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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 136
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 5/30/2005 8:45:09 AM | Message Detail
What does Ganondorf need to get on Robotnik for him to outperform Sephiroth?

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Beauty is in the eye of the beer-holder.
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 5/30/2005 8:46:29 AM | Message Detail
DC, we have no info on Dr. Robotnik that's solid yet, so we can't decide.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Robotnik
"What awaits each person in Heaven is eternal peace, divine rest, and $10,000." --Cartman
From: Phediuk | Posted: 5/30/2005 8:46:39 AM | Message Detail
Well, if he reaches what Sephiroth got on Liquid...and Robotnik is stronger than this makes him look while Liquid is crappy fodder...

...Okay, let's just call Sepiroth the winner already.
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"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
From: swirldude | Posted: 5/30/2005 8:48:04 AM | Message Detail
Robotnik does not deserve to be on the level of DAKRNESS
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I don't want to say this, but yoblazer's making me for him pwning me in the Guru Contest! *grumble*
From: Aprosenf | Posted: 5/30/2005 8:48:12 AM | Message Detail
Wow, Ganondorf is cleaning up. If Sephiroth gets > 80% or < 60% on Bowser or Ganondorf, I'm calling shenanigans on this contest.

And not only are all the perfects gone, but some -3s have actually gotten onto the leaderboard. I might have a shot at leaderboard glory, but I highly doubt it, unless an insane number of -3s that aren't on the leaderboard picked Ganondorf to win it all (the most likely upset left) or possibly Diablo to upset Ganondorf.
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For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
From: Slowflake | Posted: 5/30/2005 8:49:28 AM | Message Detail
Okay. Who would have thought for a second that Ansem would be the second strongest character in his division, especially after his struggle against CATS? At that point I was certain the entire bottom half would outrank him, but it's exactly the reverse. Ouch.

And while I'm at it, no Eggman in a regular contest. PLZ. At least now I understand why Tails kept making it in over him.
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Spring Contest 2005 - Points: 34/44 - Matches: 22/27 - Rank: 02241/24748 - Today: Ganondorf - Tomorrow: Sephiroth
From: swirldude | Posted: 5/30/2005 8:50:33 AM | Message Detail
Wait wait, maybe we can blame this on some bull**** SFF like we did with Sonic 2 and Super Mario World!
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I don't want to say this, but yoblazer's making me for him pwning me in the Guru Contest! *grumble*
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 5/30/2005 8:52:17 AM | Message Detail
Clearly Spring contests are immune to XP stats.
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I want Dragon Quest VIII
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 5/30/2005 8:52:46 AM | Message Detail
I'm still gonna nominate Dr. Robotnik, simply because I think we shouldn't be seeing the last of ALL the new characters here. Besides, Sega hasn't hit their cap yet; maybe all five could get in.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Robotnik
"What awaits each person in Heaven is eternal peace, divine rest, and $10,000." --Cartman
From: swirldude | Posted: 5/30/2005 8:58:50 AM | Message Detail
Caps need to be bigger for Nintendo and Square, 44 non-Nintendo and Square equaled a lot of fodder named Guybrush and Tanner.
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I don't want to say this, but yoblazer's making me for him pwning me in the Guru Contest! *grumble*
From: MasterMoltar | Posted: 5/30/2005 9:02:12 AM | Message Detail
Ganondorf 74.55% 22888
Dr. Robotnik 25.45% 7814
TOTAL VOTES 30702

Oh my, these are the most beautiful results I have seen yet. Ganondorf completely laid waste to his division. Now is he going to get doubled by Seph. No way! Diablo also looking to get owned as well.

Ganon needs this pic against Seph!
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Out of space....
It's MOOOOOOLLLLLTTTAAAARRRR!!!!
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 5/30/2005 9:02:13 AM | Message Detail
I don't see how you can say that Ganondorf is at anything other than his 2k3 value (or something close to it) after seeing this.

And I may have been wrong about quite a few things in this contest, but at least I was extremely correct that Kefka is the 2nd strongest FF villain, by a longshot. Fun with numbers coming up.
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If you go to him, he will destroy you. And your last moments will be of shadow and pain.
From: meche313 | Posted: 5/30/2005 9:07:00 AM | Message Detail
I only have to say this: on any given division, that CATS is, the stats and numbers are really **** up.

Thank you, and have a good day.
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RPG/Square character /= instant win. Robotnik has proved such and owned my ass.
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 5/30/2005 9:10:36 AM | Message Detail
Fun with numbers: Ruin Division:

On Diablo:
Diablo 50.00
M. Bison 47.12
Kefka 45.91
Ridley 42.35
Mithos 33.07
Albedo 29.74
Wesker 27.21
Luca Blight 21.91

On 2k3 Link if Kefka = adj 2k4 Kefka:
Diablo 24.78
M. Bison 23.35
Kefka 22.75
Ridley 20.99
Mithos 16.39
Albedo 14.73
Wesker 13.48
Luca Blight 10.86

On 2k3 Link if Luca Blight = adj 2k4 Luca Blight:
Diablo 30.22
M. Bison 28.48
Kefka 27.75
Ridley 25.60
Mithos 19.99
Albedo 17.98
Wesker 16.44
Luca Blight 13.24

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If you go to him, he will destroy you. And your last moments will be of shadow and pain.
From: CaptainFlufflez | Posted: 5/30/2005 9:10:46 AM | Message Detail
What % does Ganondorf need for CATS >= Robotnik???

Thx.

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Against Kefka, HaRRicH said Wesker < 43%. I said Wesker > 43%...
...turns out 29.63% < 43%, as well as HaRRicH > CaptainFlufflez. Learn to love it.
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 5/30/2005 9:11:56 AM | Message Detail


On 2k3 Link if Kefka = adj 2k4 Kefka:
Diablo 24.78
M. Bison 23.35
Kefka 22.75
Ridley 20.99
Mithos 16.39
Albedo 14.73
Wesker 13.48
Luca Blight 10.86

On 2k3 Link if Luca Blight = adj 2k4 Luca Blight:
Diablo 30.22
M. Bison 28.48
Kefka 27.75
Ridley 25.60
Mithos 19.99
Albedo 17.98
Wesker 16.44
Luca Blight 13.24


Those differences in strength deserve an XD. So much for any reliable stats on that division.

Heil Dweebenheimer!!! For I am MasterMage119!!!
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 5/30/2005 9:13:55 AM | Message Detail
Fun with numbers: Triforce Division Prelim:

On Ganondorf:
Ganondorf 50.00
Ansem 25.56
Dr. Robotnik 25.45
Sin 24.78
CATS 23.49
Master Hand 20.61
Kuja 19.06
Giygas 14.82

On 2k3 Link if Ganondorf = 2k3 Ganondorf
Ganondorf 34.72
Ansem 17.75
Dr. Robotnik 17.67
Sin 17.21
CATS 16.31
Master Hand 14.31
Kuja 13.24
Giygas 10.29

On 2k3 Link if CATS = 2k4 CATS
Ganondorf 28.43
Ansem 14.53
Dr. Robotnik 14.47
Sin 14.09
CATS 13.36
Master Hand 11.72
Kuja 10.84
Giygas 8.43
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If you go to him, he will destroy you. And your last moments will be of shadow and pain.
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 5/30/2005 9:14:33 AM | Message Detail
Something tells me I'm going to be XDing at every division.

Heil Dweebenheimer!!! For I am MasterMage119!!!
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 5/30/2005 9:18:28 AM | Message Detail
Fun with numbers: The Big Picture Prelim:

Mushroom Division is exptrapolated through 2k3 Bowser.
Jenova Division is extrapolated through 2k4 Sephiroth.
Ruin Division is extrapolated through adj 24k Kefka.
Triforce Division is extrapolated through 2k3 Ganondorf.

XS on 2k3 Link:
Sephiroth 46.56
Ganondorf 34.72
Bowser 30.97
Diablo 24.78
M. Bison 23.35
Kefka 22.75
Liquid Snake 22.42
Revolver Ocelot 21.07
Ridley 20.99
Lavos 19.90
Vergil 19.73
Dr. Wily 19.17
Nemesis 19.10
Ansem 17.75
Dr. Robotnik 17.67
Mother Brain 17.60
Sin 17.21
Mithos 16.39
CATS 16.31
Ramirez 15.22
Albedo 14.73
Master Hand 14.31
Ghaleon 14.03
Ultros 13.79
Wesker 13.48
Kuja 13.24
Sigma 12.80
Andross 11.91
Luca Blight 10.86
Giygas 10.29
Pyramid Head 9.98
Officer Tenpenny 9.17

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If you go to him, he will destroy you. And your last moments will be of shadow and pain.
From: transience | Posted: 5/30/2005 9:18:39 AM | Message Detail
CATS > MH? ha. that alone makes me want to call SFF, even if it's not.

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http://speeddemosarchive.com/mzm.html
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 5/30/2005 9:19:52 AM | Message Detail
I'd take MH over CATS anyway.

Heil Dweebenheimer!!! For I am MasterMage119!!!
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 5/30/2005 9:20:39 AM | Message Detail
On a sidenote, I hope that Diablo gets 60% on Ganondorf then quadrupled by Sephiroth, just for some more fun! ^_^

Heil Dweebenheimer!!! For I am MasterMage119!!!
From: transience | Posted: 5/30/2005 9:21:01 AM | Message Detail
yeah, I hope others would too.

Ghaleon/Albedo > Kuja? that's crazy.

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http://speeddemosarchive.com/mzm.html
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 5/30/2005 9:22:16 AM | Message Detail
Bowser 30.97
Diablo 24.78
M. Bison 23.35
Kefka 22.75
Liquid Snake 22.42
Revolver Ocelot 21.07


That's a major fluctuation from what previous stats would indicate too.

Heil Dweebenheimer!!! For I am MasterMage119!!!
From: Tjian | Posted: 5/30/2005 9:23:30 AM | Message Detail
Damn, still not in the top 50. Why did I have to make that last second change to Kuja winning his four pack? I had Kuja > Master Hand and then Robot > Kuja. Hopefully about 80 more people will fall within the next 2 matches so I can get a glimpse of that top 50.
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Happiness is like peeing on yourself. Everyone can see it, but only you feel it's warmth.
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 5/30/2005 9:23:50 AM | Message Detail
Picture notes: The only two pictures that seem to have made a noticeable impact are Angel Kefka, in favor of Kefka, and Pig Ganon, in favor of Ansem. Those could skew Wesker/Luca too low, and Ansem/CATS too high, but there's not much that can be done about it.
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If you go to him, he will destroy you. And your last moments will be of shadow and pain.
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 5/30/2005 9:25:02 AM | Message Detail
Unless Sephiroth doubles Link or Cloud, Liquid Snake falls by a lot. I have no idea why.
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If you go to him, he will destroy you. And your last moments will be of shadow and pain.
From: dethfdddddh | Posted: 5/30/2005 9:25:31 AM | Message Detail
M. Bison over Liquid makes me laugh.
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Volgin is one sexy beast....
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 5/30/2005 9:29:40 AM | Message Detail
pig ganon hurting him? I think Ansem doing "well" the second time around wasn't due to pic factor. In the spread topic, and probably here as well, people were betting with Ansem because it was Nintendo vs Square, "no way Ansem could really get that low," stuff like that. I mean, Cats/Ansem could be bracket voting, I think. 45% had Cats, that's definitely pertinent...So if you want the fluke match look to Cats/Ansem, not Ganon/Ansem. I would think Ganon would be strong enough to be immune to pic factor at this point.
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One who knows nothing can understand nothing.
"Revenge is a dish best served cold." - Old Klingon Proverb
From: MasterMoltar | Posted: 5/30/2005 9:35:59 AM | Message Detail
On a sidenote, I hope that Diablo gets 60% on Ganondorf then quadrupled by Sephiroth, just for some more fun! ^_^

*Warlock Punches MM*
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Out of space....
It's MOOOOOOLLLLLTTTAAAARRRR!!!!
From: Heroic Pierre | Posted: 5/30/2005 9:49:29 AM | Message Detail
Wow, this seems to be our hardest contest to predict yet. Every other contest we've had at least one person get the first round (i.e. the first 32 matches) completely right...but no one was able to score a perfect this contest.
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I am the true hero.
From: MasterMoltar | Posted: 5/30/2005 9:49:51 AM | Message Detail
Ganondorf 75% 26793
Dr. Robotnik 25% 8933
TOTAL VOTES 35726

^_^ Go Ganon!
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Out of space....
It's MOOOOOOLLLLLTTTAAAARRRR!!!!
From: Tai | Posted: 5/30/2005 9:50:26 AM | Message Detail
Ganondorf 75% 26793
Dr. Robotnik 25% 8933
TOTAL VOTES 35726

Also, in this tally, Ganondarf is 6 votes under a tripling of Eggdead.
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From: Tai | Posted: 5/30/2005 9:50:58 AM | Message Detail
SAME TALLY'D LOLOLOLOLOL

O.o'
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From: Slowflake | Posted: 5/30/2005 9:53:19 AM | Message Detail
...this contest makes no sense. Now watch as a freak accident occurs as Bowser and Sephiroth make it an all-day affair and Diablo destroys Ganondorf.

Now, it's cool to see Ganondorf kicking ass and taking names, but dammit, I would've liked it if Eggman had done a little bit better...
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Spring Contest 2005 - Points: 34/44 - Matches: 22/27 - Rank: 02241/24748 - Today: Ganondorf - Tomorrow: Sephiroth
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 5/30/2005 9:56:26 AM | Message Detail
I said it when Kuja lost and I'll say it again now:

Kuja has NO casual appeal whatsoever, other than his Trance form. His overly effeminate appearance (the thong, in particular), the fact that he does practically nothing overtly for 75% of the game, not to mention he's not even seen for the first quarter of the game, does not bode well for him.

And Ulti, the first Seymour is the only tough one? Are you kiddin'? That's the easiest one. Seymour Flux is difficult if you can't defeat him fast enough to prevent him from nailing you with Total Annilhilation, and his little Aeon banishing trick makes it hard for you to sacrifice one of them to save your party.
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"Thinking isn't solving anything!" - Tidus
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 5/30/2005 9:58:19 AM | Message Detail
At Robotnik's current mark, Tails beats Robotnik with 63.6% of the vote.
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"Thinking isn't solving anything!" - Tidus
From: Slowflake | Posted: 5/30/2005 9:59:23 AM | Message Detail
Oh, and RPGuy, you should do the same standings, but with 2003 Sephiroth, since it looks more and more like Cloud SFFed him last year.
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Spring Contest 2005 - Points: 34/44 - Matches: 22/27 - Rank: 02241/24748 - Today: Ganondorf - Tomorrow: Sephiroth
From: Tai | Posted: 5/30/2005 9:59:32 AM | Message Detail
Ganondorf 75% 27438
Dr. Robotnik 25% 9144
TOTAL VOTES 36582

Ladies and Gentlemen, a sample that has Ganondarf currently tripling Eggdead by 6 votes.

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PETITION: Ability to preview contests to moderators before posting it. http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=19643565 (161 Signs!)
From: Lucid Faia | Posted: 5/30/2005 10:00:39 AM | Message Detail
Egg Dead > Who Cares

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"LucidFaia" Score: 43, Rank: 24 (T1), Pick: Ganondorf
My Video Game World Records: http://www.twingalaxies.com/index.aspx?c=22&p=35289
From: Shadowdude II | Posted: 5/30/2005 10:02:19 AM | Message Detail
So... Do you think Seymour would be stronger than Kefka after seeing Who Cares' equal being blown out of the water by Ganondorf?
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"I'd like to see the 500th post actually be on topic this time." ~LordOfDabu
From: FourthDeus | Posted: 5/30/2005 10:04:53 AM | Message Detail

the fact that he does practically nothing overtly for 75% of the game, not to mention he's not even seen for the first quarter of the game, does not bode well for him.


What? Sephiroth is in a goddamned ROCK the entire game, has nothing in the way of real dialogue, let alone personality, and dresses in S&M gear.
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5/18/05
Never forget. Never forgive.
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 5/30/2005 10:05:27 AM | Message Detail
Oh, and RPGuy, you should do the same standings, but with 2003 Sephiroth, since it looks more and more like Cloud SFFed him last year.

But that's not as fun, because Liquid > Kefka. Oh well.

Fun with numbers: Big Picture Prelim II:

Mushroom Division is exptrapolated through 2k3 Bowser.
Jenova Division is extrapolated through 2k3 Sephiroth.
Ruin Division is extrapolated through adj 24k Kefka.
Triforce Division is extrapolated through 2k3 Ganondorf.

XS on 2k3 Link:
Sephiroth 49.71
Ganondorf 34.72
Bowser 30.97
Diablo 24.78
Liquid Snake 23.94
M. Bison 23.35
Kefka 22.75
Lavos 21.25
Vergil 21.07
Revolver Ocelot 21.07
Ridley 20.99
Dr. Wily 19.17
Nemesis 19.10
Mother Brain 18.79
Ansem 17.75
Dr. Robotnik 17.36
Sin 16.90
Mithos 16.39
CATS 16.31
Ramirez 16.25
Ghaleon 14.98
Albedo 14.73
Master Hand 14.06
Ultros 13.79
Wesker 13.48
Kuja 13.00
Sigma 12.80
Andross 11.91
Luca Blight 10.86
Giygas 10.29
Pyramid Head 9.98
Officer Tenpenny 9.79


Leonhart and Chichiri: Take heart that the XS predict that Kuja would still beat Sigma, even if he would lose to Ultros. Don't tease the octopus, kids!
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If you go to him, he will destroy you. And your last moments will be of shadow and pain.
From: Lucid Faia | Posted: 5/30/2005 10:06:19 AM | Message Detail
Seymour isn't a popular villain. He'd be the next Who Cares. He'd rank below Sin, if you ask me. I don't know how he'd stack up against Kefka, though.

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"LucidFaia" Score: 43, Rank: 24 (T1), Pick: Ganondorf
My Video Game World Records: http://www.twingalaxies.com/index.aspx?c=22&p=35289
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 5/30/2005 10:09:14 AM | Message Detail
Fun with numbers: Insanely screwed up edition:

Mushroom Division is extrapolated through 2k3 Bowser (because there's no one else).
Jenova Division is extrapolated through adj 2k4 Liquid Snake.
Ruin Division is extrapolated through adj 2k4 Luca Blight.
Triforce Division is extrapolated through 2k4 CATS.

XS on 2k3 Link:
Sephiroth 66.65
Liquid Snake 32.10
Bowser 30.97
Diablo 30.22
Lavos 28.49
M. Bison 28.48
Ganondorf 28.43
Vergil 28.25
Kefka 27.75
Ridley 25.60
Mother Brain 25.19
Ramirez 21.78
Revolver Ocelot 21.07
Ghaleon 20.08
Mithos 19.99
Dr. Wily 19.17
Nemesis 19.10
Albedo 17.98
Wesker 16.44
Ansem 14.53
Dr. Robotnik 14.22
Sin 13.84
Ultros 13.79
CATS 13.36
Luca Blight 13.24
Officer Tenpenny 13.12
Sigma 12.80
Andross 11.91
Master Hand 11.51
Kuja 10.65
Pyramid Head 9.98
Giygas 8.43

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If you go to him, he will destroy you. And your last moments will be of shadow and pain.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 5/30/2005 10:15:17 AM | Message Detail
Huzzah! Lavos and Bison > Ganondorf!

What? Sephiroth is in a ROCK the entire game, has nothing in the way of real dialogue, let alone personality, and dresses in S&M gear.

*FFVII SPOILERS*

It may not be the real Sephiroth, but he's still an active part of the storyline with Jenova in his form, something you don't learn until halfway through the game anyway. Much like Sin, Sephiroth is the ultimate goal of the game (unlike Kuja or Seymour). Plus, Sephiroth just does cool stuff, like killing Aeris, summoning Meteor, screwing up Cloud, etc.
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"Thinking isn't solving anything!" - Tidus
From: LordOfDabu | Posted: 5/30/2005 10:22:13 AM | Message Detail
I was hoping that this wouldn't be a tripling, but I should have known better.

In my opinion, it is for the same reason that Sephiroth overperformed on Liquid.
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"Heh heh...the wind...it is blowing..." - Ganondorf
From: NewLib | Posted: 5/30/2005 10:56:48 AM | Message Detail
Here is what we should do with these stats.

::throws stats in the trash::

I mean between Sephiroth destroying Liquid and making him look extremely weak compared to SC2k4, the different numbers between Kefka constant and Luca contasy in the Ruin division, and the different numbers due to Gannon and Cats, the only division I can take seriously is Bowser's.

These stats will never make sense no matter how long we look at them. Lets just face it, this is a different contest than the character contest and move on.
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"You can't hide from the Grim Reaper. Especially when he's got a gun" - Manny Calavera
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 5/30/2005 11:06:50 AM | Message Detail
Whoa, Ganondorf has increased .4% in the last hour. This is ridiculous.
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"Thinking isn't solving anything!" - Tidus
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 5/30/2005 11:14:13 AM | Message Detail
At the 11:10 mark, this match has 43506 votes. To compare to other matches at the same time:

Ganondorf/Ansem - 33673
Bowser/Ocelot - 37947
Sephiroth/Liquid - 47712
Kefka/Diablo - 42683
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"Thinking isn't solving anything!" - Tidus
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