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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 135
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 5/29/2005 8:10:12 AM | Message Detail
And the lead has hit 1000, only .05% before Diablo hits 52%.

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RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/05
Team Dragostea Din Tei for Trivia XV
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 5/29/2005 8:15:30 AM | Message Detail
Kefka 48% 12570
Diablo 52% 13620
TOTAL VOTES 26190

Diablo, I hear, doesn't take **** off of anybody.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Robotnik
"What awaits each person in Heaven is eternal peace, divine rest, and $10,000." --Cartman
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 5/29/2005 8:15:39 AM | Message Detail
Kefka 47.99% 12559
Diablo 52.01% 13613
TOTAL VOTES 26172

Over 52% and a 1054 vote lead at this point.

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“You see, at this point… I’m pretty much the Queen ***** of the Universe. And not all of your little soldiers or space ships will stand in my way again.”
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 5/29/2005 8:17:44 AM | Message Detail
Yo, how much is Robotnik expected to get on Ganondorf?

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Beauty is in the eye of the beer-holder.
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 5/29/2005 8:17:48 AM | Message Detail
Just to bring 'em up from yesterday...

--If M. Bison = Ken 2k3, Diablo beats Kefka with 50.63%.
--If Albedo = Laharl, Diablo beats Kefka with 55.74%.


Thus far, it's lookin' like Bison > Ken in 2k3 and Laharl > Albedo, though it's certainly not final right now.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Robotnik
"What awaits each person in Heaven is eternal peace, divine rest, and $10,000." --Cartman
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 5/29/2005 8:18:42 AM | Message Detail
DC, I'm gonna do the stats on that soon...we don't have a single expected value on him though, since his whole four-pack was new. I'll be on it in afew minutes.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Robotnik
"What awaits each person in Heaven is eternal peace, divine rest, and $10,000." --Cartman
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 5/29/2005 8:19:21 AM | Message Detail
Alright, thanks.

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Beauty is in the eye of the beer-holder.
From: meche313 | Posted: 5/29/2005 8:19:58 AM | Message Detail
^^^
waiting for that one, too.
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RPG/Square character /= instant win. Robotnik has proved such and owned my ass.
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 5/29/2005 8:52:03 AM | Message Detail
M. Bison 47.12% 39761
Diablo 52.88% 44627
TOTAL VOTES 84388

Kefka 47.68% 14119
Diablo 52.32% 15496
TOTAL VOTES 29615

Diablo is definitely looking to surpass what he did against Bison.

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“You see, at this point… I’m pretty much the Queen ***** of the Universe. And not all of your little soldiers or space ships will stand in my way again.”
From: Zylo the wolf | Posted: 5/29/2005 8:56:23 AM | Message Detail
Diablo is definitely looking to surpass what he did against Bison.
That makes me happy :D
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Zelos: Don't hate me just because I'm beautiful.
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 5/29/2005 8:57:44 AM | Message Detail
I must ask this:

Alucard vs. Diablo, who wins?

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Beauty is in the eye of the beer-holder.
From: swirldude | Posted: 5/29/2005 9:02:29 AM | Message Detail
I was pretty sure Alucard would be expected to get >54% on Kefka, so I pick him. But maybe I am wrongs.
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O, flesh, flesh, how art thou fishified! ~Mercutio
From: dethfdddddh | Posted: 5/29/2005 9:04:02 AM | Message Detail
It'll be hilarious if the Ganondorf perfect bracket is the only one to get this right.
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Volgin is one sexy beast....
From: XxSoulxX | Posted: 5/29/2005 9:05:03 AM | Message Detail
I was saying all day yesterday that Diablo would rank extremely close to Alucard in the contest.

But, I still think that Alucard > Diablo, just a bit.
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"ertyu is actually a language. For example, 'dum' is ertyunese for 'godly'." - Topaz Kitsune
Nominate Christian for SC2K5!
From: swirldude | Posted: 5/29/2005 9:05:09 AM | Message Detail
I hopeth it is.
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O, flesh, flesh, how art thou fishified! ~Mercutio
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 5/29/2005 9:05:46 AM | Message Detail
Or if the Sephiroth perfects have Diablo over Ganondorf. =P
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: Seanchan | Posted: 5/29/2005 9:18:48 AM | Message Detail
Someone mentioned the possibility of the summer contest including both games and characters. In that case, who would win matches like:

Cloud vs. FF7
Link vs. OoT

Also, who would win Starcraft vs. Diablo 2
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<reptile-> The first time hypr opened a box of Cheerios and looked inside he yelled, "OH WOW! DONUT SEEDS!"
<hypr> wtf are donut seeds
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 5/29/2005 9:21:13 AM | Message Detail

Cloud vs. FF7
Link vs. OoT

Also, who would win Starcraft vs. Diablo 2


FF7
Probably OoT.
Starcraft. Definitely.

Heil Dweebenheimer!!! For I am MasterMage119!!!
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 5/29/2005 9:25:37 AM | Message Detail
FF7; Link; StarCraft.

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“You see, at this point… I’m pretty much the Queen ***** of the Universe. And not all of your little soldiers or space ships will stand in my way again.”
From: NewLib | Posted: 5/29/2005 9:30:14 AM | Message Detail
Well Diablo has officially earned a nomination from me as I am now pretty sure he is the strongest new character.

Too bad this contest seems pro-Blizzard since everyone knows the best PC developer is Bioware.
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"You can't hide from the Grim Reaper. Especially when he's got a gun" - Manny Calavera
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 5/29/2005 9:32:37 AM | Message Detail
Well, congratulations to Diablo, the first 7 seed to win his division since 2k2 Sephiroth. Incidentally, Seph was beaten by Link, and now Diablo is going to lose to Ganondorf.
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If you go to him, he will destroy you. And your last moments will be of shadow and pain.
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 5/29/2005 9:41:09 AM | Message Detail
If you go through a static Luca Blight and a static CATS, Diablo beats Ganondorf with 51.47%.
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If you go to him, he will destroy you. And your last moments will be of shadow and pain.
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 5/29/2005 9:42:16 AM | Message Detail
If you go through a static Luca Blight and a static CATS, Diablo beats Ganondorf with 51.47%.

...Wow.

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“You see, at this point… I’m pretty much the Queen ***** of the Universe. And not all of your little soldiers or space ships will stand in my way again.”
From: Phediuk | Posted: 5/29/2005 9:42:25 AM | Message Detail
Damnit, Diablo...
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"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
From: NewLib | Posted: 5/29/2005 9:44:23 AM | Message Detail
Diablo isnt going to beat Gannon. I like to think that some injustices should not be allowed to happen.
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"You can't hide from the Grim Reaper. Especially when he's got a gun" - Manny Calavera
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 5/29/2005 9:44:51 AM | Message Detail
Diablo beating Ganondorf would kick ass.
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And how many points do you have, again? - fedor
And how many contests have you won, again? - UltimaterializerX
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 5/29/2005 9:46:28 AM | Message Detail
*posts something to indicate that there is almost no value in considering Diablo over Ganon, because I will not consider it out of principle if I must*
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One who knows nothing can understand nothing.
"Revenge is a dish best served cold." - Old Klingon Proverb
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 5/29/2005 9:47:14 AM | Message Detail
Here's stat-possibilities for Ganon/Robotnik; keep in mind this assumes the most recent stats for each character (excluding Ganon, who I'm gonna use two sections with: 2k4 and this contest through CATS) are adjusted properly or were already right. Remember, some are in solely for humor's sake:


Ganon 2k5 = Ganon 2k4 = Ganon 2k3 --- 32.38% on Link 2k4:
1) If Robotnik = Sonic, Robotnik beats Ganon with 51.76%.
2) If Robotnik = Shadow 2k3, Robotnik loses to Ganon with 49.37%.
3) If Robotnik = Shadow 2k4/Knuckles, Robotnik loses to Ganon with 38.51%.
4) If Robotnik = Tails, Robotnik loses to Ganon with 33.52%.
5) If Robotnik = Dr. Wily, Robotnik loses to Ganon with 27.59%.
6) If Master Hand = Kirby, Robotnik beats Ganon with 50.72%.
7) If Master Hand = Yoshi, Robotnik loses to Ganon with 48.09%.
8) If Master Hand = adjusted Ness (by Scorpion 2k3), Robotnik loses to Ganon with 43.75%.
9) If Master Hand = adjusted Ness (by Tails 2k4), Robotnik loses to Ganon with 40.72%.
10) If Master Hand = unadjusted Ness, Robotnik loses to Ganon with 36.5%.
11) If Sin = Sephiroth, Robotnik beats Ganon with 63%.
12) If Sin = Kefka, Robotnik loses to Ganon with 33.65%.
13) If Sin = Lavos, Robotnik loses to Ganon with 28.78%.
14) If Sin = Ultros, Robotnik loses to Ganon with 20.4%.
15) If Kuja = Sephiroth, Robotnik beats Ganon with 71.53%.
16) If Kuja = Kefka, Robotnik loses to Ganon with 43.72%.
17) If Kuja = Ultros, Robotnik loses to Ganon with 26.51%.

Ganon 2k5 (through a steady CATS) --- 25.9% on Link 2k4:
1) If Robotnik = Sonic, Robotnik beats Ganon with 61.41%.
2) If Robotnik = Shadow 2k3, Robotnik beats Ganon with 59.49%.
3) If Robotnik = Shadow 2k4/Knuckles, Robotnik loses to Ganon with 48.15%.
4) If Robotnik = Tails, Robotnik loses to Ganon with 41.91%.
5) If Robotnik = Dr. Wily, Robotnik loses to Ganon with 34.5%.
6) If Master Hand = Kirby, Robotnik beats Ganon with 60.58%.
7) If Master Hand = Yoshi, Robotnik beats Ganon with 58.41%.
8) If Master Hand = adjusted Ness (by Scorpion 2k3), Robotnik beats Ganon with 54.29%.
9) If Master Hand = adjusted Ness (by Tails 2k4), Robotnik beats Ganon with 50.89%.
10) If Master Hand = unadjusted Ness, Robotnik loses to Ganon with 45.64%.
11) If Sin = Sephiroth, Robotnik beats Ganon with 70.41%.
12) If Sin = Kefka, Robotnik loses to Ganon with 42.07%.
13) If Sin = Lavos, Robotnik loses to Ganon with 35.98%.
14) If Sin = Ultros, Robotnik loses to Ganon with 25.5%.
15) If Kuja = Sephiroth, Robotnik beats Ganon with 77.23%.
16) If Kuja = Kefka, Robotnik beats Ganon with 54.26%.
17) If Kuja = Ultros, Robotnik loses to Ganon with 33.15%.

All estimated values involved with translations (expected against Link 2k4):
1) Sonic - 33.56%
2) Shadow 2k3 - 31.97%
3) Shadow 2k4/Knuckles - 24.94%
4) Tails - 21.71%
5) Wily - 17.87%
6) Kirby - 26.61% --> Dr. - 32.85%
7) Yoshi - 25.22% --> Dr. - 31.14%
8) Ness (adjusted by Scorpion 2k3 to Auron) - 22.95% --> Dr. - 28.33%
9) Ness (adjusted by Tails 2k4 to Auron) - 21.36% --> Dr. - 26.37%
10) unadjusted Ness - 19.14% --> Dr. - 23.64%
11) Sephiroth - 42.6% --> Dr. - 43.76%
12) Kefka - 21.21% --> Dr. - 21.79%
13) Lavos - 18.15% --> Dr. - 18.64%
14) Ultros - 12.86% --> Dr. - 13.21%
15) Sephiroth - 42.6% --> MH - 46.06% --> Dr. - 56.86%
16) Kefka - 21.21 --> MH - 22.93% --> Dr. - 28.31%
17) Ultros - 12.86% --> MH - 13.91% --> Dr. - 17.17%
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Robotnik
"What awaits each person in Heaven is eternal peace, divine rest, and $10,000." --Cartman
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 5/29/2005 9:48:16 AM | Message Detail
Whew...that took me a long long time, heh.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Robotnik
"What awaits each person in Heaven is eternal peace, divine rest, and $10,000." --Cartman
From: goku z | Posted: 5/29/2005 9:48:35 AM | Message Detail
Bleh. I have nothing against the Diablo series, my grudge against is more from the success of StarCraft....I really dislike that game, and all RTS games in general...so Diablo must PAY against Ganondorf.

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In memory of my true love, Mandi Barton...the one that got away.
From: NewLib | Posted: 5/29/2005 9:53:24 AM | Message Detail
Just remember if Diablo is stronger than Gannon, he is probably stronger than Magus too.
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"You can't hide from the Grim Reaper. Especially when he's got a gun" - Manny Calavera
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 5/29/2005 9:53:41 AM | Message Detail
Fun with numbers: Jenova Division:

XS on Sephiroth:
Sephiroth 50.00
Liquid Snake 24.08
Lavos 21.37
Vergil 21.19
Mother Brain 18.90
Ramirez 16.34
Ghaleon 15.07
Officer Tenpenny 9.84

XS on 2k3 Link if Sephiroth = 2k4 Sephiroth:
Sephiroth 46.56
(Kefka 22.75)
Liquid Snake 22.42
Lavos 19.90
Vergil 19.73
Mother Brain 17.60
Ramirez 15.22
Ghaleon 14.03
Officer Tenpenny 9.17

XS on 2k3 Link if Sephiroth = 2k3 Sephiroth:
Sephiroth 49.71
Liquid Snake 23.94
Lavos 21.25
Vergil 21.07
Mother Brain 18.79
Ramirez 16.25
Ghaleon 14.98
Officer Tenpenny 9.79

XS on 2k3 Link if Liquid Snake = 2k4 Liquid Snake:
Sephiroth 66.65
Liquid Snake 32.10
Lavos 28.49
Vergil 28.25
Mother Brain 25.19
Ramirez 21.78
Ghaleon 20.08
Officer Tenpenny 13.12

Prelim Ruin Division coming up.
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If you go to him, he will destroy you. And your last moments will be of shadow and pain.
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 5/29/2005 9:56:56 AM | Message Detail
Just remember if Diablo is stronger than Gannon, he is probably stronger than Magus too.

People aren't goin' to take the theory seriously now.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Robotnik
"What awaits each person in Heaven is eternal peace, divine rest, and $10,000." --Cartman
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 5/29/2005 10:00:25 AM | Message Detail
Fun with numbers: Ruin Division Prelim:

XS on Diablo:
Diablo 50.00
Kefka 47.24
M. Bison 47.12
Ridley 42.35
Mithos 34.03
Albedo 29.74
Wesker 27.99
Luca Blight 22.54

XS on 2k3 Link if Kefka = 2k4 Kefka:
Diablo 24.08
Kefka 22.75
M. Bison 22.69
Ridley 20.40
Mithos 16.39
Albedo 14.32
Wesker 13.48
Luca Blight 10.86

XS on 2k3 Link if Luca Blight = 2k4 Luca Blight:
Diablo 29.37
(Ganondorf [CATS] 28.43)
Kefka 27.75
M. Bison 27.68
Ridley 24.88
Mithos 19.99
Albedo 17.47
Wesker 16.44
Luca Blight 13.24

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If you go to him, he will destroy you. And your last moments will be of shadow and pain.
From: Lucid Faia | Posted: 5/29/2005 10:00:46 AM | Message Detail
There you have it. 43 points, here I come. :)

By the way, I don't know if people already know this or not, but one of the perfects confirmed picking Kefka, so we're going to be losing at least one.

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"LucidFaia" Score: 39, Rank: 44 (T2), Pick: Diablo
My Video Game World Records: http://www.twingalaxies.com/index.aspx?c=22&p=35289
From: NewLib | Posted: 5/29/2005 10:01:18 AM | Message Detail
If Liquid is 22.42, Frog is 22.44, Master Cheif is 22.44, Crash Bandicoot is 13.14, Snake is 23.09.

Sephiroth what have you done.
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"You can't hide from the Grim Reaper. Especially when he's got a gun" - Manny Calavera
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 5/29/2005 10:03:50 AM | Message Detail
Just remember if Diablo is stronger than Gannon, he is probably stronger than Magus too.

Unless Magus went up >_>
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And how many points do you have, again? - fedor
And how many contests have you won, again? - UltimaterializerX
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 5/29/2005 10:06:21 AM | Message Detail
By the way, I don't know if people already know this or not, but one of the perfects confirmed picking Kefka, so we're going to be losing at least one.

I'm not completely sure about this, but I believe at least two of the Sephiroth perfects picked Kefka. The only one we know nothing about is raziel_dark1.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 5/29/2005 10:07:36 AM | Message Detail
Please God, if you're out there (and I have faith you are), let there be no perfects this year. Please.....
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Robotnik
"What awaits each person in Heaven is eternal peace, divine rest, and $10,000." --Cartman
From: voltch | Posted: 5/29/2005 10:11:20 AM | Message Detail
somehow i believe all the current perfects had diablo losing to kefka
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Kilroy:There fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 5/29/2005 10:11:57 AM | Message Detail
What HaRRicH said...
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: Rodri316 | Posted: 5/29/2005 10:12:07 AM | Message Detail
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 5/29/2005 1:07:36 PM | Message Detail
Please God, if you're out there (and I have faith you are), let there be no perfects this year. Please.....
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Current Match Prediction -- Kefka vs. Diablo
Spring 2005 Contest -- 39/40 points
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 5/29/2005 10:14:00 AM | Message Detail
Kefka 47.16% 17684
Diablo 52.84% 19810
TOTAL VOTES 37494

Tis' official. Bison > Kefka
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Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar (GAC)
Kefka vs. Diablo - Bracket: Ridley - Vote: Kefka (34/40)
From: perdevious | Posted: 5/29/2005 10:16:03 AM | Message Detail
Why would it be so bad if there was a perfect this year?
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Sometimes I'm happy to have them, but more often than not, I find myself hating them. What, you say? Limits.
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 5/29/2005 10:17:37 AM | Message Detail
Bison finished with 47.12%, not 47.16%. Regardless, it looks like it's bound to happen anyways. Good job Bison...

--If M. Bison = Ken 2k3, Diablo beats Kefka with 50.63%.

...now, Diablo won't hit what it'd take to equal Ken's 2k2 performance (62.38%), but it looks like Bison isn't one to be passed off if there were to be a Bison/Ken match right now.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Robotnik
"What awaits each person in Heaven is eternal peace, divine rest, and $10,000." --Cartman
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 5/29/2005 10:20:15 AM | Message Detail
It would annoy me solely because this is only half of a contest, and the first perfect should be in a full 64-entry bracket. It also runs the risk of us having an eternal fedor on our hands when many people have gotten many more matches right in a row (though since that's not guaranteed, I'm not puttin' much behind that theory; hopefully, I'm wrong on that count).
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Robotnik
"What awaits each person in Heaven is eternal peace, divine rest, and $10,000." --Cartman
From: cyko | Posted: 5/29/2005 10:20:45 AM | Message Detail
Why would it be so bad if there was a perfect this year?

because the perfect wouldn't be one of us regulars from this topic. duh. =P

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Official Co-Host for PUB TRIVIA XV
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=579093
From: Lucid Faia | Posted: 5/29/2005 10:21:15 AM | Message Detail
Less perfects = less competition for me. That's how I feel about it.

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"LucidFaia" Score: 39, Rank: 44 (T2), Pick: Diablo
My Video Game World Records: http://www.twingalaxies.com/index.aspx?c=22&p=35289
From: dethfdddddh | Posted: 5/29/2005 10:23:05 AM | Message Detail
If BISON is better then Kefka...

I can't wait to see Akuma.
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Volgin is one sexy beast....
From: Lucid Faia | Posted: 5/29/2005 10:23:39 AM | Message Detail
Akuma is most likely weaker than Bison.

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"LucidFaia" Score: 39, Rank: 44 (T2), Pick: Diablo
My Video Game World Records: http://www.twingalaxies.com/index.aspx?c=22&p=35289
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