Summer 2005 Contest
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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 194
From: ExquisiteSamurai
| Posted: 8/9/2005 7:46:08 PM | Message Detail
So Clinkeroth is the only other separate name eh?
---
"Life...Dreams...Hope...Where'd they come from? And where are they headed...? These things...I'm going to destroy!!" -Kefka
---
"Life...Dreams...Hope...Where'd they come from? And where are they headed...? These things...I'm going to destroy!!" -Kefka
From: dragoontheguy
| Posted: 8/9/2005 7:46:58 PM | Message Detail
I don't feel the evidence is sufficient for Ganon, either. It's
highly believable, which is why Magus is over Vincent in my bracket
(*cries*) but I'm not convinced.
I think the spring contest allowed gannon to prove his metal to us, even if some people refuse to believe the stats from that contest. Through a static kefka diablo ranks around luigi and got under 35% on gannon. Gannon also broke 40% on sephiroth. I'd say both those things prove that he deserves to be where he is in the stats, but I suppose we'll need to wait for confirmation in this contest before everyone believes his strength.
---
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I think the spring contest allowed gannon to prove his metal to us, even if some people refuse to believe the stats from that contest. Through a static kefka diablo ranks around luigi and got under 35% on gannon. Gannon also broke 40% on sephiroth. I'd say both those things prove that he deserves to be where he is in the stats, but I suppose we'll need to wait for confirmation in this contest before everyone believes his strength.
---
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From: outback
| Posted: 8/9/2005 7:47:40 PM | Message Detail
It took me about 20 minutes into FFVII to dislike Cloud.
Coincidentally, that's all it took for me to dislike pretty much
everything I noticed except for the music and Barret.
---
NOMINATE KEN MASTERS FOR SC2K5
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From: TheCruelAngel
| Posted: 8/9/2005 7:47:43 PM | Message Detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
From: ExquisiteSamurai
| Posted: 8/9/2005 7:51:23 PM | Message Detail
What was wrong with Cloud in the beginning??? I thought the beginning was awesome.. =/
---
"Life...Dreams...Hope...Where'd they come from? And where are they headed...? These things...I'm going to destroy!!" -Kefka
---
"Life...Dreams...Hope...Where'd they come from? And where are they headed...? These things...I'm going to destroy!!" -Kefka
From: outback
| Posted: 8/9/2005 7:52:54 PM | Message Detail
Basically him saying "I don't care" about everything. I prefer people
who take a stand and speak their mind on something, such as Barret.
---
NOMINATE KEN MASTERS FOR SC2K5
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From: ChichiriMuyo
| Posted: 8/9/2005 7:53:13 PM | Message Detail
Even clinkeroth is seeing less use, since some people seem to think
that Samus can beat Sephiroth now. For the same reason I'm not
convinced by Ganon (which extends to Magus) I'm not inclined to believe
that Seph loses his top 3 spot. This site is filled with drones that
are so clueless that Link could beat Cloud 60/40 and they'd still say
that FF7 always wins the next day. With that sort of mentality, and
with no real elite characters to rally behind in the spring, Sephiroth
was severely anti-voted.
---
Now Link, fill up your hearts
So you can shoot your sword with power
---
Now Link, fill up your hearts
So you can shoot your sword with power
From: BlAcK TuRtLe
| Posted: 8/9/2005 7:55:38 PM | Message Detail
As much as I hate to say it, I really hope that Kerrigan is just Weak
***** of the Universe so Dante has a shot at Vincent and is then taken
down my Magus. This division could be the undoing of my entire bracket
as it has already cost me a point. Damn, wish I knew about Board 8 and
all of the statistics and stuff BEFORE I filled in my contest form.
---
Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
From: dragoontheguy
| Posted: 8/9/2005 7:56:40 PM | Message Detail
I don't think seph was antivoted like many people think. He managed to
absolutely crush everyone in his way even more then expecteduntil he
had to face bowser and gannon. Up until that point he was looking
stronger then ever. Especially when he absolutely destroyed liquid
snake. The anti-FF7 sentiment isn't nearly as big on gamefaqs as this
board might lead you to believe at times.
---
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From: ChichiriMuyo
| Posted: 8/9/2005 7:58:20 PM | Message Detail
"Basically him saying "I don't care" about everything. I prefer people
who take a stand and speak their mind on something, such as Barret."
But he didn't care, he had no reason to. Sure, the world was supposedly dying, but even without Sephiroth there's fair reason to believe that the corrupt society that Midgar had become would have fallen under its own weight before the planet actually died... and besides, as we know all resources are renewable in time, even if that time is a million years without human. A planet will survive everything short of a huge cataclysmic event like a meteor crashing into it... >_> Frankly, environmentalists are just worried about their ability to live on a planet, not the ability of said planet to survive. The planet would have held out longer than Cloud's life, which was torn asunder, so why should he care?
---
Now Link, fill up your hearts
So you can shoot your sword with power
But he didn't care, he had no reason to. Sure, the world was supposedly dying, but even without Sephiroth there's fair reason to believe that the corrupt society that Midgar had become would have fallen under its own weight before the planet actually died... and besides, as we know all resources are renewable in time, even if that time is a million years without human. A planet will survive everything short of a huge cataclysmic event like a meteor crashing into it... >_> Frankly, environmentalists are just worried about their ability to live on a planet, not the ability of said planet to survive. The planet would have held out longer than Cloud's life, which was torn asunder, so why should he care?
---
Now Link, fill up your hearts
So you can shoot your sword with power
From: ExquisiteSamurai
| Posted: 8/9/2005 7:58:56 PM | Message Detail
I .. Let me make that clear... I don't think Samus will be able to take down Sephiroth this year or next year.
---
"Life...Dreams...Hope...Where'd they come from? And where are they headed...? These things...I'm going to destroy!!" -Kefka
---
"Life...Dreams...Hope...Where'd they come from? And where are they headed...? These things...I'm going to destroy!!" -Kefka
From: sidharta
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:00:08 PM | Message Detail
Basically him saying "I don't care" about everything. I prefer
people who take a stand and speak their mind on something, such as
Barret.
That's like the exact opposite of me.
I hate stubborn bastards like Barret, who will try to prove himself right using any means possible.
While I don't quite enjoy Cloud's I don't give a **** attitude, but I like how he gradually changed.
---
Reserved for the winner of the SC2K5 Guru Challenge.
That's like the exact opposite of me.
I hate stubborn bastards like Barret, who will try to prove himself right using any means possible.
While I don't quite enjoy Cloud's I don't give a **** attitude, but I like how he gradually changed.
---
Reserved for the winner of the SC2K5 Guru Challenge.
From: ChichiriMuyo
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:01:48 PM | Message Detail
"He managed to absolutely crush everyone in his way even more then expecteduntil he had to face bowser and gannon."
Because those two were rallying points. Not just because their heroes are who they are but because they were the absolute strongest competition he could face. They're litterally the only two that should benefit from the "FF7 always wins" mentality.
---
Now Link, fill up your hearts
So you can shoot your sword with power
Because those two were rallying points. Not just because their heroes are who they are but because they were the absolute strongest competition he could face. They're litterally the only two that should benefit from the "FF7 always wins" mentality.
---
Now Link, fill up your hearts
So you can shoot your sword with power
From: outback
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:02:00 PM | Message Detail
I'm not saying he should, I'm just saying that he did nothing to make
me like him. Maybe I should play more into it, but the battle system
didn't do anything for me, and I HATE playing RPGs just to advance the
story. It feels more like a chore than it does a game.
---
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From: ExquisiteSamurai
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:02:09 PM | Message Detail
While I don't quite enjoy Cloud's I don't give a **** attitude, but I like how he gradually changed.
Agrees
and because he cares ....
****Advent Children Possible Spoilers****
He might die in AC due to geostigma
****End AC Possible Spoilers****
---
"Life...Dreams...Hope...Where'd they come from? And where are they headed...? These things...I'm going to destroy!!" -Kefka
Agrees
and because he cares ....
****Advent Children Possible Spoilers****
He might die in AC due to geostigma
****End AC Possible Spoilers****
---
"Life...Dreams...Hope...Where'd they come from? And where are they headed...? These things...I'm going to destroy!!" -Kefka
From: Kagato Toujou
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:04:01 PM | Message Detail
I .. Let me make that clear... I don't think Samus will be able to take down Sephiroth this year or next year.
My bracket sez the same. I believe a large portion of the casual voters might be chomping at the bit to vote for Sephy over a character that's already been thru six rounds; Link versus Cloud will have a HUGE turn-out for both sides regardless.
My bracket sez the same. I believe a large portion of the casual voters might be chomping at the bit to vote for Sephy over a character that's already been thru six rounds; Link versus Cloud will have a HUGE turn-out for both sides regardless.
From: charmander6000
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:04:20 PM | Message Detail
I .. Let me make that clear... I don't think Samus will be able to take down Sephiroth this year or next year.
Well I do.
---
I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.
Well I do.
---
I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.
From: ExquisiteSamurai
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:05:32 PM | Message Detail
2005-08-09 20:00:00 19051 72252 20.87% 79.13% 91303 53201
2005-08-09 19:55:00 19002 72051 20.87% 79.13% 91053 53049
2005-08-09 19:50:00 18951 71844 20.87% 79.13% 90795 52893
2005-08-09 19:45:01 18889 71628 20.87% 79.13% 90517 52739
2005-08-09 19:40:01 18823 71409 20.86% 79.14% 90232 52586
2005-08-09 19:35:01 18763 71188 20.86% 79.14% 89951 52425
2005-08-09 19:30:00 18702 70950 20.86% 79.14% 89652 52248
2005-08-09 19:25:00 18625 70708 20.85% 79.15% 89333 52083
2005-08-09 19:20:00 18571 70476 20.86% 79.14% 89047 51905
2005-08-09 19:15:00 18500 70241 20.85% 79.15% 88741 51741
2005-08-09 19:10:00 18435 70021 20.84% 79.16% 88456 51586
2005-08-09 19:05:00 18394 69797 20.86% 79.14% 88191 51403
2005-08-09 19:00:01 18337 69562 20.86% 79.14% 87899 51225
2005-08-09 18:55:00 18275 69346 20.86% 79.14% 87621 51071
2005-08-09 18:50:00 18220 69126 20.86% 79.14% 87346 50906
2005-08-09 18:45:00 18165 68908 20.86% 79.14% 87073 50743
2005-08-09 18:40:00 18105 68683 20.86% 79.14% 86788 50578
2005-08-09 18:35:01 18038 68471 20.85% 79.15% 86509 50433
2005-08-09 18:30:01 17985 68248 20.86% 79.14% 86233 50263
2005-08-09 18:25:00 17925 68025 20.86% 79.14% 85950 50100
Looks like Vincent will end around 79.12 - 79.16
---
"Life...Dreams...Hope...Where'd they come from? And where are they headed...? These things...I'm going to destroy!!" -Kefka
2005-08-09 19:55:00 19002 72051 20.87% 79.13% 91053 53049
2005-08-09 19:50:00 18951 71844 20.87% 79.13% 90795 52893
2005-08-09 19:45:01 18889 71628 20.87% 79.13% 90517 52739
2005-08-09 19:40:01 18823 71409 20.86% 79.14% 90232 52586
2005-08-09 19:35:01 18763 71188 20.86% 79.14% 89951 52425
2005-08-09 19:30:00 18702 70950 20.86% 79.14% 89652 52248
2005-08-09 19:25:00 18625 70708 20.85% 79.15% 89333 52083
2005-08-09 19:20:00 18571 70476 20.86% 79.14% 89047 51905
2005-08-09 19:15:00 18500 70241 20.85% 79.15% 88741 51741
2005-08-09 19:10:00 18435 70021 20.84% 79.16% 88456 51586
2005-08-09 19:05:00 18394 69797 20.86% 79.14% 88191 51403
2005-08-09 19:00:01 18337 69562 20.86% 79.14% 87899 51225
2005-08-09 18:55:00 18275 69346 20.86% 79.14% 87621 51071
2005-08-09 18:50:00 18220 69126 20.86% 79.14% 87346 50906
2005-08-09 18:45:00 18165 68908 20.86% 79.14% 87073 50743
2005-08-09 18:40:00 18105 68683 20.86% 79.14% 86788 50578
2005-08-09 18:35:01 18038 68471 20.85% 79.15% 86509 50433
2005-08-09 18:30:01 17985 68248 20.86% 79.14% 86233 50263
2005-08-09 18:25:00 17925 68025 20.86% 79.14% 85950 50100
Looks like Vincent will end around 79.12 - 79.16
---
"Life...Dreams...Hope...Where'd they come from? And where are they headed...? These things...I'm going to destroy!!" -Kefka
From: ChichiriMuyo
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:06:07 PM | Message Detail
Yeah, but I'm saying that he's shouldn't be unlikeable because of that
because he's much more realistic than Barret. Even people who stand up
for what they believe don't take it to that extreme, and the ones who
do wantonly hurt others for their own ideals be it wrong or right.
Besides, play more than 20 minutes and you'll realize that Cloud comes a long, long way before you're done.
---
Now Link, fill up your hearts
So you can shoot your sword with power
Besides, play more than 20 minutes and you'll realize that Cloud comes a long, long way before you're done.
---
Now Link, fill up your hearts
So you can shoot your sword with power
From: dragoontheguy
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:06:17 PM | Message Detail
Because those two were rallying points. Not just because their
heroes are who they are but because they were the absolute strongest
competition he could face. They're litterally the only two that should
benefit from the "FF7 always wins" mentality.
That mentality more or less doesn't exist outside this board. FF7 doesn't get anti-voted to the point where gannon or bowser well do significantly better against seph then they are capable of doing on anyone else around the same strength. Most people don't know enough about the contest to know who has the greates chance against sephiroth.
One more thing I don't understand. Why would they only anti-vote him in those two matches? Why not in every other match as well?
---
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That mentality more or less doesn't exist outside this board. FF7 doesn't get anti-voted to the point where gannon or bowser well do significantly better against seph then they are capable of doing on anyone else around the same strength. Most people don't know enough about the contest to know who has the greates chance against sephiroth.
One more thing I don't understand. Why would they only anti-vote him in those two matches? Why not in every other match as well?
---
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From: ChichiriMuyo
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:07:19 PM | Message Detail
"Well I do."
You also seem to think that Dante can still beat Vincent.
---
Now Link, fill up your hearts
So you can shoot your sword with power
You also seem to think that Dante can still beat Vincent.
---
Now Link, fill up your hearts
So you can shoot your sword with power
From: Master Moltar
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:08:29 PM | Message Detail
Devil Division Round 1 - Match 23 – (3)Magus vs. (6)Knuckles the Echinda
Magus
Game/Series Known From: Chrono Trigger
Extrapolated Rank in 2002: N/A
Extrapolated Rank in 2003: 9th (34.93%)
Extrapolated Rank in 2004: 22nd (22.47%) Adjusted Value:9th (32.57%)
Seed in 2002: N/A
Seed in 2003: 13
Seed in 2004: 6
Lost in 2003 to Link in the Sweet 16
Lost in 2004 to Crono in Round 2
Magus finally gets the seed he deserves. I mean, 9th ranked in the Contest clearly doesn’t deserve a 13.
Knuckles
Game/Series Known From: Sonic
Extrapolated Rank in 2002: 15th (27.68%)
Extrapolated Rank in 2003: 24th (26.47%)
Extrapolated Rank in 2004: 24th (22.44%) Adjusted Value: 28th (24.94%)
Seed in 2002: 7
Seed in 2003: 8
Seed in 2004: 10
Lost in 2002 to Snake in Round 2
Lost in 2003 to Snake in Round 2
Lost in 2004 to Snake in Round 2
Knuckles not facing Snake in Round 2? Oh, it got worse my friend.
What was it Ceej? Was it the gliding? Was it the stealing your emeralds? Was it the emerald hunting stages? What was it that made you want Knuckles to suffer year after year in these Contests? The first 3 years he gets Snake in Round 2, and now he has Magus right off the bat? Wow, the Sonic team as a whole is looking bad. Robotnik bombing in the Spring, no Shadow, no Tails, Knuckles out early. At least Sonic is looking to get far.
Anyway, this match should be closer than most people are going to expect, but Magus should have no worries losing here. The Black Wind howls through.
Moltar’s Bracket Says: Magus will win.
Moltar’s Prediction is: Magus: 59% - Knuckles: 41%
Ulti’s Analysis
It's a foregone conclusion that Magus will win this match, but the true purpose of this match will be to FINALLY see whether or not Magus is overrated by the stats. Long story short, a few Squall fans are skewing the stats in Squall's favor in every way imaginable to prove that Squall will be able to defeat Magus in the second round, when they have to do little more than state that Squall is a new Square hero while Magus is an old Square side character. But more on that when the time comes.
As for Magus/Knuckles, if Magus wants to validate his 2003 strength, he needs to break 62% in this match. If he wants to prove beyond a shadow of a doubt that he can and will beat Squall, he needs to break 59% or more. That's a lot of room for error, but not much if you go by the 2003 stats (Squall's strongest year).
The sad thing about all of this is that Knuckles is my favorite Sonic character. It sucks to see him out in the first round for the first time ever, though if I HAD to pick a character that Magus was going to lose prematurely to, I'd pick Knuckles. Knux is awesome. Unfortunately, one of my favorites has to go out in their very first match.
Prediction: Magus with 63.25% (I know I'll likely overshoot this, but it's MAGUS; would you expect anything less from me? =p)
Soul’s Analysis
This match makes baby Jesus cry. Not only does Knuckles get out in the first round for the first time, he gets out by Magus. Now, I'm not bashing Magus because I actually think he's a pretty good character, but it's freaking Knuckles! Yeah, ok, I'm a Knux fanboy and I hate the fact that he was placed in an unwinnable place. I'll get over it in a year or two, so don't worry.
Anyways, back onto the match. As said earlier, there is no way that Knuckles could win. Magus is just too powerful to overcome. Magus defeated Ganondorf. Magus could possibly beat Solid Snake. Knuckles, well, can get 40% on Snake.
My prediction: Magus wins with 61.34% of the vote. Are you happy Magus fans? ARE YOU?!? *cries in a corner*
Outback’s Analysis
I hate Chrono Trigger.
Magus with 62.33%
Magus
Game/Series Known From: Chrono Trigger
Extrapolated Rank in 2002: N/A
Extrapolated Rank in 2003: 9th (34.93%)
Extrapolated Rank in 2004: 22nd (22.47%) Adjusted Value:9th (32.57%)
Seed in 2002: N/A
Seed in 2003: 13
Seed in 2004: 6
Lost in 2003 to Link in the Sweet 16
Lost in 2004 to Crono in Round 2
Magus finally gets the seed he deserves. I mean, 9th ranked in the Contest clearly doesn’t deserve a 13.
Knuckles
Game/Series Known From: Sonic
Extrapolated Rank in 2002: 15th (27.68%)
Extrapolated Rank in 2003: 24th (26.47%)
Extrapolated Rank in 2004: 24th (22.44%) Adjusted Value: 28th (24.94%)
Seed in 2002: 7
Seed in 2003: 8
Seed in 2004: 10
Lost in 2002 to Snake in Round 2
Lost in 2003 to Snake in Round 2
Lost in 2004 to Snake in Round 2
Knuckles not facing Snake in Round 2? Oh, it got worse my friend.
What was it Ceej? Was it the gliding? Was it the stealing your emeralds? Was it the emerald hunting stages? What was it that made you want Knuckles to suffer year after year in these Contests? The first 3 years he gets Snake in Round 2, and now he has Magus right off the bat? Wow, the Sonic team as a whole is looking bad. Robotnik bombing in the Spring, no Shadow, no Tails, Knuckles out early. At least Sonic is looking to get far.
Anyway, this match should be closer than most people are going to expect, but Magus should have no worries losing here. The Black Wind howls through.
Moltar’s Bracket Says: Magus will win.
Moltar’s Prediction is: Magus: 59% - Knuckles: 41%
Ulti’s Analysis
It's a foregone conclusion that Magus will win this match, but the true purpose of this match will be to FINALLY see whether or not Magus is overrated by the stats. Long story short, a few Squall fans are skewing the stats in Squall's favor in every way imaginable to prove that Squall will be able to defeat Magus in the second round, when they have to do little more than state that Squall is a new Square hero while Magus is an old Square side character. But more on that when the time comes.
As for Magus/Knuckles, if Magus wants to validate his 2003 strength, he needs to break 62% in this match. If he wants to prove beyond a shadow of a doubt that he can and will beat Squall, he needs to break 59% or more. That's a lot of room for error, but not much if you go by the 2003 stats (Squall's strongest year).
The sad thing about all of this is that Knuckles is my favorite Sonic character. It sucks to see him out in the first round for the first time ever, though if I HAD to pick a character that Magus was going to lose prematurely to, I'd pick Knuckles. Knux is awesome. Unfortunately, one of my favorites has to go out in their very first match.
Prediction: Magus with 63.25% (I know I'll likely overshoot this, but it's MAGUS; would you expect anything less from me? =p)
Soul’s Analysis
This match makes baby Jesus cry. Not only does Knuckles get out in the first round for the first time, he gets out by Magus. Now, I'm not bashing Magus because I actually think he's a pretty good character, but it's freaking Knuckles! Yeah, ok, I'm a Knux fanboy and I hate the fact that he was placed in an unwinnable place. I'll get over it in a year or two, so don't worry.
Anyways, back onto the match. As said earlier, there is no way that Knuckles could win. Magus is just too powerful to overcome. Magus defeated Ganondorf. Magus could possibly beat Solid Snake. Knuckles, well, can get 40% on Snake.
My prediction: Magus wins with 61.34% of the vote. Are you happy Magus fans? ARE YOU?!? *cries in a corner*
Outback’s Analysis
I hate Chrono Trigger.
Magus with 62.33%
From: Master Moltar
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:08:47 PM | Message Detail
Inviso’s Analysis
God, CJayC just finds more and more ways to screw Knuckles every year. Putting him against Yuna, and giving him the lower seed against Kefka, just to have him face Snake in the second round three times in a row. And now he’s not even going to get to win a single match. He’s facing Magus, who, in my last analysis, I said was top 12 material. He’s sadly going to have his way with poor Knuckles. Sonic’s gonna be the only character with any hopes of representing the Sonic series this time around, since Ceej snubbed both Shadow AND Tails, and gave Knuckles the equivalent of a 12 seed in the regular contest. How is it that Knuckles has gone from a 7 seed, to and 8 seed, to a 10 seed, to a 12 seed, after having never lost in the first round…EVER? It’s just not right. Hopefully the red echidna can hold his own and avoid ending up like Gordon in 2003.
My Bracket: Magus Zeal
My Vote: Knuckles the Echidna
My Prediction: Magus Zeal with 62.77%
Tnote’s Analysis
Barring a miracle, Knuckles will finally lose to a character who is not Solid Snake. Barring a statistical upset, Magus will be getting plastered for the second straight year in the SFF fest against Crono. The day vote actually will be fun to watch, as Knuckles is THE king of the day vote, and Chrono Trigger characters have always had trouble ‘winning’ the day vote. Look for Magus to jump out to 60%+ out of the gate, only to have Knuckles shave 5% off of it during the middle 12 hours. Magus will finish strong, and ultimately dispose of the echidna in yet another boring match. Bring on Luigi/KOS-MOS!!
Pick: Magus with 58.27%
Vlado’s Analysis
Magus vs. Knuckles the Echidna
This is a really cool division, isn't it? We have 5 Square characters, and just one of them will be really weak (Geno). Every indication points at 3 of them making it to Round 2 and 2 of them actually meeting in the finals. Knuckles had a bad draw here... In EACH other division, his chances of winning Round 1 would have been much bigger with his 6th seed. So, we'll lose one of the strong contestants here, while losers such as Lloyd Irving and Tommy Vercetti made it to Round 2... Oh well.
Knux is a contest veteran with quite some scalps hanging on his waist. In 2002, he obliterated Akira Yuki, in 2003, he owned Yuna in a pretty good style and in 2004, he beat Kefka. Solid Snake is his bane, though. In all three contests, Knuckles had to face him and, inevitably, lose. Well, this time at least he gets to lose against another opponent. And Magus is quite close to Snake's strength, so we can expect a rather similar result. To reiterate, it's a shame Knuckles will lose so early.
Magus is the favourite to win this division to everyone who's at least somewhat familiar with the X-Stats. Dante's a laughable top seed, almost as laughable as Kirby, and Squall has proven to be weaker than Magus. I think that Magus will have gotten even stronger than the previous years, as Chrono Trigger seems to constantly rise in popularity. And this time he's not facing Crono until Round 4 and this gives him a chance to truly shine, getting three wins. This will be the first one and this one is certain. His match against Squall will be somewhat of a test, the one against Vincent shouldn't be all that harder, but I think exactly Vincent's the one who can stop him, should the FFVII character live up to his potential in this contest. Anyway, Magus has this.
Predicted percentage: Magus with 62.30%.
God, CJayC just finds more and more ways to screw Knuckles every year. Putting him against Yuna, and giving him the lower seed against Kefka, just to have him face Snake in the second round three times in a row. And now he’s not even going to get to win a single match. He’s facing Magus, who, in my last analysis, I said was top 12 material. He’s sadly going to have his way with poor Knuckles. Sonic’s gonna be the only character with any hopes of representing the Sonic series this time around, since Ceej snubbed both Shadow AND Tails, and gave Knuckles the equivalent of a 12 seed in the regular contest. How is it that Knuckles has gone from a 7 seed, to and 8 seed, to a 10 seed, to a 12 seed, after having never lost in the first round…EVER? It’s just not right. Hopefully the red echidna can hold his own and avoid ending up like Gordon in 2003.
My Bracket: Magus Zeal
My Vote: Knuckles the Echidna
My Prediction: Magus Zeal with 62.77%
Tnote’s Analysis
Barring a miracle, Knuckles will finally lose to a character who is not Solid Snake. Barring a statistical upset, Magus will be getting plastered for the second straight year in the SFF fest against Crono. The day vote actually will be fun to watch, as Knuckles is THE king of the day vote, and Chrono Trigger characters have always had trouble ‘winning’ the day vote. Look for Magus to jump out to 60%+ out of the gate, only to have Knuckles shave 5% off of it during the middle 12 hours. Magus will finish strong, and ultimately dispose of the echidna in yet another boring match. Bring on Luigi/KOS-MOS!!
Pick: Magus with 58.27%
Vlado’s Analysis
Magus vs. Knuckles the Echidna
This is a really cool division, isn't it? We have 5 Square characters, and just one of them will be really weak (Geno). Every indication points at 3 of them making it to Round 2 and 2 of them actually meeting in the finals. Knuckles had a bad draw here... In EACH other division, his chances of winning Round 1 would have been much bigger with his 6th seed. So, we'll lose one of the strong contestants here, while losers such as Lloyd Irving and Tommy Vercetti made it to Round 2... Oh well.
Knux is a contest veteran with quite some scalps hanging on his waist. In 2002, he obliterated Akira Yuki, in 2003, he owned Yuna in a pretty good style and in 2004, he beat Kefka. Solid Snake is his bane, though. In all three contests, Knuckles had to face him and, inevitably, lose. Well, this time at least he gets to lose against another opponent. And Magus is quite close to Snake's strength, so we can expect a rather similar result. To reiterate, it's a shame Knuckles will lose so early.
Magus is the favourite to win this division to everyone who's at least somewhat familiar with the X-Stats. Dante's a laughable top seed, almost as laughable as Kirby, and Squall has proven to be weaker than Magus. I think that Magus will have gotten even stronger than the previous years, as Chrono Trigger seems to constantly rise in popularity. And this time he's not facing Crono until Round 4 and this gives him a chance to truly shine, getting three wins. This will be the first one and this one is certain. His match against Squall will be somewhat of a test, the one against Vincent shouldn't be all that harder, but I think exactly Vincent's the one who can stop him, should the FFVII character live up to his potential in this contest. Anyway, Magus has this.
Predicted percentage: Magus with 62.30%.
From: Yesmar
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:09:29 PM | Message Detail
It's too late for a long rant, maybe I'll do one tomorrow, but I
personally thought Kerrigan would be really overrated, and I'm still
leaving the topic for a little bit.
I hate all of you except for Sir Bormun, Team Rocket Elite,* and yoblazer.
Toodles.
*Your were always my favorite
---
http://www.cbs.com/primetime/bigbrother6/_polls/amc_poll.shtml
VOTE FOR KAYSAR!
I hate all of you except for Sir Bormun, Team Rocket Elite,* and yoblazer.
Toodles.
*Your were always my favorite
---
http://www.cbs.com/primetime/bigbrother6/_polls/amc_poll.shtml
VOTE FOR KAYSAR!
From: dragoontheguy
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:09:29 PM | Message Detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
From: dragoontheguy
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:09:47 PM | Message Detail
You also seem to think that Dante can still beat Vincent.
Well if Kerrigan really is a kuja type of a flop then it could still be close. I think vincent is the favourite now, don't get me wrong, but giving dante no chance is kind of ridiculous when Vincent has only faced one person who's strength (or lack there of) is unknown at the moment.
---
Please sign this petition for a history board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=21995996
Well if Kerrigan really is a kuja type of a flop then it could still be close. I think vincent is the favourite now, don't get me wrong, but giving dante no chance is kind of ridiculous when Vincent has only faced one person who's strength (or lack there of) is unknown at the moment.
---
Please sign this petition for a history board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=21995996
From: outback
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:11:01 PM | Message Detail
I played closer to 5 hours, and like I said, I'm not gonna play more,
because it feels like a chore, and I also don't care if Cloud is being
more realistic, because I'm an optimist, and as unrealistic as Barret
is, it's cool to see somebody at least trying to fight for something.
At least that's the way I think.
---
NOMINATE KEN MASTERS FOR SC2K5
http://img291.echo.cx/img291/3398/ken23rc.gif
---
NOMINATE KEN MASTERS FOR SC2K5
http://img291.echo.cx/img291/3398/ken23rc.gif
From: rpgapzx
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:11:44 PM | Message Detail
We're winding down this round, nto that it was too contraversial as a whole so...
Barring a KOS-MOS upset, and without knowing Vince's prediction percentage, anyone want to take anyone besides Mr. Valentine as Star of the round?
---
Spring Contest 2k5 Score: 76/80 T-117th
Barring a KOS-MOS upset, and without knowing Vince's prediction percentage, anyone want to take anyone besides Mr. Valentine as Star of the round?
---
Spring Contest 2k5 Score: 76/80 T-117th
From: Draco1214
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:12:40 PM | Message Detail
Barring a KOS-MOS upset, and without knowing Vince's prediction
percentage, anyone want to take anyone besides Mr. Valentine as Star of
the round?
We haven't seen Tifa and Leon yet.
---
Summer 2005 Contest - 20/22 points
Current Match Prediction: Magus vs. Knuckles the Echidna
We haven't seen Tifa and Leon yet.
---
Summer 2005 Contest - 20/22 points
Current Match Prediction: Magus vs. Knuckles the Echidna
From: Adept_Of_Aiur
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:13:10 PM | Message Detail
Barring a KOS-MOS upset, and without knowing Vince's prediction percentage, anyone want to take anyone besides Mr. Valentine as Star of the round?
Pac Man.
Seriously, that Ocelot picture sucks.
---
"All pretty girls are a trap, a pretty trap, and men expect them to be."
MasterMage119
From: ChichiriMuyo
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:13:30 PM | Message Detail
"That mentality more or less doesn't exist outside this board."
That's a fallacy.
"FF7 doesn't get anti-voted to the point where gannon or bowser well do significantly better against seph then they are capable of doing on anyone else around the same strength."
How would you know? Ganon's only match against and elite character was previous to Seph was Link, and Bowser had matches with Mario and Cloud. He overshot his mark compared to what his match with Cloud said he would. Either Seph dropped or they both somehow rose about the same amount. Hm.
"Most people don't know enough about the contest to know who has the greates chance against sephiroth."
Another fallacy, they knew enough to not even be fooled by CJ in his match against Ness, better than we can say for ourselves as a board. Two years ago I'd agree, but now they know all too well. Besides, it doesn't take contest stats to know that Mario's enemy and Link's enemy would do well in a villain contest, it only takes logic.
"Why would they only anti-vote him in those two matches?"
I already stated why, in fact you quoted it. If you can't read it's not my problem, blame the education system.
---
Now Link, fill up your hearts
So you can shoot your sword with power
That's a fallacy.
"FF7 doesn't get anti-voted to the point where gannon or bowser well do significantly better against seph then they are capable of doing on anyone else around the same strength."
How would you know? Ganon's only match against and elite character was previous to Seph was Link, and Bowser had matches with Mario and Cloud. He overshot his mark compared to what his match with Cloud said he would. Either Seph dropped or they both somehow rose about the same amount. Hm.
"Most people don't know enough about the contest to know who has the greates chance against sephiroth."
Another fallacy, they knew enough to not even be fooled by CJ in his match against Ness, better than we can say for ourselves as a board. Two years ago I'd agree, but now they know all too well. Besides, it doesn't take contest stats to know that Mario's enemy and Link's enemy would do well in a villain contest, it only takes logic.
"Why would they only anti-vote him in those two matches?"
I already stated why, in fact you quoted it. If you can't read it's not my problem, blame the education system.
---
Now Link, fill up your hearts
So you can shoot your sword with power
From: Draco1214
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:13:54 PM | Message Detail
Seriously, that Ocelot picture sucks.
Yep, Ocelot wins with less than 53%.
---
Summer 2005 Contest - 20/22 points
Current Match Prediction: Magus vs. Knuckles the Echidna
Yep, Ocelot wins with less than 53%.
---
Summer 2005 Contest - 20/22 points
Current Match Prediction: Magus vs. Knuckles the Echidna
From: ShakeXD
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:14:35 PM | Message Detail
Why the **** would anyone come here if not to gloat about why their
favorite characters/games are better than other people's favorites?
That's the entire purpose of this ****ing board, and to tell people not
to do so is to go against everything this board is about.
So a hearty HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA to Kerrigan and Terra fans. Especially you idiot Terra fans. Terra sucks, get over yourselves.
---
Not Shake.
God bless The Great George Romero, the true winner of the 2k5 Summer Contest.
So a hearty HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA to Kerrigan and Terra fans. Especially you idiot Terra fans. Terra sucks, get over yourselves.
---
Not Shake.
God bless The Great George Romero, the true winner of the 2k5 Summer Contest.
From: charmander6000
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:15:06 PM | Message Detail
You also seem to think that Dante can still beat Vincent.
I also have Alucard > Sora and Tidus > Ryu > Bowser
I took too many upsets, but if they work out I will be up in the rankings.
---
I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.
I also have Alucard > Sora and Tidus > Ryu > Bowser
I took too many upsets, but if they work out I will be up in the rankings.
---
I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.
From: ExquisiteSamurai
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:15:53 PM | Message Detail
Barring a KOS-MOS upset, and without knowing Vince's prediction
percentage, anyone want to take anyone besides Mr. Valentine as Star of
the round?
Pac Man.
Seriously, that Ocelot picture sucks.
Agrees.. That pic reeks of horrid...
---
"Life...Dreams...Hope...Where'd they come from? And where are they headed...? These things...I'm going to destroy!!" -Kefka
Pac Man.
Seriously, that Ocelot picture sucks.
Agrees.. That pic reeks of horrid...
---
"Life...Dreams...Hope...Where'd they come from? And where are they headed...? These things...I'm going to destroy!!" -Kefka
From: Redtooth
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:16:27 PM | Message Detail
Well, though a bit late for the *WOAOMG*, I still see that I very much
underestimated Vincent. Though I always knew anything from FF7 seems to
do very well, it seems a lot of people are stipulating that Vincent
could take the tournament, things like Tifa beating Sonic and even Red
XIII coming in and taking out MC. Now, following this logic, it would
almost seem like could we in the near future be seeing a FF7 dominated
contest...as in, the elite eight being the cast of FF7+link and maybe
Samus, with some lucky seeding...
Crazy...yet scary in its plausibility
---
Every man is entitled to express his opinions and every other man is entitled not to listen. Norman Collie
Crazy...yet scary in its plausibility
---
Every man is entitled to express his opinions and every other man is entitled not to listen. Norman Collie
From: JonPen1416
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:16:44 PM | Message Detail
MGS characters have never looked great in any pic, and they've never been all that weak either. It won't hurt Ocelot much.
---
I need to put something here.
---
I need to put something here.
From: Draco1214
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:16:50 PM | Message Detail
That Ocelot pic is the one he got against Bowser, and he avoided a doubling.
---
Summer 2005 Contest - 20/22 points
Current Match Prediction: Magus vs. Knuckles the Echidna
---
Summer 2005 Contest - 20/22 points
Current Match Prediction: Magus vs. Knuckles the Echidna
From: ChichiriMuyo
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:17:52 PM | Message Detail
"I played closer to 5 hours,"
The amount brought up was 20 minutes, so I replied with the same amount. that isn't to say I thought you stopped after 20 minutes, just that I don't read minds and couldn't say "If you played more than 5 hours..." If you took offence that's your problem, but there was non intended.
"it's cool to see somebody at least trying to fight for something."
Then you really should play for more than 5 hours.
"anyone besides Mr. Valentine as Star of the round?"
I can guarentee he will be, or else heads will roll... literally. *sharpens an axe*
---
Now Link, fill up your hearts
So you can shoot your sword with power
The amount brought up was 20 minutes, so I replied with the same amount. that isn't to say I thought you stopped after 20 minutes, just that I don't read minds and couldn't say "If you played more than 5 hours..." If you took offence that's your problem, but there was non intended.
"it's cool to see somebody at least trying to fight for something."
Then you really should play for more than 5 hours.
"anyone besides Mr. Valentine as Star of the round?"
I can guarentee he will be, or else heads will roll... literally. *sharpens an axe*
---
Now Link, fill up your hearts
So you can shoot your sword with power
From: ExquisiteSamurai
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:18:10 PM | Message Detail
I don't know why but I am starting to regret my Alucard > Sora pick... =/
---
"Life...Dreams...Hope...Where'd they come from? And where are they headed...? These things...I'm going to destroy!!" -Kefka
---
"Life...Dreams...Hope...Where'd they come from? And where are they headed...? These things...I'm going to destroy!!" -Kefka
From: ChichiriMuyo
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:18:56 PM | Message Detail
"That's the entire purpose of this ****ing board, and to tell people
not to do so is to go against everything this board is about."
All hail the Shake!
---
Now Link, fill up your hearts
So you can shoot your sword with power
All hail the Shake!
---
Now Link, fill up your hearts
So you can shoot your sword with power
From: charmander6000
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:19:01 PM | Message Detail
You also seem to think that Dante can still beat Vincent.
Saying Dante has no chance is idoitic and I've always known that Vincent will be the favorite going into the match, but Dante has a chance.
---
I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.
Saying Dante has no chance is idoitic and I've always known that Vincent will be the favorite going into the match, but Dante has a chance.
---
I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.
From: Draco1214
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:19:04 PM | Message Detail
From: ExquisiteSamurai | Posted: 8/9/2005 8:18:10 PM | Message Detail
I don't know why but I am starting to regret my Alucard > Sora pick... =/
Heh, I'm regretting my Sora > Alucard pic.
---
Summer 2005 Contest - 20/22 points
Current Match Prediction: Magus vs. Knuckles the Echidna
I don't know why but I am starting to regret my Alucard > Sora pick... =/
Heh, I'm regretting my Sora > Alucard pic.
---
Summer 2005 Contest - 20/22 points
Current Match Prediction: Magus vs. Knuckles the Echidna
From: rpgapzx
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:19:22 PM | Message Detail
We haven't seen Tifa and Leon yet.
Tifa and Leon's matches havent been hyped at all. For Vincent to have a match that was hyped, regardless of whether or not it was actually heavily contendable (clearly it was not), and then come out to almost quadrupling his opponent seems far more impressive than Tifa or Leon could possibly do.
I guess the only argument is that Tifa/Leon opponent's known strengths but their matches won't shock us unless either of them put up at least tripling numbers as well. (Cloud Quadded+ Vyse, Tifa just won't do it and even if she does, Vincent still quadded in a more improtant match.)
---
Spring Contest 2k5 Score: 76/80 T-117th
Tifa and Leon's matches havent been hyped at all. For Vincent to have a match that was hyped, regardless of whether or not it was actually heavily contendable (clearly it was not), and then come out to almost quadrupling his opponent seems far more impressive than Tifa or Leon could possibly do.
I guess the only argument is that Tifa/Leon opponent's known strengths but their matches won't shock us unless either of them put up at least tripling numbers as well. (Cloud Quadded+ Vyse, Tifa just won't do it and even if she does, Vincent still quadded in a more improtant match.)
---
Spring Contest 2k5 Score: 76/80 T-117th
From: charmander6000
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:20:25 PM | Message Detail
I don't know why but I am starting to regret my Alucard > Sora pick... =/
Heh, I'm regretting my Sora > Alucard pic.
and I'm not regreting anything, Go Alucard!
---
I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.
Heh, I'm regretting my Sora > Alucard pic.
and I'm not regreting anything, Go Alucard!
---
I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.
From: ShakeXD
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:20:36 PM | Message Detail
All hail the Shake!
Actually, this is Wylvane. My main's still warned, though I should be back by tomorrow.
But my point still stands.
---
Not Shake.
God bless The Great George Romero, the true winner of the 2k5 Summer Contest.
Actually, this is Wylvane. My main's still warned, though I should be back by tomorrow.
But my point still stands.
---
Not Shake.
God bless The Great George Romero, the true winner of the 2k5 Summer Contest.
From: dragoontheguy
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:20:38 PM | Message Detail
That's a fallacy.
Not really. I don't see any reason why it is.
How would you know?
How could you know? That's right you can't, and neither can I. Were both just speculating. Duh.
Ganon's only match against and elite character was previous to Seph was Link, and Bowser had matches with Mario and Cloud. He overshot his mark compared to what his match with Cloud said he would. Either Seph dropped or they both somehow rose about the same amount. Hm.
The last legitimate data we got on bowser was back in 2k3. If you factor in a smal sephy drop he actually didn't rise as much as some other characters have managed to in that time frame.
Another fallacy, they knew enough to not even be fooled by CJ in his match against Ness, better than we can say for ourselves as a board. Two years ago I'd agree, but now they know all too well. Besides, it doesn't take contest stats to know that Mario's enemy and Link's enemy would do well in a villain contest, it only takes logic.
So they'd anti-vote seph n only two matches but none of the others? Why? If they really want to see him lose that badly they certainly won't be voting for him in his other matches either.
I already stated why, in fact you quoted it. If you can't read it's not my problem, blame the education system.
Wonderful, insults. That was incredibly uncalled for. I was under the impression that we were having a civilised conversation. Guess not.
Anyways as I already said, if they want him to lose that badly they aren't going to vote for him in every other match. If he gets anti-voted in one match he'll be anti-voted in the others as well.
---
Please sign this petition for a history board:
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Not really. I don't see any reason why it is.
How would you know?
How could you know? That's right you can't, and neither can I. Were both just speculating. Duh.
Ganon's only match against and elite character was previous to Seph was Link, and Bowser had matches with Mario and Cloud. He overshot his mark compared to what his match with Cloud said he would. Either Seph dropped or they both somehow rose about the same amount. Hm.
The last legitimate data we got on bowser was back in 2k3. If you factor in a smal sephy drop he actually didn't rise as much as some other characters have managed to in that time frame.
Another fallacy, they knew enough to not even be fooled by CJ in his match against Ness, better than we can say for ourselves as a board. Two years ago I'd agree, but now they know all too well. Besides, it doesn't take contest stats to know that Mario's enemy and Link's enemy would do well in a villain contest, it only takes logic.
So they'd anti-vote seph n only two matches but none of the others? Why? If they really want to see him lose that badly they certainly won't be voting for him in his other matches either.
I already stated why, in fact you quoted it. If you can't read it's not my problem, blame the education system.
Wonderful, insults. That was incredibly uncalled for. I was under the impression that we were having a civilised conversation. Guess not.
Anyways as I already said, if they want him to lose that badly they aren't going to vote for him in every other match. If he gets anti-voted in one match he'll be anti-voted in the others as well.
---
Please sign this petition for a history board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=21995996
From: ExquisiteSamurai
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:21:15 PM | Message Detail
I guess the only argument is that Tifa/Leon opponent's known
strengths but their matches won't shock us unless either of them put up
at least tripling numbers as well. (Cloud Quadded+ Vyse, Tifa just
won't do it and even if she does, Vincent still quadded in a more
improtant match.)
If Tifa QUADS Vyse.. She is the star of the round and looks to be winning the damn contest.
---
"Life...Dreams...Hope...Where'd they come from? And where are they headed...? These things...I'm going to destroy!!" -Kefka
If Tifa QUADS Vyse.. She is the star of the round and looks to be winning the damn contest.
---
"Life...Dreams...Hope...Where'd they come from? And where are they headed...? These things...I'm going to destroy!!" -Kefka
From: rpgapzx
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:21:21 PM | Message Detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
From: ChichiriMuyo
| Posted: 8/9/2005 8:21:46 PM | Message Detail
"but Dante has a chance."
I like Dante more than most of this board and I'm telling you he doesn't. Just like people said Kerrigan had a chance of winning today (no names) people will say Dante has a chance in round two, it doesn't make them (or you) and less wrong. Period.
---
Now Link, fill up your hearts
So you can shoot your sword with power
I like Dante more than most of this board and I'm telling you he doesn't. Just like people said Kerrigan had a chance of winning today (no names) people will say Dante has a chance in round two, it doesn't make them (or you) and less wrong. Period.
---
Now Link, fill up your hearts
So you can shoot your sword with power