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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 133
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:00:55 AM | Message Detail
35.33% got the previous match correct.

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“You see, at this point… I’m pretty much the Queen ***** of the Universe. And not all of your little soldiers or space ships will stand in my way again.”
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:01:02 AM | Message Detail
35.33% of the brackets had Robotnik advancing.
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Hi,I'm partystar. ^_^
Or maybe I'm Leonhart. That's for you to decide.
From: Lucid Faia | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:02:28 AM | Message Detail
And we are down to 63 people down one point or better, including 6 perfects. I still have a chance at money. :D

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"MyWorldIsSNES" Score: 30, Rank: 9 (T1), Pick: Master Hand
My Video Game World Records: http://www.twingalaxies.com/index.aspx?c=22&p=35289
From: Rodri316 | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:03:55 AM | Message Detail
I made the leaderboard!
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Current Match Prediction -- Bowser vs. Revolver Ocelot
Spring 2005 Contest -- 31/32 points
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:04:26 AM | Message Detail
Three people on the leaderboard have Ocelot taking it all. The perfect with Ganondorf is still there as well.
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Hi,I'm partystar. ^_^
Or maybe I'm Leonhart. That's for you to decide.
From: bigkevinm84 | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:04:42 AM | Message Detail
*Dances*
Go Bowser! Go Bowser!
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HRC total: 77592.6
Vote for Kefka? >_>;;
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:05:19 AM | Message Detail
Congrats, Rodri.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: Haste2 | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:05:41 AM | Message Detail
35%, eh? That's quite high...assuming expectations were exactly the same each round, the split in prediction percentage should be this:

Robotnik - 35.33%
Sin - 28.32%
Kuja - 22.13%
Sin - 14.22%

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: SonicRaptor | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:06:32 AM | Message Detail
Good news is that Robotnik/MH was the very last match I had worries about. From here on out it's pretty much clear sailing .
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Today's subliminal thought is:
Contest Stats: 27/32 Next Winner: Bowser
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:06:43 AM | Message Detail
Bowser's up 65/35 early, but Ocelot has been very good with the board vote so far. It's hard to say whether this will go up or down. If Ocelot manages 35% here, that puts him at 21.67% on Link, right above Viewtiful Joe.
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Hi,I'm partystar. ^_^
Or maybe I'm Leonhart. That's for you to decide.
From: Heroic_Cable | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:09:22 AM | Message Detail
If Bowser keeps this up, Proto Man has little rerason for SFF tocover his weakness.
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BANG BANG BANG VIPER BEAM!
From: Lucid Faia | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:11:01 AM | Message Detail
What the hell does this match have to do with Proto Man?

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"Lucid Faia" Score: 31, Rank: T2, Pick: Bowser
My Video Game World Records: http://www.twingalaxies.com/index.aspx?c=22&p=35289
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:11:24 AM | Message Detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
30-----10-------60.0000000
29-----147------38.7755102
28-----202------32.6732673
27-----456------42.7631579
26-----912------41.2280702
25-----1379-----41.3343002
24-----2094-----41.4517670
23-----2583-----39.4502516
22-----2984-----38.4048257
21-----2857-----36.1218061
20-----2814-----36.6382374
19-----2409-----32.8767123
18-----1854-----29.9892125
17-----1299-----27.9445727
16-----887------28.2976325
15-----594------24.0740741
14-----438------19.1780822
13-----272------26.4705882
12-----166------28.9156627
11-----107------28.9719626
10-----72-------22.2222222
9------34-------23.5294118
8------29-------10.3448276
7------17-------5.8823529
6------17-------11.7647059
5------20-------10.0000000
4------20-------10.0000000
3------29-------10.3448276
2------30-------3.3333333

People with scores of 1 or lower got the match wrong.

The perfects did quite a bit better than the other groups. Now down to the single digits and there is still a perfect who didn't have Sephiroth winning. Only one real bracket buster left and there's still a good chance of not seeing a single perfect.

32 people fell off the Top 50 today. SergeXVI, roozternyc, silver_sun, MyWorldIsSNES, youspoonybard, RokkStar151, VietBoi4Life, Utah_Jazz_Fan, Cid_, mamuman, SolidPandaG, Veinzy, dethwing, olOoOlo, pugtheninja, caconn02, KadenceInc, darklink37, Kintajii, MGSResidentEvil, CloudandSquall, Sighcogh, Insidious_Crono, dabomb75, theone1batman, chaoscell, snailien, Starman0, sillybulanston, Heroic_Rufus, xIcemanx_basic and couscous625 did not have Robotnik winning his match.

Remember to nominate Master Hand for the Summer Contest! =D
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:11:38 AM | Message Detail
This match is haunted, that's what.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:14:11 AM | Message Detail
Bowser 63.13% 666
Revolver Ocelot 36.87% 389
TOTAL VOTES 1055

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“You see, at this point… I’m pretty much the Queen ***** of the Universe. And not all of your little soldiers or space ships will stand in my way again.”
From: Heroic_Cable | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:14:27 AM | Message Detail
It' proves that Mega Man characters are very weak outside of Mega Man and Zero.
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BANG BANG BANG VIPER BEAM!
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:14:31 AM | Message Detail
Well, people were saying that there's no way for Protoman to be stronger than Wily. Considering where this puts the good doctor, Blues shouldn't have received much SFF against Zero, if any. Either way, his arbitrary adjustment in the stats was too generous.
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Hi,I'm partystar. ^_^
Or maybe I'm Leonhart. That's for you to decide.
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:17:05 AM | Message Detail
As for where this puts Wily, Ocelot at 37% is now at 23.04%, right above Kefka (heh heh heh). This would put Wily and Nemesis right below Jak.
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Hi,I'm partystar. ^_^
Or maybe I'm Leonhart. That's for you to decide.
From: Heroic_Cable | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:18:09 AM | Message Detail
Seeing how badly Sigma and Wily did, Proto Man might have overpeformed against Zero.
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BANG BANG BANG VIPER BEAM!
From: CaptainFlufflez | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:18:28 AM | Message Detail
Obviously flawed because both Wily and Nemesis would crush Jak. Hopefully it would be in a match where Jak would have the better seed, thus strengthening the chances that people will miss it because they didn't think about it enough. >_>

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Against Kefka, HaRRicH said Wesker < 43%. I said Wesker > 43%...
...turns out 29.63% < 43%, as well as HaRRicH > CaptainFlufflez. Learn to love it.
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:19:16 AM | Message Detail
And either way, unless Ocelot bombs with the day vote and drops a lot, I think he's earned a Summer Contest spot. He'll probably end up facing Auron, who loves to beat everyone 65/35, which is how a match with him would go.
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Hi,I'm partystar. ^_^
Or maybe I'm Leonhart. That's for you to decide.
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:19:50 AM | Message Detail
Obviously flawed because both Wily and Nemesis would crush Jak.

And you know this...how?
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Hi,I'm partystar. ^_^
Or maybe I'm Leonhart. That's for you to decide.
From: bigkevinm84 | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:20:31 AM | Message Detail
Hate to sound stupid, but what does SFF stand for again?
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HRC total: 77592.6
Vote for Kefka? >_>;;
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:20:32 AM | Message Detail
Bowser definitely needs to increase with the day vote. Ocelot doing this much sucks.

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“You see, at this point… I’m pretty much the Queen ***** of the Universe. And not all of your little soldiers or space ships will stand in my way again.”
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:20:54 AM | Message Detail
SFF = Same Fanbase Factor.

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“You see, at this point… I’m pretty much the Queen ***** of the Universe. And not all of your little soldiers or space ships will stand in my way again.”
From: Heroic_Cable | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:20:57 AM | Message Detail
Playstation rodents never win, except against Ulala.
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BANG BANG BANG VIPER BEAM!
From: Lopen | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:21:16 AM | Message Detail
It's the same way that it's "obvious" that Ganondorf would crush Dante, despite being adjusted down to around his level.
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He needs nominations, 61! Nominate Raiden (Metal Gear Solid 2) for SC2K5!
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:21:19 AM | Message Detail
Hey, Heroic Mario. I heard you were trying to renig out of your Ocelot nomination commitment. What gives?
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Hi,I'm partystar. ^_^
Or maybe I'm Leonhart. That's for you to decide.
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:21:57 AM | Message Detail
Playstation rodents never win, except against Ulala.

Good thing since Jak's an elf.
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Hi,I'm partystar. ^_^
Or maybe I'm Leonhart. That's for you to decide.
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:22:37 AM | Message Detail
Anyone who even has the thought cross their mind that Ganon would have trouble with Dante is simply without one.

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“You see, at this point… I’m pretty much the Queen ***** of the Universe. And not all of your little soldiers or space ships will stand in my way again.”
From: Mister Mario | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:22:47 AM | Message Detail
C'mon Bowser! And c'mon Kefka!
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"The PS3 isn't designed to lean towards games. It's not a computer for children."- Ken Kutaragi
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:23:20 AM | Message Detail
It depended on how he did in this contest. If he did crappy, I wasn't about to nominate him for the sake of seeing more of his crap back in the contest.

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“You see, at this point… I’m pretty much the Queen ***** of the Universe. And not all of your little soldiers or space ships will stand in my way again.”
From: Heroic_Cable | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:23:39 AM | Message Detail
Bowser definitely needs to increase with the day vote. Ocelot doing this much sucks.

What's the point? Bowser stomped his opponets into dust and is going to get skewered by Seph, at least give Nemesis his dignity.
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BANG BANG BANG VIPER BEAM!
From: bigkevinm84 | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:24:00 AM | Message Detail
Man I hope Kefka wins so my final four is right... And if he does win, all the Number 1 seeds are in the final four, but if not, a punk 7 seed has snuck his way in there... which is not cool.
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HRC total: 77592.6
Vote for Kefka? >_>;;
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:24:22 AM | Message Detail
Because I don't like Ocelot. I figured that was already apparent by now.

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“You see, at this point… I’m pretty much the Queen ***** of the Universe. And not all of your little soldiers or space ships will stand in my way again.”
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:24:44 AM | Message Detail
He's doing just fine. Certainly better than Sigma, who you said would beat him prior to the contest.

And besides, you plan on nominating Kerrigan. I'd bet on Revolver being stronger than her anyway.
---
Hi,I'm partystar. ^_^
Or maybe I'm Leonhart. That's for you to decide.
From: CaptainFlufflez | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:25:13 AM | Message Detail
Jak vs. Wily you can pick Jak as many times as you want Leon and convince as many people. I won't argue with you. In fact I will encourage that. >_>

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Against Kefka, HaRRicH said Wesker < 43%. I said Wesker > 43%...
...turns out 29.63% < 43%, as well as HaRRicH > CaptainFlufflez. Learn to love it.
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:25:54 AM | Message Detail
I wouldn't. I've already said I would take Kerrigan over Kefka and depending on how the day vote goes, Ocelot may or may not end up above him. But like I said, this was before today's match. He had been completely unimpressive in previous matches.

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“You see, at this point… I’m pretty much the Queen ***** of the Universe. And not all of your little soldiers or space ships will stand in my way again.”
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:26:21 AM | Message Detail
Jak vs. Wily you can pick Jak as many times as you want Leon and convince as many people. I won't argue with you. In fact I will encourage that. >_>

Who said I would pick Jak? I just think it's ridiculous that you say it's "obvious" that Wily would "crush" him.
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Hi,I'm partystar. ^_^
Or maybe I'm Leonhart. That's for you to decide.
From: Lopen | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:26:29 AM | Message Detail
Anyone who even has the thought cross their mind that Ganon would have trouble with Dante is simply without one.

And that's the same way I see Wily/Nemesis relating to Jak.

After disappointment here, all Ocelot nominators will change their nominations to Raiden, for the greater power! You can't stop it, Leonhart...
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He needs nominations, 61! Nominate Raiden (Metal Gear Solid 2) for SC2K5!
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:27:06 AM | Message Detail
He was unimpressive because we underestimated his opponents. And if Diablo doesn't beat Kefka (or barely beats him at all), I wouldn't expect Kerrigan to rank that highly either.
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Hi,I'm partystar. ^_^
Or maybe I'm Leonhart. That's for you to decide.
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:28:10 AM | Message Detail
After disappointment here, all Ocelot nominators will change their nominations to Raiden, for the greater power! You can't stop it, Leonhart...

Sure I can.

Nominator: *thinks of changing from Ocelot to Raiden*

[insert Ocelot hand gesture here]

Nominator: Nevermind.
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Hi,I'm partystar. ^_^
Or maybe I'm Leonhart. That's for you to decide.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:29:27 AM | Message Detail
And anyone who says that Jak couldn't beat Wily or Nemesis because it doesn't "look right" or "make sense" has obviously forgotten that this contest rarely makes sense.
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Can't keep a good man down, baby!
From: Heroic_Cable | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:29:44 AM | Message Detail
How many people here expected nemesis to be as strong as Wily?

Through now, it seems more like Wily is crap than Nemesis being a dark horse.
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BANG BANG BANG VIPER BEAM!
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:30:13 AM | Message Detail
I've already argued, although the entire thing was short lived, on why I believe that Kerrigan can certainly rank near or above Diablo in a contest. I am going to enjoy seeing just how well he performs, because he's a good person to represent Blizzard's other character entries. Right now, I've predicted 53% for Diablo in the upcoming match - went with 65% for Bowser today.

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“You see, at this point… I’m pretty much the Queen ***** of the Universe. And not all of your little soldiers or space ships will stand in my way again.”
From: Mister Mario | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:31:02 AM | Message Detail
Kefka will win.
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"The PS3 isn't designed to lean towards games. It's not a computer for children."- Ken Kutaragi
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:32:03 AM | Message Detail
I don't anticipate Bison >= Kefka myself.
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Can't keep a good man down, baby!
From: Lopen | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:32:31 AM | Message Detail
I would sooner consider Dante over Ganondorf than Jak over Wily/Nemesis. I think that's a more sane pick.

And no handed cartwheel of doom > hand gesture.
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He needs nominations, 61! Nominate Raiden (Metal Gear Solid 2) for SC2K5!
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:33:58 AM | Message Detail
I would sooner consider Dante over Ganondorf than Jak over Wily/Nemesis. I think that's a more sane pick.

The latter is the more sane pick, actually. Why can't Jak beat them, exactly? I must have missed something.
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Can't keep a good man down, baby!
From: Lopen | Posted: 5/27/2005 12:40:13 AM | Message Detail
Jak's a Playstation platformer. They're all fodder. Every last one of em. It's just a fact of life. Obviously I have nothing to back up this claim, Jak's had one match and the X-Stats say it would be close apparently. But, really, there's not much back up to Ganondorf > Dante either other than "common sense".
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He needs nominations, 61! Nominate Raiden (Metal Gear Solid 2) for SC2K5!
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