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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 165
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 7/24/2005 6:26:25 AM | Message Detail
Does this mean that Liquid's number was correct?

His adjusted number? No, I wouldn't say so. If anything this does help his unadjusted number seem more accurate. Because right now, Riku is stronger than Sora based on an adjusted Frog. Unadjusted, Riku rests in between Vercetti and Knuckles at 26%.

Now if you're talking about Liquid's villain performance, then you're not going to find much that supports that being correct. Even at his lowest, that performance was wacky.

This is making my upset pick of Knuckles over Magus look a lot more attractive now!

Magus is projected to win that with 61.72% according to the 2004 stats. You really think there's going to a decrease for Magus and/or increase for Knuckles enough for that to happen? At best, you could hope that Magus somehow went down enough to make it a 55-45 affair, but even that is a little out there.


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Mario's Path to Victory: Round 2 - (4) Ness
http://img129.imageshack.us/img129/135/cunningplan32kw.jpg
From: Starion | Posted: 7/24/2005 6:46:20 AM | Message Detail
Heh, Frog just got a sizeable boost right there. Anomaly or a definite shift in his favor?
From: cyko | Posted: 7/24/2005 6:48:22 AM | Message Detail
ok, so Riku has been gaining big time for the past hour; he pulled Frog down to 54.30% and stalled Frog's lead. and now, Frog starts pushing his percentage back up. what the heck? i figured Riku would grab the day vote and maybe even start coming back. but now, in the past ten minutes, Frog lead has increased from the stalled 1700 to 1800 and pushed his percentage back up to 54.38%.

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Official Co-Host for PUB TRIVIA XV
Yoblazer
is officially THE MAN for beating us all in SpC2K5!!
From: MegatokyoEd | Posted: 7/24/2005 6:49:13 AM | Message Detail
If Riku does indeed lose the day vote it will be hilarious.
From: Jeal | Posted: 7/24/2005 6:52:55 AM | Message Detail
just because chrono trigger characters are seen as night vote players doesn't mean their day vote is so atrocious that they couldn't possibly win it against ANY type of character... give me a break
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If you're worried people are talking about you... you're probably right.
From: Slowflake | Posted: 7/24/2005 6:53:34 AM | Message Detail
**** you Frog, you weak bastard. Why can't you do yourself justice, ever?
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SC2K5 status - Points: 003/004 - Matches: 03/04 - Rank: 07498/33793 - Today: Samus - Tomorrow: Frog
From: Mac Arrowny | Posted: 7/24/2005 6:59:51 AM | Message Detail
**** you Frog, you weak bastard. Why can't you do yourself justice, ever?

...because Frog is the worst character in the contest? Only Crono can compete with him on the awful-scale.

As for vote totals, I still think that the side polls are to blame for the recent spate of disappointments.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 7/24/2005 7:02:06 AM | Message Detail
Frog worst character? Insanity.

2005-07-24 07:00:00 9791 11620 45.73% 54.27% 1829
2005-07-24 06:55:00 9619 11448 45.66% 54.34% 1829
2005-07-24 06:50:00 9466 11256 45.68% 54.32% 1790
2005-07-24 06:45:00 9307 11097 45.61% 54.39% 1790


FROG HAS VOODOO
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Xbox fanboys are only slighty behidn the FF ones on this site.... - zidane15
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 7/24/2005 7:02:24 AM | Message Detail
Frog has now had four matches, none of which have ventured outside of 55%. I am fairly confident come tomorrow, I can type the same thing, except change 55% down to 53%. You know how freakin' amazing it would be if Frog keeps Samus under 55-60% and Riku ranks ahead of Sora?

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RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/2005
SC2k5 - 5/5 (empty slots in brackets suck)
From: DarkLink89 | Posted: 7/24/2005 7:17:13 AM | Message Detail
Riku 46% 10377
Frog 54% 12180
TOTAL VOTES 22557

Rikku at 46%
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"For the next 15 years, just like the last 15, handheld gaming will be known by one name: Nintendo" - Reggie Fils-Aime
From: bigkevinm84 | Posted: 7/24/2005 7:17:33 AM | Message Detail
Oh wow, I voted at 2 in the morning last night, and it was about 63/37 Frog. Now I find Riku to have cut it to 55/45. Hahaha, go Riku, looks like he's more powerful than we all thought he would be!
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Vote for Yoshi
You have no chance to survive make your time.
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 7/24/2005 7:22:44 AM | Message Detail
I personally just think that Frog, the best character ever (by the way), is just destined to never partake in a non-close match.

And that art something that does not bother thou in the least, yo.

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RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/2005
SC2k5 - 5/5 (empty slots in brackets suck)
From: voltch | Posted: 7/24/2005 7:27:43 AM | Message Detail
so do the current results make sora look stronger or weaker?
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 7/24/2005 7:35:35 AM | Message Detail
It would be silly to try and predict out how this match makes Sora look. However, Frog/Samus will give us a rather good idea of how Sora looks in relation to Riku. Maybe this awesome Riku showing is directly related to CoM and the KH2 hype, or perhaps it has to do with everyone recognizing how kick ass he is. Frog will always be my favorite, but even at Frog's hand would Riku getting pounded leave me bitter.

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RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/2005
SC2k5 - 5/5 (empty slots in brackets suck)
From: voltch | Posted: 7/24/2005 7:37:44 AM | Message Detail
about KH2
will it be like some kind of second coming for square characters? as in have the same effect as KH
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 7/24/2005 7:40:56 AM | Message Detail
I would think only for the ones that were not already in it. Tidus, Leon and co. have already been introduced to a possible different fanbase, so it would not be likely for them to benefit from a sequel. However, Auron will most likely get some semblence of a boost from its release.

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RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/2005
SC2k5 - 5/5 (empty slots in brackets suck)
From: voltch | Posted: 7/24/2005 7:46:07 AM | Message Detail
riku is eating away at frog's percentage yet frog's lead keeps increasing. when does riku have to start making his big push during frog's weak period.
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: Slowflake | Posted: 7/24/2005 7:47:17 AM | Message Detail
I have no idea what it means about Sora, but I wouldn't be liking it one bit if I had Alucard. Not that I like it one bit already anyway.
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SC2K5 status - Points: 004/005 - Matches: 04/05 - Rank: 07383/33793 - Today: Frog - Tomorrow: Ganondorf
From: Acronym | Posted: 7/24/2005 7:50:21 AM | Message Detail
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 7/24/2005 8:22:44 AM | Message Detail
I personally just think that Frog, the best character ever (by the way), is just destined to never partake in a non-close match.

From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 7/24/2005 8:35:35 AM | Message Detail
Frog/Samus
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Fedor > Mirko. But then, Couture > Liddell.
From: Slowflake | Posted: 7/24/2005 7:52:01 AM | Message Detail
Samus may end up doubling Frog.

What's with CJayC and pitting my favorites against each other early anyway? (also see Magus/Knuckles)
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SC2K5 status - Points: 004/005 - Matches: 04/05 - Rank: 07383/33793 - Today: Frog - Tomorrow: Ganondorf
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 7/24/2005 7:54:06 AM | Message Detail
Samus doubling Frog would be a justice I've been seeking for over a year now.

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Mario's Path to Victory: Round 2 - (4) Ness
http://img129.imageshack.us/img129/135/cunningplan32kw.jpg
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 7/24/2005 7:56:40 AM | Message Detail
I knew Riku was going to make this close. The feeling I had was right!

Frog might have tp re;y pn the nighy vote to win if Riku's day vote keeps up like this.
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Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Riku vs. Frog - Bracket: Frog - Vote: Frog (4/5)
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 7/24/2005 7:58:11 AM | Message Detail
I don't see Frog needing to worry about losing the match, but the percentage should keep getting cut as the day goes on.

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Mario's Path to Victory: Round 2 - (4) Ness
http://img129.imageshack.us/img129/135/cunningplan32kw.jpg
From: Infamus | Posted: 7/24/2005 8:03:11 AM | Message Detail
tag
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v326/sixsixsix/Misc/iloveinfamus.jpg
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 7/24/2005 8:22:34 AM | Message Detail
Here's an update on the vote totals.

As of 8:20, here are the totals in comparison to Ness/CJ.

Ness/CJ - 32,101
Riku/Frog - 27,909

It definitely has seemed to have dropped off. We won't be seeing 100,000+ with this one. With some luck, a Nintendo character will provide us with that. ;)

Oh, and Frog breached the 2000 vote lead mark.

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Mario's Path to Victory: Round 2 - (4) Ness
http://img129.imageshack.us/img129/135/cunningplan32kw.jpg
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 7/24/2005 8:25:37 AM | Message Detail
so do the current results make sora look stronger or weaker?

How would we know, Riku is new and Frog is unstable. If Frog puts up funny numbers against Samus as well we won't know until Sora/Alucard.
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17 handhelds Nintendo has taken down 1 more to go (see quote for rest)
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 7/24/2005 8:31:38 AM | Message Detail
Well, I'm feeling very good about Kirby > Tidus, at least.
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"Luca Blight's insane. He's a wolf raised on the smell of fire and the taste of blood."" ~ Viktor, Suikoden II
From: jonthomson | Posted: 7/24/2005 8:31:45 AM | Message Detail
Oh, and Frog breached the 2000 vote lead mark.

And not before time, this one can finally be put to bed, apart from all the obvious "OMG RIUK IS GAINING PERCETN LOLZ" and "Is Riku rSFFing Frog?" topics.

Come to think of it, can anyone think of a match that would have no SFF whatsoever?
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Jon Thomson - MARIO, Samus, SOLID SNAKE, Bowser, CRONO, Squall, Sonic, MEGA MAN
From: Conceited Bastard | Posted: 7/24/2005 8:33:00 AM | Message Detail
Vivi/Zelda?
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v326/sixsixsix/Misc/iloveinfamus.jpg
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 7/24/2005 8:34:00 AM | Message Detail
Come to think of it, can anyone think of a match that would have no SFF whatsoever?

Frog/Master Chief. It's hard to have SFF when the loser is only down 7 votes.
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"Luca Blight's insane. He's a wolf raised on the smell of fire and the taste of blood."" ~ Viktor, Suikoden II
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 7/24/2005 8:40:37 AM | Message Detail
I find it funny because I would've voted for Master Chief if it weren't for my bracket.
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17 handhelds Nintendo has taken down 1 more to go (see quote for rest)
From: jonthomson | Posted: 7/24/2005 8:46:40 AM | Message Detail
The best I could come up with would be something like Tidus/Pac-Man. Unless Pac-Man had some release on the PS2 that I don't know about. You'd have to get systems, genres and even (gaming) generations all different to eliminate all the forms of SFF I've seen touted about, most of which are silly.

And there goes the test, ****.
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Jon Thomson - MARIO, Samus, SOLID SNAKE, Bowser, CRONO, Squall, Sonic, MEGA MAN
From: therealmnm | Posted: 7/24/2005 8:47:51 AM | Message Detail
Likewise... I only voted for Frog because I had him in my bracket. But now that I have bought an XBox since then and beaten Halo and Halo 2, not only would I vote for Master Chief against Frog, I'd DEFINITELY pick him for the win.
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Graduation: April 30, 2005 "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 7/24/2005 8:49:35 AM | Message Detail
Well, I'm feeling very good about Kirby > Tidus, at least.

And I'm actually worried. At this point, I wouldn't be surprised in the least if Kirby wins that match.

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Mario's Path to Victory: Round 2 - (4) Ness
http://img129.imageshack.us/img129/135/cunningplan32kw.jpg
From: therealmnm | Posted: 7/24/2005 8:51:36 AM | Message Detail
Well, I'm feeling very good about Kirby > Tidus, at least.

Do you think Tidus is THAT much less popular than Squall?
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Graduation: April 30, 2005 "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
From: lettuce Kefka | Posted: 7/24/2005 8:52:19 AM | Message Detail
Of course there's always going to be some SSF. But, there's some and then there's SSF that can significantly effect the results.

And, jonthomson, when you're going to complain about the mass presences of certain types of topics, at least pick for both of your examples, a type of topic that there is actually more than one of.
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Ahem! There's LETTUCE on my boots!
http://www.geocities.com/lettucekefka/
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 7/24/2005 8:55:02 AM | Message Detail
Do you think Tidus is THAT much less popular than Squall?

Even with Tidus' full adjustment, Kirby is statistically favored. He doesn't have to be at that 24% in order for Kirby to take care of business.

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Mario's Path to Victory: Round 2 - (4) Ness
http://img129.imageshack.us/img129/135/cunningplan32kw.jpg
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 7/24/2005 8:59:05 AM | Message Detail
I don't think there's anything wrong with thinking that Squall could come close to 55% on Tidus, that Tidus could have dropped further since last year, and/or Kirby could have increased thanks to starring in the first killer app for the DS.
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"Luca Blight's insane. He's a wolf raised on the smell of fire and the taste of blood."" ~ Viktor, Suikoden II
From: Mumei | Posted: 7/24/2005 9:13:46 AM | Message Detail
Holy...

Wow. I just read this topic. I had no idea Frog started off that strongly.

... I'm almost hoping he chokes. >_>
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Flee back to your masters, Aldaris, and huddle with them in darkness! For your actions shall set us all unto the Zerg! ~ Tassadar
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 7/24/2005 9:13:59 AM | Message Detail
This is probably just my Firefox acting up, but does anyone else not see the match picture on the home page?
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: Tediz247 | Posted: 7/24/2005 9:15:39 AM | Message Detail
I can see it just fine, but the other poll is completely screwing up my layout.
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through the end.
ZSB [aX]
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 7/24/2005 9:27:04 AM | Message Detail
On to the averages!

20XXDF Frog:
18 Tidus 30.64
19 Shadow 30.52
20 Zelda 30.29
Riku 29.91
21 Sora 29.62
22 Master Chief 29.14
23 Vivi 29.10

Unadjusted Frog:
23 Vivi 29.10
24 Squall Leonhart 29.03
25 Alucard 27.80
Riku 27.59
25 Alucard 27.14
26 Claire Redfield 27.05
27 Yoshi 26.84
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"Luca Blight's insane. He's a wolf raised on the smell of fire and the taste of blood."" ~ Viktor, Suikoden II
From: Slowflake | Posted: 7/24/2005 9:31:29 AM | Message Detail
Riku stronger than Alucard no matter what... I mean, DAMN.
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SC2K5 status - Points: 004/005 - Matches: 04/05 - Rank: 07383/33793 - Today: Frog - Tomorrow: Ganondorf
From: therealmnm | Posted: 7/24/2005 9:34:24 AM | Message Detail
Heh... now only if Zidane could show some real strength against a fellow Square character a la Riku...
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Graduation: April 30, 2005 "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 7/24/2005 9:34:39 AM | Message Detail
Well, those are Alucard's averages. He's gained steadily every year. 2k4 Alucard ranks between 20XXDF Riku and Sora.
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"Luca Blight's insane. He's a wolf raised on the smell of fire and the taste of blood."" ~ Viktor, Suikoden II
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 7/24/2005 9:34:45 AM | Message Detail
Riku>Sora? Tee hee.

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RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/2005
SC2k5 - 5/5 (empty slots in brackets suck)
From: dethfdddddh | Posted: 7/24/2005 9:37:18 AM | Message Detail
.....Why's Alucard listed twice?
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Volgin is one sexy beast....
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 7/24/2005 9:38:46 AM | Message Detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 7/24/2005 9:39:50 AM | Message Detail
.....Why's Alucard listed twice?

Because I can't copy and paste, apparently.

Unadjusted Frog:
23 Vivi 29.10
24 Squall Leonhart 29.03
25 Alucard 27.80
Riku 27.59
26 Claire Redfield 27.14
27 Yoshi 27.05
28 Dante 26.84

Screwed it up again. Yikes. This one should be good.
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"Luca Blight's insane. He's a wolf raised on the smell of fire and the taste of blood."" ~ Viktor, Suikoden II
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 7/24/2005 9:40:57 AM | Message Detail
Makes you wonder if it would have been Riku/Yoshi, how many people would have even entertained the idea of taking Riku...

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RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/2005
SC2k5 - 5/5 (empty slots in brackets suck)
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