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Summer 2005 Contest
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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 170
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 7/27/2005 12:39:09 AM | Message Detail
My Oracle prediciton is 86.5% so I'm hoping it falls near there.

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A E I OWN U
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 7/27/2005 12:39:21 AM | Message Detail
Much moreso, yes.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: creativename | Posted: 7/27/2005 12:39:22 AM | Message Detail
I can't see Snake getting above 88% given what he's at right now, and how slowly he's moving.

If I had to give a specific number I would guess he'll end at about 86.5%.
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www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 7/27/2005 12:39:54 AM | Message Detail
<3 creative

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A E I OWN U
From: voltch | Posted: 7/27/2005 12:39:56 AM | Message Detail
so
manny vs yuri who wins?
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 7/27/2005 12:40:20 AM | Message Detail
85-86% would probably be a more realistic expectation, if you ask me. You've got to remember how difficult it is to increase percentage the higher you get.

Though it does depend on how high Snake gets before morning. He could hit 87% tops, I think.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: transience | Posted: 7/27/2005 12:41:31 AM | Message Detail
that match would get about 5000 votes.

Manny would probably win thanks to him having the cooler picture. in a match like that, people would look at both and go "uhhhhhhh...."

my oracle prediction is 89.56%, so here's hoping Snake cleans up in the day vote.

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vote for vivi.
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 7/27/2005 12:41:38 AM | Message Detail
That's true, though I'm still gonna espect 87%, give or take half a percent.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: rpgapzx | Posted: 7/27/2005 12:42:41 AM | Message Detail
Did you not notice that under 50 people voted in that Manny poll? Did you not notice that it took approximately 20 seconds for the actual poll to exceed 50 votes

Did you notice that if you take those 50 votes away from the point that Snake got 80%(what I've been arguing about the whole time) Manny would've been 85/15 at that point already?
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Spring Contest 2k5 Score: 76/80 T-117th
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 7/27/2005 12:42:47 AM | Message Detail
In a match like Yuri/Manny, it would take more than three minutes before somebody could call the first vote being cast.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: Eggplant Lord | Posted: 7/27/2005 12:42:48 AM | Message Detail
From: transience | Posted: 7/27/2005 12:41:31 AM | #457
that match would get about 5000 votes.

Manny would probably win thanks to him having the cooler picture. in a match like that, people would look at both and go "uhhhhhhh...."

my oracle prediction is 89.56%, so here's hoping Snake cleans up in the day vote.


Wow, I think mine is 89.8%

...

Of course, I suck at the Oracle Challenge >_>

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I simply must say I'm completely out of ideas for a sig!
From: transience | Posted: 7/27/2005 12:44:58 AM | Message Detail
Eggplant Lord, go look at your score compared to mine.

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vote for vivi.
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 7/27/2005 12:45:42 AM | Message Detail
I think 87% is a bit out of reach for Snake now, especially with Manny's picture as a possible means for joke/picture votes. Granted, I'll be content with anything around 85%.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: voltch | Posted: 7/27/2005 12:47:07 AM | Message Detail
right snake is for some reason unable to get 83% at the moment. manny must be doing everything he can to show he's not abslotute peanuts like tanner. more like a cashew for snake
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 7/27/2005 12:47:56 AM | Message Detail
Did Leon's favorite bracket have BB winning?

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A E I OWN U
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 7/27/2005 12:48:03 AM | Message Detail
As I've said, percentages fluctuate rapidly this early in the match. One or two Manny votes will easily drop Snake's percentage. He does have to get 6 votes for every 1 Manny gets to increase right now.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 7/27/2005 12:48:05 AM | Message Detail
Well, I'm gonna go to bed now...just to check though, is there anybody who thinks Manny will BENEFIT from the day-vote, or at least go neutral?

Highly unlikely, I know, but I wanna ask something before I pass out in my bed like usual; I'm TIRED. G-nite, ya'll.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 7/27/2005 12:48:35 AM | Message Detail
Did Leon's favorite bracket have BB winning?

Nope, had Yuna winning.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: voltch | Posted: 7/27/2005 12:51:17 AM | Message Detail
well this match is getting roughly the same amount of votes as ness/cj right now
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: rpgapzx | Posted: 7/27/2005 12:51:44 AM | Message Detail
83
Solid Snake 83% 3731
Manny Calavera 17% 764
TOTAL VOTES 4495

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Spring Contest 2k5 Score: 76/80 T-117th
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 7/27/2005 12:51:47 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake 83% 3726
Manny Calavera 17% 763
TOTAL VOTES 4489

83% for the man who makes the impossible possible.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: Keno316 | Posted: 7/27/2005 12:53:14 AM | Message Detail
83% for the man who makes the impossible possible.

Mwu La Flaga?
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair & Millia Rage*
From: rpgapzx | Posted: 7/27/2005 12:53:40 AM | Message Detail
Leonhart: He's dips under 83 immediately to mock us.

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Spring Contest 2k5 Score: 76/80 T-117th
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 7/27/2005 12:54:48 AM | Message Detail
Ah, Sir Crono = Leon. Gotta remember that.

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A E I OWN U
From: Eggplant Lord | Posted: 7/27/2005 12:58:38 AM | Message Detail
From: transience | Posted: 7/27/2005 12:44:58 AM | #462
Eggplant Lord, go look at your score compared to mine.

Oh... That's surprising...

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Oh. My. God.
Did the PS2's light just change color...?!
From: rpgapzx | Posted: 7/27/2005 12:59:50 AM | Message Detail
Missed it
Solid Snake 82.87% 4145
Manny Calavera 17.13% 857
TOTAL VOTES 5002

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Spring Contest 2k5 Score: 76/80 T-117th
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 7/27/2005 1:00:10 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake 82.85% 4149
Manny Calavera 17.15% 859
TOTAL VOTES 5008

Hah! Go, Manny! <3

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Mario's Path to Victory: Round 2 - (4) Ness
http://img129.imageshack.us/img129/135/cunningplan32kw.jpg
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 7/27/2005 1:01:16 AM | Message Detail
To bring something up from before, if Manny is equal to Guybrush, Snake would get 82.27% unadjusted and 84.05% adjusted.

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Mario's Path to Victory: Round 2 - (4) Ness
http://img129.imageshack.us/img129/135/cunningplan32kw.jpg
From: voltch | Posted: 7/27/2005 1:01:36 AM | Message Detail
and snake's percentage continues to drop
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 7/27/2005 1:12:33 AM | Message Detail
Snake creeps over 83% again.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 7/27/2005 1:15:38 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake 82.97% 4872
Manny Calavera 17.03% 1000
TOTAL VOTES 5872

1000 for Manny.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: rpgapzx | Posted: 7/27/2005 1:18:12 AM | Message Detail
A 2 for 1:

Solid Snake 82.88% 4973
Manny Calavera 17.12% 1027
TOTAL VOTES 6000

Solid Snake 82.93% 5000
Manny Calavera 17.07% 1029
TOTAL VOTES 6029


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Spring Contest 2k5 Score: 76/80 T-117th
From: voltch | Posted: 7/27/2005 1:18:35 AM | Message Detail
it took a look at the division pics and sora doesn't look too bad at all in there.
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: durango X3 | Posted: 7/27/2005 1:18:51 AM | Message Detail
Auron > Ganondorf
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Wait, do you hear that? It's the sound of the Reaper calling your name. -Magus Zeal
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 7/27/2005 1:20:13 AM | Message Detail
Auron > Ganondorf

Reverse the inequality and then you'll be correct.

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Mario's Path to Victory: Round 2 - (4) Ness
http://img129.imageshack.us/img129/135/cunningplan32kw.jpg
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 7/27/2005 1:20:36 AM | Message Detail
He's fine leaving it as is.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 7/27/2005 1:21:16 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake 82.8% 5108
Manny Calavera 17.2% 1061
TOTAL VOTES 6169

It'll definitely be until morning before Snake gets any sort of boost. He's been around the 82.8% - 83% level for a while now.

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Mario's Path to Victory: Round 2 - (4) Ness
http://img129.imageshack.us/img129/135/cunningplan32kw.jpg
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 7/27/2005 1:22:10 AM | Message Detail
Well, remember that Snake continued to gain with the day vote even against Tanner. Against Manny, he should still be able to gain effectively.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: DomaDragoon | Posted: 7/27/2005 1:22:57 AM | Message Detail
To bring something up from before, if Manny is equal to Guybrush, Snake would get 82.27% unadjusted and 84.05% adjusted.

And don't forget, Guybrush as four games (and console ports) on his side compared to Manny's single title. It wouldn't be a shock to think that Mr. Threepwood would be stronger than Manny.
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Fathers and mothers of FF, oh my! The Heavy finals bring us Jenova vs. Jecht, at www.rpgdl.com.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 7/27/2005 1:23:37 AM | Message Detail
It'd be a surprise to think that the difference was anything drastic.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: rpgapzx | Posted: 7/27/2005 1:24:09 AM | Message Detail
Anti-Tag/500rush

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Spring Contest 2k5 Score: 76/80 T-117th
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 7/27/2005 1:25:28 AM | Message Detail
"Forgive me for being ignorant, but was the "and discussion" tacked on to the end by Ulti as some sort of sick joke?"

No, but I believe it's quite clear that "and" was a mistake and wasn't meant to be in the title :P
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"Love forever, love is free. Let’s turn forever you and me." - Gorillaz "Feel Good INC"
From: voltch | Posted: 7/27/2005 1:27:03 AM | Message Detail
what time does day vote start i live in britain so i ain't got a clue
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 7/27/2005 1:27:46 AM | Message Detail
Where did Ceej get that Snake pic?

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A E I OWN U
From: DGZFIGHTERS | Posted: 7/27/2005 1:28:26 AM | Message Detail
CATS might win it all.

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The greatest torture in the world for most people is to think
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 7/27/2005 1:28:29 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake 83% 5462
Manny Calavera 17% 1119
TOTAL VOTES 6581

Bwahaha, Snake breaches 83% once again!
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: Eggplant Lord | Posted: 7/27/2005 1:28:32 AM | Message Detail
Perhaps 2pm in Britain...

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Oh. My. God.
Did the PS2's light just change color...?!
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 7/27/2005 1:28:37 AM | Message Detail
He got it from MGA.

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Mario's Path to Victory: Round 2 - (4) Ness
http://img129.imageshack.us/img129/135/cunningplan32kw.jpg
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 7/27/2005 1:28:55 AM | Message Detail
Where did Ceej get that Snake pic?

Metal Gear Acid.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: transience | Posted: 7/27/2005 1:28:57 AM | Message Detail
metal gear > mgs
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vote for vivi.
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