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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 154
From: swirldude | Posted: 7/11/2005 9:37:50 PM | Message Detail
Bah, Mage, now you have to make me switch to Kerrigan!
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Trainer: Clinkeroth, do mega fanboy attack!
Clinkeroth: CLINKEROTH!
~Pibb of Truth
From: LeonhartForever | Posted: 7/11/2005 9:38:59 PM | Message Detail
Because we know beyond a shadow of a doubt that Bomberman and Kirby were static, don't we? The one thing we can say for sure is that the gap between the two of them in strength was smaller than 2003.
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It's just not the same without this name.
Faithful supporter of Squall Leonhart in SC2K5
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 7/11/2005 9:40:36 PM | Message Detail
Bah, Mage, now you have to make me switch to Kerrigan!

>>;
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"Heil Dweebenheimer!"
MasterMage119
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 7/11/2005 9:40:40 PM | Message Detail
I said supporting it, not proving it. Bomberman over Ramza seems kinda odd to me, though.
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"The strong men take everything and the weak men die." ~ Luca Blight, Suikoden II
From: LeonhartForever | Posted: 7/11/2005 9:43:36 PM | Message Detail
Eh, I dunno. Square characters do seem to do better as the vote totals go up. Squall/Bomberman was pretty low, while Squall/Kirby was one of the highest of the contest. That match seemed to be more in line with his 2003 strength.
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It's just not the same without this name.
Faithful supporter of Squall Leonhart in SC2K5
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/11/2005 9:47:29 PM | Message Detail
Here's my own top 20.

1. Link
2. Cloud
3. Sephiroth
4. Samus
5. Crono
6. Mario
7. Mega Man
8. Sonic
9. Solid Snake
10. Magus
11. Zero
12. Aeris
13. Ganondorf
14. Bowser
15. Ryu
16. Auron
17. Zelda
18. Squall
19. Tidus
20. Frog

I'm basing this on past performance, which is why I'm not including anyone like Tifa or Vincent. In a ranking based only on past performance, I don't see any reasonable argument for changing this top 5.
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Congrats to yoblazer, the Guru contest winner!
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 7/11/2005 9:47:57 PM | Message Detail
Squall through 2k3 Kirby is at 29.37%. Granted, I don't think the drop was all Squall, but I do think he was a bit weaker and 2k3 and will be a bit weaker this year as well.
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"The strong men take everything and the weak men die." ~ Luca Blight, Suikoden II
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 7/11/2005 9:48:54 PM | Message Detail
And I am oh so tempted to make one final change to my bracket: Mario over Crono.
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"The strong men take everything and the weak men die." ~ Luca Blight, Suikoden II
From: Dranze | Posted: 7/11/2005 9:49:37 PM | Message Detail
I've been tempted to make that change as well, though, the chances of Mario pulling something like that off is something I can't really see, and I'm a Mario fanboy.
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Shut up, make me a sandwich. That is all.
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/11/2005 9:56:24 PM | Message Detail
Hey, if you have Mario beating Samus, you may as well have him going all the way...
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Congrats to yoblazer, the Guru contest winner!
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 7/11/2005 10:01:24 PM | Message Detail
Hey, if you have Mario beating Samus, you may as well have him going all the way...

Despite Crono seeming like the safe choice against Mario this year, I completely second that. Mario shouldn't ever lose in the championship match...again.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Knuckles
Serious Reminder: Vote for Tifa Lockheart, too
From: Dranze | Posted: 7/11/2005 10:03:41 PM | Message Detail
Especially to Crono of all people...
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Shut up, make me a sandwich. That is all.
From: TheGreatMaster | Posted: 7/11/2005 10:05:00 PM | Message Detail
I originally had Samus beating Mario and then beating Crono. But it just didn't feel right to have Mario lose to Samus... and then it didn't feel right to have Mario lose in the finals. I may be delusional, but I just can't go against Mario. He's one of the only characters who really deserves to win this contest, anyway. >_<

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**Congratulations Naye745: Most closely predicted the release of the Summer Contest 2005 Bracket**
From: Aprosenf | Posted: 7/11/2005 10:06:00 PM | Message Detail
Mario deserves to win just because he is the icon of video games. Unfortunately, he is not the most popular.
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For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 7/11/2005 10:14:34 PM | Message Detail
Should Mario beat Samus, I'll see to it that Mario wins the whole damn main bracket, heh. I'll be taking a lil' trip to Rally-Valley.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Knuckles
Serious Reminder: Vote for Tifa Lockheart, too
From: sidharta | Posted: 7/11/2005 10:15:33 PM | Message Detail
I personally don't care for Mario, but yeah, if you have him beating Samus, then you should have him go all the way to ToC.

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Posts without a sig looks ugly, so I guess I need something here.
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/11/2005 10:50:16 PM | Message Detail
By the way, I don't think Mario could beat Crono, but I also don't think he has a prayer against Samus. So if you have enough faith to put him over Samus, you might as well put him over Crono, who's probably weaker.

Anyway, I'm not going to criticize anyone for picking their favorite in a longshot. I took Mega Man last year, for god's sake. The purpose of the contest is fun, which doesn't always mean taking the most likely winner for every match.
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Congrats to yoblazer, the Guru contest winner!
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 7/11/2005 11:50:14 PM | Message Detail
I'd like to be able to believe it's Crono's year, but I'll be serious and take Samus.
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Yoblazer just kicked my ass!
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 7/12/2005 2:31:00 AM | Message Detail
So, everyone believes there is actually NO cheating at all in these contests?

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A E I OWN U
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 7/12/2005 2:35:31 AM | Message Detail
Not at all. I know for certain there is at least one cheated vote in every match but I'm sure the actual number of cheated votes per match will be far greater than one.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 7/12/2005 2:55:32 AM | Message Detail
We know there's plenty of cheating, it's just not likely to unbalance the results. Cheating would be done rather proportionately on each side in most cases, and if a person is willing to cheat in one match they'll probably do it in every match in most cases. Frankly, it doesn't have much effect on the math unless it's something like Starcraft.
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Yoblazer just kicked my ass!
From: Shadowdude II | Posted: 7/12/2005 6:40:54 AM | Message Detail
I need my daily dose of Heroic Mario right about now... >_>

I didn't realize that Samus was SUCH a heavy favorite to win the contest.
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SC2K5 Elite Eight: Mario, Frog, Snake, Tidus, Crono, Knuckles, Sonic, Ocelot
From: Vlado | Posted: 7/12/2005 8:06:15 AM | Message Detail
If all Aeris fans are like me then we're usually content to sit back and watch what happens before openning our mouths and making us look dumb like some people.

I wasn't talking about arguing. I was talking about stating you like Aeris, voting for her in polls, etc., etc.

About those top 20 lists I see around here, whoever has Tifa lower than Aeris is fooling themselves.
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*** Support Tifa Lockheart in the Summer Contest 2005 ***
Thanks to everyone who helped her get in!
From: meche313 | Posted: 7/12/2005 8:08:53 AM | Message Detail
Inside this topic no, Mario looks to be the favorite. Outside, however, Samus is the clear favorite...(and she deserves it)
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That's right. Cloud N. Candy would get a NEGATIVE percentage, and RPGuy's extrapolated calculator would crash. - therealmnm
From: voltch | Posted: 7/12/2005 8:16:54 AM | Message Detail
this topic still hasn't reached 500? i guess everyone's had there say and are looking an their brackets for double checks.
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: Phediuk | Posted: 7/12/2005 8:33:52 AM | Message Detail
What's with all the ridiculous underestimation of Master Chief around here?

Did you guys forget that he starred in the most hyped game...pretty much ever, as far as mainstream awareness goes? The same game that became the best-selling Xbox game of all time in 2 months? The same game that got GotY nominations up the wazzoo? The same game that single-handedly doubled the userbase of Xbox Live?

If Master Chief was already equal to Frog, then I don't see why he couldn't beat Snake now. Hell, he might even be able to put up a fight against Magus.

Furthermore, Xbox hate has considerably died down since 2003, and even then, it was on the way out. Why people are still bringing up MC's match against Felix is beyond me.

P.S. MGS3 won't be doing anything to Snake. The game sold under a million, IIRC, because it was released in the shadow of-what's that game again?-Halo 2. Ditto to Metroid Prime 2.
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"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 7/12/2005 8:36:08 AM | Message Detail
I agree with all of that, but he can't beat Crono. His position is very unfortunate, as he had potential to be unpredictable. But he just didn't gain enough to beat Crono...
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"Heil Dweebenheimer!"
MasterMage119
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 7/12/2005 8:36:16 AM | Message Detail
Inside this topic no, Mario looks to be the favorite. Outside, however, Samus is the clear favorite...(and she deserves it)

I thought Samus was the favorite here, too? *shrugs* Probably better off for me if she isn't, heh.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Knuckles
Serious Reminder: Vote for Tifa Lockheart, too
From: meche313 | Posted: 7/12/2005 8:36:28 AM | Message Detail
Did you guys forget that he starred in the most hyped game...pretty much ever, as far as mainstream awareness goes? The same game that became the best-selling Xbox game of all time in 2 months? The same game that got GotY nominations up the wazzoo? The same game that single-handedly doubled the userbase of Xbox Live?

That has nothing to do with how well would he do in GameFaqs. If it was like that, CJ and Tommy would be in the Top.

Also, if he can barely beat Frog, how can he be close to Magus? I believe Magus >>> Frog, easily.
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That's right. Cloud N. Candy would get a NEGATIVE percentage, and RPGuy's extrapolated calculator would crash. - therealmnm
From: meche313 | Posted: 7/12/2005 8:37:14 AM | Message Detail
Better for me, also. But I've seen a lot of people in this topic who have Mario all the way...
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That's right. Cloud N. Candy would get a NEGATIVE percentage, and RPGuy's extrapolated calculator would crash. - therealmnm
From: BeTheMan | Posted: 7/12/2005 8:45:52 AM | Message Detail
This is my personal viewpoint on the Mario/Samus/Crono fiasco:

*Samus would beat anyone in this contest other than Mario
*Mario would beat anyone in this contest other than Crono
*Crono would beat anyone in this contest other than Samus

And MC staying close with Frog doesn't look all the impressive because of what happened with Liquid Snake against Sephy, and because Solid Snake and Mega Man didn't come off looking quite as good as they used to.
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ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO...Pac-Man?
From: Shadowdude II | Posted: 7/12/2005 8:50:24 AM | Message Detail
Also, if he can barely beat Frog, how can he be close to Magus? I believe Magus >>> Frog, easily.

Wrong. Magus isn't much stronger than Frog at all.
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SC2K5: Mario, Frog, Snake, Tidus, Crono, Knuckles, Sonic, Ocelot
I wouldn't be surprised if Mario doubled Zero. ~maplejet
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 7/12/2005 8:53:08 AM | Message Detail
Even after accepting Solid and Mega Man dropped, Solid is still a strong character, and Frog certainly fought for a third upset in a row. Plus, somebody (I forget who, sorry) had the theory that FF7/Sephiroth (maybe Cloud, too? Not sure) have got a type of fanbase that can SFF other games/characters on the PS that came out around when it did...

Sephiroth/Alucard
FF7/Suikoden 2
FF7/Xenogears
FF7/Metal Gear Solid
Sephiroth/Liquid Snake

...while it's certainly iffy, all of those games/characters performed worse against Sephiroth/FF7 than generally expected. I think Seph/Liquid is almost certainly an anomoly, though I'm not about to give Liquid full credit for his match against Frog, either.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Knuckles
Serious Reminder: Vote for Tifa Lockheart, too
From: King Calamari | Posted: 7/12/2005 8:53:13 AM | Message Detail
Ah, what the hell...

1 - Samus
2 - Crono
3 - Mario
4 - Mega Man
5 - Sonic
6 - Ganondorf
7 - Magus
8 - Bowser
9 - Zero
10 - Ryu
11 - Solid Snake
12 - Auron
13 - Squall
14 - Zelda
15 - Tidus
16 - Master Chief
17 - Vivi
18 - Frog
19 - Yoshi
20 - Kirby

I dunno about Tifa and Vincent.
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Gooper Blooper? Who in the what now?
Bowser has the power to beat Snake and Ryu. He's an earthquake in a can! - UltimaterializerX
From: Cavalier Lowen | Posted: 7/12/2005 9:54:13 AM | Message Detail
1.Link
2.Cloud
3.Sephiroth
4.Samus
5. Mario (Mario still beats Samus though)
6.Crono
6. Megaman(can't decide between these two)
8.Sonic
9.Magus
10.Ganondorf
11.Bowser
12.Snake
13.Zero
14.Auron
15.Ryu
16.Aeris
17.Squall
18.Frog
19.Tidus
20.Yoshi

I dobut this is close to right, I just decided to put one together.
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Favorite Teams/Drivers: NY Mets, NY Jets, NY Isles, Georgia Tech and Rutgers, Jeff Burton and Kurt Busch
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/12/2005 12:51:51 PM | Message Detail
About those top 20 lists I see around here, whoever has Tifa lower than Aeris is fooling themselves.

At this point, you're just speculating. Get back to us after she breaks 47% against Sonic.
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Congrats to yoblazer, the Guru contest winner!
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 7/12/2005 12:55:55 PM | Message Detail
Hell, get back to us after she beats Luigi, because as far a I'm concerned, that isn't even happening.
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"Heil Dweebenheimer!"
MasterMage119
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 7/12/2005 12:56:51 PM | Message Detail
It will happen.

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A E I OWN U
From: voltch | Posted: 7/12/2005 1:02:00 PM | Message Detail
master chief is the xbox number one guy yet he is weaker than aeris now he may have surpassed her now maybe but there is a clear amount of lack of support for xbox here. i mean look at the number of xbox games in the top 50 faqs and compare it to nintendo and sony. clearly there are less xbox fans that come to this site to vote for the spartan
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 7/12/2005 1:03:25 PM | Message Detail
master chief is the xbox number one guy yet he is weaker than aeris now he may have surpassed her now maybe but there is a clear amount of lack of support for xbox here. i mean look at the number of xbox games in the top 50 faqs and compare it to nintendo and sony. clearly there are less xbox fans that come to this site to vote for the spartan

Well said.

>>

And I have no idea what your point was there.
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"Heil Dweebenheimer!"
MasterMage119
From: meche313 | Posted: 7/12/2005 1:08:51 PM | Message Detail
Wrong. Magus isn't much stronger than Frog at all.

IMO, Frog is extremely overrated.
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That's right. Cloud N. Candy would get a NEGATIVE percentage, and RPGuy's extrapolated calculator would crash. - therealmnm
From: Mumei | Posted: 7/12/2005 1:12:04 PM | Message Detail
MM, I looked at that topic and from a cursory glance, it looks like support wasn't even close to unanimous...
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Flee back to your masters, Aldaris, and huddle with them in darkness! For your actions shall set us all unto the Zerg! ~ Tassadar
From: Lopen | Posted: 7/12/2005 1:12:54 PM | Message Detail
I'm gonna be an innovator and post my top 20. This one's bound to draw the hate of the people.

1.Link
2.Cloud
3.Sephiroth
4.Samus
5. Mario
6. Megaman
7. Crono
8. Snake (I admit bias here, he'd probably lose to Sonic... but he's not as low as most people have him)
9. Sonic
10. Ryu
11. Master Chief
12. Zero
13. Dante
14. Squall
15. Tifa
16. Auron
17. Aeris
18. Magus
19. Ganondorf
20. Tidus

I know exactly how inconistant that is with actual contest results. But extrapolating only works so well... I'd take Ryu over Aeris despite his inferior %age against Sonic. Every match has a degree of "SFF" (in a sense... just not extreme enough to be called "SFF") and I think that Sonic vs Ryu favors Sonic more than Aeris vs Sonic does.

Overestimation of Master Chief and Dante, anyone? Certainly. I'm probably wrong, but this is how my bracket rolls.
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Raiden fact of the contest: Alucard is a plagiarist, this year Raiden will prove it!
From: Mac Arrowny | Posted: 7/12/2005 1:22:17 PM | Message Detail
This is my personal viewpoint on the Mario/Samus/Crono fiasco:

*Samus will beat everyone in the contest, and get 60% of the vote on Mario, as well as 51% on Sephiroth
*Mario would beat anyone in this contest, except that he's going to lose to Samus and would lose to Crono
*Crono would beat anyone in this contest other than Samus, whom he'll lose to with 45% of the vote
From: voltch | Posted: 7/12/2005 2:05:00 PM | Message Detail
what i'm saying is since this site doesn't attract a coniderable amount of xbox user's then master chief's potential can never be reached.
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: transience | Posted: 7/12/2005 2:06:20 PM | Message Detail
if that was true, halo 2 would have fallen from the top 5 of the faqs in the last six months.

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From: voltch | Posted: 7/12/2005 2:09:15 PM | Message Detail
but it was never top was it? devil may cry3&gran turismo 4 can do it but halo2 should have done it and put gta:SA into second but failed to do so.
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: Aprosenf | Posted: 7/12/2005 4:04:14 PM | Message Detail
This is my personal viewpoint on the Mario/Samus/Crono fiasco:

*Samus will beat everyone in the contest, and get 60% of the vote on Mario, as well as 51% on Sephiroth
*Mario would beat anyone in this contest, except that he's going to lose to Samus and would lose to Crono
*Crono would beat anyone in this contest other than Samus, whom he'll lose to with 45% of the vote


No way Samus is getting 60% on Mario, but other than that those are semi-reasonable expectations. Samus over Sephiroth could very well happen, but I don't think it won't. And by "Samus will beat everyone in the contest", you are just referring to the main bracket, right? Because she is definitely NOT beating Link or Cloud.
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For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/12/2005 4:09:41 PM | Message Detail
I fully expect Samus to crush Mario, but there's no way I see her getting 60%. I think Samus will get around 55% against Mario and 51% against Crono.
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Congrats to yoblazer, the Guru contest winner!
From: sidharta | Posted: 7/12/2005 4:15:42 PM | Message Detail
I fully expect Samus to crush Mario, but there's no way I see her getting 60%. I think Samus will get around 55% against Mario and 51% against Crono.

You're underestimating Samus, and overestimating Crono too.

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Posts without a sig looks ugly, so I guess I need something here.
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