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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 162
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 7/22/2005 12:57:58 AM | Message Detail
We've been comparing Mithos and Wesker with no fear about how Sephiroth effected them, I believe?

They have a common opponent in Kefka, Sephiroth never comes into the picture.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
From: Keno316 | Posted: 7/22/2005 12:58:04 AM | Message Detail
He's stalling at around 350.

1 hour past, and Lloyd has only been able to build a 350 lead...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair & Millia Rage*
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 7/22/2005 12:58:40 AM | Message Detail
Hmmm...Didn't Kuja/Master Hand start off like this?

DUN DUN DUN!
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 7/22/2005 12:59:25 AM | Message Detail
They have a common opponent in Kefka, Sephiroth never comes into the picture.

My point exactly. You can still get some things out of the stats from that contest if you fear Sephiroth that much.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 7/22/2005 12:59:41 AM | Message Detail
If only Wesker were in SSBM.

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A E I OWN U
From: whatev | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:00:35 AM | Message Detail
*Plays It can Waver and Fight*
If nothing else, at least Mithos's themes>Lloyd's themes.
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The world is toroidal
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:01:00 AM | Message Detail
1:00
Ness vs CJ - 5122
Lloyd vs Wesker - 5101

Falling behind a slight bit.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
From: creativename | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:01:34 AM | Message Detail
From: MegatokyoEd | Posted: 7/22/2005 3:56:27 AM | Message Detail
Riku upsetting Frog would be hilarious.


I guarantee that this will not happen.

Unless...wait...what if Riku gets double support? Support from everyone that recognizes him, and from horny fanboys that think he's Rikku?

AW, ****.
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www.SC2K5.com
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:01:45 AM | Message Detail
Lloyd just got about twenty votes in a row. I have a feeling that's the closest were going to get to seeing him dominate Wesker.
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From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:01:50 AM | Message Detail
Tomorrow's match will be the first to break 100k.

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A E I OWN U
From: Keno316 | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:01:58 AM | Message Detail
Lloyd looking to break 400 and rise up to 54%.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair & Millia Rage*
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:02:42 AM | Message Detail
After one hour:

Ness/CJ: 5122
Zero/Hayabusa: 4878
Lloyd/Wesker: 5101

With that said, I'm off to bed. Interesting to note that Ness had close to the same percentage on CJ at this time as Lloyd has now. Here's hoping he can pull away in that fashion.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: Mister Mario | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:02:56 AM | Message Detail
Woo, 400.
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Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Master Ness
From: Keno316 | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:03:48 AM | Message Detail
And he's back at 54...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair & Millia Rage*
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:03:48 AM | Message Detail
Lloyd Irving 54.02% 2855
Albert Wesker 45.98% 2430
TOTAL VOTES 5285

Lloyd gets above 54% rather quickly. Here's hoping he flies now.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:03:56 AM | Message Detail
Heh, I'm goin' to bed too. Since this match is already a shocker, here's to hoping it's a good ole' fashioned barn-burner.

G-nite ya'll.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:04:10 AM | Message Detail
Lloyd broke above 54% really quickly. Let's hope he continues this and climbs a lot higher.
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From: Keno316 | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:04:25 AM | Message Detail
Lloyd had exploded all of a sudden...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair & Millia Rage*
From: BeTheMan | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:04:35 AM | Message Detail
Yeah, Lloyd's getting some pep in his step now...if nothing else, it's good for my oracle. >_>
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ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO...Pac-Man?
From: Undeniable | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:04:49 AM | Message Detail
Oh well, that was great, but I'm think it will drop to 58%-42%
~~~
"[Zelos] clearly should be writing in his book of dark poetry and slitting his wrists with a cruxis crystal - meisnewbie
From: creativename | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:04:52 AM | Message Detail
The most unexpected result tomorrow would be Samus somehow failing to break 80%.

Then everyone counting her out because of this. And then her proceeding to win the main bracket.

But, there could be a huge surge of an anti- bandwagon...one that increases faith in Samus due to her disappointment. Thus ensuring that Samus will lose early...to Frog.

Now *that* would be the best. contest. thing. evar.
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From: Sir Crono | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:05:52 AM | Message Detail
Frog over Samus would rock hardcore, and Shadowdude would look like a genius.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: MegatokyoEd | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:06:29 AM | Message Detail
Yes Frog will upset Samus only to lose to Big Boss who beat Auron and Ganondorf.
From: Keno316 | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:06:30 AM | Message Detail
Frog over Samus would kill so many brackets its not funny...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair & Millia Rage*
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:06:56 AM | Message Detail
Just as soon as it looks like Lloyd's gonna leave Wesker in the dust, he drops back under 54%.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno
From: Keno316 | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:07:06 AM | Message Detail
And he goes back under 54, for the time being...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair & Millia Rage*
From: transience | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:07:38 AM | Message Detail
Lloyd Irving 54% 2963
Albert Wesker 46% 2524
TOTAL VOTES 5487

I never thought I'd be happy with seeing him go from 53 to 54%.
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From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:07:44 AM | Message Detail
Good thing for Samus that Frog is going to underperform because there was no SFF in megaman vs. link >_>.
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From: Keno316 | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:10:03 AM | Message Detail
And another small surge...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair & Millia Rage*
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:10:51 AM | Message Detail
Back over 54%. Now if he can only gain 5% before the day vote begins...

>,>
<,<

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A E I OWN U
From: transience | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:12:04 AM | Message Detail
well, Mithos started out around 28% and ended up at 36. by that logic, maybe Lloyd will break 60 when it's all over.

still, that's awful.
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From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:14:14 AM | Message Detail
Leon: I'm going to bed.

*cue Leon staying up for another 2 hours, like always*

<3

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
"If my fate is to be destroyed... I must simply laugh!" -Magus
From: creativename | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:15:27 AM | Message Detail
I see Lloyd gaining 2-5 points; ending in the 56%-59% range. 8 points seems like a big stretch though.
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From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:15:42 AM | Message Detail
Realistically Lloyd could still reach close to 65%.In order to do so he'd need to gain about another 3-4% before the day vote starts though. I see him finishing around 60% given how much Wesker completely sucks with the day vote.
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From: transience | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:16:07 AM | Message Detail
damn, this thing exploded. I can make a topic if you want, but I'm probably not enough of a veteran to be cool enough to do that or something.

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From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:17:13 AM | Message Detail
Considering Ulti is still awake I'm sure the other one is already made.
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From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:17:18 AM | Message Detail
I see Lloyd gaining 2-5 points; ending in the 56%-59% range. 8 points seems like a big stretch though.

Mithos made 6% on Kefka and Kefka had a nearly identical voting pattern compared to Wesker. I wouldn't say 8% is too much of a stretch.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:18:35 AM | Message Detail
01:15 | Lloyd | 03211 | +0476 | 54.12% | Wesker | 02722 | +0356 | 45.88% | Lead of 0489 | (Up 120)

"Updates Left: 91
Votes per update needed for Wesker to catch up: 5.374
Lloyd's % last update: 57.21%
Total Votes so far: 5933"

Let's see if that was a fluke.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
From: creativename | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:18:48 AM | Message Detail
Actually by this point in the match (1:15 in), Mithos had already gained about 3% against Kefka from 10 minutes in. Lloyd hasn't budged. Now, that's the night vote (vs. the board vote) rather than the day vote; but still, not a great sign for Lloyd. Though I do think he'll gain somewhat before the end of the match.
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From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:20:31 AM | Message Detail
Is that a 15 minute update?

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A E I OWN U
From: Mac Arrowny | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:21:22 AM | Message Detail
Better explanation for Luca being stronger: Magus rose from 2k3 to 2k4. After all, Crono did too, and Frog was suspiciously close to his 2k3 version.
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:21:22 AM | Message Detail
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/22?matchnum=2069

From there I believe.
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From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:22:05 AM | Message Detail
Is that a 15 minute update?

Yep. I might as well post the rest of them.

00:15 | Lloyd | 01026 | +1026 | 54.06% | Wesker | 00872 | +0872 | 45.94% | Lead of 0154 | (Up 154)
00:30 | Lloyd | 01688 | +0662 | 53.71% | Wesker | 01455 | +0583 | 46.29% | Lead of 0233 | (Up 79)
00:45 | Lloyd | 02241 | +0553 | 53.55% | Wesker | 01944 | +0489 | 46.45% | Lead of 0297 | (Up 64)
01:00 | Lloyd | 02735 | +0494 | 53.62% | Wesker | 02366 | +0422 | 46.38% | Lead of 0369 | (Up 72)
01:15 | Lloyd | 03211 | +0476 | 54.12% | Wesker | 02722 | +0356 | 45.88% | Lead of 0489 | (Up 120)

"Updates Left: 91
Votes per update needed for Wesker to catch up: 5.374
Lloyd's % last update: 57.21%
Total Votes so far: 5933"

Apparently Wesker really took a dive that update for some reason.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:22:12 AM | Message Detail
Better explanation for Luca being stronger: Magus rose from 2k3 to 2k4. After all, Crono did too, and Frog was suspiciously close to his 2k3 version.

That makes a lot of sense actually. A lot more sense then RPG villain SFF anyways.
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From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:23:27 AM | Message Detail
Well other then the fact that I don't think frog was in 2k3 anwyays.
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From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:24:23 AM | Message Detail
I rented Million Dollar Baby today, I'm gonna go watch it now. See you guys later.

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A E I OWN U
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:25:19 AM | Message Detail
Magus rose from 2k3 to 2k4.

Of course Magus increased. I mean it's like sooooo obvious >_>;;

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
"If my fate is to be destroyed... I must simply laugh!" -Magus
From: MegatokyoEd | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:25:44 AM | Message Detail
This contest has matched the Spring Contest in 4 days. Vivi/Zelda should instantly make it better or maybe even Frog/Riku
From: creativename | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:26:39 AM | Message Detail
Vincent>Magus is actually the one choice I might actually change if I could.
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From: creativename | Posted: 7/22/2005 1:27:09 AM | Message Detail
Actually, even.
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