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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 193
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 8/9/2005 12:53:37 AM | Message Detail
Yeah it's real early, but I don't feel like staying awake until the other topic hits 300.

By the way, http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=22731476

Called it.



*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Summer 2002 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/1

Summer 2003 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/2

Spring 2004 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/3

Summer 2004 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/4

Summer 2005 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/5

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19



*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Summer 2002 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/13

Summer 2003 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/14

Spring 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/15

SFF Adjusted Spring 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/16

Summer 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/17

SFF Adjusted Summer 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/18

Spring 2005 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/27

All Time Extrapolated Standings:
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/alltimexsts.htm



*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html



*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm



*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, save for three from 2002:
http://www.sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php



*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

MMXcalibur's Contest Sites:
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

Poll Vote Total Updater:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/25

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251



!yawA tsoP
From: Tirofog | Posted: 8/9/2005 12:54:28 AM | Message Detail
Vincent > Magus, blah blah blah tag.
---
http://bestbandever.ytmnd.com/
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=574354
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 8/9/2005 12:54:36 AM | Message Detail
lol Kerrigan more like Kerrigowned
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The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (0) Voters
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/9/2005 12:56:54 AM | Message Detail
Down goes Kerrigan. Holy moly, boys.
---
Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/9/2005 12:57:02 AM | Message Detail
*loads Death Penalty*

No prisoners.
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: Keno316 | Posted: 8/9/2005 12:58:18 AM | Message Detail
Vincent > Magus and my bracket weeps...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair & Millia Rage*
From: Link Jr | Posted: 8/9/2005 12:59:40 AM | Message Detail
Dante > Vincent
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Commander of The Link Army
Blades will bleed... Shields will shatter... and Link shall WIN... AGAIN!
From: therealmnm | Posted: 8/9/2005 12:59:50 AM | Message Detail
Magus still has to deal with Knuckles fists before he even thinks about his match with Vincent... <_<
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MM are my INITIALS "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
From: voltch | Posted: 8/9/2005 1:02:39 AM | Message Detail
starcraft sites probably linked to this site but when they saw the match pic they all voted for vincent.
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 8/9/2005 1:17:10 AM | Message Detail
Vincent for Summer Contest 2005 Champion!

---
Takes nothing to realize your Ken.
http://img159.imageshack.us/img159/480/kensa34mr.gif
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/9/2005 1:19:49 AM | Message Detail
Suddenly, that doesn't seem all that farfetched...
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: sidharta | Posted: 8/9/2005 1:23:23 AM | Message Detail
Heh, I seriously don't mind seeing Vincent duking it out with Samus.

Even if it means my bracket will be damned to all hell.

---
Reserved for the winner of the SC2K5 Guru Challenge.
From: Blitz Ace the 4th | Posted: 8/9/2005 1:24:53 AM | Message Detail
I'm actually very surprised you all are shocked at this match. I expected 80-20, no less.
---
Mitch Hedberg: February 24 1968 - March 30 2005
Rest In Peace
From: The Doppleganger | Posted: 8/9/2005 1:25:46 AM | Message Detail
Vincent keeling out Crono and fighting Mario would be pretty funny. If Vincent won, it'd all be up to the tiebreaker.
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WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa
"Masa, everytime I talk to you, my urge for hot pockets rises. Damn you" - Linky.
From: Mister Mario | Posted: 8/9/2005 1:28:33 AM | Message Detail
You guys are really losing your minds over Vincent.
---
Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Master Ness
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/9/2005 1:29:26 AM | Message Detail
It's worth it. I'm lovin' this.
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: cyko | Posted: 8/9/2005 4:48:34 AM | Message Detail
today's match is awesome. granted, i will not go overboard until i see Vincent face an opponent we have seen previous data on, since we have no idea where Kerrigan truly lies. but, i am very satisfied to se Vincent doing so well as he has always been one of my personal all-time favorites. and, since well before this contest, i have said that Kerrigan will be fodder and Vincent will be a near-elite. we shall see if that continues to be the case next round against Dante.

but for now, Vincent is about to break 78% as the day vote is just beginning. he really might break 80% by the end of the day. the tripling i saw as a good possibility, but getting the quadrupling would impress even me.

oh, and for the record, 9 gurus, including myself and HM, have Vincent winning the Devil Division. <3

---
Official Co-Host for PUB TRIVIA XV
Yoblazer
is officially THE MAN for beating us all in SpC2K5!!
From: kungfu chicken | Posted: 8/9/2005 4:50:24 AM | Message Detail
*just woke up* has adept seen this yet?
---
now playing: final fantasy 7, skies of arcadia, donkey kong country
Now reading: the bible, the summoning
From: cyko | Posted: 8/9/2005 4:55:47 AM | Message Detail
oh, and how would everyone react if we wound up seeing Tifa, Vincent, AND Zelda in the Final Four? heh.

---
Official Co-Host for PUB TRIVIA XV
Yoblazer
is officially THE MAN for beating us all in SpC2K5!!
From: jonthomson | Posted: 8/9/2005 4:58:52 AM | Message Detail
From: cyko | Posted: 8/9/2005 12:55:47 PM | #019
oh, and how would everyone react if we wound up seeing Tifa, Vincent, AND Zelda in the Final Four? heh.

I'd be "excellent, Mario wins"
---
Jon Thomson - MARIO, Samus, SOLID SNAKE, Bowser, CRONO, Squall, Sonic, MEGA MAN
From: Slowflake | Posted: 8/9/2005 5:06:49 AM | Message Detail
And then the remainder of your bracket gets shot when Samus beats him.
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SC2K5 status - Points: 020/021 - Matches: 20/21 - Rank: 00137/33793 - Today: Vincent - Tomorrow: Magus
From: Brett with Atreyu | Posted: 8/9/2005 5:08:12 AM | Message Detail
Poor Adept of Aiur.

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SC2k5: 19/20 (Curse you Ness!)
Today: Dante vs. Terra
From: voltch | Posted: 8/9/2005 5:09:43 AM | Message Detail
vincent is an unexpected powerhouse and who would bet against him when he faces dante now.
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: Dark115 | Posted: 8/9/2005 5:14:27 AM | Message Detail
I want to see Tifa's match right now. If Tifa = Vincent, her % against Vyse will tell us alot at least. Especially since we have Cloud's % against Vyse
---
http://users.ign.com/collection/Dark115.
Currently Playing: Metal Gear Solid 2 (PS2), Final Fantasy VIII (PS1), Mega Man X4 (PS1)
From: Slowflake | Posted: 8/9/2005 5:23:21 AM | Message Detail
Well, anyone with Luigi over Tifa just saw their bracket die.

Random thought. Now that we're seeing how much stronger Diablo is than Kerrigan, how do you think Diablo 2 would do in a game contest?
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SC2K5 status - Points: 020/021 - Matches: 20/21 - Rank: 00137/33793 - Today: Vincent - Tomorrow: Magus
From: Slowflake | Posted: 8/9/2005 5:34:20 AM | Message Detail
By the way, Vincent is at 77.86% right now. Could Kerrigan actually be gaining ground with the day vote? Damn, Vincent must be as much of a night wolf as Alucard.

If Vincent = 2004 Dante, Kerrigan would score 12.10% on 2003 Link, putting her below everyone in the 2004 field except for Ratchet, Guybrush and Tanner.

Dante is NOT beating Vincent.
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SC2K5 status - Points: 020/021 - Matches: 20/21 - Rank: 00137/33793 - Today: Vincent - Tomorrow: Magus
From: Heroic Knuckles | Posted: 8/9/2005 5:51:40 AM | Message Detail
I refuse to jump on the Vincent bandwagon just because he's wiping the floor with worthless fodder. I'll wait until his match against an established character before putting him over the Noble Nine, thnx.
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YOUR SWORD OF WEAKNESS SHALL BE YOUR DOOM UNLESS YOU USE IT ON YOU.
27th/125 in the Guru Rankings.
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/9/2005 5:52:25 AM | Message Detail
Wow, I just got up and I can't beliecve how badly vincent is killing kerrigan. I expected her to lose, but thought she'd make it somewhat respectable. I seriously think that vincent could be a contender to make it into the elite eight now.
---
Please sign this petition for a history board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=21995996
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/9/2005 5:53:40 AM | Message Detail
I refuse to jump on the Vincent bandwagon just because he's wiping the floor with worthless fodder.

Wouldn't kerrigan have to be more worthless then eggplant cats or around there for dante to even stand a chance?
---
Please sign this petition for a history board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=21995996
From: Prometheus321 | Posted: 8/9/2005 5:55:08 AM | Message Detail
*tag*
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VOTE: BOWSER in the Summer Contest
From: Slowflake | Posted: 8/9/2005 5:55:23 AM | Message Detail
As I said, if Vincent = Dante 61 characters present in 2004 would beat Kerrigan.
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SC2K5 status - Points: 020/021 - Matches: 20/21 - Rank: 00137/33793 - Today: Vincent - Tomorrow: Magus
From: Aprosenf | Posted: 8/9/2005 5:55:45 AM | Message Detail
X ****ing D. CATS > Kerrigan.
---
For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
From: Heroic Knuckles | Posted: 8/9/2005 5:57:51 AM | Message Detail
Wouldn't kerrigan have to be more worthless then eggplant cats or around there for dante to even stand a chance?

Who said anything about Dante? He's going down, whatever my bracket may say. I just think we're getting a little ahead of ourselves to say Vincent will be the contest champ based on a match against a totally new character who may well be below CATS. Especially with that unrecognizable pic, seriously.
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YOUR SWORD OF WEAKNESS SHALL BE YOUR DOOM UNLESS YOU USE IT ON YOU.
27th/125 in the Guru Rankings.
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/9/2005 6:00:26 AM | Message Detail
Yeah, if anyone is calling him a contest champ already they deserved to be smacked repeatidly with a trout.
---
Please sign this petition for a history board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=21995996
From: Slowflake | Posted: 8/9/2005 6:01:11 AM | Message Detail
Who called him contest champ? He's no lock to get past Magus, anyhow.
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SC2K5 status - Points: 020/021 - Matches: 20/21 - Rank: 00137/33793 - Today: Vincent - Tomorrow: Magus
From: Heroic Knuckles | Posted: 8/9/2005 6:04:55 AM | Message Detail
Who called him contest champ? He's no lock to get past Magus, anyhow.

Oh, there have been several people already putting him over Crono. Someone even claimed he'd be just a bit below Sephiroth... >_>

I wouldn't count Magus out just yet.
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YOUR SWORD OF WEAKNESS SHALL BE YOUR DOOM UNLESS YOU USE IT ON YOU.
25th/125 in the Guru Rankings.
From: voltch | Posted: 8/9/2005 6:20:28 AM | Message Detail
vincent is still rising. and i can't believe kerrigan turns out to be worthless fodder. still at least kerrigan fans didn't say there was some SFF going on
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/9/2005 6:21:39 AM | Message Detail
Oh come on voltch, you can't mean to tell me that you really believe there isn't any long hair sff hapenning here, can you?
---
Please sign this petition for a history board:
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From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/9/2005 6:23:37 AM | Message Detail
Damn, vincent is still on the rise. He might even quad her.
---
Please sign this petition for a history board:
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From: voltch | Posted: 8/9/2005 6:28:40 AM | Message Detail
i just noticed that so far snake has had the biggest lead in the contest so far vote total wise . with 62k the one who comes closest i think is mario beating joanna dark by 61k
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 8/9/2005 6:30:29 AM | Message Detail
Samus beat Yuri by 63K.
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From: Phediuk | Posted: 8/9/2005 6:53:22 AM | Message Detail
Ahem! Sorry, guys, but I have to rub it in, because I was so right:

With that pic of Kerrigan, I've changed my mind about the match.

Vincent will now triple her at least.


That prediction was made last night.
---
"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 8/9/2005 7:11:08 AM | Message Detail
This has been one crazy match, and we're barely seven hours in...
---
Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 8/9/2005 7:12:36 AM | Message Detail
Well, I have two choices with this match. I can believe Kerrigan is the most fodderific piece of fodder around for the sake of my bracket, or I can pray that Vincent somehow loses to Magus.
---
"All pretty girls are a trap, a pretty trap, and men expect them to be."
MasterMage119
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 8/9/2005 7:14:48 AM | Message Detail
Who called him contest champ? He's no lock to get past Magus, anyhow.

I would consider it quite likely that Vincent beats Magus at his current pace. He's not a lock yet, but he most certainly is looking good to beat him.

---
Mario's Path to Victory: Round 2 - (4) Ness
http://img129.imageshack.us/img129/135/cunningplan32kw.jpg
From: kungfu chicken | Posted: 8/9/2005 7:15:09 AM | Message Detail
is the general opinion that these results are a sign of vincents strength or kerrigans weakness?
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now playing: final fantasy 7, skies of arcadia, donkey kong country
Now reading: the bible, the summoning
From: meche313 | Posted: 8/9/2005 7:16:45 AM | Message Detail
*waves the WTF flag*

Actually, I even had Vincent beating Magus, but then I changed it, and now I have it losing to him. I'm not saying that he's going to be stronger than/weaker than Magus, I'm just saying that it isn't that surprising with the fact I had him all the way there.

Though, not many characters can quadruple ANY kind of character (see: MC) and Vincent already did it in his first match. If this isn't impressive, I don't know what the hell should it be called then.
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That's right. Cloud N. Candy would get a NEGATIVE percentage, and RPGuy's extrapolated calculator would crash. - therealmnm
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 8/9/2005 7:17:08 AM | Message Detail
is the general opinion that these results are a sign of vincents strength or kerrigans weakness?

Well, both.

I have a question guys. Do you think it will be possible to win this tournament if theoretically, I miss 7 points total (you guys know my bracket). If I end up ONLY missing CJ vs Ness, Kerrigan vs Vincent, Kratos vs Diablo, Vincent vs Dante, and Tifa vs Luigi.
---
"All pretty girls are a trap, a pretty trap, and men expect them to be."
MasterMage119
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 8/9/2005 7:18:53 AM | Message Detail
is the general opinion that these results are a sign of vincents strength or kerrigans weakness?

Mainly Kerrigan's weakness for me. An unrecognizable picture of a PC villain who was expected to be nowhere near Diablo (whose own strength has been overrated for months). Woo wee. Although, I will hand it to Vincent; he is shocking the hell out of all of us right now.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: Phediuk | Posted: 8/9/2005 7:19:55 AM | Message Detail
I think it's pretty much a given by now that Vincent will beat Magus or at least give him one helluva match.
---
"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
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