Hmm. Andross has been keeping up with Sigma for at least the last 10 minutes. What's going on here? Is this another one of those out-of-left-field nailbiters?

Well Bowser's path is a lot easier than expected.
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Vote for Robotnik, he isnt a woman or a giant slug or a .... hand.

This is a pleasant surprise. Surprisingly close matches (at least so far) are always wonderful, and close matches that have the potential to annoy Heroic Mario are priceless! ^_^
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Vexilla regis prodeunt Inferni. ~ Dante Alighieri

I don't think anybody expected Sigma to beat Bowser, but I didn't think he'd get creamed. That might not be the case now.
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Hi,I'm partystar. ^_^
Or maybe I'm Leonhart. That's for you to decide.

From: HaRRicH | Posted: 5/4/2005 1:54:34 AM | Message Detail
78,000 was just broken, and that'll likely be all the landmarks this match will hit for today. Here's for hoping Sigma/Andross is somehow a surprise barn-burner...but I'm not counting on that, heh.

Is God granting my wish, perhaps? Please do, please please do; I'd give a point to see Andross win this, heh.


Sigma 55.5% 868
Andross 44.5% 696
TOTAL VOTES 1564
^For those sleeping right now.
---
Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Wily in 2k5
Meanwhile, let's pray I pass my finals.....

Sigma just can't quite get a 200 vote lead.
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Hi,I'm partystar. ^_^
Or maybe I'm Leonhart. That's for you to decide.

He'll get it soon enough. It'll be interesting to see how the day-votes go though.
---
Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Wily in 2k5
Meanwhile, let's pray I pass my finals.....

Sigma just cracked 200.
---
Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Wily in 2k5
Meanwhile, let's pray I pass my finals.....

Its weird how is poll works. One 30 second span it only gets 10 votes. Then in a 2 second span, Sigma only gains 15 votes.
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Vote for Robotnik, he isnt a woman or a giant slug or a .... hand.

You know, it seems that maybe Sigma isn't as well-known as I thought. I've seen a few topics around from people wondering who he was.

You think he might actually be a relatively unknown villain?
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Hi,I'm partystar. ^_^
Or maybe I'm Leonhart. That's for you to decide.

It's time I go to sleep, ya'll. Root for the upsets now, 'cuz there won't be many left after the first round.


Sigma 56.63% 1038
Andross 43.37% 795
TOTAL VOTES 1833
^One more time for those asleep.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Wily in 2k5
Meanwhile, let's pray I pass my finals.....

Meh, I think this match proves one of two things:

1)Sigma isn't respected as a villain, quite contrary to Zero. I was kinda expecting this from the beginning (though I specifically said this for Wily and Robotnik).
OR
2)Andross has demonstrated the power of the Nintendo fanbase. (And he's not Tom Nook.)

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."

Let's see if this does indeed transfer over to Wily and Robotnik. We'll find out in a couple more days for one of them.

As I said before, I think maybe Sigma isn't all that recognizable as a villain. That might have something to do with it.
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Hi,I'm partystar. ^_^
Or maybe I'm Leonhart. That's for you to decide.

But how could Sigma be so obscure if Zero isn't?

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."

Beats me. Mumei said he knew who Zero was and where he was from, but didn't know Sigma.
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Hi,I'm partystar. ^_^
Or maybe I'm Leonhart. That's for you to decide.

At any rate, Sigma just broke the 300 barrier on his lead, so I'm heading to bed.
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Hi,I'm partystar. ^_^
Or maybe I'm Leonhart. That's for you to decide.

If this match continues at this rate, it may mean that we are in for a LOT of surprises--or at least things that we would have found surprising if we had heard about them before the contest started.

Looks like the "only 5 characters are known" thing might have big effects on prediction volatility.

Or, this match might not mean much and we're overreacting. But...you have to wonder.
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www.SC2K5.com

Well, I was certainly expecting plenty of surprises to happen...that's what an almost completely new field of characters will do. I wouldn't be surprised to stunning results (according to the board) for 1/3 of the matches. :P

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."

Leonhart:
We have no conclusive idea where Fox stands whatsoever. We only have guestimates.

What makes you say this? He might've suffered SFF from Link, but in 2K2 there's no reason to think his 19% strength was off by that much. Maybe if you by the fact that Cloud was deflated due to Mario overperformance (which is possible, but it's highly doubtful--to put it mildly--that any accurate adjustment would put him near Link that year)--but making Cloud equal to Link puts Fox at 25%. That's the highest Fox could possibly be, and it sounds much too high. So maybe Fox is really in the 21%-23% range...anything above that is a real stretch.

For Sigma vs. Bowser (assuming Sigma wins here), let's be very liberal and say that Andross is higher than Fox has ever been, at 20% on 2K2 Link. And let's say that somehow Sigma manages to get 60% in this match. Since Bowser should be at 30.97% on 2K2 Link, it seems that 41% should be the highest we can expect from Sigma against Bowser (since we've been using assumptions fairly favorable to Sigma). Looks like Sigma is very likely to disappoint relative to the pre-contest expectations of many.
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www.SC2K5.com

Sigma's broken 500 now. Hmm, I could actually get to day 2 with the bracket still intact at this rate :-)
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Jon Thomson - 1/1, tomorrow: Sigma
Ridley's Road to Victory - Round 1 vs. (7) Diablo

the vote gap is increasing at a very slow rate right now which means that although sigma's lead is growing his percentage lead is not. he's up by close to 800 right now i believe.

---
|| BtT 3:34.65 || HRC 37,592.3 ||
Spring2K5: 1/1 Next Pick: Sigma

Computer crashes are unwelcome at the best of times. Computer crashes mid way through giving Lavos a kicking are bloody infuriating. Chrono Trigger gets finished today whether it likes it or not :-)
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Jon Thomson - 1/1, tomorrow: Sigma
Ridley's Road to Victory - Round 1 vs. (7) Diablo

Ouch. This is way closer than I thought. And what's worse, Andross now seems to be keeping up. I swear, if the BOP is wrong on a 102-6 match...

This doesn't say good things about Dr. Wily.
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Spring Contest 2005 - Points: 01/01 - Matches: 01/01 - Rank: ?????/????? - Today: Sigma - Tomorrow: Ocelot

Dr. Wily is doomed against Ocelot if Andross gets 45% on Sigma.

And there's still that Day vote that is Nintendo.

Also,

Sigma 55% 4854
Andross 45% 3972
TOTAL VOTES 8826

That's a 882 vote difference.

---
PETITION: Ability to preview contests to moderators before posting it. http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=19643565 (147 Signs!)

Yeah. I think it calls for:

NOBODY EXPECTS A CLOSE MATCH!!!
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Spring Contest 2005 - Points: 01/01 - Matches: 01/01 - Rank: ?????/????? - Today: Sigma - Tomorrow: Ocelot

Really? I did.
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"Outside of a dog, a book is man's best friend. Inside of a dog, it's too dark to read." - Groucho Marx

Sigma 54.93% 5853
Andross 45.07% 4803
TOTAL VOTES 10656

OMG ANDROSS COMES BACK
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"So does Zelda and she isn't a monster in these contests."
- Tatsumaki Senpuu, on the "OMG DIABLO'S NAME IS IN THE TITLE" argument

Sigma 54.87% 5943
Andross 45.13% 4888
TOTAL VOTES 10831

He's bridging the gap...
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"So does Zelda and she isn't a monster in these contests."
- Tatsumaki Senpuu, on the "OMG DIABLO'S NAME IS IN THE TITLE" argument

Sigma is building his lead not losing it. Keep that in mind. The percents are just getting closer because Sigma is receiving less than 55% or whatever he's at of the vote but is still receiving more than 50%. Get it? It's like math....
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|| BtT 3:34.65 || HRC 37,592.3 ||
Spring2K5: 1/1 Next Pick: Sigma

I expected this match to be close. If Sigma falls to 52% then I'll be surprised.
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Vote in the Spring Contest 2005 http://www.freewebs.com/springcontest2k5/

I am going to puke. . . .

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“If history is to change, let it change. If the world is to be destroyed, so be it. If my fate is to die, I must simply laugh.”

He's bridging the gap...

Sigma's lead has been increasing. From the time you posted that, Sigma had a 1005 lead and now his lead is up to 1300.

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“If history is to change, let it change. If the world is to be destroyed, so be it. If my fate is to die, I must simply laugh.”

Duh. I was just being an idiot, to keep in tune with the "OMG ANDROSS BLAH BLAH" stuff in the previous post.

Sigma 54.6% 6487
Andross 45.4% 5394
TOTAL VOTES 11881

OMG ANDROSS GETS THE DAY VOTE </more stupid gibberish>
---
"So does Zelda and she isn't a monster in these contests."
- Tatsumaki Senpuu, on the "OMG DIABLO'S NAME IS IN THE TITLE" argument

[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]

I'm not entirely convinced that Andross has a significant edge in the day-vote like normal. It's jsut not the matchup that creates such extreme differences in day-night despite the Nintendo factor.

6AM PST now.
We'll see in about 12 hours.

Sigma 54.78% 6824
Andross 45.22% 5633
TOTAL VOTES 12457

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Spring Contest 2k5 ScoreXPotential: 1/1 X 80/80
Next Pick: Sigma ///// Next Vote: Sigma

I am going to puke. . . .

I voted for Andross just for you. ^_^

---
Vexilla regis prodeunt Inferni. ~ Dante Alighieri

wow. Sigma is way weaker than most of us expected. i certainly expected him to blow Andross away. although, that face shot is much less impressive than Sigma's battle pics. but still, Sigma is a dud. this match certainly proves one thing: WE KNOW NOTHING!!

now watch, as Ocelot actually gets beat by Nemesis tomorrow. >_>

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VOTE FOR ULTROS!!! G'FHAHAHAHAHA!!!
Trivia XIV: MEATWADD SUCKS!!

Hehe, I wouldn't bank on it.

But Ocelot's loss to Bowser will be the bloodiest day yet on this board.
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Spring Contest 2005 - Points: 01/01 - Matches: 01/01 - Rank: ?????/????? - Today: Sigma - Tomorrow: Ocelot

Good call on Sigma getting 70%, Dusty. Glad to see you're back in form.

In my writeup for Moltar's topic, I said that Dr. Wily would be lucky to get past Ultros, and that Ocelot would flat-out kill him in the second round. Doesn't seem like such a crazy pick now, does it? =)



Oh, and I feel a lot better about Sin over Robutt. If a monkey can hang with the main villain of the X series, I think FFX's main villain is more than capable enough of holding his own.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
"If my fate is to die, I must simply laugh!" -Magus Zeal

But Ocelot's loss to Bowser will be the bloodiest day yet on this board.

Oh please. This board is not going to see Sonic/Samus 2002, Mario/Cloud 2002, Mario/Crono 2003, or Starcraft explosions during a match with Ocelot in it.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
"If my fate is to die, I must simply laugh!" -Magus Zeal

unless Ocelot did somehow manage to lose to Nemesis. then we would see Ocelot-related explosions all over the place.

---
VOTE FOR ULTROS!!! G'FHAHAHAHAHA!!!
Trivia XIV: MEATWADD SUCKS!!

Well, maybe not the biggest, but a huge fan-favorite losing to a Nintendo Icon is just recipe for disaster.
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Spring Contest 2005 - Points: 01/01 - Matches: 01/01 - Rank: ?????/????? - Today: Sigma - Tomorrow: Ocelot

Only disaster for MM119. His other upset picks are solid, except for that one. Bowser is quite clearly on in this contest.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
"If my fate is to die, I must simply laugh!" -Magus Zeal

You're forgeting about the swarms of contest n00bs that will come and recreate SMRPG/SF2. N00B RUSH KEKEKEKEKEKEKE
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Spring Contest 2005 - Points: 01/01 - Matches: 01/01 - Rank: ?????/????? - Today: Sigma - Tomorrow: Ocelot

Well, this is a surprise. A good picture for Sigma when he normally looks really, really lame.
---
"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.

Heh, my prediction that Wily >> Sigma is looking pretty good. Honestly, who cares about Sigma? Wily is, and always will be, Mega Man's greatest nemesis.
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Proud supporter of Ghaleon, Kefka, Bowser, Ultros, Liquid, Ocelot, and Wily!

Everybody here knows that Sephiroth is going to win this contest... Well that's my opinion
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"Last of the Uchihas"

Going off of what I've heard today, I think that match will be strickly 50-50. Sigma being from Metroid has the Samus crew to help, but Diablo has the Warcraft, Starcraft, and Diablo fans to back him. Both characters seem to have a strong fanbase, so it's anybody's game.

Uhh, Sigma is from MMX, not Metroid. I'm officially disregarding that post. ~_~
---
"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.

He might've meant to say "Ridley" instead of "Sigma" just by looking at that post...

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Vexilla regis prodeunt Inferni. ~ Dante Alighieri

Were people really expecting this to be a blowout?

o_O

I do believe this is right around where my Oracle prediction is.
---
"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.