the better that makes Sonic look against Mega Man

Oh crap...
---
Bracket: CJ - Vote: CJ Points: 1/1 Rank: 1/1

Would Zero doing worse than expected really affect Sonic/Mega Man? I mean, they both faced him.....

Well, it might make Mega Man weakening last year look more reliable if Zero weakened, too.
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno

Would Zero doing worse than expected really affect Sonic/Mega Man? I mean, they both faced him.....

I'm guessing this is how it goes..

Zero lost to Mega Man, who lost to Link. Zero's % on 2k4 Link depends on whether or not Link's match against Mega Man was legit or not. The better he basically does, the more "SFF" he supposely suffered...at least for me.

Though..who knows..maybe the Ninja pic really is doing something. Or maybe Zero's value and Mega Man's value is at the right places.
---
Bracket: CJ - Vote: CJ Points: 1/1 Rank: 1/1

Funny how Zero got the board vote against Ryu, isn't it? From what I remembered in the past, Zero usually didn't do so great with the board, and Ryu Hayabusa started off strong against Jill and Sora last year.

I guess it shows how much hype affects Board 8, eh? =P

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."

Ah, fair enough...that'd barely make for any advantage for Sonic though, to be fair.
---
Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.

Zero always seems to underperfrom in Round 1.

---
A E I OWN U

Zero always seems to underperfrom in Round 1.

Based off of what? Scorpion arguably stayed even, and we haven't seen Protoman again since he got decimated by Zero.
---
Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.

I guess Lloyd may give Zero an interesting match now.
---
Bracket: CJ - Vote: CJ Points: 1/1 Rank: 1/1

Another "for the record:"

Unadjusted Zero is projected to get 63.77% on Hayabusa.
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno

Zero's matches did cause Scorpion's and Vercetti's extrapolated standings to increase ever-so-slightly from the previous year, but it's pretty negligible.

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."

Heh. Zero could very well end up close to that.

Ryu Hayabusa could very well be just below Vercetti?
---
Bracket: CJ - Vote: CJ Points: 1/1 Rank: 1/1

Er, disregard that post, Vercetti did way better..nevermind.
---
Bracket: CJ - Vote: CJ Points: 1/1 Rank: 1/1

Zero seems to be increasing in percentage again. He's above 65.5% now, but was below 65% a while back. Keep growing so you don't fall too far below 65% with the day vote!

(I predicted Zero with 65% in the Oracle)

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."

Still, if there WAS no 20XX Factor after all and Auron adjusted through Scorpion is indeed correct, then we were all doomed from the beginning as Ness would be stronger than Vercetti.
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno

How is this match vote totals compared to the previous matches so far?

---
A E I OWN U

While it's still too early to say, this could bode well for Ganon; Scorpion got 37.16% against Zero in 2k3, and the 2k4 stats had Scorpion projected to get 46.61% on Ryu Hayabusa last year...but basing off of what Ryu has right now (34.55%) and assuming Zero stayed constant from 2k3 to today, Scorpion would get 53.53% against Ryu Hayabusa now, putting him at 22.1% on Link 2k4. From there, that means Auron 2k4 should be at 28.66%, just below Bowser...and Ganon > Bowser (depending on if you believe in the Villain Contest, they're either close together or spread pretty far apart, your call, but Ganon > Bowser still)...

...let me remind you it's way too early to tell though.
---
Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.

After 35 minutes, this match has 3329 votes.

Ness/CJ: 3559

A little behind, but it's not even an hour into it.
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno

How is this match vote totals compared to the previous matches so far?

Currently worse than Ness vs CJ.
---
"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."

For anyone interested, I've made an Excel sheet with the least squares example:

http://www.sc2k5.com/Least_Squares_Example.xls
---
www.SC2K5.com

Zero seems to have gone back up to the 66.4% range. Good to see.

And with that, I'm out.
---
Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Zero vs. Ryu H. - Bracket: Zero - Vote: Zero (1/2)

Zero is being awfully erratic. He's back over 66% again.
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno

I could be mistaken, but I don't think either Zero or Hayabusa have a particularly remarkable day/night disparity.

Looks like Zero will do a few points better than my 64% Oracle guess.
---
www.SC2K5.com

See, now that I've posted that, it went from 34.55% to 33.63% real quick, thus making Auron look stronger than Bowser using my lil' quick-theory...once more though, far too early to tell.
---
Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.

and the 2k4 stats had Scorpion projected to get 46.61% on Ryu Hayabusa last year...

...You mean, the ones that don't adjust for Auron/Sephiroth SFF?
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno

Yep; my point with that was to show that SFF should have been accounted for.
---
Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.

Well, that point was already pretty obvious anyway considering what Ness just did.
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno

I could be mistaken, but I don't think either Zero or Hayabusa have a particularly remarkable day/night disparity.

I think Zero gained on Mega Man through the final night hours, and I know Ryu got a piece of the Xbox day-vote.
---
Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.

To be fair though, CJ's still a rookie no matter how you look at it...this match is much more definitive.
---
Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.

Regardless, nobody would expect CJ to be uber-fodder, as he would be if Ness was unadjusted.
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno

Regardless, nobody would expect CJ to be uber-fodder, as he would be if Ness was unadjusted.

*looks at the BOP and Guru contest results*
It's pretty obvious that the general expectations were almost competely off base and not something to go by.
---
"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."

Point taken, I'm just saying we have some more definite proof that there was a good amount of SFF to account for. While Ness/CJ was almost certainly proof of it, this match (barring a huge swing) WILL certainly prove it.
---
Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.

...Where the hell is my bike!?

---
A E I OWN U

Well, I mean, even taking into account the possibility of CJ losing to Ness beforehand, it doesn't make sense for him to be very weak fodder (though he is still weak, just not THAT weak).
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno

It doesn't make much sense that Jak > CJ, either...but that debate's for another night.

I'm gone to bed, g-nite ya'll.
---
Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.

Doesn't make sense, but it feels sooooo right.
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno

Before I go to bed, a comparison of vote totals after one hour:

Zero/Hayabusa - 4878
Ness/CJ - 5122
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Contest 2005 Championship
Round 1: (7) Geno

I think Zero gained on Mega Man through the final night hours, and I know Ryu got a piece of the Xbox day-vote.

From an hour into their matches, Zero gained 4.8% on Mega Man and Ryu lost 3.5% on Sora. The current score bodes well for Zero.

And Zero goes below 65% again.
---
"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."

I nominate creativename for best post ever in the stats topic.
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Congrats to yoblazer, the Guru contest winner!

Couldn't resist:
Zero 64.84% 4322
Ryu Hayabusa 35.16% 2344
TOTAL VOTES 6666

And this isn't too hot for Zero especially if the Xbox day vote turns up for Ryu...
---
Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb

http://boards.gamefaqsascii.com/genmessage.php?board=5552&topic=24223

aga's match pics own.

---
A E I OWN U

Holy crap, aga. That's some AAA stuff.
---
Board 8: Where people treat each other right.

God yes they do DC. Those are some of the best match pics I've ever seen. Tell aga ExTha says A++++

Anybody still have faith in Megaman over Sonic?

---
Smurf - The cream of Sonic Fanboyism

I like the 1st Bowser/Chun-Li pic. Very much.

---
A E I OWN U

Anybody still have faith in Megaman over Sonic?

Sure, why wouldn't they?
---
"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."

Wait, you're putting the Count that low? You suck.

"Umm...Go Ninja Go Ninja Go?"

I have that on my comp, as well as Turtle Power. Good times.

Oh, and am I the only one seeing this?:

Ness 55.23% 46387
Carl Johnson 44.77% 37596
TOTAL VOTES 83983

I wanted to see yesterday's total and that's what it shows me... What gives?
---
"Have you missed me? Was I there? I was dreaming... someone cared" - Iio "Give it Up"

0_o, thaty's strange because when I go to look at yesterday's results everything is fine.

Ness 55.14% 54881
Carl Johnson 44.86% 44644
TOTAL VOTES 99525

That's what I see.
---
Please sign this petition for a history board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=21995996

Sure, why wouldn't they?

Because smurf has sonic winning the entire contest. Sonic over Megaman feels a lot more likely to me now, but megaman is still the favourite. I don't have any regrets over picking sonic to win that match.
---
Please sign this petition for a history board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=21995996