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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 195
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:03:03 AM | Message Detail
We wizards and humans have created our own ruin.



*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Summer 2002 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/1

Summer 2003 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/2

Spring 2004 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/3

Summer 2004 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/4

Summer 2005 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/5

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19



*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Summer 2002 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/13

Summer 2003 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/14

Spring 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/15

SFF Adjusted Spring 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/16

Summer 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/17

SFF Adjusted Summer 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/18

Spring 2005 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/27

All Time Extrapolated Standings:
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/alltimexsts.htm



*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html



*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm



*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, save for three from 2002:
http://www.sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php



*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

MMXcalibur's Contest Sites:
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

Poll Vote Total Updater:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/25

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251



!yawA tsoP
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:03:54 AM | Message Detail
This is Knuckles the Echidna. You'd better show some respect.
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: RPGGamer0 | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:03:55 AM | Message Detail
Damn them wizards.


~RPGGamer
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:04:57 AM | Message Detail
Knux > Magus
---
Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Magus vs. Knuckles - Bracket: Magus - Vote: Knuckles (20/22)
From: Blitz Ace the 4th | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:05:48 AM | Message Detail
Magus is gonna get tossed by Vince.
---
Mitch Hedberg: February 24 1968 - March 30 2005
Rest In Peace
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:06:06 AM | Message Detail
Zelda > Mario
---
I know what I'm getting into, I don't care if I die trying!-Peppita Rossetti
From: BeTheMan | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:07:11 AM | Message Detail
Knux > 45%
---
ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO...Pac-Man?
From: Blaze79797 | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:07:15 AM | Message Detail
Magus owns all.

Knuckles stands no chance; he shall be but the first of many victims to fall by the scythe of Magus.

Heh, and now it's started...
---
Oh, how dreadful. Say, can you hear that? It's the sound of the Reaper!
From: WiggumFan267 | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:10:03 AM | Message Detail
Go Knux go!



---
Happily married to Alanna82 on Valentines Day 2005
Magus over Knuckles. Voting for: Knuckles. 21/22
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:11:52 AM | Message Detail
he shall be but the first of many victims to fall by the scythe of Magus.

The first and only.
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: creativename | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:30:23 AM | Message Detail
Magus' flopping shocks me more than anything else so far this contest, by far.
---
www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery
From: therealmnm | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:30:44 AM | Message Detail
Hey! Knuckles DESERVES a quote... especially since he isn't going to the second round....

Or IS he? BUM BUM BUMMMMMMMMMM

"Born on an island in the heavens, the blood of my ancestors flows inside me. My duty is to guard the Master Emerald."
---
MM are my INITIALS "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
From: BeTheMan | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:31:44 AM | Message Detail
2 Solid Snake 46897 65.43% 15 Squall Leonhart 24779 34.57%

2 Solid Snake 41335 60.71% 7 Knuckles the Echidna 26748 39.29%

We might just get a chance to test out the validity of 2k2 after all... :-D
---
ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO...Pac-Man?
From: mr_BRIAN | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:32:09 AM | Message Detail
I win.
---
The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (0) Voters
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:32:16 AM | Message Detail
501!!!
---
I know what I'm getting into, I don't care if I die trying!-Peppita Rossetti
From: cavedog0 | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:32:35 AM | Message Detail
501 posts in the last topic.

From: mr_BRIAN | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:31:43 AM | Message Detail | #501
Knuckles > Magus > Tails
---
The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (0) Voters

---
"Chief, I smell ass and it's coming from your direction." - FFMrebirth
Go, Pack, Go!
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:32:37 AM | Message Detail
and with the new topic up I'm going to bed
---
I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:32:51 AM | Message Detail
Magus... wow. Just wow.

---
Takes nothing to realize your Ken.
http://img159.imageshack.us/img159/480/kensa34mr.gif
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:33:13 AM | Message Detail
I didn't realize we were that close to closing. Let's try again.

I was contemplating the idea that sprite pics for the CT crew really make a difference, similar to Kefka. It would account for an "overperformance" on Link by Magus, which helps resolve Magus, Ganondorf, Tidus and Sam Fisher. The same for Frog on Snake, which resolves Frog, MC, LS, and Crash. The only immediate flaw that I can find is that while Mario/Crono I was artwork, both Mario/Crono II and III were sprites, and Crono did noticeably better in III. If II was artwork as well, I'd be very inclined to believe this. I don't really have the wherewithal to look through other opponents, but this seems possible.
---
"It shall be engraved upon your soul! Divine Assault: Nibelung Valesti!" ~ Lenneth Valkyrie
From: Crono801 | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:33:15 AM | Message Detail
500th post > 501st post.

And, if 2k4 Tidus is expected to get 50.83% against Knuckles. If this match finishes the way we expect it to, and Magus is just a little bit stronger than Tidus, everything may make sense.
---
Welcome to Moonside. Wecomel to Soonmide. Moonwel ot cosidme
From: Crono801 | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:33:57 AM | Message Detail
Scratch the first"if."
---
Welcome to Moonside. Wecomel to Soonmide. Moonwel ot cosidme
From: Mister Mario | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:34:15 AM | Message Detail
Notice how Knux has done better against Snake each competition.

Could it be a gradual Knux/Sonic increase, and not just a Snake decrease?

It makes no ****ing sense, since Sonic hasn't done anything worth playing since Sonic CD, but damn it.

I am glad that Mario wins the contest now. Stupid CT!
---
Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Master Ness
From: NewLib | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:34:28 AM | Message Detail
Yeah and who would of thought this: If these stats hold up, the strongest three Non-Noble Nine Characters could be: Vincent, Tifa, Zelda.
---
Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Tripling Gordon Freeman.
From: Heroic Dr Wily | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:34:28 AM | Message Detail
Knuckles beating Magus isen't surprising, Knuckles can beat anybody as long as he's not against Snake.
From: Eggplant Lord | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:35:20 AM | Message Detail
From: Crono801 | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:33:15 AM | #020
500th post > 501st post.

And, if 2k4 Tidus is expected to get 50.83% against Knuckles. If this match finishes the way we expect it to, and Magus is just a little bit stronger than Tidus, everything may make sense.


LIES! The stats will never make sense.

///
I simply must say I'm completely out of ideas for a sig!
From: Heroic Dr Wily | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:35:42 AM | Message Detail
Notice how Knux has done better against Snake each competition.

He did worse in 2003 than he did in 2002.
From: Mister Mario | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:35:49 AM | Message Detail
Bowser and Ganon, too.
---
Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Master Ness
From: mr_BRIAN | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:35:50 AM | Message Detail
Magus 54.35% 1941
Knuckles the Echidna 45.65% 1630
TOTAL VOTES 3571

Finally, his % went up.
---
The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (0) Voters
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:35:54 AM | Message Detail
Looks like we'll get to see Snake/Knuckles IV after all. Worst. Finals. Ever.
---
Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:35:57 AM | Message Detail
The only immediate flaw that I can find is that while Mario/Crono I was artwork, both Mario/Crono II and III were sprites, and Crono did noticeably better in III.

Well, Crono seems to be the exception to everything that is pre-PSX Square.

Plus, I think Crono benefits from being the face of his game. I've said this many times before, but I'll say it here again. I knew who he was long before I ever played the game. I could not say that about any other pre-PSX Square character.
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: Crono801 | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:36:03 AM | Message Detail
"Make sense" is a relative term, in this case.
---
Welcome to Moonside. Wecomel to Soonmide. Moonwel ot cosidme
From: Lopen | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:36:08 AM | Message Detail
Well Magus's %age stopped dropping like a rock, we can stop the Knuckles > Magus scare (or awesomeness, whatever) now, I think.
---
Raiden fact of the contest: Alucard is a plagiarist, this year Raiden will prove it!
From: Eggplant Lord | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:36:17 AM | Message Detail
OMG Increase!

Finally. Let's hope he stays there.

///
I simply must say I'm completely out of ideas for a sig!
From: cavedog0 | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:36:23 AM | Message Detail
Knuckles beating Magus isen't surprising, Knuckles can beat anybody as long as he's not against Snake.

XD
---
"Chief, I smell ass and it's coming from your direction." - FFMrebirth
Go, Pack, Go!
From: Mister Mario | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:36:40 AM | Message Detail
Never mind about Knux then. But Mario wins the contest!

Woo!
---
Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Master Ness
From: NewLib | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:36:49 AM | Message Detail
Bowser is really the only character that can stop that. 'Dorf cant be greater than Zelda.
---
Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Tripling Gordon Freeman.
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:37:37 AM | Message Detail
2003 was a lot more weird than 2004 when talking about Mario/Crono. Crono should have won in 2003 and everyone knows it.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
"If my fate is to be destroyed... I must simply laugh!" -Magus
From: Mister Mario | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:37:41 AM | Message Detail
Ganon can be stronger than Zelda.
---
Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Master Ness
From: Haste2 | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:38:07 AM | Message Detail
Kefka lost 9% from this point in the match to the end in Kefka/Knux. You heard me right. Magus had better pray that he can hold on still...

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: NewLib | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:38:20 AM | Message Detail
No he cant. This proves Zelda > Ganondorf.
---
Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Tripling Gordon Freeman.
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:38:44 AM | Message Detail
'Dorf cant be greater than Zelda.

I would still bank on Ganon being stronger than Zelda. It wasn't as though performed terribly.

---
Takes nothing to realize your Ken.
http://img159.imageshack.us/img159/480/kensa34mr.gif
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:39:03 AM | Message Detail
Zelda > Ganondorf wouldn't shock me in the least.
---
Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: Ketchop | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:39:14 AM | Message Detail
Oy, this puts a whole new spin on Auron Vs. Ganondorf and Kirby vs. Tidus.
---
TOOMMMAAATOOOO SAAAAUUUUCCCCEEEE!
(he seems pumped....perhaps?)
From: cavedog0 | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:39:22 AM | Message Detail
I still think Knux has a great shot, He's only down by 300 votes, and I think the day vote will go to him.
---
"Chief, I smell ass and it's coming from your direction." - FFMrebirth
Go, Pack, Go!
From: Jericoholic | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:39:24 AM | Message Detail
I doubt that Knuckles can make 9% of ground on Magus, but he could do 5...

---
I don't have an ego.
I'm way too cool for that.
From: creativename | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:39:52 AM | Message Detail
From: Haste2 | Posted: 8/10/2005 3:38:07 AM | Message Detail | #039
Kefka lost 9% from this point in the match to the end in Kefka/Knux. You heard me right. Magus had better pray that he can hold on still..


Magus isn't as bad during the day as Knuckles, but there is a good chance that Knuckles is going to win this going away, by thousands of votes.
---
www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery
From: NewLib | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:39:54 AM | Message Detail
There is no way he can be. He have to of increased three more points than Zelda from 2003 to 2005. He has no reason to gain that much more strength than Zelda.
---
Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Tripling Gordon Freeman.
From: Lopen | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:39:58 AM | Message Detail
I also said I'd take Zelda over Ganondorf... admittedly that was because of "possible SFF". Apparently it's just because of "possible Zelda might".
---
Raiden fact of the contest: Alucard is a plagiarist, this year Raiden will prove it!
From: BeTheMan | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:40:11 AM | Message Detail
I thought that Zelda mauling Vivi was enough to certify her > Ganondorf...I guess the next round should put an end to the debate.
---
ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO...Pac-Man?
From: NewLib | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:40:33 AM | Message Detail
Yeah Kefka had mass cheating on his side and he STILL lost the day vote pretty badly.
---
Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Tripling Gordon Freeman.
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