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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 114
From: Tai | Posted: 5/4/2005 4:48:14 PM | Message Detail
Andross is making this much closer than I expected, I wonder if Star Wolf could beat Sigma? Heck, I wonder why Star Wolf isn't in this contest instead, actually.

I'm thinking Star Wolf could make up the 3% and then some.


Dude, Andross is 20x times more badass than Star Wolf. XD

Andross always deserve to get in first before those 4 pieces of turd.

Anyhow, Sigma's percentage continues to sink fast. He might even fall under 52%.
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From: cyko | Posted: 5/4/2005 4:48:50 PM | Message Detail
btw - did i miss something? why isn't HM using Heroic Mario lately? >_>

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VOTE FOR ULTROS!!! G'FHAHAHAHAHA!!!
Trivia XIV: MEATWADD SUCKS!!
From: Lucid Faia | Posted: 5/4/2005 4:49:42 PM | Message Detail
Off-topic...

Fading confused mind, creating phrases unknown

Waiting for the dawn, soon to arrive
So few options that I have and I can use
Life's circumstances can be so cruel
But if I take a chance, I just might make the wrong move


"Night Time Eclipse." This is one of the greatest songs I have ever heard.

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Now Playing: EarthBound, MAME, Tales Of Symphonia
My Video Game World Records: http://www.twingalaxies.com/index.aspx?c=22&p=35289
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 5/4/2005 4:53:44 PM | Message Detail
Not sure; he really likes that Tatsumaki Sepenuku account or whatever it's called. Heroic Mario's alot better, if ya ask me.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Wily in 2k5
Meanwhile, let's pray I pass my finals.....
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 5/4/2005 4:54:35 PM | Message Detail
Mushroom Division: Round 1 - Match 3 – (3)Revolver Ocelot vs. (6)Nemesis

Moltar’s Analysis

Ocelot
Game/Series Known From: Metal Gear Solid Series

One motion is all you need to know about this man. *hand-gestures*

Nemesis
Game/Series Known From: Resident Evil 3

The first of 2 RE villains steps up to the plate…

Poor, poor Nemesis. In Round 1, it has to go up against the monster known as Ocelot. No need analyzing this…unless you really want to….you do?…..really?…..fine.

MGS series > RE series @ GFAQs as seen here

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1620

Snake and Liquid > Jill as seen in the extrapolated stats.

Snake = 12th
Liquid = 15th
Jill = 37th

Ocelot can’t be too much weaker than Liquid, while Nemesis can’t be stronger than Jill. Ocelot and the hand-gesture win this one.

Moltar’s Bracket Says: Ocelot will win

Moltar’s Prediction is: Ocelot 70% -Nemesis 30%



Ulti’s Analysis

Forgive how short this writeup is, for I don't have a lot of experience in the Resident Evil series. Thankfully, it's not as if Nemesis has much of a chance in the first place. As mainstream as Resident Evil is, Metal Gear Solid flat-out trumps it.

Ulti’s Prediction: Ocelot with 58.27%



Soul’s Analysis

It’s been so long since I’ve played a Resident Evil game not named RE4. The first time I saw Nemesis make it in here; I thought it was another random RPG character. Of course, after looking through it again, I realized my mistake. When I was playing RE games when I was younger, I sucked. I thought the controls were god awful, but the game was awesome. In fact, I got my friend to play for me. He understood the controls far better than what I understood, and he was pretty good at it.

Metal Gear Solid is one of those games that sound good, but you just haven’t had the time to play. Well, at least for me it is. I have never played an MGS game in my life. Not once. Never. I have no clue where Ocelot could stand. Some people are predicting him to beat Bowser. Of course, I don’t see that happening. I do see him winning this match though, with around 64%.



Outback’s Analysis

HANDGESTURE’D

That’s about all I know about this match. I’ve never played the game(s) of either character, and I’ve never even heard of Nemesis. But I do know one thing. And that’s the hand gesture. So I’ll just fill this analysis like I plan on filling the other ones in which I know nothing of the villains: contest stats and crap. I believe that it’s definitely feasible for Ocelot to be as strong or (hand gesture) STRONGER then Liquid Snake. Game, Set, Handgesture, and MATCH!

Ocelot, 75.79, Nemesis 24.21



Inviso’s Analysis

Well, Konami versus Capcom. This is something I love seeing, because personally, Capcom gets owned in the face every time. Ocelot has been in the three 3D Metal Gear Solid games. He does the hand gesture. Enough said. Nemesis was in Resident Evil 3, and thus, was later in the movie, Resident Evil: Apocalypse.

Resident Evil, because it’s not an RPG, or Nintendo console game, is not going to get a lot of love in the votes. But then again, Metal Gear Solid hasn’t exactly been a powerhouse. I mean, the main character almost got beaten by FROG. Of course, Resident Evil didn’t exactly show strong in the past contest. Its ONE rep was beaten by Ryu Hayabusa, a character that was highly overseeded and beaten by Sora. Anyway, despite my analysis, this is going to be a very easy match to determine. MGS3 may not even be the most popular PS2 game on Gamefaqs, but when it’s in second behind Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas, that’s not half bad.

My prediction: Revolver Ocelot with 68.96%
From: Adept_Of_Aiur | Posted: 5/4/2005 4:56:07 PM | Message Detail
I've done an analysis for tomorrow's match as well.

Ocelot vs Nemesis:

Ocelot is obviously stronger than Bowser. He wins.

Ocelot with 80.36%.

Heil Dweebenheimer!!! For I am MasterMage119!!!
From: cyko | Posted: 5/4/2005 4:57:54 PM | Message Detail

cyko's analysis


most people on Board 8 consider this match an automatic win for Ocelot, but i'm not quite as sold on Ocelot's potential as them. he COULD be as strong as Liquid Snake or even a little stronger. but he COULD also be perceived as another old guy and have nowhere near the fans of Liquid or Solid Snake. however, there is more than enough to base a prediction off of for this match.

first of all, Nemesis was the villain in Resident Evil 3, which is pretty much the least popular entry in the main Resident Evil series. Ocelot, on the other hand, has played a major role in all three Metal Gear Solids. so, Ocelot's face has had a lot more exposure than Nemesis's hideously disfigured face. second of all, remember when MGS faced Resident Evil in last spring's Contest? MGS whomped RE with over 70% of the vote. Nemesis would have to be one heck of an unexpected powerhouse to overcome that big of a gap.

based on that, Ocelot should be able to take this one, but i won't be surprised to see Nemesis keep this one somewhat close.

personal vote: meh. don't care about either. Ocelot for the bracket, i guess.
bracket: Revolver Ocelot
prediction: Revolver Ocelot with 65.24%
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VOTE FOR ULTROS!!! G'FHAHAHAHAHA!!!
Trivia XIV: MEATWADD SUCKS!!
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 5/4/2005 5:00:21 PM | Message Detail
Wily > Robotnik >> Sigma. I'll agree with Sin > Ultros, unfortunately, but my guess is that Sin is going to fit in just above Sigma.
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Proud supporter of Ghaleon, Kefka, Bowser, Ultros, Liquid, Ocelot, and Wily!
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 5/4/2005 5:04:38 PM | Message Detail
I like Inviso's prediction the best there.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Wily in 2k5
Meanwhile, let's pray I pass my finals.....
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 5/4/2005 5:08:04 PM | Message Detail
btw - did i miss something? why isn't HM using Heroic Mario lately? >_>

This account recently hit 75 karma which gave me the searching function as well as unlimited posts. Because of that I've been using this one more.

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“If history is to change, let it change. If the world is to be destroyed, so be it. If my fate is to die, I must simply laugh.”
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 5/4/2005 5:08:33 PM | Message Detail
Not sure; he really likes that Tatsumaki Sepenuku account or whatever it's called.

Gotta be a fighting game fan to enjoy it. =p

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“If history is to change, let it change. If the world is to be destroyed, so be it. If my fate is to die, I must simply laugh.”
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 5/4/2005 5:10:32 PM | Message Detail
Hell, it almost takes a fighting game fan to spell your name right; I barely guessed the first word of it right, heh.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Wily in 2k5
Meanwhile, let's pray I pass my finals.....
From: Heroic_Cable | Posted: 5/4/2005 5:13:49 PM | Message Detail
*is a fighting game fan*

*dislikes it*

Tiger Knee and Tornado are better.
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From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 5/4/2005 5:23:54 PM | Message Detail
*dislikes it*

Well, I should have said those with taste, too.

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“If history is to change, let it change. If the world is to be destroyed, so be it. If my fate is to die, I must simply laugh.”
From: Heroic_Cable | Posted: 5/4/2005 5:25:00 PM | Message Detail
Says the Kyo fan.
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BANG BANG BANG VIPER BEAM!
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 5/4/2005 5:26:04 PM | Message Detail
I think you were looking for something to make my taste look bad, when that clearly mad it look good.

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“If history is to change, let it change. If the world is to be destroyed, so be it. If my fate is to die, I must simply laugh.”
From: Heroic_Cable | Posted: 5/4/2005 5:28:13 PM | Message Detail
If taste good you mean like elephant ass then yes.
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From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 5/4/2005 5:40:29 PM | Message Detail
Given what we've seen today, who would you pick between Sigma and Vergil?
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Proud supporter of Ghaleon, Kefka, Bowser, Ultros, Liquid, Ocelot, and Wily!
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 5/4/2005 5:42:45 PM | Message Detail
Vergil, though that'd be iffy.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Wily in 2k5
Meanwhile, let's pray I pass my finals.....
From: creativename | Posted: 5/4/2005 5:43:22 PM | Message Detail
I don't expect Vergil to be particularly strong, myself. I don't think he's that well-known.
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www.SC2K5.com
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 5/4/2005 5:46:35 PM | Message Detail
Me either, but for as much as Sigma is sucking right now and that DMC3 is pretty new and pretty big right now, I'd take Vergil almost to spite Sigma for choking so much.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Wily in 2k5
Meanwhile, let's pray I pass my finals.....
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 5/4/2005 7:02:25 PM | Message Detail
I would still take Sigma over Vergil.

Oh, and the Hurricane Kick (I ain't takin' the time to type the entire name) is vastly inferior to the Hadouken and Shoryuken.
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Hi,I'm partystar. ^_^
Or maybe I'm Leonhart. That's for you to decide.
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 5/4/2005 7:07:47 PM | Message Detail
Oh no, that's not true at all. The problem is that we don't have past results for the vast majority of competitors.

that one, too.

but I still think there will be some differences, even with the characters we do have data for.
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One who knows nothing can understand nothing.
"Revenge is a dish best served cold." - Old Klingon Proverb
From: swirldude | Posted: 5/4/2005 7:08:29 PM | Message Detail
but I still think there will be some differences, even with the characters we do have data for.

...there always is.
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O, flesh, flesh, how art thou fishified! ~Mercutio
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 5/4/2005 7:12:01 PM | Message Detail
http://planet-megaman.com/

"Square....I mean, GameFAQs is running their latest Spring Contest, this time to the tune of the greatest gaming villain. Today the vote is divided between the tenacious Sigma of the X Series, and Andross of the Star Fox games. Be sure to show your support and vote, today and on Friday when Dr. Wily faces off against Ultros."

Yeah, it doesn't seem to be doing anything. *sigh*

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“If history is to change, let it change. If the world is to be destroyed, so be it. If my fate is to die, I must simply laugh.”
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 5/4/2005 7:15:00 PM | Message Detail
...!

Heh, imagine how much closer it'd be without that link. It wouldn't result in a loss, but Sigma can still be thankful.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Wily in 2k5
Meanwhile, let's pray I pass my finals.....
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 5/4/2005 7:15:40 PM | Message Detail
Now I didn't go through all the pages, but do you think most overestimated Sigma, or underestimated Andross?

Hmm, I think we underestimated Andross to a significant degree, too. I mean we haven't seen Fox in a while, he's had new releases, (not andross primarily, but still starfox itself), so I think he was underestimated.

They always are, yeah, but to a degree of reason. I wouldn't be suprised if we got just a little outside that degree.
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One who knows nothing can understand nothing.
"Revenge is a dish best served cold." - Old Klingon Proverb
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 5/4/2005 7:16:23 PM | Message Detail
It still pains me like no other that Andross is that close to Sigma.

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“If history is to change, let it change. If the world is to be destroyed, so be it. If my fate is to die, I must simply laugh.”
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 5/4/2005 7:16:50 PM | Message Detail
Heh, imagine how much closer it'd be without that link. It wouldn't result in a loss, but Sigma can still be thankful.

Oh yeah? We've seen what the link did for Master Chief.
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Hi,I'm partystar. ^_^
Or maybe I'm Leonhart. That's for you to decide.
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 5/4/2005 7:18:01 PM | Message Detail
And just for the record, Planet Mega Man is the biggest Mega Man website out there.

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“If history is to change, let it change. If the world is to be destroyed, so be it. If my fate is to die, I must simply laugh.”
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 5/4/2005 7:19:01 PM | Message Detail
For what it's worth...

http://www.alexa.com/site/site_stats/signup?site_url=www.gamefaqs.com
+http%3A%2F%2Fplanet-megaman.com%2F+halo.bungie.org&range=1
m&widget=g&style=c&submitted=true&mode=graph&range=3m&amzn_id=

...and from the stunt I pulled at GFA awhile back (heh...heh), I assume MC got about 1,300 votes from his link.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Wily in 2k5
Meanwhile, let's pray I pass my finals.....
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 5/4/2005 7:19:37 PM | Message Detail
I think our estimates for the votes from halo.bungie.org topped out at about 1500, so I think it's safe to say that Sigma would still be winning. However, he should definitely be thankful.
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Proud supporter of Ghaleon, Kefka, Bowser, Ultros, Liquid, Ocelot, and Wily!
From: Tai | Posted: 5/4/2005 7:19:37 PM | Message Detail
Now we KNOW Sigma is overperforming.

Dr. Wily will be overperforming. Oh man, this is getting better and better for Sin.
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From: HaRRicH | Posted: 5/4/2005 7:20:42 PM | Message Detail
To be fair, I think HM said they've always helped Mega Man and Zero too (which would have to include Protoman's one match as well), so it's not really over-rating them.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Wily in 2k5
Meanwhile, let's pray I pass my finals.....
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 5/4/2005 7:23:42 PM | Message Detail
PMM has, in the past, posted links for Mega Man, Zero, and Protoman.

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“If history is to change, let it change. If the world is to be destroyed, so be it. If my fate is to die, I must simply laugh.”
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 5/4/2005 7:23:59 PM | Message Detail
Sigma's percentage and lead since the 12:00 mark.

12:00 - 54.37%, lead of 2679
13:00 - 53.78%, lead of 2651
14:00 - 53.46%, lead of 2760
15:00 - 53.20%, lead of 2843
16:00 - 53.04%, lead of 2979
17:00 - 52.94%, lead of 3119
18:00 - 52.92%, lead of 3302
19:00 - 52.97%, lead of 3548
Currently - 52.97%, lead of 3612
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Hi,I'm partystar. ^_^
Or maybe I'm Leonhart. That's for you to decide.
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 5/4/2005 7:26:59 PM | Message Detail
The match currently has 60989 votes.

Bowser-Pyramid Head at this time had 70153. Bowser by himself had 58962.
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Hi,I'm partystar. ^_^
Or maybe I'm Leonhart. That's for you to decide.
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 5/4/2005 7:28:35 PM | Message Detail
That only gurantees even further that Sigma's gonna be STOMPED if Andross isn't up to nearly Fox's strength.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Wily in 2k5
Meanwhile, let's pray I pass my finals.....
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 5/4/2005 7:30:39 PM | Message Detail
This match might not make the top 25 closest matches, after all. It would have to stay below 3881 to do so, and the lead is currently at 3612.
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Hi,I'm partystar. ^_^
Or maybe I'm Leonhart. That's for you to decide.
From: creativename | Posted: 5/4/2005 7:34:42 PM | Message Detail
...and from the stunt I pulled at GFA awhile back (heh...heh), I assume MC got about 1,300 votes from his link.

What is this in reference to?
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www.SC2K5.com
From: cyko | Posted: 5/4/2005 7:34:53 PM | Message Detail
dude, this guarantees that Sigma's gonna get STOMPED unless Andross is significantly stronger than Fox. i believe the x-stats have Fox scoring 28.32%. man, i personally almost overestimated Sigma as HM. almost.

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VOTE FOR ULTROS!!! G'FHAHAHAHAHA!!!
Trivia XIV: MEATWADD SUCKS!!
From: cyko | Posted: 5/4/2005 7:35:45 PM | Message Detail
that should say i almost overestimated Sigma as much as HM did. >_>

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VOTE FOR ULTROS!!! G'FHAHAHAHAHA!!!
Trivia XIV: MEATWADD SUCKS!!
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 5/4/2005 7:37:32 PM | Message Detail
Fox has been estimated to be at 21%, not 28%, but it's hard to accurately judge him.

I'll explain the GFA reference in the next topic...until then, remember CATS, and, for the love of your god(s) or lack thereof, vote for CATS.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Wily in 2k5
Meanwhile, let's pray I pass my finals.....
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 5/4/2005 7:38:34 PM | Message Detail
Never! All my darkness are return to Ansem!
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Can't keep a good man down, baby!
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 5/4/2005 7:40:34 PM | Message Detail
Well, Sigma sucks, so this really should have been expected.
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But my silent fears have gripped me, long before I reach the phone, long before my tongue has tripped me. Must I always be alone?
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 5/4/2005 7:41:55 PM | Message Detail
Well, a character sucking has never stopped him from being strong in a contest setting.
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Can't keep a good man down, baby!
From: cyko | Posted: 5/4/2005 7:42:36 PM | Message Detail
i meant to say Fox would get 28.32% or so against Bowser. >_>

but that's according to 2K3 stats, so, meh.

even at 21% against Link, Fox would still be expected to get doubled by Bowser.

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VOTE FOR ULTROS!!! G'FHAHAHAHAHA!!!
Trivia XIV: MEATWADD SUCKS!!
From: BIGPUN9999 | Posted: 5/4/2005 7:42:47 PM | Message Detail
*steals*
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True Master of all Fighters and VG characters http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v47/leonardo/Ryu-Wind2.gif
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 5/4/2005 7:42:56 PM | Message Detail
Exactly, look at Squall.

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RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/05
Fighting Illini (37-2): #2 in the nation, #1 in our hearts
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 5/4/2005 7:43:00 PM | Message Detail
http://img152.exs.cx/img152/1528/ocelothandgesture1ya.gif
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Can't keep a good man down, baby!
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