I went with Ridley which I based on Samus' and Metroid's popularity. Yeah, I know Ridley =/= Samus, but at least they're in the same games. I'm not confident at all though. To me, M. Bison, Ridley, and Diablo have the best chances at the division.
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Land of the Dead - June 24, 2005
*is M410123*

So with Ridley and Diablo being the two with the best chances in your mind, you're comparing him to Kefka, where you would have Diablo winning. That's the point I was making about Kefka earlier; you almost can't help but compare Diable to him, though you don't have to worry about that comparison since you have Ridley beating Diablo. Starcraft, Zelda, and Duke Nukem are merely characters with similarities in advantages, with Duke Nukem being the most similar (though that's not saying Diablo's goin' to be very very close to DN's strength):

-The series is named after them.
-They're featured on their boxes.
-Both are mainly known for their PC games, though they had much less popular ports to consoles.
-They're both bad-ass...
-...and have lines to remember them for.

Plenty of similarities, so it's not a bad thing to compare the two. We don't know about the strength of Diablo, but many things line up with Duke. You can already see why Diablo could be comapred to Starcraft, so I won't get into that.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Wily
"What awaits each person in Heaven is eternal peace, divine rest, and $10,000 cash." --Cartman

Kefka 80.65% 25
Mithos 19.35% 6
TOTAL VOTES 31
---
Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Wily
"What awaits each person in Heaven is eternal peace, divine rest, and $10,000 cash." --Cartman

87.08% had Liquid Snake advancing.
---
Hi,I'm partystar. ^_^
Or maybe I'm Leonhart. That's for you to decide.

That's the most impressive prediction percentage thus far. Awesome.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.

Kefka's percentage is falling pretty quickly (as always).
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"This is sickening! You sound like chapters from a self-help booklet! Prepare yourselves!" -Kefka

Heh, not even 90% supported Liquid against Tenpenny; only 87.08% backed him up. It'll be very interesting to see how much support Kefka, Ridley, and Kuja do in support.
---
Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Wily
"What awaits each person in Heaven is eternal peace, divine rest, and $10,000 cash." --Cartman

Heh, not even 90% supported Liquid against Tenpenny; only 87.08% backed him up

What? That's bad? Considering he was facing somebody from GTA, that's pretty good.
---
Hi,I'm partystar. ^_^
Or maybe I'm Leonhart. That's for you to decide.

Score-Brackets-% Right
7------3708-----94.1477886
6------6922-----90.3062699
5------7529-----86.3726923
4------4541-----84.1004184
3------1625-----78.2153846
2------275------70.9090909
1------70-------25.7142857
0------78-------2.5641026

Near perfect by both the perfects and the 0's.

2 people fell off the Top 50 today. FyreOrion and RisingBuns, the person who had Tenpenny winning the contest.
---
"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."

Kefka with a solid 73%.
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Land of the Dead - June 24, 2005
*is M410123*

I think we've reached the point where only the "huge" matches will eliminate more than a few perfect brackets.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.

Actually I take that back. He seems to have stabilized for the time being, fluctuating between 72-74%.
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"This is sickening! You sound like chapters from a self-help booklet! Prepare yourselves!" -Kefka

Something tells me that Kefka should do better as overall vote totals climb...Mithos ain't exactly a household name.
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ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO CATS

Kefka absolutely BOMBED against Knuckles last year during the day.

Anyone remember how he did against Pac-Man and Crono?
---
Hi,I'm partystar. ^_^
Or maybe I'm Leonhart. That's for you to decide.

For being one of the four power-houses we were aware of before the contest and facing just the villain of a GTA game (though granted, still a GTA character), I expected about 91%. Plus, I know you hate hearing about that upset poll, but I'm surprised more people didn't change from Tenpenny to Liquid after that. I know several people switched to have Master Hand and/or M. Bison to go further after it, so it surprises me more people didn't switch to Liquid after Tenpenny sucking it up.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Wily
"What awaits each person in Heaven is eternal peace, divine rest, and $10,000 cash." --Cartman

I assume Pac-Man mowed into Kefka in the day-time, but I don't know that for sure.
---
Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Wily
"What awaits each person in Heaven is eternal peace, divine rest, and $10,000 cash." --Cartman

Kefka's starting to dip a bit. Will he go below 70% here?
---
Hi,I'm partystar. ^_^
Or maybe I'm Leonhart. That's for you to decide.

Come on Kefka... let that % fall to 66.67!

Just keep enough in the tank to get by Wesker, you stupid clown.
---
Board 8: Where people treat each other right.

I think you might be seeing the effects of the board vote starting to wear off, perhaps.
---
Hi,I'm partystar. ^_^
Or maybe I'm Leonhart. That's for you to decide.

And the TOS spoiler breaks 30%.
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"This is sickening! You sound like chapters from a self-help booklet! Prepare yourselves!" -Kefka

Kefka 69.64% 695
Mithos 30.36% 303
TOTAL VOTES 998

Wow, I accidentally X'ed out of the tab with the 1,000-vote mark. *smacks forehead* Anyways, 1,000 vote sample with the board-vote and bracket vote heavily mixed in, and Mithos still manages over 30% against the 1-seed so far.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Wily
"What awaits each person in Heaven is eternal peace, divine rest, and $10,000 cash." --Cartman

Currently, if Mithos were to maintain this percentage, he would be approximately equal to Luca Blight.
---
Hi,I'm partystar. ^_^
Or maybe I'm Leonhart. That's for you to decide.

How great would that be? Mithos maintains this percentage, making him mathematically the equal of Luca, who goes on to get 60-40'D by Wesker tomorrow. Ah, the ironing is delicious.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.

Heh, how interesting would it be to see Wesker plow over Luca with 70% as well?
---
Hi,I'm partystar. ^_^
Or maybe I'm Leonhart. That's for you to decide.

Well, I would kiss my bracket goodbye, but I'd definitely fancy the thought of Wesker doing well in this contest.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.

If Wesker hits 70%, sound the upset alarm. Mithos will end the match with it being closer than what it is right now, and it might be in a big way of how much closer he could make it (big = 35% probably being the max).
---
Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Wily
"What awaits each person in Heaven is eternal peace, divine rest, and $10,000 cash." --Cartman

Kefka 69.42% 1389
Mithos 30.58% 612
TOTAL VOTES 2001

At least I didn't X out of it this time; I get to get back to doin' it good.
---
Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Wily
"What awaits each person in Heaven is eternal peace, divine rest, and $10,000 cash." --Cartman

68.73% for Kefka at the moment. Is it just me or is Kefka showing some weakness? At the very least this proves that Kefka isn't a powerhouse, which means after this match, he will have competition in all his remaining match(es).

---
|| BtT 3:34.65 || HRC 37,592.3 ||
Spring2K5: 8/8 Next Pick: Kefka

Kefka got a early lad on Knuckles before Knuckles made a comeback and crushed him, I don't think Mithos will get doubled, and this is bad news for my bracket. Unless Mithos strength is better than I think.

Go Wesker. Kill my and almost everyone's brackets!
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This user is my god *this is an alt, but who uses this alt?*
v

I expected Kefka to at least double Mithos.. at this rate I don't think it's happening.

Damn, Kefka's stinking this one up big time. Now I can add Ridley over him in the list of picks I'd pay dearly to change.
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Spring Contest 2005 - Points: 07/07 - Matches: 07/07 - Rank: 00001/24748 - Today: Liquid - Tomorrow: Kefka

And as a side note, Mithos would be expected to rank somewhere between Laharl and Gordon Freeman right now.
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Spring Contest 2005 - Points: 08/08 - Matches: 08/08 - Rank: 00001/24748 - Today: Kefka - Tomorrow: Wesker

Kefks seems to want to fight back now... good. About time.
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Spring Contest 2005 - Points: 08/08 - Matches: 08/08 - Rank: 00001/24748 - Today: Kefka - Tomorrow: Wesker

[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]

Oracle prediction is looking good right now (Kefka with 66.99%), but that probably won't last.

---
Beauty is in the eye of the beer-holder.

...forget I said anything. Kefka's getting owned harder than ever.
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Spring Contest 2005 - Points: 08/08 - Matches: 08/08 - Rank: 00001/24748 - Today: Kefka - Tomorrow: Wesker

Kefka is doing about how I would expect him to do.

---
“The past is dead. It was all just a dream…”
http://img50.echo.cx/img50/131/justadream7fz.png

Mithos' performance?

TJF.
---
Honorary Spring 2005 Winner - Kerrigan.

Wow, you're pessimistic HM. I didn't expect Mithos to be on par with Laharl.

And what happened to your main, anyway? You hardly ever post with it now. No, lemme guess. Red?

And I've meant to ask this for a while, but what's with the odd URLs in the new contest site?
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Spring Contest 2005 - Points: 08/08 - Matches: 08/08 - Rank: 00001/24748 - Today: Kefka - Tomorrow: Wesker

Maybe Mithos is performing well because it looks like a blonde anime chick. But seriously Kefka isn't doing very well for going against a hard to recognize character that is under an even less recognizable name including from the game. If Wesker lights it up tomorrow, I think we could be in for a tough matchup. Kefka's pic bites the big one today too though. Mithos definently gets the pic advantage. As will wesker too though...most likely.

---
|| BtT 3:34.65 || HRC 37,592.3 ||
Spring2K5: 8/8 Next Pick: Kefka

Mithos, pic advantage? With THAT? Sorry, but Dee Snider Kefka still owns the pants out of a pic of a character who looks like he's not wearing any.
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Spring Contest 2005 - Points: 08/08 - Matches: 08/08 - Rank: 00001/24748 - Today: Kefka - Tomorrow: Wesker

man, i'm nervous about Kefka next round, now. i really thought he would stay above 70%. and Mithos really does look like a cute little anime blonde. what the heck?

*prays for laughing Kefka sprite pic next round*

>_>

*prays the sprite pic actually helps*

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Official Co-Host for PUB TRIVIA XV
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=579093

We'll see what Wesker can throw at Luca Blight tomorrow. Despite me being disappointed today, it's far from impossible that Luca may actually be the weakest villain in this division.
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Spring Contest 2005 - Points: 08/08 - Matches: 08/08 - Rank: 00001/24748 - Today: Kefka - Tomorrow: Wesker

but really, Wesker would have to get 70%+ against Luca to make a Kefka upset possible
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Vote in the Spring Contest 2005 http://www.freewebs.com/springcontest2k5/

That's what I've been saying. Mithos is performing better than Luca would be expected to... then again, Kefka has always been quite the oddball.
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Spring Contest 2005 - Points: 08/08 - Matches: 08/08 - Rank: 00001/24748 - Today: Kefka - Tomorrow: Wesker

that's true, Slow. the weakest loser in this division is either Luca, Mithos, and Albedo. if Wesker doubles Luca, then Kefka will be in for a serious fight next round.

---
Official Co-Host for PUB TRIVIA XV
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=579093

Provided that this isn't just Kefka sucking, Mithos is looking pretty good. Lloyd could actually do something in a summer contest if his villain comes in at 17%.
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Proud supporter of Ghaleon, Kefka, Bowser, Ultros, Liquid, Ocelot, and Wily!

You guys seem to like the extrapolated stats, but at the same time must be aware that voter preference is not generally transitive. Does the data so far suggest that voter preference in these contests is indeed highly transitive? If so, do you have any theories as to why this would be?
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"It is not knowledge, but the act of learning, not possession but the act of getting there, which grants the greatest enjoyment" - Carl Friedrich Gauss

well, Mithos is currently at the same level as Rameriz, so i could see Llloyd being at Vyse's level or a little higher. actually, today's match does kinda make sense after all. i'm not quite as worried about Kefka next round as i was. i just wish i would've realized this yesterday, before i made my 74% prediction.

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Official Co-Host for PUB TRIVIA XV
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=579093