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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 196
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:33:28 AM | Message Detail
However, if you strictly use the unadjusted stats, Magus was ahead by 0.02%.

The ones where Magus lost to Crono? Ouch...
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"All pretty girls are a trap, a pretty trap, and men expect them to be."
MasterMage119
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:33:31 AM | Message Detail
Go Knux,
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I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:33:35 AM | Message Detail
Link to the Past. I can't believe I wasn't there to vote that day.
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I'm about to get sigged by Karma Hunter, and all I'll get is this lousy T-shirt.--Clockwork Dragon
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:33:48 AM | Message Detail
Bottom line -- we suck at adjusting?

That's been a viable answer since the Game Contest.
---
Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: red sox 777 | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:33:58 AM | Message Detail
From this time to the end of Kefka/Knuckles, Knuckles gained 1.22%

From this time to the end of Snake/Knuckles, Knuckles gained 3.37%

From this time to the end of Magus/Ganondorf, Magus lost 0.14%, but gained approximately 200 votes. That match started 2 hours earlier, so Magus has more time to come back with the night vote tonight.
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Summer Contest 2005 --- Score: 21/22 --- Rank: T-103
From: TheCruelAngel | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:34:40 AM | Message Detail
Hands out complimentary sarcasm detectors to Kyle Bowen and TheCruelAngel along with a free subscription to Bite Me. ;)

I figured as much. :P

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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
From: Saiyan X | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:35:45 AM | Message Detail
I'd pick Chrono Trigger.
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Needless to say, the sexual implications were intentional.
From: Keno316 | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:36:27 AM | Message Detail
I'd still pick Chrono Trigger due to fanboyism, but I wouldn't mind if LttP won.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair & Millia Rage*
From: smitelf | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:37:04 AM | Message Detail
Er... well... there's still the Romero Factor to consider... maybe...
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Official Queen ***** of the Universe!
From: Gordon Finish | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:37:15 AM | Message Detail
For kicks, we should only look at the unadjusted rankings and see how they hold up for matches against direct opponents.

Are there any matches where the unadjusted stats would have given us a different winner then the one who won he poll? (Ignoring this one)

~Shake
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Signature: 'NOOOOOooooOOOooO
yoblazer:'I have you now!' <- Guru Champion.
From: jonthomson | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:37:56 AM | Message Detail
From: Slowflake | Posted: 8/10/2005 6:32:22 PM | #447
CT/LttP rematch. Who wins?

I go with CT again. Although last time I had Super Metroid in that match :-)
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Jon Thomson - MARIO, Samus, SOLID SNAKE, Bowser, CRONO, Squall, Sonic, MEGA MAN
From: Slowflake | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:39:10 AM | Message Detail
Ganondorf vs. almost anyone?
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You can't have gone over a kilometer up. 1500 meters, tops. -Samus Aran
From: jonthomson | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:40:12 AM | Message Detail
From: Gordon Finish | Posted: 8/10/2005 6:37:15 PM | #460
For kicks, we should only look at the unadjusted rankings and see how they hold up for matches against direct opponents.

Are there any matches where the unadjusted stats would have given us a different winner then the one who won he poll? (Ignoring this one)

~Shake


CATS > Ganondorf > Ansem?
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Jon Thomson - MARIO, Samus, SOLID SNAKE, Bowser, CRONO, Squall, Sonic, MEGA MAN
From: Tai | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:41:39 AM | Message Detail
Bottom line -- we suck at adjusting?

Yes. You do. Very hard. I will never trust the extraoverrated stats again.
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From: therealmnm | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:42:05 AM | Message Detail
This may be proof that Magus and Frog DID benefit from having a huge bandwagon behind them. Many people who don't really like Magus better than Link or Frog better than Snake (but still like them to some degree) may have voted for them to see them do well in the contest... Especially since it looked like they had no chance of beating Link and Snake respectively.

It might make sense. Zero is my 3rd favorite character period, but I still voted Ryu H. over him to see him do well. Of course, again, it would have had to be a HELL of a bandwagon for Magus to perform so pathetically today...
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MM are my INITIALS "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
From: Saiyan X | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:42:22 AM | Message Detail
You can't have gone over a kilometer up. 1500 meters, tops.

1500 meters is more than a kilometer.
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Needless to say, the sexual implications were intentional.
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:42:54 AM | Message Detail
Yes. You do. Very hard. I will never trust the extraoverrated stats again.

Because obviously without them you would have chosen knuckles right? Or maybe you're just trying to blame everyone else for your incorrect pick.
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From: Delirium Trigger | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:44:05 AM | Message Detail
WTFWTFWTFWTFWTFWTFWTF!!!!??!!?!??!?!!?!?

I AM NOT PLEASED.

HOLY ****ING HELL, I JUST WOKE UP, VOTED MAGUS, WENT TO CLICK CONTEST STATS, DOUBLE TOOK, AND COULD NOT ****ING BELIEVE IT.

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Explicit Content.
Cheer Up Emo Kids.
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:44:33 AM | Message Detail
This may be proof that Magus and Frog DID benefit from having a huge bandwagon behind them.

I actually thought about that after I saw Magus actually losing today. It isn't that farfetched of an idea really. But I would imagine there's more to it in Magus's case.

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Takes nothing to realize your Ken.
http://img159.imageshack.us/img159/480/kensa34mr.gif
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:44:34 AM | Message Detail
The thing is, I would have picked Knux over Magus in a heartbeat in 2003. It's all his performance that made me (reluctantly) give him the win in this round.

But I have him going down to Squall, so it's all good.
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I'm about to get sigged by Karma Hunter, and all I'll get is this lousy T-shirt.--Clockwork Dragon
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:45:24 AM | Message Detail
I'd bother lookin' for reasonable explanations for this...but that's not on my to-do list right now, heh. I will note this though: as both a gift and a curse, if Knuckles wins today, he'll still be the weakest character to have won a match every contest.
---
Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: TheCruelAngel | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:45:53 AM | Message Detail
WTFWTFWTFWTFWTFWTFWTF!!!!??!!?!??!?!!?!?

I AM NOT PLEASED.

HOLY ****ING HELL, I JUST WOKE UP, VOTED MAGUS, WENT TO CLICK CONTEST STATS, DOUBLE TOOK, AND COULD NOT ****ING BELIEVE IT.


XD

XD

XD

That's the best post in this topic, easily.

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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:46:15 AM | Message Detail
Just out of curiosity how many of you did a double take after seeing the poll? I know I did when I voted for knux to see him a mere 200 votes behind.
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From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:46:31 AM | Message Detail
Because obviously without them you would have chosen knuckles right? Or maybe you're just trying to blame everyone else for your incorrect pick.

MANY more people would have taken Knuckles if they knew that Magus was ahead by 0.02% in the stats. But this was going to be at least a 60 - 40 affair, so many didn't even consider it. Hell, they were so far apart in the stats to begin with that you didn't even need to know that to know Knuckles didn't stand a chance.

I, for one, would have looked at this match far more seriously had we only had the unadjusted stats.

---
Takes nothing to realize your Ken.
http://img159.imageshack.us/img159/480/kensa34mr.gif
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:47:57 AM | Message Detail
Instead, you have MULTIPLE x-stats to look at...including the unadjusted. Don't be gettin' mad 'cuz you didn't pay more attention to that (and I doubt any of the rest of us did, either).
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:48:19 AM | Message Detail
MANY more people would have taken Knuckles if they knew that Magus was ahead by 0.02% in the stats. But this was going to be at least a 60 - 40 affair, so many didn't even consider it. Hell, they were so far apart in the stats to begin with that you didn't even need to know that to know Knuckles didn't stand a chance.

I, for one, would have looked at this match far more seriously had we only had the unadjusted stats.


So you never look at the unadjusted stats and make comparisons? Even with onlyhaving the unadjusted stats I would still assume heavy SFF and so would everyone else.
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From: Tai | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:48:46 AM | Message Detail
Because obviously without them you would have chosen knuckles right

Probably. Your adjustments fail, very hard.
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From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:49:34 AM | Message Detail
Nevermind my "don't be gettin' mad" part; you sounded angrier the first time I read through the post than the second time.
---
Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:50:24 AM | Message Detail
Probably. Your adjustments fail, very hard.

They aren't my adjustments. You really need to calm down. So you made a bad pick that loses you 7 points in the long run. Tough ****, the same is hapenning to a lot of us as well.
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From: Zylo the wolf | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:50:29 AM | Message Detail
I can't believe everyone says that Squall is a lock to the sweet sixteen now. Even if Magus was overrated, Knuckles is right now doing what Sonic would do according to the X-stats. That must at least mean something.
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When this happened, all of us got PWND by Smurf
http://www.freewebs.com/vgcg/Knuckles.jpg
From: Smurf87 | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:50:51 AM | Message Detail
I've been wrecking my brain. With lower vote totals we'd at least have the hypothesis that all the Magus supporters were casuals, who like GTA and Magus. Nothing else....shut up.

But vote totals are comparable to 2k3.

Has George Romero been supporting Magus all this time?

Has Smurf gotten better at hacking?


o_0. Why does everyone think that?

Apart from the fact that Knux is my fave character and magus is my least fave , that I made a suspicious topic yesterday telling everyone to wait and see and that I've been following the match all day... what possible reasons could there be to suspect me?

But seriously.... there was no cheating so far. If either character gains a suspicious bundle of votes in an update, then there's cheating (like Vercetti gaining 200 votes in 5 minutes.)

Knuckles is winning without help.


---
Smurf , the cream of Knuckles Fanboyism
Now Playing: Tales of Symphonia (again), Burnout 3 (still), Loz:Minish Cap
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:51:00 AM | Message Detail
So you never look at the unadjusted stats and make comparisons? Even with onlyhaving the unadjusted stats I would still assume heavy SFF and so would everyone else.

I always look at the unadjusted stats, especially with characters such as these. However, you're probably right that I, and basically everyone else, would have assumed SFF. But there wasn't any reason to claim he was upset about getting a pick wrong. We DO suck at adjusting, that is rather evident and nothing new.

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Takes nothing to realize your Ken.
http://img159.imageshack.us/img159/480/kensa34mr.gif
From: smitelf | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:51:05 AM | Message Detail
I'd bother lookin' for reasonable explanations for this...but that's not on my to-do list right now, heh.

I’m waiting until tomorrow to give myself a headache over it, in order to ensure that my curiosity isn’t being wasted.

Just out of curiosity how many of you did a double take after seeing the poll? I know I did when I voted for knux to see him a mere 200 votes behind.

I voted just a short while ago, and I did not believe my eyes at first when I saw the results (after voting for Knuckles, myself, whom I expected to see around 42%ish).
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Official Queen ***** of the Universe!
From: therealmnm | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:51:40 AM | Message Detail
I'd bother lookin' for reasonable explanations for this...but that's not on my to-do list right now, heh. I will note this though: as both a gift and a curse, if Knuckles wins today, he'll still be the weakest character to have won a match every contest.

Who cares? Sephiroth is the weakest character to have won a contest. You think his fans care?

Knuckles > Magus. This is all you need to make your day.
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MM are my INITIALS "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
From: Kyle Bowen | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:52:11 AM | Message Detail
I am going to post this here. -_-


I think this shows Samus was SFF'D against Link in 2k3.

I have always said Magus is overrated, but maybe he just had a huge drop off.

But if he is overrated. Samus was SFF'D to an extent in 2k3.


Reasons?

SSBM.

Anyone in this game is likely to fall into this trap. Due to the popularization of these character based on their appearance this is game.


KB
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:54:04 AM | Message Detail
I always look at the unadjusted stats, especially with characters such as these. However, you're probably right that I, and basically everyone else, would have assumed SFF. But there wasn't any reason to claim he was upset about getting a pick wrong. We DO suck at adjusting, that is rather evident and nothing new.

Yeah he's right there, but the problem is he really just seems pissed off at everyone else because he made an incorrect pick. You can't just go around blaming other people when you don't look into one of your picks. I had magus making it to crono as well, and it's my own fault for not looking into the match further.
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From: Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:54:27 AM | Message Detail
I really wish CJay would set the poll back to live updates. Someone might be cheating for Knuckles, and doing it at a steady continuous pace so as not to be detected. Its possible...

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Can't think of a good sig.
From: NewLib | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:54:28 AM | Message Detail
Tai, are you going to go Sin/Robotnik on us?
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Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Tripling Gordon Freeman.
From: Tai | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:55:01 AM | Message Detail
So you made a bad pick that loses you 7 points in the long run. Tough ****, the same is hapenning to a lot of us as well.

Um, the match is not over.
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From: Master Moltar | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:55:30 AM | Message Detail
I really wish CJay would set the poll back to live updates. Someone might be cheating for Knuckles, and doing it at a steady continuous pace so as not to be detected. Its possible...

Possible, but highly unlikely. Knuckles always owns the day vote.
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Magus vs. Knuckles - Bracket: Magus - Vote: Knuckles (20/22)
From: NewLib | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:55:34 AM | Message Detail
From: Blade Of Evils Bane
I really wish CJay would set the poll back to live updates. Someone might be cheating for Knuckles, and doing it at a steady continuous pace so as not to be detected. Its possible...

Getting rid of the live updates was to help PREVENT cheating.

Also no one is mass cheating for Knuckles, he is following the same pattern he always does.
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Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Tripling Gordon Freeman.
From: kungfu chicken | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:55:45 AM | Message Detail
in a topic yesterday smurf said he had a feeling knuckles would win. Some one mentioned that george would screw it up and smurf responded

"No, GEORGE wont screw it up *wink*"

he then quickly deleated his post. Not saying thats whats happening, but its possible.
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*pacing back in forth waiting for: advance wars ds, twilight princess, ffxii, kingdom hearts 2, castlevania dos*
From: Wanglicious | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:55:48 AM | Message Detail
....My head hurts.

If this match is true, then somehow it's saying that from '03, a time where Magus > Ganon (who in turn meant Tidus, Squall, and Auron as that trio tends to be too stuck together)....

And Knuckles << Snake....


.....It makes this? Yeah, My head hurts.

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Treeplane: "SOMEONE GET THIS PIRATE OFF ME! I HAVE TO GO LOVE MARIO! I NEED IT!" - PoG's Board 8 fic.
From: Zylo the wolf | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:56:22 AM | Message Detail
Knuckles as the Devil Champion!!
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When this happened, all of us got PWND by Smurf
http://www.freewebs.com/vgcg/Knuckles.jpg
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:56:22 AM | Message Detail
Um, the match is not over.

Magus isn't going to make a comeback big enough to retake the lead. I'll bet my account on that if you're willing to bet yours that he well win.
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From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:56:54 AM | Message Detail
Snake > Zelda/Bowser
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: Penguin Lancer | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:56:55 AM | Message Detail
I AM THE BEST!
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Cool dudes with attitudes... Or prejudice androids and a floating head?! You be the judge.-On the power Rangers
From: Saiyan X | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:56:56 AM | Message Detail
Vincent over Crono!
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Needless to say, the sexual implications were intentional.
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:57:05 AM | Message Detail
Knuckles's bare ass >>> Magus.
---
Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: NewLib | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:57:06 AM | Message Detail
THIS TOPIC SUCKS AND NOW IS ABOUT LEON!
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Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Tripling Gordon Freeman.
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