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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 170
From: DomaDragoon | Posted: 7/26/2005 10:51:18 PM | Message Detail
People actually CARE about Manny. You cant say the same about Guybrush.

I care about Guybrush. He doesn't deserve the ridicule... well, yes he does, but because that's his role.
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Fathers and mothers of FF, oh my! The Heavy finals bring us Jenova vs. Jecht, at www.rpgdl.com.
From: NewLib | Posted: 7/26/2005 10:51:23 PM | Message Detail
I think Tanner just got unlucky with Snake. Not saying he isnt a weak bastard, but they basically appeal to similiar fanbases. Also Solid Snake one of those few characters who I think doesnt get antivoted a whole hell of a lot.
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"Why would the boost from AC be bigger than those?" - Mac Arrowny
"Because (Heroic Mario) just replayed Final Fantasy VII." - Lucid Faia
From: Dranze | Posted: 7/26/2005 10:51:49 PM | Message Detail
I can't see why Ness would beat Kefka.
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Bracket: Ganondorf - Vote: Ganondorf - Points: 5/6
From: Lopen | Posted: 7/26/2005 10:52:00 PM | Message Detail
Isn't Guybrush the "insult duel" guy from Monkey Island? I've actually heard of him before the contests if that is the case, and I think the Monkey Island fanbase pretty well adores the guy. (I haven't done much research on this, though)

Grim Fandango seems like Monkey Island, but more cult.

This is how I see it:

Jin Kazama
Agent 47
Yuri Hyuga
Manny Tanner

But I wouldn't be surprised to see Agent 47 above Jin. He might get disturbingly close to Joanna Dark and/or Conker. I'm calling it right here.
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Raiden fact of the contest: Alucard is a plagiarist, this year Raiden will prove it!
From: NewLib | Posted: 7/26/2005 10:52:49 PM | Message Detail
Guybrush is the main character from Monkey Island.
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"Why would the boost from AC be bigger than those?" - Mac Arrowny
"Because (Heroic Mario) just replayed Final Fantasy VII." - Lucid Faia
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 7/26/2005 10:52:52 PM | Message Detail
Ness would beat Kefka, and I'd have taken him in a before Ness/CJ, too.
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"Luca Blight's insane. He's a wolf raised on the smell of fire and the taste of blood."" ~ Viktor, Suikoden II
From: NewLib | Posted: 7/26/2005 10:54:11 PM | Message Detail
The last defense I am giving Manny is his cult following is almost RPG like. And his game sold much more than Luca's did.
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"Why would the boost from AC be bigger than those?" - Mac Arrowny
"Because (Heroic Mario) just replayed Final Fantasy VII." - Lucid Faia
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 7/26/2005 10:54:27 PM | Message Detail
I woulda took Ness over Kefka before, too, in a match probably a lil' closer than what Kefka/Diablo turned out to be.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 7/26/2005 10:55:01 PM | Message Detail
Weren't Monkey Island and Grim Fandango both made by LucasArts?
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: NewLib | Posted: 7/26/2005 10:55:17 PM | Message Detail
I have a question just to get a read. Which character do you guys think Lloyd is equal to after his Wesker match?
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"Why would the boost from AC be bigger than those?" - Mac Arrowny
"Because (Heroic Mario) just replayed Final Fantasy VII." - Lucid Faia
From: NewLib | Posted: 7/26/2005 10:55:32 PM | Message Detail
Yes Sir Crono.
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"Why would the boost from AC be bigger than those?" - Mac Arrowny
"Because (Heroic Mario) just replayed Final Fantasy VII." - Lucid Faia
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 7/26/2005 10:56:12 PM | Message Detail
I think Lloyd is around Vyse's level.
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The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (4) Tidus... LET ME DREAM :
From: Dranze | Posted: 7/26/2005 10:56:22 PM | Message Detail
I would also take Kefka before Ness/CJ, I knew he was underrated anyway.
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Bracket: Ganondorf - Vote: Ganondorf - Points: 5/6
From: MegatokyoEd | Posted: 7/26/2005 10:56:25 PM | Message Detail
Yeah Lloyds around Vyse level, maybe a little higher.
From: Lopen | Posted: 7/26/2005 10:57:00 PM | Message Detail
Ah, well that can only help Guybrush I guess. In any case, I've actually heard of Monkey Island before these contests, I can't say the same of Grim Fandango.

And yeah, I agree about Tanner. If he was up against Link he wouldn't be the super fodder we all know and love, he'd just be really crappy normal fodder. He might have even been able to get a double digit X-Stats score had he faced Link. Or pretty close, at least. Fodder needs the anti-votes. That's what they live on. That's why I'm calling Snake vs Manny as 90.xx for Snake.
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Raiden fact of the contest: Alucard is a plagiarist, this year Raiden will prove it!
From: rpgapzx | Posted: 7/26/2005 10:57:08 PM | Message Detail
I'm thinkin' Jin's gonna be just above Terry...certainly not worth having a parade for, but it'll keep him plenty far away from being THAT weak.

Jin is not going to nail 19%+ on Sonic.

I see him in the 15% range. I'm sorry. Tekken's just not big here. If anything Terry's at least been boosted because of Capcom crossovers.

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Spring Contest 2k5 Score: 76/80 T-117th
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 7/26/2005 10:58:03 PM | Message Detail
Jin would be a bit stronger than Kazuya. How much would Sonic be projected to get on 2k2 Kazuya Mishima.
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Summer 2005 Contest - 7/8 points
Current Match Prediction: Solid Snake vs. Manny Calavera
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 7/26/2005 10:58:35 PM | Message Detail
Lloyd? Lavos-ish. If you need a summer contest character, go with Conker.
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"Luca Blight's insane. He's a wolf raised on the smell of fire and the taste of blood."" ~ Viktor, Suikoden II
From: NewLib | Posted: 7/26/2005 10:59:07 PM | Message Detail
Just funny, I also think Lloyd = Vyse is the absolute floor for Lloyd. Even there, Wesker took a 4% increase in less than 3 months for no apparent reason.
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"Why would the boost from AC be bigger than those?" - Mac Arrowny
"Because (Heroic Mario) just replayed Final Fantasy VII." - Lucid Faia
From: Lopen | Posted: 7/26/2005 11:00:09 PM | Message Detail
I'd easily take Lloyd over Vyse, regardless of how weak he looks. I'm thinking Wesker got fluked vs Kefka. In fact, I'd put him around Viewtiful Joe from last year. We'll see next round if I have any credibility, though.
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Raiden fact of the contest: Alucard is a plagiarist, this year Raiden will prove it!
From: NewLib | Posted: 7/26/2005 11:01:07 PM | Message Detail
I knew something had to be up. Nemesis just couldnt be THAT much stronger than Wesker.
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"Why would the boost from AC be bigger than those?" - Mac Arrowny
"Because (Heroic Mario) just replayed Final Fantasy VII." - Lucid Faia
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 7/26/2005 11:02:02 PM | Message Detail
Now? I'd put Lloyd around, eh, Vyse...like everyone else, heh.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 7/26/2005 11:02:31 PM | Message Detail
Vyse > Lloyd, baby. I stand by it.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: NewLib | Posted: 7/26/2005 11:03:30 PM | Message Detail
I still see something fishy with Vyse. A game that sold almost twice as much, has a bigger fanbase here, much more recent even in comparision. Either Lloyd is that weak because no one likes him or we are in for another surprise when he faces Zero.
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"Why would the boost from AC be bigger than those?" - Mac Arrowny
"Because (Heroic Mario) just replayed Final Fantasy VII." - Lucid Faia
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 7/26/2005 11:03:32 PM | Message Detail
We've got about an hour to go...Prediction percentage for Auron?

I'll say 91.30% here.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: transience | Posted: 7/26/2005 11:03:39 PM | Message Detail
to be uber-fodder statistically, you have to be an unknown character that isn't cult. you also have to face someone who will get 90% on you and will then lose badly to someone else. Tanner pulled this off brilliantly.

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From: transience | Posted: 7/26/2005 11:04:55 PM | Message Detail
this predciction percentage will be lower than Ganon's... I'll say 83%.
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From: creativename | Posted: 7/26/2005 11:05:11 PM | Message Detail
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 7/27/2005 1:49:15 AM | Message Detail | #295
Well, Amano has actually done art for all of the FF games, though they're not all "official" like FFVI's is.


Hmmm. I didn't know that.

Actually, at his website (amanosworld.com), there's a few things that are decent. His FF6 work though...just abominable.
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www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery
From: Keno316 | Posted: 7/26/2005 11:05:45 PM | Message Detail
Hmmm...I think I'll got with 87.45% for Auron...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair & Millia Rage*
From: transience | Posted: 7/26/2005 11:05:52 PM | Message Detail
I think Lloyd is stronger than his match with Wesker showed. I'd take him over Vyse still, and won't be surprised if he does well against Zero.
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From: Janus5000 | Posted: 7/26/2005 11:06:45 PM | Message Detail
Lloyd doesn't seem to be as dominant a favorite with the ToS fanbase as Vyse is with SoA's... or even a favorite at all (at least not by much).

I'm guessing Auron has 87.25% of the brackets behind him.
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The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (4) Tidus... LET ME DREAM :
From: creativename | Posted: 7/26/2005 11:07:44 PM | Message Detail
I see nothing hard to believe about Vyse>Lloyd.
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www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery
From: Lopen | Posted: 7/26/2005 11:09:10 PM | Message Detail
Auron's only getting 75ish% of the brackets. MGS3 fans will have overestimated Big Boss, count on it.
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Raiden fact of the contest: Alucard is a plagiarist, this year Raiden will prove it!
From: NewLib | Posted: 7/26/2005 11:09:36 PM | Message Detail
So should we expect Kratos to be that much stronger than Lloyd?
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"Why would the boost from AC be bigger than those?" - Mac Arrowny
"Because (Heroic Mario) just replayed Final Fantasy VII." - Lucid Faia
From: Lopen | Posted: 7/26/2005 11:10:25 PM | Message Detail
Not by that much... if at all. Unfortunately for my bracket...
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Raiden fact of the contest: Alucard is a plagiarist, this year Raiden will prove it!
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 7/26/2005 11:10:54 PM | Message Detail
Expect Kratos to surprise against Diablo. Then expect to realize what happened when Lloyd performs well against Zero, showing that Wesker was waaaaay underrated by the Spring stats.
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"Heil Dweebenheimer!"
MasterMage119
From: transience | Posted: 7/26/2005 11:12:20 PM | Message Detail
MM's right on this one. of course, I have Kratos in my bracket, so I'm biased. also, doomed.
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From: Lopen | Posted: 7/26/2005 11:13:13 PM | Message Detail
I do expect that. But I still don't expect Kratos to win, unfortunately. Even if Wesker was stronger, Lloyd still needed more than a measly 55% to put my hopes up.
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Raiden fact of the contest: Alucard is a plagiarist, this year Raiden will prove it!
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 7/26/2005 11:13:43 PM | Message Detail
72.34% will have Auron over Big Boss. 70.14% had him over Scorpion, and I'll give bracket-makers a lil' extra credit.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: transience | Posted: 7/26/2005 11:13:51 PM | Message Detail
just a thought: what would you guys expect Frog to get on Wesker?
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From: HaRRicH | Posted: 7/26/2005 11:14:55 PM | Message Detail
51.2%. =P
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: NewLib | Posted: 7/26/2005 11:15:14 PM | Message Detail
61-39
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"Why would the boost from AC be bigger than those?" - Mac Arrowny
"Because (Heroic Mario) just replayed Final Fantasy VII." - Lucid Faia
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 7/26/2005 11:16:09 PM | Message Detail
I would expect Wesker to get 50.02% on Frog, because Frog loves making matches close, and saying Wesker could beat him makes my Kratos>Diablo pick look plausible. >>;
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"Heil Dweebenheimer!"
MasterMage119
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 7/26/2005 11:18:03 PM | Message Detail
71.5% for Auron.

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A E I OWN U
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 7/26/2005 11:18:26 PM | Message Detail
Seriously though, both Frog and Wesker are questionable dastardly odd-balls, and so I wouldn't know what to expect in a Frog/Wesker match.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 7/26/2005 11:19:16 PM | Message Detail
I'd pick Frog without a second thought.

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A E I OWN U
From: NewLib | Posted: 7/26/2005 11:21:06 PM | Message Detail
Think of how much more interesting the bracket would have been if CJay switched Wesker with Leon. People would have been fooled into picking GF for the win.... again.
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"Why would the boost from AC be bigger than those?" - Mac Arrowny
"Because (Heroic Mario) just replayed Final Fantasy VII." - Lucid Faia
From: transience | Posted: 7/26/2005 11:25:00 PM | Message Detail
I don't think Frog could clear 60% on anyone but fodder, but could get up to 40% on elite characters. I wouldn't be surprised if Frog gets 40% on Samus, making Riku look stronger than Sora.

I wonder if the same applies to Lloyd, cause there's no way he's equal to Mithos.
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From: HaRRicH | Posted: 7/26/2005 11:26:26 PM | Message Detail
Think of how much more interesting the bracket would have been if CJay switched Wesker with Leon. People would have been fooled into picking GF for the win.... again.

...that'd been REAL dirty of CJay, heh. I got to thinkin' today that it would have been interesting to have Pac-Man switch with Leon, too; Pac/Gordon would have been fun, and Revolver/Leon could be good. If Leon impressed, then Yoshi/Leon could have been good too.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: outback | Posted: 7/26/2005 11:26:36 PM | Message Detail
SHAMELESS PLUG OF CONTEST IN SIG

Zelda > Snake
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SC2K5 GAME REPRESENTATION TOURNAMENT
http://boards.gamefaqsascii.com/genmessage.php?board=5552&topic=25560
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