Summer 2005 Contest
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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 168
From: Heroic Mario
| Posted: 7/25/2005 1:13:52 PM | Message Detail
The Great King of Evil hits like a girl, so I'm told.
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Mario's Path to Victory: Round 2 - (4) Ness
http://img129.imageshack.us/img129/135/cunningplan32kw.jpg
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Mario's Path to Victory: Round 2 - (4) Ness
http://img129.imageshack.us/img129/135/cunningplan32kw.jpg
From: Master Moltar
| Posted: 7/25/2005 1:14:34 PM | Message Detail
Cheat votes > Ganon
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Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Ganondorf vs. Yuna - Bracket: Ganon - Vote: Ganon (5/6)
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Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Ganondorf vs. Yuna - Bracket: Ganon - Vote: Ganon (5/6)
From: Tequilla Gundam
| Posted: 7/25/2005 1:14:38 PM | Message Detail
He throws Link pretty far.
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Summer 2005 Contest Score : 6/6
Rank : 1/33793 Today: Ganondorf Tomorrow: Auron
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Summer 2005 Contest Score : 6/6
Rank : 1/33793 Today: Ganondorf Tomorrow: Auron
From: Sir Crono
| Posted: 7/25/2005 1:14:45 PM | Message Detail
Indeed he does.
Captain Falcon > Ganon
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
Captain Falcon > Ganon
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: Lopen
| Posted: 7/25/2005 1:15:15 PM | Message Detail
Looks like Yuna may receive another XX:15 spike. Heh heh.
Um... Yuna voters wake up/vote hourly? They like rounded numbers?
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Raiden fact of the contest: Alucard is a plagiarist, this year Raiden will prove it!
Um... Yuna voters wake up/vote hourly? They like rounded numbers?
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Raiden fact of the contest: Alucard is a plagiarist, this year Raiden will prove it!
From: Heroic Mario
| Posted: 7/25/2005 1:15:23 PM | Message Detail
Ganon is infinitely cooler than C. Falcon.
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Mario's Path to Victory: Round 2 - (4) Ness
http://img129.imageshack.us/img129/135/cunningplan32kw.jpg
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Mario's Path to Victory: Round 2 - (4) Ness
http://img129.imageshack.us/img129/135/cunningplan32kw.jpg
From: The n00b Avenger
| Posted: 7/25/2005 1:16:32 PM | Message Detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
From: Tequilla Gundam
| Posted: 7/25/2005 1:16:50 PM | Message Detail
Agreed HM..
Ganon >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> C.Falcon
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Summer 2005 Contest Score : 6/6
Rank : 1/33793 Today: Ganondorf Tomorrow: Auron
Ganon >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> C.Falcon
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Summer 2005 Contest Score : 6/6
Rank : 1/33793 Today: Ganondorf Tomorrow: Auron
From: yoblazer33
| Posted: 7/25/2005 1:17:05 PM | Message Detail
I dunno about that. Falcon is pretty flippin' awesome.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: Heroic Mario
| Posted: 7/25/2005 1:17:51 PM | Message Detail
It's not insult to Falcon, just that Ganon is that awesome.
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Mario's Path to Victory: Round 2 - (4) Ness
http://img129.imageshack.us/img129/135/cunningplan32kw.jpg
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Mario's Path to Victory: Round 2 - (4) Ness
http://img129.imageshack.us/img129/135/cunningplan32kw.jpg
From: Sir Crono
| Posted: 7/25/2005 1:18:24 PM | Message Detail
Falcon Punch >>> Warlock Punch
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: Undeniable
| Posted: 7/25/2005 1:19:06 PM | Message Detail
Falcon's Knee > Ganon.
~~~
"[Zelos] clearly should be writing in his book of dark poetry and slitting his wrists with a cruxis crystal - meisnewbie
~~~
"[Zelos] clearly should be writing in his book of dark poetry and slitting his wrists with a cruxis crystal - meisnewbie
From: rpgapzx
| Posted: 7/25/2005 1:19:25 PM | Message Detail
That was a pretty solid 500 post if I do say so myself.
Tag
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Spring Contest 2k5 Score: 76/80 T-117th
Tag
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Spring Contest 2k5 Score: 76/80 T-117th
From: Mumei
| Posted: 7/25/2005 1:19:51 PM | Message Detail
Falcon > Ganondorf
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Flee back to your masters, Aldaris, and huddle with them in darkness! For your actions shall set us all unto the Zerg! ~ Tassadar
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Flee back to your masters, Aldaris, and huddle with them in darkness! For your actions shall set us all unto the Zerg! ~ Tassadar
From: Master Moltar
| Posted: 7/25/2005 1:19:58 PM | Message Detail
The lies in this topic need to stop now!
Ganon > Falcon in every way.....except speed, but Ganon can't help that now.
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Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Ganondorf vs. Yuna - Bracket: Ganon - Vote: Ganon (5/6)
Ganon > Falcon in every way.....except speed, but Ganon can't help that now.
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Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Ganondorf vs. Yuna - Bracket: Ganon - Vote: Ganon (5/6)
From: Dranze
| Posted: 7/25/2005 1:21:11 PM | Message Detail
If we're talking SSBM, Falcon and Ganondorf are pretty close in strengths, but Falcon has the edge.
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Bracket: Ganondorf - Vote: Ganondorf - Points: 5/6
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Bracket: Ganondorf - Vote: Ganondorf - Points: 5/6
From: meche313
| Posted: 7/25/2005 1:23:40 PM | Message Detail
Ganon > C.Falcon on EVERYTHING.
Anyways, if BB were to get 40% on Auron, where would he land and would he beat Ocelot (and by how?)
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That's right. Cloud N. Candy would get a NEGATIVE percentage, and RPGuy's extrapolated calculator would crash. - therealmnm
Anyways, if BB were to get 40% on Auron, where would he land and would he beat Ocelot (and by how?)
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That's right. Cloud N. Candy would get a NEGATIVE percentage, and RPGuy's extrapolated calculator would crash. - therealmnm
From: Team Rocket Elite
| Posted: 7/25/2005 1:27:33 PM | Message Detail
Looks like Yuna may receive another XX:15 spike. Heh heh.
13:15 | Ganondorf | 42435 | +911 | 62.08% | Yuna | 25916 | +657 | 37.92% | Lead of 16519 | (Up 254)
This one is borderline. It's her largest non-spike increase in over 3 hours but not by so much that it wouldn't be possible without vote stuffing. Ganondorf also got a larger than usual amount of votes that time.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
13:15 | Ganondorf | 42435 | +911 | 62.08% | Yuna | 25916 | +657 | 37.92% | Lead of 16519 | (Up 254)
This one is borderline. It's her largest non-spike increase in over 3 hours but not by so much that it wouldn't be possible without vote stuffing. Ganondorf also got a larger than usual amount of votes that time.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
From: Tequilla Gundam
| Posted: 7/25/2005 1:29:04 PM | Message Detail
Yuna will break 38% WTF _-
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Summer 2005 Contest Score : 6/6
Rank : 1/33793 Today: Ganondorf Tomorrow: Auron
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Summer 2005 Contest Score : 6/6
Rank : 1/33793 Today: Ganondorf Tomorrow: Auron
From: Team Rocket Elite
| Posted: 7/25/2005 1:30:49 PM | Message Detail
Anyways, if BB were to get 40% on Auron, where would he land and would he beat Ocelot (and by how?)
Around Dante. Going by the Spring 2k5 stats, it would be too close to call a match between Ocelot and Big Boss.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
Around Dante. Going by the Spring 2k5 stats, it would be too close to call a match between Ocelot and Big Boss.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
From: Mumei
| Posted: 7/25/2005 1:31:05 PM | Message Detail
Now ahead by 5,414, up from 5,305. <3
TRE, what was your prediction for this match's final vote total?
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Flee back to your masters, Aldaris, and huddle with them in darkness! For your actions shall set us all unto the Zerg! ~ Tassadar
TRE, what was your prediction for this match's final vote total?
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Flee back to your masters, Aldaris, and huddle with them in darkness! For your actions shall set us all unto the Zerg! ~ Tassadar
From: DarkLink89
| Posted: 7/25/2005 1:33:56 PM | Message Detail
Ganondorf 62.05% 43434
Yuna 37.95% 26568
TOTAL VOTES 70002
70,000 votes ^_^
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"For the next 15 years, just like the last 15, handheld gaming will be known by one name: Nintendo" - Reggie Fils-Aime
Yuna 37.95% 26568
TOTAL VOTES 70002
70,000 votes ^_^
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"For the next 15 years, just like the last 15, handheld gaming will be known by one name: Nintendo" - Reggie Fils-Aime
From: Tediz247
| Posted: 7/25/2005 1:34:00 PM | Message Detail
Ganondorf 62.05% 43434
Yuna 37.95% 26568
TOTAL VOTES 70002
Damn, already over 70K.
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through the end.
ZSB [aX]
Yuna 37.95% 26568
TOTAL VOTES 70002
Damn, already over 70K.
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through the end.
ZSB [aX]
From: Team Rocket Elite
| Posted: 7/25/2005 1:35:08 PM | Message Detail
Right now I would expect somewhere around 108k. Still has a good shot at 110k if the vote doesn't die out as much in the night.
---
"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
---
"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
From: ChichiriMuyo
| Posted: 7/25/2005 1:41:57 PM | Message Detail
Goddammit. Stop ruinning my stats topic. I don't care who doesn't like
who, I don't want to hear it. All of you consider yourselves
blacklisted if you don't knock this crap off, no matter who you are or
what you've done.
---
"Have you missed me? Was I there? I was dreaming... someone cared" - Iio "Give it Up"
---
"Have you missed me? Was I there? I was dreaming... someone cared" - Iio "Give it Up"
From: Master Moltar
| Posted: 7/25/2005 1:42:26 PM | Message Detail
Zebes Division Round 1 - Match 8 – (2)Auron vs. (7)Big Boss
Auron
Game/Series Known From: Final Fantasy X
Extrapolated Rank in 2002: N/A
Extrapolated Rank in 2003: 20th (28.73%)
Extrapolated Rank in 2004: 12h (27.38%)
Seed in 2002: N/A
Seed in 2003: 8
Seed in 2004: 3
Lost in 2003 to Cloud in Round 2
Lost in 2004 to Sephiroth in the Sweet 16
Auron moves up a seed from last year. Also he won’t face SFF now.
Big Boss
Game/Series Known From: Metal Gear Solid
Extrapolated Rank in 2002: N/A
Extrapolated Rank in 2003: N/A
Extrapolated Rank in 2004: N/A
Seed in 2002: N/A
Seed in 2003: N/A
Seed in 2004: N/A
Look what you did MGS3! You brought Big Boss into the Contest
*This analysis contains spoilers for MGS3. If you haven’t played it and don’t want it ruined…eh, your fault.*
Ok, if you have played MGS3 or at least know a little something about it, you would know that the main character of the game is now Solid Snake, and is Naked Snake. We then find out throughout the game that Naked Snake is really…Big Boss. Now this is where we are going to have to be careful. If people look at Big Boss as a Solid Snake clone, Auron, along with the rest of this division, might be in trouble. This could be bad especially if Big Boss gets at MGS3 Snake-look-a-like picture. However, I doubt Ceej would do that, so I’m expecting an older picture of Big Boss. If that’s the case, and Big Boss and Solid are looked at as two completely different characters, then Auron will win this easy. I’m betting on the latter. It’s hard to guess how the match is going to end up though, so let’s see what the random number machine (AKA my brain) throws out this time!
Moltar’s Bracket Says: Auron will win.
Moltar’s Prediction is: Auron: 67% - Big Boss: 33%
Ulti’s Analysis
This match is very difficult to look at, given that we know nothing of how strong MGS3 or its characters can or will be. Big Boss being the only character from the game to make it into the contest --- As a 7 seed, no less! --- gives us somewhat of a clue. While Big Boss has an extremely outside chance of overperforming due to having a standard melted pic from MGS3, but that's a very outside chance. I see Big Boss being around Scorpion's level, perhaps a little higher. Not much more.
Prediction: Auron with 62.89%
Soul’s Analysis
Eh? Another "supposedly" close match? Ha! I laugh at you all for thinking this. This match is really easy once you think about it. Auron is on par with Ganondorf, that is he's nearly elite. Auron has a chance at defeating Solid Snake even.
Big Boss is from the MGS series. I never played this series, so I don't know much about him. I've heard he also goes by Naked Snake. The only argument I've heard for him beating Auron is that he might get a picture similar to Solid Snake. That's it. Well, do you really think voters are that stupid? If the picture looks similar, they won't automatically flock to him and vote him over Auron. Yes, he might be a little bit stronger, but enough to get close to Auron? Wait, are you the same people who thought Shadow the Hedgehog would take down Mario, because he looks like Sonic? Please, anyway you look at it, Auron is a lot stronger than Big Boss. He even has hype going for him, since he will play a significant roll in Kingdom Hearts 2, or so I heard.
This sets up a very interesting match with Auron and Ganondorf next round. Ouch, that's going to be a tough one. Kingdom Hearts 2 hype Vs. Twilight Princess hype.
My prediction: Auron wins with about 65.37%. Big Boss? More like Big BOWNED! Err, wait a second here...
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Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Ganondorf vs. Yuna - Bracket: Ganon - Vote: Ganon (5/6)
Auron
Game/Series Known From: Final Fantasy X
Extrapolated Rank in 2002: N/A
Extrapolated Rank in 2003: 20th (28.73%)
Extrapolated Rank in 2004: 12h (27.38%)
Seed in 2002: N/A
Seed in 2003: 8
Seed in 2004: 3
Lost in 2003 to Cloud in Round 2
Lost in 2004 to Sephiroth in the Sweet 16
Auron moves up a seed from last year. Also he won’t face SFF now.
Big Boss
Game/Series Known From: Metal Gear Solid
Extrapolated Rank in 2002: N/A
Extrapolated Rank in 2003: N/A
Extrapolated Rank in 2004: N/A
Seed in 2002: N/A
Seed in 2003: N/A
Seed in 2004: N/A
Look what you did MGS3! You brought Big Boss into the Contest
*This analysis contains spoilers for MGS3. If you haven’t played it and don’t want it ruined…eh, your fault.*
Ok, if you have played MGS3 or at least know a little something about it, you would know that the main character of the game is now Solid Snake, and is Naked Snake. We then find out throughout the game that Naked Snake is really…Big Boss. Now this is where we are going to have to be careful. If people look at Big Boss as a Solid Snake clone, Auron, along with the rest of this division, might be in trouble. This could be bad especially if Big Boss gets at MGS3 Snake-look-a-like picture. However, I doubt Ceej would do that, so I’m expecting an older picture of Big Boss. If that’s the case, and Big Boss and Solid are looked at as two completely different characters, then Auron will win this easy. I’m betting on the latter. It’s hard to guess how the match is going to end up though, so let’s see what the random number machine (AKA my brain) throws out this time!
Moltar’s Bracket Says: Auron will win.
Moltar’s Prediction is: Auron: 67% - Big Boss: 33%
Ulti’s Analysis
This match is very difficult to look at, given that we know nothing of how strong MGS3 or its characters can or will be. Big Boss being the only character from the game to make it into the contest --- As a 7 seed, no less! --- gives us somewhat of a clue. While Big Boss has an extremely outside chance of overperforming due to having a standard melted pic from MGS3, but that's a very outside chance. I see Big Boss being around Scorpion's level, perhaps a little higher. Not much more.
Prediction: Auron with 62.89%
Soul’s Analysis
Eh? Another "supposedly" close match? Ha! I laugh at you all for thinking this. This match is really easy once you think about it. Auron is on par with Ganondorf, that is he's nearly elite. Auron has a chance at defeating Solid Snake even.
Big Boss is from the MGS series. I never played this series, so I don't know much about him. I've heard he also goes by Naked Snake. The only argument I've heard for him beating Auron is that he might get a picture similar to Solid Snake. That's it. Well, do you really think voters are that stupid? If the picture looks similar, they won't automatically flock to him and vote him over Auron. Yes, he might be a little bit stronger, but enough to get close to Auron? Wait, are you the same people who thought Shadow the Hedgehog would take down Mario, because he looks like Sonic? Please, anyway you look at it, Auron is a lot stronger than Big Boss. He even has hype going for him, since he will play a significant roll in Kingdom Hearts 2, or so I heard.
This sets up a very interesting match with Auron and Ganondorf next round. Ouch, that's going to be a tough one. Kingdom Hearts 2 hype Vs. Twilight Princess hype.
My prediction: Auron wins with about 65.37%. Big Boss? More like Big BOWNED! Err, wait a second here...
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Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Ganondorf vs. Yuna - Bracket: Ganon - Vote: Ganon (5/6)
From: Master Moltar
| Posted: 7/25/2005 1:42:51 PM | Message Detail
Outback’s Analysis
Now this match could be interesting. Granted, it's probably not going to be close, and Auron will run away with it early. However, it'll give us a look into the strength of MGS3, where Big Boss likely gets most of his strength. If BB does well against Auron, everybody up to Samus better beware of Snake. If not, look for an early Snake exit. I, for one, think Auron will absolutely destroy Big Boss.
Auron with 70.32
Inviso’s Analysis
Big Boss is one of those surprise entries in the contest. Most of the people nomming Metal Gear characters nominated Solid and Liquid Snake, Ocelot, Raiden, and THE Boss, thus leading to some wondering whether Ceej understood that THE boss and BIG Boss were different characters. For some reason, this match has come into question, with people saying Auron could lose if Big Boss received his *SPOILERS FOR MGS3* “Naked Snake” picture. They say this pic looks like Solid Snake, and hence people might be more inclined to vote for him. Well, although it wouldn’t be the first time a picture of Snake skewed results, I highly doubt Auron will lose. Auron is the strongest FFX character in these contests, which is kinda easy given that he’s had Yuna, Sin, and Tidus to compete with thus far, but still, he’s a high tier character. He’ll win for sure.
My Bracket: Auron
My Vote: Auron
My Prediction: Auron with 69.11%
Tnote’s Analysis
Well, I am not terribly familiar the world of Metal Gear Solid, so I am not sure who Big Boss is. I do know that Auron would defeat everyone from the series with the exception of Solid, so that is really all I need to know. Auron is part of one of the more underrated spoilers in gaming history, and one of the major reasons why I liked his character so much. Auron has made it commonplace to defeat his opponents 65/35, and unless he wins the entire tournament, we will finally get to see Auron lose to an opponent who will not SFF him.
Pick: Auron with 65.00%
---
Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Ganondorf vs. Yuna - Bracket: Ganon - Vote: Ganon (5/6)
Now this match could be interesting. Granted, it's probably not going to be close, and Auron will run away with it early. However, it'll give us a look into the strength of MGS3, where Big Boss likely gets most of his strength. If BB does well against Auron, everybody up to Samus better beware of Snake. If not, look for an early Snake exit. I, for one, think Auron will absolutely destroy Big Boss.
Auron with 70.32
Inviso’s Analysis
Big Boss is one of those surprise entries in the contest. Most of the people nomming Metal Gear characters nominated Solid and Liquid Snake, Ocelot, Raiden, and THE Boss, thus leading to some wondering whether Ceej understood that THE boss and BIG Boss were different characters. For some reason, this match has come into question, with people saying Auron could lose if Big Boss received his *SPOILERS FOR MGS3* “Naked Snake” picture. They say this pic looks like Solid Snake, and hence people might be more inclined to vote for him. Well, although it wouldn’t be the first time a picture of Snake skewed results, I highly doubt Auron will lose. Auron is the strongest FFX character in these contests, which is kinda easy given that he’s had Yuna, Sin, and Tidus to compete with thus far, but still, he’s a high tier character. He’ll win for sure.
My Bracket: Auron
My Vote: Auron
My Prediction: Auron with 69.11%
Tnote’s Analysis
Well, I am not terribly familiar the world of Metal Gear Solid, so I am not sure who Big Boss is. I do know that Auron would defeat everyone from the series with the exception of Solid, so that is really all I need to know. Auron is part of one of the more underrated spoilers in gaming history, and one of the major reasons why I liked his character so much. Auron has made it commonplace to defeat his opponents 65/35, and unless he wins the entire tournament, we will finally get to see Auron lose to an opponent who will not SFF him.
Pick: Auron with 65.00%
---
Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Ganondorf vs. Yuna - Bracket: Ganon - Vote: Ganon (5/6)
From: Master Moltar
| Posted: 7/25/2005 1:43:30 PM | Message Detail
Vlado’s Analysis
Auron got a 2nd seed this year and I think it's well deserved. He has been kicking a lot of ass in the last 2 years and proved that he's the most popular FFX chracter in the contest, surpassing even the main Tidus. Well, when you're as cool as Auron, that can be expected. While his real test will be the second round battle with Ganondorf, this first match against Big Boss is not one to be overlooked.
Big Boss is a Metal Gear Solid character, which is a guarantee for a solid (no pun intended) performance by itself. Apparently, he's also the main character in the third installment of the series, which is another factor that would make him stronger. Metal Gear Solid fans seem to be very supportive of their characters, which was proven once again by Revolver Ocelot's astonishing performance in the spring. While Liquid Snake's loss to Sephiroth there was embarassing and hard to explain, Ocelot handled himself very well and it's no wonder he's back for another challenge. I expect Big Boss to do well here. Had he faced a weaker second seed such as Luigi, he could have even made an upset. However, with an opponent like Auron, I don't think that's likely.
I believe that Auron is actually stronger than the stats suggest, maybe by 2-3% or even more. In both 2003 and 2004 he was eliminated by the FFVII titans and I don't think the information we got is enough to judge him. This year will provide us with better data on him, that's for sure. If my theory is correct, he may make it past not just Big Boss, but also Ganondorf.
Finally, there's another thing that could hardly be ignored... It's Liquid Snake's horrible performance against Sephiroth. I can only explain it with SFF - apparently, Final Fantasy and Metal Gear share fans, which led to Liquid's embarrassing loss. I'll even go further and say that many Square fans are also Metal Gear fans, which would also explain Frog's respectable loss to Solid Snake last year. If this applies here, too, and I think it will, Auron will win by more than he normally would.
Predicted percentage: Auron with 70.66%.
---
Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Ganondorf vs. Yuna - Bracket: Ganon - Vote: Ganon (5/6)
Auron got a 2nd seed this year and I think it's well deserved. He has been kicking a lot of ass in the last 2 years and proved that he's the most popular FFX chracter in the contest, surpassing even the main Tidus. Well, when you're as cool as Auron, that can be expected. While his real test will be the second round battle with Ganondorf, this first match against Big Boss is not one to be overlooked.
Big Boss is a Metal Gear Solid character, which is a guarantee for a solid (no pun intended) performance by itself. Apparently, he's also the main character in the third installment of the series, which is another factor that would make him stronger. Metal Gear Solid fans seem to be very supportive of their characters, which was proven once again by Revolver Ocelot's astonishing performance in the spring. While Liquid Snake's loss to Sephiroth there was embarassing and hard to explain, Ocelot handled himself very well and it's no wonder he's back for another challenge. I expect Big Boss to do well here. Had he faced a weaker second seed such as Luigi, he could have even made an upset. However, with an opponent like Auron, I don't think that's likely.
I believe that Auron is actually stronger than the stats suggest, maybe by 2-3% or even more. In both 2003 and 2004 he was eliminated by the FFVII titans and I don't think the information we got is enough to judge him. This year will provide us with better data on him, that's for sure. If my theory is correct, he may make it past not just Big Boss, but also Ganondorf.
Finally, there's another thing that could hardly be ignored... It's Liquid Snake's horrible performance against Sephiroth. I can only explain it with SFF - apparently, Final Fantasy and Metal Gear share fans, which led to Liquid's embarrassing loss. I'll even go further and say that many Square fans are also Metal Gear fans, which would also explain Frog's respectable loss to Solid Snake last year. If this applies here, too, and I think it will, Auron will win by more than he normally would.
Predicted percentage: Auron with 70.66%.
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Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Ganondorf vs. Yuna - Bracket: Ganon - Vote: Ganon (5/6)
From: Mumei
| Posted: 7/25/2005 1:43:40 PM | Message Detail
Goddammit. Stop ruinning my stats topic. I don't care who doesn't
like who, I don't want to hear it. All of you consider yourselves
blacklisted if you don't knock this crap off, no matter who you are or
what you've done.
... Thank you. >_>
---
Flee back to your masters, Aldaris, and huddle with them in darkness! For your actions shall set us all unto the Zerg! ~ Tassadar
... Thank you. >_>
---
Flee back to your masters, Aldaris, and huddle with them in darkness! For your actions shall set us all unto the Zerg! ~ Tassadar
From: ChichiriMuyo
| Posted: 7/25/2005 1:50:27 PM | Message Detail
See, and I was going to put an "Except Mumei" clause in there, but clearly it's not necessary.
---
"Have you missed me? Was I there? I was dreaming... someone cared" - Iio "Give it Up"
---
"Have you missed me? Was I there? I was dreaming... someone cared" - Iio "Give it Up"
From: Heroic Viktor
| Posted: 7/25/2005 1:59:59 PM | Message Detail
Calling it now: Ulti wins stats analysis with Auron, as he fails to
crack 60%. Gosh darnit, you think I would have learned by now to double
check the numbers I wrote in for this!!! I knew he was not gonna crack
60%, yet I somehow picked 65%. Stupid stupidity.
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RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/2005
SC2k5 - 7/7 (empty slots in brackets suck)
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RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/2005
SC2k5 - 7/7 (empty slots in brackets suck)
From: Master Moltar
| Posted: 7/25/2005 2:02:54 PM | Message Detail
I don't see Big Boss being stronger than Ocelot, and Auron is around Bowser in strength.
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Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Ganondorf vs. Yuna - Bracket: Ganon - Vote: Ganon (5/6)
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Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Ganondorf vs. Yuna - Bracket: Ganon - Vote: Ganon (5/6)
From: Mumei
| Posted: 7/25/2005 2:03:09 PM | Message Detail
See, and I was going to put an "Except Mumei" clause in there, but clearly it's not necessary.
Heh.
Now Yuna vs. Ganon is only ahead by 4,532. ;_;
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Flee back to your masters, Aldaris, and huddle with them in darkness! For your actions shall set us all unto the Zerg! ~ Tassadar
Heh.
Now Yuna vs. Ganon is only ahead by 4,532. ;_;
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Flee back to your masters, Aldaris, and huddle with them in darkness! For your actions shall set us all unto the Zerg! ~ Tassadar
From: transience
| Posted: 7/25/2005 2:03:12 PM | Message Detail
Chichiri, the voice of reason. I just read about 100 posts back and
forth arguing who's stupider than who, half of them deleted by a
moderator. I thought the stats topic was pretty idiot-free and
hopefully we'll return to talking Ganon/Yuna soon.
as for vote stuffing, who would cheat for Yuna? I mean, it's Yuna. no one really likes Yuna. and it's not like the match is close. I'd chalk it up to coincidence unless it happens for other FF10/Square characters (see: Tidus/Kirby, Auron/Ganon, Tidus/Ryu/Bowser) as well. she's still 10% behind where Tidus was. for the sake of simplicity, I'll say the supposed Ganon boost is equal to the FFX-2 boost.
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as for vote stuffing, who would cheat for Yuna? I mean, it's Yuna. no one really likes Yuna. and it's not like the match is close. I'd chalk it up to coincidence unless it happens for other FF10/Square characters (see: Tidus/Kirby, Auron/Ganon, Tidus/Ryu/Bowser) as well. she's still 10% behind where Tidus was. for the sake of simplicity, I'll say the supposed Ganon boost is equal to the FFX-2 boost.
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From: voltch
| Posted: 7/25/2005 2:03:32 PM | Message Detail
wow! a lot of analysis think that auron will get 65%+on big boss.
just for kicks how much would ocelot and solid snake be projected to get on auron
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
just for kicks how much would ocelot and solid snake be projected to get on auron
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: Mumei
| Posted: 7/25/2005 2:04:53 PM | Message Detail
So far it seems that 27,000+ people like Yuna. And I'm sure every
character has at least a few people who would vote stuff for them.
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Flee back to your masters, Aldaris, and huddle with them in darkness! For your actions shall set us all unto the Zerg! ~ Tassadar
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Flee back to your masters, Aldaris, and huddle with them in darkness! For your actions shall set us all unto the Zerg! ~ Tassadar
From: Heroic Viktor
| Posted: 7/25/2005 2:06:14 PM | Message Detail
Wait, people think there is cheating going on right now? Ooh
goodness... there is no more or less "cheating" going on right now than
there is in every other match. The only matches with rampant cheating
are close matches, as nobody in the world cares enough to vote stuff to
get their character to 40% <_<
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RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/2005
SC2k5 - 7/7 (empty slots in brackets suck)
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RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/2005
SC2k5 - 7/7 (empty slots in brackets suck)
From: Sir Crono
| Posted: 7/25/2005 2:09:03 PM | Message Detail
Yuna is creeping closer and closer to 38% here.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: Mumei
| Posted: 7/25/2005 2:09:22 PM | Message Detail
... I don't think that there is any significant cheating. But I'm sure
this match is having its fair share of vote stuffing, just like any
other match.
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Flee back to your masters, Aldaris, and huddle with them in darkness! For your actions shall set us all unto the Zerg! ~ Tassadar
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Flee back to your masters, Aldaris, and huddle with them in darkness! For your actions shall set us all unto the Zerg! ~ Tassadar
From: Mumei
| Posted: 7/25/2005 2:09:55 PM | Message Detail
Poor Leonhart. ;_;
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Flee back to your masters, Aldaris, and huddle with them in darkness! For your actions shall set us all unto the Zerg! ~ Tassadar
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Flee back to your masters, Aldaris, and huddle with them in darkness! For your actions shall set us all unto the Zerg! ~ Tassadar
From: ChichiriMuyo
| Posted: 7/25/2005 2:10:10 PM | Message Detail
"Chichiri, the voice of reason."
I know... what the hell happened there, amirite?
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"Have you missed me? Was I there? I was dreaming... someone cared" - Iio "Give it Up"
I know... what the hell happened there, amirite?
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"Have you missed me? Was I there? I was dreaming... someone cared" - Iio "Give it Up"
From: Master Moltar
| Posted: 7/25/2005 2:10:51 PM | Message Detail
It's just easy to spot when Yuna gets these occasional boosts.
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Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Ganondorf vs. Yuna - Bracket: Ganon - Vote: Ganon (5/6)
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Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Ganondorf vs. Yuna - Bracket: Ganon - Vote: Ganon (5/6)
From: transience
| Posted: 7/25/2005 2:12:01 PM | Message Detail
what's a gamefaqs contest without vote stuffing? trying to predict vote
stuffing based on someone making a big jump is guesswork. Tnote nailed
it here, no one's gonna cheat their favourite singer/dancer/summoner to
get them over 40%.
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From: BeTheMan
| Posted: 7/25/2005 2:12:13 PM | Message Detail
*grin* If people are calling shenanigans now, I can't wait to see what
happens when Vivi/Zelda, Vivi or Zelda/Snake, and Auron/Ganondorf roll
around.
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ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO...Pac-Man?
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ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO...Pac-Man?
From: ChichiriMuyo
| Posted: 7/25/2005 2:12:58 PM | Message Detail
"as nobody in the world cares enough to vote stuff to get their character to 40% <_<"
If it was the right character I might if not for the fact that ceej has implied cheaters won't be prize eligible in the past.
Not that I have that ability, what with my 3 accounts.
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"Have you missed me? Was I there? I was dreaming... someone cared" - Iio "Give it Up"
If it was the right character I might if not for the fact that ceej has implied cheaters won't be prize eligible in the past.
Not that I have that ability, what with my 3 accounts.
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"Have you missed me? Was I there? I was dreaming... someone cared" - Iio "Give it Up"
From: voltch
| Posted: 7/25/2005 2:13:42 PM | Message Detail
who thinks vivi/zelda has the potential to be the closest match of round one
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: Keno316
| Posted: 7/25/2005 2:13:43 PM | Message Detail
Yuna cracking 38%....didn't even see her getting that far last night
when I went to bed. Wonder if the night vote might help those
percentages...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair & Millia Rage*
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair & Millia Rage*
From: ChichiriMuyo
| Posted: 7/25/2005 2:17:12 PM | Message Detail
I'll save them the trouble...
Shenanigans!
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"Have you missed me? Was I there? I was dreaming... someone cared" - Iio "Give it Up"
Shenanigans!
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"Have you missed me? Was I there? I was dreaming... someone cared" - Iio "Give it Up"
From: ChichiriMuyo
| Posted: 7/25/2005 2:18:08 PM | Message Detail
Potential, sure. Do I think it will be? No.
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"Have you missed me? Was I there? I was dreaming... someone cared" - Iio "Give it Up"
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"Have you missed me? Was I there? I was dreaming... someone cared" - Iio "Give it Up"
From: therealmnm
| Posted: 7/25/2005 2:18:16 PM | Message Detail
It only takes ONE person who cares enough about Yuna to vote stuff...
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Graduation: April 30, 2005 "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
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Graduation: April 30, 2005 "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."