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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 108
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 4/15/2005 5:52:08 AM | Message Detail
I don't believe that, Ridely > Diablo > Mother Brain > Metroid.

ok for Diablo we have nothing to go by. For Ridley we have the Hero/Villian Theory, but since we don't know much about Diablo we're still in square one
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From: Tediz247 | Posted: 4/15/2005 6:47:33 AM | Message Detail
Hell yes, the new KOS-MOS bio rocks. That's my second-favorite song in the entire game, next to Albedo's theme. Albedo needs to somehow get a bio on there.
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I'm like a mentally insane girl who keeps running back to her abusive boyfriend. ~ Mars
ZSB [aX]
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 4/15/2005 6:53:54 AM | Message Detail
Are you guys saying it's easier to call Metroid/Diablo than it is Ridley/Diablo?

I'm certainly not goin' to speak for everyone on this...but, yes. It wouldn't be much easier and the winner of Metroid/Diablo would still take the Ruin Division, but when I think of the Metroid series, I actually envision the power-suckin' jellyfish-with-fangs before I think of Mother Brain or Ridley...and I dare say Samus too, but only because the metroids have their name in its title as opposed to Samus (that's a BIG reason why I don't speak for everyone, heh). I don't think it's impossible to think that metroids get at least equal exposure to Ridley and/or Mother Brain as well (Super Metroid excluded, due to me never finishing that game...but even then, a metroid's right on the title screen), and I think they get at least as much focus as Ridley or Mother Brain too (again, excluding SM, though I know Ridley makes an impact right at the beginning). Then for me, personally, those things strike more fear in me than Ridley or MB, and I think they're cooler to boot. I'd also think that any help Diablo would get from having his series named after him would be canceled out due to Metroid being a bigger series and on consoles, though I won't say the metroid would have an advantage 'cuz it's a standard bad-guy.

Yeah, it's weird, but I would feel even more confident about Metroid/Diablo than Ridley/Diablo.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Wily in 2k5
Meanwhile, sit back and enjoy the contest-hype.
From: Tai | Posted: 4/15/2005 7:10:58 AM | Message Detail
From: Just Some Person | Posted: 4/14/2005 5:26:06 PM | Message Detail
How do I become a guru? Do I have to have an active bracket in the contest?


Yeah. Wanna sign up?



Anyways, about Ridley/Diablo, Diablo is being overhyped to be another Starcraft. Get a grip. Ridley wins.

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From: Slowflake | Posted: 4/15/2005 7:38:35 AM | Message Detail
Diablo doesn't have opponents as powerful as Starcraft did though. You'd be nuts to compare Ridley, Bison and Kefka to Halo, WW or SSBM.
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From: swirldude | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:11:20 AM | Message Detail
But when the 1 seed in Ridley and Diablo's division is KEFKA, then strength of opponent doesn't matter. Kefka, Ridley, and Diablo are the three I think can take this division, and depending on the exposure of Ridley or Diablo fans coming to our site on May 8th, that match can decide the division.
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The Xbox has two modes: Off and Halo. Sony has everything else. ~UltimateralizerX
From: Slowflake | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:12:23 AM | Message Detail
Excuse me, but what do Liquid and Tenpenny have to do with these three?

Yeah, I'm being an ass here.
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From: swirldude | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:13:30 AM | Message Detail
.....you know, I wish Bowser/Kefka were having a match...

Ok fine, May 12th.
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The Xbox has two modes: Off and Halo. Sony has everything else. ~UltimateralizerX
From: swirldude | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:15:12 AM | Message Detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
From: swirldude | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:17:56 AM | Message Detail
M. Bison doesn't strike me as someone that those who were not big SF2 fans will know of and possibly vote for. I'd expect Ryu to get similar support from people who have just heard of him from being the lead character in the fabeled Street Fighter series.

Then you have GameFAQs, lovers of RPGs. Albedo not shown early in Xenosaga? I doubt it'll have too much of an affect. Assuming Xenogears got an SFF beatdown from FF7 last spring (which is likely), then Xenogears/saga may have the votebase here to push Albedo through.

And that BOP ratio of Bison to Albedo is insanely high.
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The Xbox has two modes: Off and Halo. Sony has everything else. ~UltimateralizerX
From: Slowflake | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:20:02 AM | Message Detail
You saw that huge cushion Ryu has over KOS-MOS? 25000 votes. Now, I'm sure Albedo is closer to KOS-MOS than Bison is to Ryu, but 25000 votes... jeebus cripes, that's big.
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From: HaRRicH | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:22:12 AM | Message Detail
Too big, I assume. I do think it'll be a respectable match, but I don't see Albedo winning.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Wily in 2k5
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From: swirldude | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:22:41 AM | Message Detail
Something tells me that we'll have less votes on average than last summer.

And using vote margins from previous matches not involving the characters in this match are subject to big flaws. Bison could have a tough fight with Ken methinks, which tips the scales in Albedo's favor. Also, with Xenosaga Ep. 2 out, it's more strength possible for KOS-MOS, and therefore, Albedo.
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The Xbox has two modes: Off and Halo. Sony has everything else. ~UltimateralizerX
From: swirldude | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:23:31 AM | Message Detail
Oh wait...is Albedo the boss in Ep. II? Knowing my luck he isn't...but maybe people will take interest in Ep. II and want to play the first...

>_>
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The Xbox has two modes: Off and Halo. Sony has everything else. ~UltimateralizerX
From: Heroic_Cable | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:25:12 AM | Message Detail
The are more voters in regualr GameFAQS than copies sold of Xenosaga 2.

And Bison's been in a hellva lot more games than Street Fighter II.
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From: DragoonsKill91 | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:25:12 AM | Message Detail
bison will beat albedo, ryu easily beat KOS-MOS, albedo will be worse than KOS-MOS, so even if Bison is weaker, he'll still be stronger than Albedo
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Man I hate signitures. It's impossible to decide what to put here!
From: Slowflake | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:25:34 AM | Message Detail
Bison could have a tough fight with Ken methinks, which tips the scales in Albedo's favor.

But Ken would give KOS-MOS a pretty damn good match. Heck, didn't they both fight Samus and Ken beat KOS-MOS' score by 5 points? Sure, that was before Metroid Prime's boost, but Ken/KOS-MOS is a toss-up. If Bison can give Ken a run for his money and Albedo is visibly lower than KOS-MOS, Albedo's done for.
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SpC2K5 Elite 8
BOWSER, Ocelot, SEPHIROTH, Liquid, KEFKA, Ridley, GANONDORF, Kuja
From: Slowflake | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:26:53 AM | Message Detail
The are more voters in regualr GameFAQS than copies sold of Xenosaga 2.

I'll play the devil's advocate here and mention that Panzer Dragoon Saga had three times as many votes against Goldeneye than copies sold.
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SpC2K5 Elite 8
BOWSER, Ocelot, SEPHIROTH, Liquid, KEFKA, Ridley, GANONDORF, Kuja
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:27:21 AM | Message Detail
If Chun-Li would get 45% on Ken, and Bison would get 45% on Chun-Li, Albedo would need to get 34% on KOS-MOS to be able to beat Bison. I think that's reasonable.
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Proud supporter of Ghaleon, Kefka, Ultros, Liquid, Ocelot, and Wily!
From: cyko | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:27:44 AM | Message Detail
and don't forget that Xenosaga was never released in Europe either. it didn't stop SMRPG against SF2, but every little advantage helps. besides, Albedo doesn't have Mario OR RPG in his name.

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From: HaRRicH | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:28:03 AM | Message Detail
There was a poll not long ago that had Star Fox: Assault being more anticipated than Episode 2, should memory serve me right. Considering the game hasn't made a big splash here and probably wouldn't do that much to help Fox in the summer contest this year (if he makes it at all), I don't think it'll help that much for Albedo's cause.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Wily in 2k5
Meanwhile, sit back and enjoy the contest-hype.
From: swirldude | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:28:33 AM | Message Detail
...wait, what, Ken's that high? Gasp. My arguments always get ruined.

But being surprised that he is that high, perhaps my argument will come full circle, and maybe Ken would beat Bison in a match.

I'm getting desperate, aren't I?
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The Xbox has two modes: Off and Halo. Sony has everything else. ~UltimateralizerX
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:32:27 AM | Message Detail
Heck, didn't they both fight Samus and Ken beat KOS-MOS' score by 5 points? Sure, that was before Metroid Prime's boost, but Ken/KOS-MOS is a toss-up. If Bison can give Ken a run for his money and Albedo is visibly lower than KOS-MOS, Albedo's done for.

Think it was four points, but the point's still made; besides, Samus didn't truly get her Metroid Prime boost until this past year...and I think that was due to something else other than MP since it took so long. So Ken and KOS-MOS are still pretty dang close, no mistake about that.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Wily in 2k5
Meanwhile, sit back and enjoy the contest-hype.
From: cyko | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:33:15 AM | Message Detail
quick check of x-stat values:

2003 -

KOS-MOS - 22.96%
Ken - 21.71%

and i'm guessing that the gap between Ken and Bison will be much closer than the gap between KOS-MOS and Albedo.

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From: cyko | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:35:26 AM | Message Detail
btw- going by those numbers, Ken would be expected to get 47.28% against KOS-MOS. he really isn't that far away from her at all.

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From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:35:28 AM | Message Detail
And KOS-MOS' value in 2k4, through a relatively clean chain-of-extrapolation, is 24.82%. Methinks more people have played XenoSaga.
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Proud supporter of Ghaleon, Kefka, Ultros, Liquid, Ocelot, and Wily!
From: Heroic_Cable | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:36:50 AM | Message Detail
Probably Cloud/Samus overpeformed a bit making that extra 2%.
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From: Slowflake | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:37:15 AM | Message Detail
HaRRicH - Samus went from barely escaping death at the hands of Sonic (SONIC!) to duking it out with the likes of Mario, Crono and Megaman for that 4th place in 2003. The rest is history, but Samus still performed a lot better in 2003 than in 2002.
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SpC2K5 Elite 8
BOWSER, Ocelot, SEPHIROTH, Liquid, KEFKA, Ridley, GANONDORF, Kuja
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:37:37 AM | Message Detail
Why would Samus overperform on Cloud?
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Proud supporter of Ghaleon, Kefka, Ultros, Liquid, Ocelot, and Wily!
From: Heroic_Cable | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:38:49 AM | Message Detail
Probably Square/Nintendo factor, and Cloud overpeformed against Link as well.
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From: Slowflake | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:39:58 AM | Message Detail
My thoughts exactly. Samus can't have overperformed on Cloud, seeing how her first two matches projected her to get over 60% against Cloud, projections based on Sora still had Samus overshoot, and it wasn't until the match with Sonic that the projection became decent.

If anything, Samus had her worst match against Cloud last year.
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SpC2K5 Elite 8
BOWSER, Ocelot, SEPHIROTH, Liquid, KEFKA, Ridley, GANONDORF, Kuja
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:40:19 AM | Message Detail
Heh. Yeah, that Square/Nintendo factor that has reared it's ugly head in all of one matches and makes absolutely no sense. I'm terrified of that one.
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Proud supporter of Ghaleon, Kefka, Ultros, Liquid, Ocelot, and Wily!
From: Slowflake | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:41:04 AM | Message Detail
1. Square/Nintendo factor is BS.

2. Cloud/Link is irrelevant, because we used static Cloud for the rankings, and all the concerned characters were in the bottom half.
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SpC2K5 Elite 8
BOWSER, Ocelot, SEPHIROTH, Liquid, KEFKA, Ridley, GANONDORF, Kuja
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:41:43 AM | Message Detail
to duking it out with the likes of Mario, Crono and Megaman for that 4th place in 2003.

When she was above Mario and Crono in 2k2 >_>
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Or, the Katamari thing. It's like getting high, withought the death part. - Link the Midgit
From: Slowflake | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:42:01 AM | Message Detail
WDF, ever heard of that?
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SpC2K5 Elite 8
BOWSER, Ocelot, SEPHIROTH, Liquid, KEFKA, Ridley, GANONDORF, Kuja
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:42:59 AM | Message Detail
Also consider how close Samus and Mega Man already were in 2002 just by common-opponent Sephiroth. She has a small boost, yes, but it wasn't anything spectacular.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Wily in 2k5
Meanwhile, sit back and enjoy the contest-hype.
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:43:08 AM | Message Detail
When she was above Mario and Crono in 2k2 >_>

Only because of the one match where there arguably was a Square/Nintendo anomaly. Alternately, there was SFF in Link/Mario. Either one works, more or less.
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Proud supporter of Ghaleon, Kefka, Ultros, Liquid, Ocelot, and Wily!
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:43:37 AM | Message Detail
I know >_>
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BtT: 3:43.45 | HRC: 51,246.1 ft OV aaaargh
Or, the Katamari thing. It's like getting high, withought the death part. - Link the Midgit
From: Slowflake | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:44:04 AM | Message Detail
Still, that's rather noticeable. Megaman led Sephiroth for seven hours or so, while all Samus could ride on was the board vote.
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From: Slowflake | Posted: 4/15/2005 9:45:33 AM | Message Detail
Either one works, more or less.

It was WDF, not Link/Mario. Mario/Cloud had an anomaly of its own, namely SMS' release. Alucard and Tails, and by ricochet Auron, can testify to that.
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SpC2K5 Elite 8
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From: HaRRicH | Posted: 4/15/2005 10:37:59 AM | Message Detail
Noticable, yes, but it didn't help all that much considering her game had gotten rave reviews basically everywhere and had won GotY here for MP. To go back to the original point though, seeing how Samus gained two-three points total overall and that Ken did about four points better against Samus 2k2 than KOS-MOS did against Samus 2k3, that puts them basically even. If this is all there is to it, it's all a matter of whether Bison is closer to Ken than Albedo is to KOS-MOS.

Now let's look at Ryu/KOS-MOS again. A 25,000 vote difference is a hell of a lot, like Slow pointed out. However, I got to looking...


2k3/2k4: Sonic > Ryu > Ken. In 2k3, Sonic beat Ken by over 40,000...then beat Ryu in 2k4 by almost 9,000 (I believe it was suspected Sonic gained a lil' strength back in 2k4, as a note).


...so assuming Sonic stayed static, that's 31,000 votes Ken is behind Ryu (if Sonic did gain strength, that makes the difference bigger), or 6,000 behind KOS-MOS if you wanna get very very transitive. You could pull out the question of "Is M. Bison 6,000 votes closer to Ken than Albedo is to KOS-MOS?" and probably give yourself a fit; I know it's getting me thinkin' harder right now, heh.

So...nothing decisive either way; just thought it'd be an interesting view.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Wily in 2k5
Meanwhile, sit back and enjoy the contest-hype.
From: Forceful Dragon | Posted: 4/15/2005 10:42:14 AM | Message Detail
I search guru and find no topics? where would i sign up for this guru challence?

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_.-~'42'~-._
--'nuff said--
From: jonthomson | Posted: 4/15/2005 10:42:40 AM | Message Detail
I see Bison being pretty much round Ken's level. Apart from Ryu for some reason, people who will vote for a SF2 character in a match will likely vote for any of them, regardless of the opponent. I can't see there being mass ranks of diehard Dhalsim fans, for example. Same goes for Mortal Kombat.

yoga yoga yoga
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Jon Thomson - knows nothing
Ridley's Road to Victory - Round 1 vs. (7) Diablo
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 4/15/2005 10:50:42 AM | Message Detail
"Apart from Ryu for some reason, people who will vote for a SF2 character in a match will likely vote for any of them,"

But then you'd tihnk the same for say, Zelda, and Zelda then hsould have been as big as Ganon. Even in fighting games individual characters have their own strength and their own fans. We have several members of board 8 who'd vote for Ken but not Ryu. Knowing so many fighting game fans in my life I can pretty much assure you that unless the casuals are voting purely on what game the characters are from that Bison will in no way be as strong as Ken. I can name half a dozen SF2 characters that'd beat Bison in an actual contest match, he isn't that popular and it's rather amazing that he made it (I fear Ceej may have forgotten the existance of SFA/CvS2 and called Akuma ineligible)
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Not to put too fine a point on it, Say I'm the only bee in your bonnet. Make a little birdhouse in your soul.
From: Forceful Dragon | Posted: 4/15/2005 10:53:52 AM | Message Detail
oh, duh >_>


Guru List.

01 - UltimateralizerX
02 - Team Rocket Elite
03 - MasterMage119
04 - HaRRicH
05 - Haste2
06 - RPGuy96
07 - H4L187
08 - cyko
09 - Robazoid
10 - Janus5000
11 - DomaDragoon
12 - Mithrandir1331
13 - Nightmare 45
14 - Starion
15 - King Morgoth
16 - Fiop
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24 - nh82
25 - Shake
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27 - Rufus Shinra 18
28 - charmander6000
29 - Sephirot1
30 - Tediz247
31 - ExThaNemesis
32 - Kuge
33 - SwanMocker
34 - JonthePenguin
35 - ChocoCid
36 - Ngamer
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38 - ExquisiteSamurai
39 - Young Boy
40 - Kaxon
41 - Shdwdde
42 - Garsha
43 - FFDragon
44 - Steinershocker
45 - Sir Bormun
46 - swirldude
47 - Heroic Mario
48 - Weird Kirby Dude11
49 - arkenaga
50 - Taslion
51 - perdevious
52 - Meche313
53 - Mumei
54 - MegatokyoED
55 - Z1mZum
56 - RamzaB
57 - nifboy
58 - Paratroopa1
59 - A Hogasm IN POG FORM
60 - greatone10
61 - VicPez
62 - Samurai7
63 - Master Moltar
64 - Yesmar
65 - RPGGamer0
66 - Zylo the wolf
67 - Fantusta
68 - Mac Arrowny
69 - ChichiriMuyo
70 - Redtooth
71 - Blade X
72 - TheCalmness
73 - Qwaar
74 - Tai
75 - Lieutenant Kettch
76 - Neoatomtaco
77 - ScorpionX3
78 - Fett0001
79 - neonreaper
80 - zMega64
81 - Smurf
82 - Aprosenf
83 - Buzzup
84 - mrbird99
85 - octoinky
86 - irriadin
87 - dethwing
88 - Steve Illumina
89 - Cavemanbob
90 - The Wise Tonberry
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92 - Heroic Viktor (tnote827)
93 - PugTheNinja
94 - Ringworm
95 - Silverflame
96 - ImSoBlazed
97 - Andaca
98 - Tjian
99 - MacrosTheBlack
100 - Forceful Dragon

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_.-~'42'~-._
--'nuff said--
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 4/15/2005 10:58:04 AM | Message Detail
One huuuuundeerededededededed!!!!
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Not to put too fine a point on it, Say I'm the only bee in your bonnet. Make a little birdhouse in your soul.
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 4/15/2005 10:58:50 AM | Message Detail
As hilarious as it would be to see a regular Metroid in this contest, I wouldn't have minded it. I'm a Metroid freak.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
"If my fate is to die, I must simply laugh!" -Magus Zeal
From: Forceful Dragon | Posted: 4/15/2005 11:00:21 AM | Message Detail
Yeah, it'd be even funnier if Ceej used the NES picture of a metroid.

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_.-~'42'~-._
--'nuff said--
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 4/15/2005 11:25:27 AM | Message Detail
After Ryu, I see most SF2 characters being around Ken's range, give or take a lil' bit. I wouldn't figure M. Bison (or most of the rest of the cast) would be above or below 5% of him if they were to have their values compared (head-to-head, there'd be SFF I'm not about to try to account for). That'd put most of SF2's cast on par with or better than Scorpion, who most of this board assumes to be the second-strongest MK character...

...a Ken/Sub-Zero match would be interesting right about now.
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Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Wily in 2k5
Meanwhile, sit back and enjoy the contest-hype.
From: Leonhart4 | Posted: 4/15/2005 11:34:59 AM | Message Detail
If you're looking at Scorpion's 2004 number, it's messed up, thanks to Sephiroth-Auron SFF. Scorpion would be projected to beat Ken around 56-44.

Bison is nowhere near the top of the ladder in the SF rankings. He's got Ryu, Ken, Akuma, and Chun-Li at the least before he lands anywhere.
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"It feels as though the raindrops are blessing our victory." - Kuja
"I never trust a Frenchman." - Revolver Ocelot
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