them to be."
MasterMage119
From: Dark115 | Posted: 8/12/2005 5:35:25 PM | Message Detail
I don't see who in their right mind would vote Shadow over Knuckles
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http://users.ign.com/collection/Dark115.
Currently Playing: God of War (PS2), Final Fantasy VIII (PS1), Mega Man X4 (PS1)
From: XxSoulxX | Posted: 8/12/2005 5:35:32 PM | Message Detail
About the rally, I think we should get in Fox McCloud or Falco Lombardi. Fox got 25% on Cloud in 2002, which puts him around Kirby and Knuckles in the stats. He's also in SSBM and had Starfox: Assault come out. I think he could become a pretty good midcarder.
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"ertyu is actually a language. For example, 'dum' is ertyunese for 'godly'." - Topaz Kitsune
*Waiting for Guru winner's sig*
From: Mac Arrowny | Posted: 8/12/2005 5:35:48 PM | Message Detail
The problem with WDF is that MM already dropped between 2k2 and 2k3, if you consider WDF to be true, then MM's drop between 2k2 and 2k3 became unholy.


Huh? WDF reduces his 2k2 strength. That would mean that his drop was far smaller, perhaps nonexistent.

Seph also dropped between 2k3 and 2k4, despite losing to the exact same opponent in both years, WDF can't even begin to account for that.

Yeah, so? Considering the lack of SFF between them, it's perfectly possible for one to drop without affecting the other.

And IIRC, 2k4 X-stats assumed a static Cloud (NOT Mario) between 2k3 and 2k4, although I personally doubt that.


Depends on the stats you use. Some have constant Mario, some have constant Cloud.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 8/12/2005 5:35:55 PM | Message Detail
And there is definitely room for a few more >>>'s in between Knuckles and Tails, IMO.

Tails isn't all that weak. Last we saw him, he was getting 43% on Dante. Doesn't sound too bad to me.
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Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Sonic vs, Jin - Bracket: Sonic - Vote: Sonic (21/24)
From: Aprosenf | Posted: 8/12/2005 5:35:57 PM | Message Detail
The Contest Stats and Discussion Topic - home of the gurus, home of the crazy, with overlap between the two. Congratulations on ten thousand posts.
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For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/12/2005 5:35:58 PM | Message Detail
Shadow and Knuckles were virtually tied last year. The gap was smaller than the one between Tidus and Shadow in 2003. I'd take Knux head to head. I'd expect the old school fans to pull through for him.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (2) Squall Leonhart 74412 (74.84%), (7) Geno 25022 (25.16%)
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