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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 178
From: JonPen1416 | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:00:43 AM | Message Detail
But the 4th choice would blowout the other three choices. =/
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I need to put something here.
From: bigkevinm84 | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:00:49 AM | Message Detail
Bowser 63.64% 35
Chun Li 41.82% 23
TOTAL VOTES 55

Holy crud, you we were all right about Chun breaking 40 with ease....
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Vote for Yoshi
You have no chance to survive make your time.
From: Kagato Toujou | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:01:15 AM | Message Detail
Bowser 69.23% 27
Chun Li 51.28% 20
TOTAL VOTES 39

Now if you'd only keep that percentage, Bowser...
From: MegatokyoEd | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:01:30 AM | Message Detail
Bowser 66% 33
Chun Li 44% 22
TOTAL VOTES 50
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:01:51 AM | Message Detail

If that was true and no one lied it will be something like this.

A. 75%
B. 0%
C. 25%
D. 0%


And if it was like a normal poll, it'd end up like this.

A. 25%
B. 55%
C. 5%
D. 15%
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"Heil Dweebenheimer!"
MasterMage119
From: Keno316 | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:01:58 AM | Message Detail
God, I love math for the insane!
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair & Millia Rage*
From: PiGuy96 | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:01:58 AM | Message Detail
Bowser 72.38% 262
Chun Li 27.62% 100
TOTAL VOTES 362

Chun's first 100.
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Summer Contest 2005: 13/14
Today: Bowser, Tomorrow: Ryu
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:02:09 AM | Message Detail
OMFG Chun-Li's doing bad. Rikku wins!

>_>
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I know what I'm getting into, I don't care if I die trying!-Peppita Rossetti
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:02:16 AM | Message Detail
Holy **** @ Bowser's board vote.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: MasterMoltar | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:02:18 AM | Message Detail
No one saw this Chun decimation coming!
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It's MOOOOOOLLLLLTTTAAAARRRR!!!!
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:02:28 AM | Message Detail
Bowser vs Chun-Li

Bowser is fresh off of his mammoth Spring Contest performance, and like Ganon, he's stuck with a 3 seed in a very difficult fourpack. He'll likely get by Chun-Li with ease, but how easily he handles Thunder Thighs will tell us a lot about how well he'll do against Ryu in the second round. I truly believe that Ryu is the only character who can stand in Bowser's way of the Final Four, and Bowser needs to come out swinging if he wants to get past him. But more on that in the second round. For now, he just has to focus on the bye that he's been given. Chun-Li is awesome, as well as the single most influential fighting game female out there. Unfortunately, she gets shafted in the seeding and is basically stuck with an auto loss in her very first match. Hopefully she gets it a little better in the future.

As for the percentage to watch in this match, it's 33.92%. That's what M. Bison is projected to score on Bowser according to Spring 2005 stats. Chun will likely outperform this number (the Street Fighter popularity ladder is Ryu, Ken, Chun, and Akuma/Bison, in that order). But if Chun manages to vastly outperform Bison's expected value, Bowser's odds of getting out of the second round are very slim and it may mean that Spring 2005 was more screwed up than many of us thought. If she breaks 40%, you can practically give Ryu the division. This match will tell us a lot about just how screwed up the Spring 2005 Contest really was.

Prediction: Bowser with 63.35%. I think that Chun will outperform Bison, but not by more than a percent or two.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
"If my fate is to be destroyed... I must simply laugh!" -Magus
From: Eggplant Lord | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:02:29 AM | Message Detail
From: bigkevinm84 | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:00:49 AM | #202
Bowser 63.64% 35
Chun Li 41.82% 23
TOTAL VOTES 55

Holy crud, you we were all right about Chun breaking 40 with ease....


I got vote 55, too ^_^

///
I simply must say I'm completely out of ideas for a sig!
From: Kagato Toujou | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:02:48 AM | Message Detail
Whoa.

I just realized that number in my poll is impossible, and yet here it sits on my desktop.
From: Kagato Toujou | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:02:59 AM | Message Detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:03:12 AM | Message Detail
Ugh. How many perfects did we lose? I utterly forgot how many there were yesterday, as it wasn't memorable at all.
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"Heil Dweebenheimer!"
MasterMage119
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:04:15 AM | Message Detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
From: Keno316 | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:04:27 AM | Message Detail
Two 0 brackets chose Tidus to lose...amazing...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair & Millia Rage*
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:04:29 AM | Message Detail
The fact that we lost over 100 perfects over The King shows us that many of them could still very well be favorite brackets.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:04:44 AM | Message Detail
There were 1337 perfects yesterday. Do the match.

Bowser 70.65% 467
Chun Li 29.5% 195
TOTAL VOTES 661


Uhh.....

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
"If my fate is to be destroyed... I must simply laugh!" -Magus
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:04:45 AM | Message Detail
Bam, I CALLED Bowser breaking 70%!
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"Heil Dweebenheimer!"
MasterMage119
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:04:56 AM | Message Detail
I guess no one else noticed we lost over 100 perfects to the King of all Cosmos.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:05:10 AM | Message Detail
There were 1337 perfects yesterday. Do the match.

What joke?
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"Heil Dweebenheimer!"
MasterMage119
From: Eggplant Lord | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:05:11 AM | Message Detail
From: Keno316 | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:04:27 AM | #217
Two 0 brackets chose Tidus to lose...amazing...

Didn't one of them have KoAC winning the entire main bracket?

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I simply must say I'm completely out of ideas for a sig!
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:06:26 AM | Message Detail
I've been bad at predicting things lately.
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I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.
From: Eggplant Lord | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:06:29 AM | Message Detail
I meant the main bracket.

///
I simply must say I'm completely out of ideas for a sig!
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:06:29 AM | Message Detail
I guess no one else noticed we lost over 100 perfects to the King of all Cosmos.

I noticed, HaRR, and I'm doing the happy dance right now.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: Kaidyn04 | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:06:42 AM | Message Detail
Bowser 71% 612
Chun Li 29% 250

Whoamg Bowser doubled Chun Li! :p
~~~~~
"I'm putting them out of there misery! See? I'm the good guy now! Perspectives are so easy to change." - Raedryn
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:07:52 AM | Message Detail
Bowser 70.63% 707
Chun Li 29.37% 294
TOTAL VOTES 1001
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: Keno316 | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:08:21 AM | Message Detail
And under 70% he goes...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair & Millia Rage*
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:08:23 AM | Message Detail
Bowser is falling now. Still, it's absolutely incredible how strong he is with the board vote.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:08:29 AM | Message Detail
Chun-Li is finally over 30% here.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:08:30 AM | Message Detail
No, there were seriously 1,337 perfect brackets yesterday.

Anyway, I thought Bowser would do worse than this. The fact that he may finish with over 65% of the vote against Street Fighter's third strongest character pretty much blows any Ryu > Bowser talk out the window.

And if Bowser beats Snake (assuming Snake gets past Zelda), you will all be laughed at by me.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
"If my fate is to be destroyed... I must simply laugh!" -Magus
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:08:51 AM | Message Detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
13-----1337-----90.9498878
12-----5216-----90.9892638
11-----6921-----88.4843231
10-----7248-----86.4514349
9------5671-----84.4295539
8------3728-----80.6598712
7------2081-----79.5290726
6------884------80.6561086
5------329------78.4194529
4------118------62.7118644
3------59-------35.5932203
2------70-------11.4285714
1------116------0.8620690
0------15-------13.3333333

Still no 100% prediction rate. We lost two 0s in this match. Once again, I'm in no hurry to find out why.

The people on the Top 50 didn't do so well. 8 got this match wrong. FFandMMfan, Asterisk29, Tsukasora, Jacehan, Jawa_III, 1derChef, SotD_RHK and magnummagus357 did not have Tidus of KoaC.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:09:04 AM | Message Detail
No, there were seriously 1,337 perfect brackets yesterday.

No, I was seriously kidding when I said it wasn't a memorable number.
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"Heil Dweebenheimer!"
MasterMage119
From: Eggplant Lord | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:09:28 AM | Message Detail
I think I can actually hear the heart-wrenching cries of the Ryu > Bowser supporters.

///
I simply must say I'm completely out of ideas for a sig!
From: JonPen1416 | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:09:35 AM | Message Detail
Wow, this is just insane. No more Ryu > Bowser.

*waves goodbye to bracket*
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I need to put something here.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:09:51 AM | Message Detail
The fact that he may finish with over 65% of the vote against Street Fighter's third strongest character pretty much blows any Ryu > Bowser talk out the window.

We are less than 10 minutes into this match, and there's no telling exactly how strong Chun-Li really is. To go ahead and say Ryu can't beat Bowser now is ridiculous. You did see how easily Ryu won the SFII poll, right? He is far and away the most popular.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: PiGuy96 | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:10:05 AM | Message Detail
Hey, I have Bowser in the Final Four, too.

And Chunners should increase a good deal during the day. 40% is probably too much to ask for, but Bowser/Ryu is not a done deal 10 minutes into Bowser's match regardless.
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Summer Contest 2005: 13/14
Today: Bowser, Tomorrow: Ryu
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:10:11 AM | Message Detail

And if Bowser beats Snake (assuming Snake gets past Zelda), you will all be laughed at by me.


I sure as hell won't, I took that pick. Remember, I was the biggest supporter of a widescale Mario boost from the beginning.
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"Heil Dweebenheimer!"
MasterMage119
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:11:01 AM | Message Detail
From: Eggplant Lord | Posted: 8/2/2005 3:09:28 AM | Message Detail | #235
I think I can actually hear the heart-wrenching cries of the Ryu > Bowser supporters.


But the first 15 minutes don't tell us anything about a match, Chun Li has no bearing on how strong Ryu is, Bowser's percentage will fall, and Ryu will still beat Bowser in the next round </Leonhart4>

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
"If my fate is to be destroyed... I must simply laugh!" -Magus
From: Keno316 | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:11:21 AM | Message Detail
Chun-Li's going up a little faster now.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair & Millia Rage*
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:11:42 AM | Message Detail
I'm not the only one expecting Bowser to gain percentage through the day, am I?
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"Heil Dweebenheimer!"
MasterMage119
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:11:48 AM | Message Detail
Damn, I was barely over a minute late making that post.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
"If my fate is to be destroyed... I must simply laugh!" -Magus
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:11:54 AM | Message Detail
But the first 15 minutes don't tell us anything about a match, Chun Li has no bearing on how strong Ryu is, Bowser's percentage will fall, and Ryu will still beat Bowser in the next round </Leonhart4>

You misspelled "</common sense>"
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: Eggplant Lord | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:12:05 AM | Message Detail
That doesn't stop them from freaking out.

///
I simply must say I'm completely out of ideas for a sig!
From: Haste2 | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:12:07 AM | Message Detail
Still no 100% prediction rate. We lost two 0s in this match.

I don't expect that to happen until Squall/Geno. Or maybe Sonic/Jin.

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: Heroic_Cable | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:12:16 AM | Message Detail
Chun Li's weak peformance is probablt due to her sucking in every game except MvC1 and TS.
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:12:29 AM | Message Detail
From: Keno316 | Posted: 8/2/2005 3:11:21 AM | Message Detail | #241
Chun-Li's going up a little faster now.


This is Street Fighter's best part of every poll. By the time we reach the halfway point, CHUN LI'S PERCENTAGE WILL DROP LIKE A ROCK lol

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
"If my fate is to be destroyed... I must simply laugh!" -Magus
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:12:31 AM | Message Detail
plus we haven't seen Ryu in action yet.
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I've been Pwned by KoaC. He really is the king of all cosmos.
From: creativename | Posted: 8/2/2005 12:12:39 AM | Message Detail
Bowser doing well. I hope the people who were so freakin' insistent that Chun-Li >> Bison during the Spring Contest now realize that they were mistaken.
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