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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 175
From: Lucid Faia | Posted: 7/30/2005 12:34:07 AM | Message Detail
****...I thought me picking Alucard over Sora was a good upset pick, now it turns out almost everyone have that happening.

If that's true, then almost everyone is going to be very disappointed.

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2nd Place, Spring Contest 2005
My Video Game World Records: http://www.twingalaxies.com/index.aspx?c=22&p=35289
From: arkenaga | Posted: 7/30/2005 12:34:07 AM | Message Detail
Poor Sora... Anyone think he will be recognised as a male by the end of the day?
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When you get upset, remember it takes 42 muscles to frown, but only 4 to extend your middle finger.
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 7/30/2005 12:34:16 AM | Message Detail
From: Kagato Toujou | Posted: 7/30/2005 3:31:39 AM | #197
I hope she doesn't get this pic ugly pic:
http://www.ffcompendium.com/chara/x2-rikku-a.jpg

I'd bet dollars to donuts that that's the one she's gonna get.


;_; That's so mean, Ceej!
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 7/30/2005 12:34:23 AM | Message Detail
Yep, there's Dark Knight Cecil. Here's Paladin Cecil, for all interested:

http://www.rpgamer.com/games/ff/ffc/screens/ff4end-18.jpg
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: Kagato Toujou | Posted: 7/30/2005 12:34:36 AM | Message Detail
Poor Sora... Anyone think she can still break 80 by the end of the day?

Nope. He never had a chance at 80% for starters.
From: Eggplant Lord | Posted: 7/30/2005 12:34:37 AM | Message Detail
From: Figlar20000 | Posted: 7/30/2005 12:33:03 AM | #200
Poor Sora... Anyone think she can still break 80 by the end of the day?

No, but on the flip side, it looks as if I made a decent oracle prediction here. ^_^

===
Oh. My. God.
Did the PS2's light just change color...?!
From: arkenaga | Posted: 7/30/2005 12:35:07 AM | Message Detail
And no, I don't see him breaking 80%.

And most people have Sora > Alucard, I think. Or Sora > Kratos.
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When you get upset, remember it takes 42 muscles to frown, but only 4 to extend your middle finger.
From: Keno316 | Posted: 7/30/2005 12:36:16 AM | Message Detail
Boy, Cecil's screwed as far as the pic department goes...

Its a shame cause Cecil is the only 8 seed with anything resembling a shot of getting to next round, and the pic will just shoot that Hell.

Terra's in a similar case as well...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair & Millia Rage*
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 7/30/2005 12:37:17 AM | Message Detail
Its a shame cause Cecil is the only 8 seed with anything resembling a shot of getting to next round, and the pic will just shoot that Hell.

Wait, what??
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"Heil Dweebenheimer!"
MasterMage119
From: Crono801 | Posted: 7/30/2005 12:37:59 AM | Message Detail
Anyone have the link to the BOP?
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From: Sir Crono | Posted: 7/30/2005 12:38:03 AM | Message Detail
Cecil never really had a shot at making round 2. I don't think he'll be stronger than Ramza, to be quite honest. He might get 40%, but not much more.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: Keno316 | Posted: 7/30/2005 12:38:58 AM | Message Detail
I said, CLOSEST thing to getting to round 2. Compared to all other 8 seeds. Of course, he's gonna lose...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair & Millia Rage*
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 7/30/2005 12:39:48 AM | Message Detail
No, Terra has at least a realistic shot at getting to round 2. Cecil never did.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: Keno316 | Posted: 7/30/2005 12:40:58 AM | Message Detail
Well, then I get to dream, don't I...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair & Millia Rage*
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 7/30/2005 12:41:50 AM | Message Detail
17 people fell off the Top 50. Divine_Majin, ShadowZeroPD, Spelunker52, TheGlobalMan, IAmCrazier, CalGore, PizzaBoy87k, N64fan85, TanarusAsamiya, Karma_Hunter, sabinucsb, zaos1304, WasabiWarrior3, adam250, DragoonShark, deggdegg2001 and ImmortaI had Alucard losing to Kratos.

Whoa, whoa, whoa! I was on the top fifty?!?!?

NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
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I'm about to get sigged by Karma Hunter, and all I'll get is this lousy T-shirt.--Clockwork Dragon
From: Kagato Toujou | Posted: 7/30/2005 12:49:12 AM | Message Detail
;_; That's so mean, Ceej!

Yeah.

The pic will end up being Rikku lusting for Ryu's bulging biceps. And he'll be all "The fight is all!1!!" and she's be all "Monkey love, tee-hee!" and he'll be all "SHOURYUKEN'D". Then Rikku will be all dead, and where does that leave us?

Truly a vicious circle.
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 7/30/2005 12:50:02 AM | Message Detail
Whoa, whoa, whoa! I was on the top fifty?!?!?

Yep. After Vivi vs Zelda you entered the Top 50 in 42nd place.
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Round 10.htm
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
From: Eggplant Lord | Posted: 7/30/2005 1:26:23 AM | Message Detail
Agent 47's percentage keeps climbing...

===
Oh. My. God.
Did the PS2's light just change color...?!
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 7/30/2005 1:27:29 AM | Message Detail
Hmm.
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"Love forever, love is free. Let’s turn forever you and me." - Gorillaz "Feel Good INC"
From: Smurf87 | Posted: 7/30/2005 1:29:17 AM | Message Detail
I think this says more about Agent 47's popularity then Sora's. I still say Sora will beat Alucard with between with at least 52%

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Smurf , the cream of sonic fanboyism
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From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 7/30/2005 1:29:47 AM | Message Detail
I wasn't going to be bothered, but I guess it warrents being said for the 50 billionth time... Just because one side is losing % doesn't mean they are losing the lead... especially this early in the match. If Sora scrapes it out at over 70% he did mighty well, and at this point it's still quite possible (and likely).
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"Love forever, love is free. Let’s turn forever you and me." - Gorillaz "Feel Good INC"
From: Lopen | Posted: 7/30/2005 1:34:43 AM | Message Detail
I'm going to take a gamble and say Cecil/Kirby will be closer than Dante/Terra. I'm calling it right here, man!

Agent 47's doing well. About 0.5% weaker than my prophet pick. Cool. I think the day vote might actually favor 47, too. Casual support and all that.
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Raiden fact of the contest: Alucard is a plagiarist, this year Raiden will prove it!
From: cavedog0 | Posted: 7/30/2005 1:40:34 AM | Message Detail
Just wait till the kiddies wake up...

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"Chief, I smell ass and it's coming from your direction." - FFMrebirth
Go, Pack, Go!
From: Lopen | Posted: 7/30/2005 1:42:19 AM | Message Detail
47 gets the kiddie vote, because the kiddies loved Vin Diesel in the Pacifier. Things are not looking good for Sora here!
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Raiden fact of the contest: Alucard is a plagiarist, this year Raiden will prove it!
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 7/30/2005 1:45:18 AM | Message Detail
Were people really billing 47 as Neo-Tanner? He actually has a fanbase, after all... =/
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I'm about to get sigged by Karma Hunter, and all I'll get is this lousy T-shirt.--Clockwork Dragon
From: creativename | Posted: 7/30/2005 1:57:33 AM | Message Detail
From: Lopen | Posted: 7/30/2005 4:34:43 AM | Message Detail | #222
I'm going to take a gamble and say Cecil/Kirby will be closer than Dante/Terra. I'm calling it right here, man!


I could see that.

I think Cecil will likely be stronger than Terra anyway.
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www.sc2k5.com/gallery
From: voltch | Posted: 7/30/2005 2:08:52 AM | Message Detail
who would have thought so many people on gamefaqs like vin diesel to vote for A-47
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 7/30/2005 2:10:02 AM | Message Detail
Wow! Unless Sora notches a few more percentage points during the day, my Oracle Challenge Prediction doesn't suck!
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 7/30/2005 3:14:51 AM | Message Detail
And Sora dips below 70%. Good for 47, for now. <_<

Moral victories and all that.
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I'm about to get sigged by Karma Hunter, and all I'll get is this lousy T-shirt.--Clockwork Dragon
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 7/30/2005 3:16:45 AM | Message Detail
Sora 69.85% 7785
Agent 47 30.15% 3361
TOTAL VOTES 11146

As much as I love Sora, him falling in percentage makes me oh so happy.

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A E OUTBACK OWNS ME
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 7/30/2005 3:41:06 AM | Message Detail
I think it just proves that Kratos has a more casual bracket support than we could've thought.

Definitely. It does show that a good number of bracket makers went with Kratos, but it isn't as though they were far off. He did very well in that match. I think it could show that a number of casual bracket makers saw that Kratos was there and figured he would win due to his current popularity. It doesn't speak of strength, but it doesn't hurt that he'll have bracket support in future contests.

And Sora is doing right about where I figured he would. He's near 70% on right now and I would expect Sora to gain some from the day vote as well. I'm not calling for him to dominate it since Agent 47 is one of those casual characters who'll bring his gain down some.

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Mario's Path to Victory: Round 2 - (4) Ness
http://img129.imageshack.us/img129/135/cunningplan32kw.jpg
From: Starion | Posted: 7/30/2005 3:48:15 AM | Message Detail
Kratos is the kind of character the Guru's love. He has enough strength to pull in significant casual support but is weak enough to fall against some of the older semi-obscure mid carders. Unfortunately, there doesn't seem to be a lot of that type of character left in the first round.
From: voltch | Posted: 7/30/2005 4:38:10 AM | Message Detail
hey has there been any match where a character has won more 5 minute updates against his opponent yet still lost the match?
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: red sox 777 | Posted: 7/30/2005 4:55:59 AM | Message Detail
Mario/Crono II?
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Summer Contest 2005 --- Score: 10/11 --- Rank: T-1495
From: Dranze | Posted: 7/30/2005 4:56:31 AM | Message Detail
Frog Vs MC?
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Bracket: Sora - Vote: Agent 47 Points: 10/11
From: Slowflake | Posted: 7/30/2005 5:02:06 AM | Message Detail
Any remotely close match?

Anyhow, Sora is miserable today. Not even 70%? Agent 47 a mere few points below HK-47? Well, if someone takes out Snake early, it sure won't be him or Alucard.
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SC2K5 status - Points: 010/011 - Matches: 10/11 - Rank: 01495/33793 - Today: Sora - Tomorrow: Kirby
From: Seijun | Posted: 7/30/2005 5:02:15 AM | Message Detail
StarCraft vs. Wind Waker?

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It's as if the Suiko4 developers were playing WW and said, "This game is pretty good, but you know what would make it better? More sailing!" -Semi
From: Slowflake | Posted: 7/30/2005 5:11:59 AM | Message Detail
And as far as the BOP goes, Sora is the favorite, 78-73, with one poor soul who went with Kratos.
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SC2K5 status - Points: 010/011 - Matches: 10/11 - Rank: 01495/33793 - Today: Sora - Tomorrow: Kirby
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 7/30/2005 5:22:44 AM | Message Detail
Holy crap! Sora is losing the morning vote! I knew Agent 47 would slow him in comparison to what Kingdom Hearts usually does, but he's friggin' losing it!

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Mario's Path to Victory: Round 2 - (4) Ness
http://img129.imageshack.us/img129/135/cunningplan32kw.jpg
From: Slowflake | Posted: 7/30/2005 5:25:18 AM | Message Detail
WHOA. Chill out. It's Saturday, it usually starts a bit later.
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SC2K5 status - Points: 010/011 - Matches: 10/11 - Rank: 01495/33793 - Today: Sora - Tomorrow: Kirby
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 7/30/2005 5:25:31 AM | Message Detail
Nevermind. I just hadn't refreshed in a long time. I saw him drop from 69.51% to 69.41% and though that was within minutes. But he seems to be holding around that level. Good, good.

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Mario's Path to Victory: Round 2 - (4) Ness
http://img129.imageshack.us/img129/135/cunningplan32kw.jpg
From: voltch | Posted: 7/30/2005 5:58:26 AM | Message Detail
can someone give me the hours of when the day and night vote start. i'm living in london and the time zone is very different. over here it's 2pm
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 7/30/2005 6:03:08 AM | Message Detail
Typically, the day vote would slowly begin around 1 PM -- everything will be in your time based on what you told me now -- and usually begins in large around 2 PM - 3 PM.

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Mario's Path to Victory: Round 2 - (4) Ness
http://img129.imageshack.us/img129/135/cunningplan32kw.jpg
From: voltch | Posted: 7/30/2005 6:07:28 AM | Message Detail
okay now i'm sure the day vote is in full swing since sora is starting to pill on the percentage points.
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: SecondBest | Posted: 7/30/2005 6:26:11 AM | Message Detail
I love it when people arrogantly proclaim that their pick is an obvious winner a month before the match takes place, with no real evidence whatsoever, just as an attempt to make themselves feel better about their choice. Oh wait, no I don't.

It was pages and hours ago, but MasterMage keeps whipping out such gems that I felt his genius needed further praise. Amen.
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There's always someone better.
From: Slowflake | Posted: 7/30/2005 6:40:31 AM | Message Detail
From: SecondBest | Posted: 7/30/2005 9:26:11 AM | #245
I love it when people arrogantly proclaim that their pick is an obvious winner a month before the match takes place, with no real evidence whatsoever, just as an attempt to make themselves feel better about their choice. Oh wait, no I don't.

It was pages and hours ago, but MasterMage keeps whipping out such gems that I felt his genius needed further praise. Amen.


He forgot the part where people get a tough match right and say it was painfully obvious all along. See: Ness, Zelda.
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SC2K5 status - Points: 010/011 - Matches: 10/11 - Rank: 01495/33793 - Today: Sora - Tomorrow: Kirby
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 7/30/2005 7:24:53 AM | Message Detail
Sora 70.01% 16693
Agent 47 29.99% 7152
TOTAL VOTES 23845

The morning vote's coming! >_>
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I know what I'm getting into, I don't care if I die trying!-Peppita Rossetti
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 7/30/2005 8:05:29 AM | Message Detail
Just to compare possibilities of Alucard/Sora next round:

--If Alucard/Sora 2k4's: Alucard wins 51.39-48.61.
--If Alucard 2k3/Sora 2k4: Sora wins 52.35-47.65.
--If Alucard-through-Kratos-as-Hayabusa (through unadjusted Zero 2k4)/Sora 2k4: Sora wins 56.58-43.42.
--If Alucard 2k4/Sora-through-Agent-as-Fisher: Alucard wins 61.9-38.1.

I think it should be obvious with these comparisons that both Kratos and Agent 47 should have been given more credit than we originally did; Hayabusa and Fisher both are too low for 'em, unless Alucard and Sora did some major fluctuations from last year.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: voltch | Posted: 7/30/2005 8:10:26 AM | Message Detail
well sora seems to be picking up at a nice constant pace right now. wonder how long he can keep it up
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: Rodri316 | Posted: 7/30/2005 8:27:02 AM | Message Detail
Gosh, I really hope Kratos was that much stronger than I thought. In order for Alucard to win like I predicted against Sora, the Kratos fanbase needs to somehow coincide with Alucard's, which I could see happening, although the day vote might be a problem.
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Summer 2005 Contest -- Current Score: 10/11
Today's Prediction -- Sora vs. Agent 47
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