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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 109
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 4/14/2005 6:06:16 PM | Message Detail
*Stats websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k4.com/displaytable.php

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k4.com/extrapolated.php

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Summer 2002 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k4.com/excel/sc2k2_extrapolated.htm

Summer 2003 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k4.com/excel/sc2k3_extrapolated.htm

Spring 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k4.com/excel/spc2k4_extrapolated.htm

SFF Adjusted Spring 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k4.com/excel/spc2k4_extrapolated_sff.htm

Summer 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k4.com/excel/sc2k4_extrapolated.htm

SFF Adjusted Summer 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k4.com/excel/sc2k4_extrapolated_sff.htm

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html

*Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season:
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason2.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason3.htm

Spring 2004 Contest:
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats2.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats3.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats4.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats5.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats6.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats7.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats8.htm

Creativename's Links Page:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

*Miscellaneous*

MMXcalibur's Prophet Sites:
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

Poll Vote Total Updator:
http://sc2k4.com/update.php (add "?pollid=[4-digit poll number]" at the end of url to look at charts from past polls)

Summer 2002 Match Pictures:
http://sc2k4.com/frog/view.php?gid=15
http://sc2k4.com/frog/view.php?gid=15&page=1
http://sc2k4.com/frog/view.php?gid=15&page=2

Summer 2003 Match Pictures:
www.angelfire.com/games5/heroicmario0/contestpictures.htm

Spring 2004 Match Pictures:
http://sc2k4.com/frog/view.php?gid=17
http://sc2k4.com/frog/view.php?gid=17&page=1
http://sc2k4.com/frog/view.php?gid=17&page=2
http://sc2k4.com/frog/view.php?gid=17&page=3

Summer 2004 Match Pictures:
http://sc2k4.com/frog/view.php?gid=18
http://sc2k4.com/frog/view.php?gid=18&page=1
http://sc2k4.com/frog/view.php?gid=18&page=2
http://sc2k4.com/frog/view.php?gid=18&page=3

!yawA tsoP
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
"If my fate is to die, I must simply laugh!" -Magus Zeal
From: Weird Kirby Dude11 | Posted: 4/14/2005 6:10:42 PM | Message Detail
Yay.
---
Weird Kirby Dude ~Board Hunter~ Board 584508
Tanner. The only guy Gordon can call a loser and not sound like a hypocrite. - Slowflake
From: Legendary Vyse | Posted: 4/14/2005 6:11:10 PM | Message Detail
Kuja > Master Hand and Sin
---
"Impossible is a word people use to make themselves feel better when they give up." - Vyse the Legend
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 4/14/2005 6:12:23 PM | Message Detail
Robotnik > Kuja > Master Hand and Sin
---
Proud supporter of Ghaleon, Kefka, Ultros, Liquid, Ocelot, and Wily!
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 4/14/2005 6:12:33 PM | Message Detail
Ridley to the Final Four, yo.

---
No one knows Ridley's origin, yet for some reason everyone in the galaxy fears the name "Ridley."
From: Tediz247 | Posted: 4/14/2005 6:12:33 PM | Message Detail
Ramirez > Sephiroth
---
I'm like a mentally insane girl who keeps running back to her abusive boyfriend. ~ Mars
ZSB [aX]
From: Legendary Vyse | Posted: 4/14/2005 6:13:08 PM | Message Detail
Kuja > Kefka, while we're at it.
---
"Impossible is a word people use to make themselves feel better when they give up." - Vyse the Legend
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 4/14/2005 6:25:01 PM | Message Detail
I will 2nd that.

---
RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/05
Fighting Illini (37-2): #2 in the nation, #1 in our hearts
From: cyko | Posted: 4/15/2005 2:04:28 PM | Message Detail
Kefka >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> the corn in my stools > Kuja

---
VOTE FOR ULTROS!!! G'FHAHAHAHAHA!!!
Trivia XIV: MEATWADD SUCKS!!
From: Leonhart4 | Posted: 4/15/2005 2:05:24 PM | Message Detail
Kuja > Kefka in nearly every area.
---
"It feels as though the raindrops are blessing our victory." - Kuja
"I never trust a Frenchman." - Revolver Ocelot
From: cyko | Posted: 4/15/2005 2:07:28 PM | Message Detail
well, that wasn't contest strength i was talking about. i was referring to my personal opinion. it must be noted, however, that i am quite fond of the corn in my stools.

---
VOTE FOR ULTROS!!! G'FHAHAHAHAHA!!!
Trivia XIV: MEATWADD SUCKS!!
From: XIII is cool | Posted: 4/15/2005 2:10:03 PM | Message Detail
why is everyone doubting kefka so? I know he did badly in the contests, but any halfway intelligent voters will vote differently because it isn't a character contest, it's a VILLAINS contest...right? >_>


i have kefka, ganondorf,sephiroth,bowser. i have ansem beating cats and vergil losing to ghaleon. i mnay change the vergil one.
From: Leonhart4 | Posted: 4/15/2005 2:10:51 PM | Message Detail
but any halfway intelligent voters will vote differently because it isn't a character contest, it's a VILLAINS contest...right? >_>

That's how it SHOULD be, but there's a 95% chance it won't be treated that way.
---
"It feels as though the raindrops are blessing our victory." - Kuja
"I never trust a Frenchman." - Revolver Ocelot
From: plasmabeam | Posted: 4/15/2005 2:25:13 PM | Message Detail
the corn in cyko's stools >>>>>>>> Sephiroth

---
So, is this all part of Alucards plan... Disqualifying himself by not being a villain, Brilliant! - Helba QotD
From: Aprosenf | Posted: 4/15/2005 2:27:04 PM | Message Detail
My favorites bracket (not my actual bracket, I'd have no way in hell of winning):

Bowser
Sigma
Don't care
Ultros

Sephiroth
Don't care
Lavos
Don't care

Kefka
Don't care
M. Bison
Diablo

Ganondorf
Ansem
Dr. Robotnik
Kuja


Bowser
Ultros

Sephiroth
Lavos

Kefka
Diablo

Ganondorf
Dr. Robotnik


Ultros
Sephiroth
Kefka
Ganondorf

Ultros
Kefka

Ultros


Yeah, you heard me right. Uncle Ulty.
---
For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
From: Leonhart4 | Posted: 4/15/2005 2:28:11 PM | Message Detail
Ultros would win if I were doing a least favorites bracket.
---
"It feels as though the raindrops are blessing our victory." - Kuja
"I never trust a Frenchman." - Revolver Ocelot
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 4/15/2005 2:47:22 PM | Message Detail
We'll need this soon.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
"If my fate is to die, I must simply laugh!" -Magus Zeal
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 4/15/2005 2:50:48 PM | Message Detail
Bowser'd win my favorites bracket, personally.
---
Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Wily in 2k5
Meanwhile, sit back and enjoy the contest-hype.
From: Heroic_Cable | Posted: 4/15/2005 2:52:08 PM | Message Detail
Bison would win my favorite's bracket if just for his MSHvSF theme.
---
BANG BANG BANG VIPER BEAM!
From: dethwing | Posted: 4/15/2005 3:10:54 PM | Message Detail
My favorites would be Bowser vs Ganon. Then I'd have to sit and think for a bit.
---
"Eww! What is up with that shirt? Where's the hot looking guy again?" - a girl after seeing his[Vercetti's] pic.
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 4/15/2005 3:12:59 PM | Message Detail
Definitely Ghaleon, Luca, Ultros and Kuja. I have no idea who I would take to win though... Kuja and Luca are just so awesome.

---
RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/05
Fighting Illini (37-2): #2 in the nation, #1 in our hearts
From: Shadowdude II | Posted: 4/15/2005 4:04:35 PM | Message Detail
Slowest 10 posts ever back at Part 108's ending =P
---
"I find your lack of faith disturbing."
- Darth Vader
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 4/15/2005 4:32:03 PM | Message Detail
Ghaleon for the crown!
---
Not to put too fine a point on it, Say I'm the only bee in your bonnet. Make a little birdhouse in your soul.
From: smitelf | Posted: 4/15/2005 4:50:33 PM | Message Detail
My favorites bracket:

Round 1

Bowser
Sigma
Nemesis (actually, I don’t care, but someone’s got to win)
Ultros

Sephiroth
Ghaleon
Mother Brain
Liquid Snake

Kefka
Luca Blight
Albedo
Diablo

Ganondorf
Ansem
Sin
Master Hand


Round 2

Bowser
Ultros

Sephiroth (barely… it’s a hard decision)
Mother Brain

Kefka
Albedo

Ganondorf
Sin


Quarterfinals

Ultros
Sephiroth
Albedo
Sin (tough decision, though)


Semifinals

Sephiroth
Albedo


Finals

Albedo

***POSSIBLE FFX SPOILERS***
*
*
*
*
*
About Sin... I guess I don't think of him as a characterless whale. I judge him by the fact that... well, he was a good villain. He kicked ass for a thousand years. Yeah, I know it was Yu Yevon pulling the strings, but Sin was the visible one. I mean, really, who says that Emperor Palpatine is their favorite villain? My mom has watched the Star Wars movies three times and she still can't remember his name. It's all about Vader, baby. Besides, Sin ~= Jecht, and Jecht wasn't that bad of a villain. It was something different, as far as Final Fantasy games go. The fact that the rest of his division is lame helps, too.
---
Official Queen ***** of the Universe!
From: swirldude | Posted: 4/15/2005 4:59:35 PM | Message Detail
MAH FAVORITES BRACKET!

Round 1

Bowser
Andross
Ocelot
Ultros

Ramirez
Vergil
Mother Brain
Liquid Snake

Kefka
Wesker
M. Bison
Ridley

Ganondorf
CATS
Dr. Robotnik
Master Hand

Round 2

Bowser
Ultros

Ramirez
Mother Brain

Kefka
Ridley

Ganondorf
Master Hand

Round 3

Bowser
Mother Brain
Ridley
Ganondorf

Round 4

Bowser
Ridley

Round 5

Bowser
---
O, flesh, flesh, how art thou fishified! ~Mercutio
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 4/15/2005 5:42:30 PM | Message Detail
My "favorites" bracket would consist of Ridley winning over Ramirez in the finals.

---
No one knows Ridley’s origin, yet for some reason everyone in the galaxy fears the name “Ridley.”
From: Legendary Vyse | Posted: 4/15/2005 5:43:57 PM | Message Detail
From the last topic...

Of course, with KH2 on the way... in 2k6 there's no saying that Tidus beats Auron.

But the characters didn't get boosts solely from being in Kingdom Hearts. They got boosts because people hearing about them for the first time played their games. Otherwise, how in the world could you possibly explain Tidus getting a KH boost, considering he's in the game for all of 5 minutes?
---
"Impossible is a word people use to make themselves feel better when they give up." - Vyse the Legend
From: swirldude | Posted: 4/15/2005 5:45:56 PM | Message Detail
5 minutes of fame yo.
---
O, flesh, flesh, how art thou fishified! ~Mercutio
From: Legendary Vyse | Posted: 4/15/2005 5:47:15 PM | Message Detail
Heh, considering his role in the game, I can't possibly see anyone deciding that they liked Tidus only because of his part in KH. He's your basic tutorial fight.
---
"Impossible is a word people use to make themselves feel better when they give up." - Vyse the Legend
From: swirldude | Posted: 4/15/2005 5:48:12 PM | Message Detail
What are you talking about, I loved Goomba for being the tutorial fight of M&L: Superstar Saga.
---
O, flesh, flesh, how art thou fishified! ~Mercutio
From: Legendary Vyse | Posted: 4/15/2005 5:48:54 PM | Message Detail
Everybody loved Goomba before that. Don't be ridiculous.
---
"Impossible is a word people use to make themselves feel better when they give up." - Vyse the Legend
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 4/15/2005 5:52:42 PM | Message Detail
"But the characters didn't get boosts solely from being in Kingdom Hearts."

that's the key word, and it does imply that they did get boosts from being in KH. Sure, Auron stands to gain less than Squall did, but he stands to gain and that's what matters.
---
Not to put too fine a point on it, Say I'm the only bee in your bonnet. Make a little birdhouse in your soul.
From: futuresuperstar | Posted: 4/15/2005 5:54:13 PM | Message Detail
Wow, the postage.
---
The Author of Metal Gear Solid: Dawn of the Concealed
This Winter ... the S3 has you ...
From: Haste2 | Posted: 4/15/2005 5:54:38 PM | Message Detail
Can't be here all the time...catch up time.

To explain Tidus' increase, I think it was more due to an increase in FF fans...or, maybe Kingdom Hearts caused more people to play FFX. In fact, I'd go with that second part. I think KH would cause more people to play FFX than any other game, as they were both released close to each other.

2k3/2k4: Sonic > Ryu > Ken. In 2k3, Sonic beat Ken by over 40,000...then beat Ryu in 2k4 by almost 9,000 (I believe it was suspected Sonic gained a lil' strength back in 2k4, as a note).

Actually, I think Samus is a better way to compare Ryu and Ken. Sure, Samus and Sonic both faced Ryu and Ken...but Samus faced them both in the same YEAR. I think it's more reasonable to say Ken is 7% away from Ryu, rather than 13% away from him.

As for measuring Auron, Scorpion would theoretically be better to measure from than Tails, but I just can't believe Ness would be on par with the Scorpion of 2002 or 2003...so I think Tails is indeed the better choice.

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: Legendary Vyse | Posted: 4/15/2005 5:54:56 PM | Message Detail
Yes, of course being in Kingdom Hearts helped because it exposed them to a new fanbase that decided to play the games. Otherwise, it'd have never happened.

There won't be a second Kingdom Hearts boost.
---
"Impossible is a word people use to make themselves feel better when they give up." - Vyse the Legend
From: Samurai7 | Posted: 4/15/2005 5:55:50 PM | Message Detail
My favorites bracket

1 Bowser
4 Sigma
3 Revolver Ocelot
2 Dr. Wily

1 Sephiroth
5 Ghaleon
3 Lavos
2 Liquid Snake

1 Kefka
4 Luca Blight
3 Albedo
7 Diablo

1 Ganondorf
5 CATS
3 Dr. Robotnik
7 Master Hand
---
1 Bowser
3 Revolver Ocelot

5 Ghaleon
3 Lavos

1 Kefka
3 Albedo

1 Ganondorf
7 Master Hand
---
3 Revolver Ocelot
5 Ghaleon
3 Albedo
1 Ganondorf
---
5 Ghaleon
3 Albedo
---
...
>.> <.<
Magus
<.< >.>
---
Did you know 86% of all statistics are made up on the spot
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 4/15/2005 5:58:15 PM | Message Detail
"There won't be a second Kingdom Hearts boost."

And how is it that you're so sure of that? Not everybody that will play KH2 did play KH1.
---
Not to put too fine a point on it, Say I'm the only bee in your bonnet. Make a little birdhouse in your soul.
From: Samurai7 | Posted: 4/15/2005 6:01:49 PM | Message Detail
As for the discussion on characters gaining... due to the nature of RPG characters developing over gameplay they tend to leave a longer lasting impression on a person. This means that even characters from RPGs people played years will still get votes from those players. With other genres I think having recent releases is more important. Give Mario 10 years without a game and I'd be he becomes the next Pac-Man. Leave say Kratos perhaps, or a major character from another recently well recieved RPG for 10 years, and he may become the next sephiroth.

Due to this nature, RPG characters will be stronger the longer their games have been out. While non rpg character will gain as the game ages, but then weaken as it actual grows old. This would explain the trend of change in all three Mario vrs. Crono matches, as well as help explain the gains of many RPG characters.
---
Did you know 86% of all statistics are made up on the spot?
From: Samurai7 | Posted: 4/15/2005 6:02:35 PM | Message Detail
I should say my above post is complete theory and I in no way am trying to state that as fact.
---
Did you know 86% of all statistics are made up on the spot?
From: Haste2 | Posted: 4/15/2005 6:03:13 PM | Message Detail
Meh, but as for Auron's improvement, I think KH2 will do little. KH introduced many gamers to FFX, and I think it's a little late for KH2 to do the same. Plus, it'll be difficult to make Auron's image cooler than it already was. :P

Oh, and rank these sets of villains:

Ultros
Lavos
Sin

Andross
Mother Brain
Master Hand

You can rank them all together, if you like.

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 4/15/2005 6:06:35 PM | Message Detail
Sin
Master Hand
Lavos
Andross
Ultros
Mother Brain
---
Proud supporter of Ghaleon, Kefka, Ultros, Liquid, Ocelot, and Wily!
From: Haste2 | Posted: 4/15/2005 6:08:17 PM | Message Detail
I'll say...

Sin
Lavos
Master Hand
Ultros
Mother Brain
Andross

Or something like that.

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: Leonhart4 | Posted: 4/15/2005 6:18:44 PM | Message Detail
And how is it that you're so sure of that? Not everybody that will play KH2 did play KH1.

Then Auron won't get boosted without Tidus because they will gain by people playing Final Fantasy X, not just because of a role in KH.

The fact that Tidus and even Aeris (who didn't do anything worth mentioning in Kingdom Hearts) would get significant boosts suggests that it didn't come from being in Kingdom Hearts, but rather that new fans played their games afterward.

Squall might be a special case, as his role in KH redeemed him in the eyes of some who were already fans of Final Fantasy, which is why he ended up getting the biggest boost. I wouldn't expect Auron's role in KH2 to change any mind's about him since he doesn't look to be doing anything other than being the Auron everyone loved in FFX.
---
"It feels as though the raindrops are blessing our victory." - Kuja
"I never trust a Frenchman." - Revolver Ocelot
From: creativename | Posted: 4/15/2005 6:26:11 PM | Message Detail
The "expanding demographics of awareness" could certainly help Auron. Introducing him to gamers that were not previously familiar with him.
---
In America, men flirt with women. In Shinra Midgar, Don Corneo flirts with YOU!
From: Leonhart4 | Posted: 4/15/2005 6:30:19 PM | Message Detail
Yeah, because they'll play Final Fantasy X, not because of a bit part in Kingdom Hearts II.
---
"It feels as though the raindrops are blessing our victory." - Kuja
"I never trust a Frenchman." - Revolver Ocelot
From: Haste2 | Posted: 4/15/2005 6:40:41 PM | Message Detail
The "expanding demographics of awareness" could certainly help Auron. Introducing him to gamers that were not previously familiar with him.

Let's see...the only way that'll help Auron is the fact that there are gamers that have played the Kingdom Hearts games, but not FFX. I see your point there.

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: Haste2 | Posted: 4/15/2005 6:41:20 PM | Message Detail
Unless Auron has an extremely small role in KH, of course...

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: Leonhart4 | Posted: 4/15/2005 6:41:56 PM | Message Detail
Auron is looking to have a notable role. He's the only truly confirmed FF character yet.
---
"It feels as though the raindrops are blessing our victory." - Kuja
"I never trust a Frenchman." - Revolver Ocelot
From: dethfdddddh | Posted: 4/15/2005 6:43:25 PM | Message Detail
...I heard he fights WITH Sora instead of being an enemy.
---
Volgin is one sexy beast....
From: Leonhart4 | Posted: 4/15/2005 6:45:01 PM | Message Detail
Well, the Coliseum is going to be in KH2 as well. Auron will probably be fightable there.
---
"It feels as though the raindrops are blessing our victory." - Kuja
"I never trust a Frenchman." - Revolver Ocelot
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