Oh, didn't know that. Damn, I hate being a month late.
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Spring Contest 2005 - Points: 54/64 - Matches: 25/30 - Rank: 01615/24748 - Champion: Sephiroth

All right, this is what least square differences (not counting Liquid) have to say. They're obviously not going to be perfect, but they're the best way we have of translating these results into something semi-usable. I threw in a couple of anchors, and please not that this will change as Ganondorf falls throughout the day (Seph's half will go higher, Ganon's half will go lower).

XS on 2k3 Link:
(2k4 Samus 42.36)
1 Sephiroth 41.76
(2k4 Mario 38.18)
2 Ganondorf 36.30
3 Bowser 33.78
(2k4 Solid Snake 33.05)
(2k3 Donkey Kong 25.34)
4 Diablo 25.21
5 M. Bison 23.76
(2k3 Yuna 23.66)
6 Kefka 23.15
7 Revolver Ocelot 22.98
8 Ridley 21.35
9 Dr. Wily 20.91
10 Nemesis 20.84
11 Liquid Snake 20.11
(2k4 Vyse 19.67)
12 Ansem 18.56
13 Lavos 17.85
14 Vergil 17.70
15 CATS 17.06
16 Dr. Robotnik 16.94
17 Mithos 16.68
18 Sin 16.50
19 Mother Brain 15.78
(2k4 Laharl 15.65)
20 Ultros 15.04
21 Albedo 15.00
(2k4 Gordon Freeman 14.71)
22 Sigma 13.97
23 Master Hand 13.72
24 Wesker 13.72
25 Ramirez 13.65
26 Andross 12.99
27 Kuja 12.69
28 Ghaleon 12.58
(2k4 JC Denton 12.57)
29 Luca Blight 11.05
30 Pyramid Head 10.89
31 Giygas 10.76
(2k3 Mr. Resetti 8.53)
32 Officer Tenpenny 8.22
(2k4 Tanner 3.77)
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Congratulations to yoblazer for winning the Sp2k5 Guru Contest!

Ganondorf has the exact same percentage he had when I woke up though...
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Spring Contest 2005 - Points: 54/64 - Matches: 25/30 - Rank: 01615/24748 - Champion: Sephiroth

Well, maybe he won't fall, but I'd feel better about the stats if he did.
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Congratulations to yoblazer for winning the Sp2k5 Guru Contest!

Sephiroth's percentage in the last hour: 57.62%
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Yuna: Stay with me until the end. Please.
Tidus: Not until the end. Always.

Sephiroth/Ganondorf:
2005-06-02 10:00:01 22736 17450 56.58% 43.42% 5286

Sephiroth/Bowser:
2005-05-31 10:00:01 15798 21666 42.17% 57.83% 5868
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Yuna: Stay with me until the end. Please.
Tidus: Not until the end. Always.

So I end with 76/80 points. Not bad, but I never cracked the top 50. :( Stupid Sin. Well, that and the fact that I took my sweet ass time getting my bracket in. Not next time though. I'm just going with my instincts and doing it fast.

BTW: Who else is checking out how close their tiebreaker will be? Any predictions so far as to how it will end?

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Lunatic Under Narcotic Influence
I got pwned by Yoblazer in the Guru Contest

BTW: Who else is checking out how close their tiebreaker will be? Any predictions so far as to how it will end?

The tiebreaker is pretty much the only thing I'm still interested in. Unless the poll takes a bit of a dip in votes, it looks like Sephiroth will safely overshoot mine.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.

Well, I've sorta calculated the votes so far and it seems like this would make sense:

24000 votes/ 10.5 hours = 2285 votes per hours (for Seph)

2285 x 13.5 hours remaining = 30847 votes

30847 + 24000 = 54847 votes?

Now I'm sure the voting picks up like crazy during the day though, so I'm sure it will be higher.

---
Lunatic Under Narcotic Influence
I got pwned by Yoblazer in the Guru Contest

Voting starts picking up around mid-afternoon, though the late night vote might balance that out.
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Yuna: Stay with me until the end. Please.
Tidus: Not until the end. Always.

Wow, that is scary close to my old tiebreaker.

59854 is my tiebreaker, my old one was 5000 less so...

54854
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Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar (GAC)
Sephiroth vs. Ganondorf - Bracket: Seph - Vote: Ganon (54/64)

Well, let's say Seph ends up with exactly 58% and this match draws exactly 100,000 votes. That gives Seph 58,000 votes, which safely passes my breaker of 57,333. At this point, it's clear that this poll is likely to eclipse 100,000 votes, so I'm just hoping Ganondorf can keep his percentage as high as possible.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.

Some interesting battles in the X-Sts:

6 R1 Kefka Palazzo 27,64
7 M3 Revolver Ocelot 27,51

8 R2 Ridley 25,51
9 M2 Dr. Albert Wily 25,03
10 M6 Nemesis 24,95

20 M7 Ultros 18,01
21 R3 Albedo Piasora 17,91

23 M5 Andross 16,50
24 R5 Albert Wesker 16,39
25 T7 Master Hand 16,37
26 J8 Ramirez 16,30

27 T2 Kuja Tribal 15,14
28 J5 Ghaleon 15,07

29 R4 Luca Blight 13,19
30 M8 Pyramid Head 13,04
31 T8 Giygas 13,00

It's going to be fun to see how these develop.
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Spring Contest 2005 - Points: 54/64 - Matches: 25/30 - Rank: 01615/24748 - Champion: Sephiroth

Come on, Revolver! Beat out that clown!
---
Yuna: Stay with me until the end. Please.
Tidus: Not until the end. Always.

Ultros is ranked below Ansem in your file, oh noes.
---
I don't want to say this, but yoblazer's making me for him pwning me in the Guru Contest! *grumble*

Ganon's fading ;_;
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I don't want to say this, but yoblazer's making me for him pwning me in the Guru Contest! *grumble*

Yeah, he's starting to fall apart. Hopefully it's not going to be too much...
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Spring Contest 2005 - Points: 54/64 - Matches: 25/30 - Rank: 01615/24748 - Champion: Sephiroth

Sephiroth's percentage in the last hour: 58.70%
---
Yuna: Stay with me until the end. Please.
Tidus: Not until the end. Always.

*nervously tugs shirt collar*
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.

Just a little more, and Diablo won't be expected to score 30% on Sephiroth.
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I don't want to say this, but yoblazer's making me for him pwning me in the Guru Contest! *grumble*

Yep, and Ghaleon will pass Kuja too, putting him in the bottom 5.
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Spring Contest 2005 - Points: 54/64 - Matches: 25/30 - Rank: 01615/24748 - Champion: Sephiroth

man is ganondorf losing quickly. he could fall below bowser at this rate
---
Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft

Sephiroth/Ganondorf:
2005-06-02 11:00:01 25776 19567 56.85% 43.15% 6209

Sephiroth/Bowser:
2005-05-31 11:00:01 17625 24412 41.93% 58.07% 6787
---
Yuna: Stay with me until the end. Please.
Tidus: Not until the end. Always.

Ganon's been at 43% for almost 7 hours now. There's no way he's falling below 41%, so he won't be falling below Bowser any time soon.
---
Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar (GAC)
Sephiroth vs. Ganondorf - Bracket: Seph - Vote: Ganon (54/64)

btw how many more votes are we expecting? 50k, 55k 60k?
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft

54847 more or less.
Should be higher though..
---
Yoblazer can have my babies! And I really mean it!
PWNED heavily by the Guru Contest winner.

I would venture somewhere in the range of 58,000-62000.

---
Lunatic Under Narcotic Influence
I got pwned by Yoblazer in the Guru Contest

My tiebreaker is 54321 so I think I'm going to be a little low. Not that it matters though. :P

---
Lunatic Under Narcotic Influence
I got pwned by Yoblazer in the Guru Contest

At 43.09%, Ganondorf has pushed Diablo down to 29.99%!
---
I don't want to say this, but yoblazer's making me for him pwning me in the Guru Contest! *grumble*

But Bowser and Ganondorf doing so well was completely out of left field, and the fact that BOTH are outdoing Mario and Megaman is pretty much proof that the results of this contest are completely void when it comes to predicting a real character battle.

Or it could be, you know, proof that things have changed in the last two years.

MM went from 49.5% on Seph to 38.6% in one year, yet you find it harder to believe that could have changed again over the next two years than that these results are somehow completely unrelated to the regular contests?
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Congrats to yoblazer, the Guru contest winner!

Heh, if this is all Sephiroth dropping, this would make a match with 20XX adjusted Mega Man about the same as it was in 2002.
---
Yuna: Stay with me until the end. Please.
Tidus: Not until the end. Always.

MM went from 49.5% on Seph to 38.6% in one year, yet you find it harder to believe that could have changed again over the next two years than that these results are somehow completely unrelated to the regular contests?

KHF is very popular round here.
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I don't want to say this, but yoblazer's making me for him pwning me in the Guru Contest! *grumble*

Or it could be, you know, proof that things have changed in the last two years.

MM went from 49.5% on Seph to 38.6% in one year, yet you find it harder to believe that could have changed again over the next two years than that these results are somehow completely unrelated to the regular contests?

So? It still doesn't change the fact that Bowser and Ganon's performances were unexpected.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.

In my opinion, CATS was the star of this contest, hands down. Everyone treated him as a joke and predicts he's going to get doubled, yet he holds the lead for over five hours. People think he's going to rank 30th or lower, yet he finished in the top half. The only way he could have done any better is if he'd actually won his match.
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Congrats to yoblazer, the Guru contest winner!

So yesterday someone asked me what I like about OoT. After thinking about it I'm certian that the game peaks in the forest palace. That's by far the best part of the whole game.
---
The greatest trick the devil ever pulled was convincing over half of the brackets that Ridley could win. - Harrich

Hey, Ridley barely got over 40% on Diablo and snuck into the Top 10 >_>

Oh fine, CATS it is.
---
I don't want to say this, but yoblazer's making me for him pwning me in the Guru Contest! *grumble*

Ocelot has overtaken Kefka and Ghaleon has overtaken Kuja!
---
I don't want to say this, but yoblazer's making me for him pwning me in the Guru Contest! *grumble*

Hurray, Ocelot!
---
Yuna: Stay with me until the end. Please.
Tidus: Not until the end. Always.

Sephiroth 57% 27119
Ganondorf 43% 20462
TOTAL VOTES 47581
---
Yuna: Stay with me until the end. Please.
Tidus: Not until the end. Always.

Sephiroth 56.98% 27194
Ganondorf 43.02% 20533
TOTAL VOTES 47727

What you say?
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I don't want to say this, but yoblazer's making me for him pwning me in the Guru Contest! *grumble*

So? It still doesn't change the fact that Bowser and Ganon's performances were unexpected.

I never said they weren't. My point is that just because they did better than expected, that doesn't mean these stats are totally invalid when it comes to predicting the summer contest.
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Congrats to yoblazer, the Guru contest winner!

Let's try that again.

Sephiroth 57% 27373
Ganondorf 43% 20653
TOTAL VOTES 48026

Sephiroth's percentage in the last hour: 59.29%
---
Yuna: Stay with me until the end. Please.
Tidus: Not until the end. Always.

sephiroth now has a lead that increases in percentage quite quickly. what exactly does that mean?
---
Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft

My point is that just because they did better than expected, that doesn't mean these stats are totally invalid when it comes to predicting the summer contest.

I'll definitely agree with that. The possibility of a legitimate increase or decrease in strength is certainly there.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.

He's gonna keep going up.
---
I don't want to say this, but yoblazer's making me for him pwning me in the Guru Contest! *grumble*

Still, if Sephiroth decreased, just imagine how much more pathetic that makes Liquid look.
---
Yuna: Stay with me until the end. Please.
Tidus: Not until the end. Always.

If Knuckles beats Liquid Snake, it's all good.
---
I don't want to say this, but yoblazer's making me for him pwning me in the Guru Contest! *grumble*

Sephiroth 56.95% 27907
Ganondorf 43.05% 21095
TOTAL VOTES 49002

Ganon doesn't want to stay under 43%. Ahh, keep fighting Ganondorf!
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Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar (GAC)
Sephiroth vs. Ganondorf - Bracket: Seph - Vote: Ganon (54/64)

Heh, I am about 20-30 posts too late with this, but just for humor sake, my tiebreaker is also within about 500 votes of all the ones posted up there, at 54,827. If CJayC changes the top 50 to include the 5-10 of us that missed 3 points and have the best tiebreaker... go Ganondorf! Keep Sephy around 57% and a 98k vote total!!!

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RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/2005
YoBlazer(33) & Robotnik pwned my (Ro)butt in Sp2k5

I believe tiebreakers are only implemented when deciding who gets prizes. The rest of the leaderboard stays the same.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.