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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 104
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 4/4/2005 9:44:42 PM | Message Detail
Just in case 103 fills up before I'm done all my classes tomorrow (which it will), here you go.

*Stats websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k4.com/displaytable.php

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k4.com/extrapolated.php

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Summer 2002 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k4.com/excel/sc2k2_extrapolated.htm

Summer 2003 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k4.com/excel/sc2k3_extrapolated.htm

Spring 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k4.com/excel/spc2k4_extrapolated.htm

SFF Adjusted Spring 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k4.com/excel/spc2k4_extrapolated_sff.htm

Summer 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k4.com/excel/sc2k4_extrapolated.htm

SFF Adjusted Summer 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k4.com/excel/sc2k4_extrapolated_sff.htm

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html

*Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season:
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason2.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason3.htm

Spring 2004 Contest:
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats2.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats3.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats4.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats5.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats6.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats7.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats8.htm

Creativename's Links Page:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

*Miscellaneous*

MMXcalibur's Prophet Sites:
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

Poll Vote Total Updator:
http://sc2k4.com/update.php (add "?pollid=[4-digit poll number]" at the end of url to look at charts from past polls)

Summer 2002 Match Pictures:
http://sc2k4.com/frog/view.php?gid=15
http://sc2k4.com/frog/view.php?gid=15&page=1
http://sc2k4.com/frog/view.php?gid=15&page=2

Summer 2003 Match Pictures:
www.angelfire.com/games5/heroicmario0/contestpictures.htm

Spring 2004 Match Pictures:
http://sc2k4.com/frog/view.php?gid=17
http://sc2k4.com/frog/view.php?gid=17&page=1
http://sc2k4.com/frog/view.php?gid=17&page=2
http://sc2k4.com/frog/view.php?gid=17&page=3

Summer 2004 Match Pictures:
http://sc2k4.com/frog/view.php?gid=18
http://sc2k4.com/frog/view.php?gid=18&page=1
http://sc2k4.com/frog/view.php?gid=18&page=2
http://sc2k4.com/frog/view.php?gid=18&page=3

!yawA tsoP
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
"If my fate is to die, I must simply laugh!" -Magus Zeal
From: arkenaga | Posted: 4/4/2005 9:45:07 PM | Message Detail
Post!
---
Knowledge is Power. Power Corrupts.
We have to believe in free will. We have no choice.
From: Nightmare 45 | Posted: 4/4/2005 9:45:12 PM | Message Detail
NEW CONTEST *****!
---
Not changing sig until I get more Love Hina (Started 12/22/04)
The Red9, the gun of real men.
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 4/4/2005 9:45:33 PM | Message Detail
CONTEST!
---
"My name is Guybrush Threepwood. Prepare to die!"
From: Leonhart4 | Posted: 4/4/2005 9:45:59 PM | Message Detail
*drools*
---
SC2K5 Nominations: Squall Leonhart, Tidus, Zidane, Serge, Musashi, Tifa Lockheart, Leon Kennedy, Kerrigan, Revolver Ocelot, Lloyd Irving
From: cyko | Posted: 4/4/2005 9:47:36 PM | Message Detail
that just made my whole ****ing week.

i'm feeling giddy!

---
"Reinforcements? I am the reinforcements." - Ashley Riot
Trivia XIV: MEATWADD SUCKS!!
From: kaonashi1 | Posted: 4/4/2005 9:48:27 PM | Message Detail
I'm posting here now because I'm happy. I might talk more once the brackets have been released.
From: Leonhart4 | Posted: 4/4/2005 9:48:32 PM | Message Detail
So how long do you think it'll be before this baby starts? CJayC said it's a Spring Contest, so we can't wait too long.

Do you think it might not even be a 64 villain contest? Like maybe a 32 villain Spring Contest and a 32 hero Summer Contest?
---
SC2K5 Nominations: Squall Leonhart, Tidus, Zidane, Serge, Musashi, Tifa Lockheart, Leon Kennedy, Kerrigan, Revolver Ocelot, Lloyd Irving
From: kaonashi1 | Posted: 4/4/2005 9:49:38 PM | Message Detail
Interesting speculation, and quite possible, in my opinion. I say the contest will start on May 1st.
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 4/4/2005 9:49:47 PM | Message Detail
I'm having a hard time thinking of 64 villains, so I would guess it's a 32 villain contest. Dunno about the summer, though...maybe we'll get games?
---
"My name is Guybrush Threepwood. Prepare to die!"
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 4/4/2005 9:49:53 PM | Message Detail
It very well COULD be 32; this will be a month late, and 64 villains will be more obscure than 64 characters...but it'll probably go as normal, and then launch the Summer Contest the same time as he did last year.
---
Serious Reminder: Nominate Arbiter in 2k5
Serious Reminder: Nominate Dr. Wily in 2k5, too
From: Leonhart4 | Posted: 4/4/2005 9:50:37 PM | Message Detail
It'd be hard to launch the Summer Contest at the same time as last year considering the Spring Contest had already started by now last year.
---
SC2K5 Nominations: Squall Leonhart, Tidus, Zidane, Serge, Musashi, Tifa Lockheart, Leon Kennedy, Kerrigan, Revolver Ocelot, Lloyd Irving
From: cyko | Posted: 4/4/2005 9:50:47 PM | Message Detail
that's very possible, Leon. Ceej has to start this by May 1st, otherwise it's not much of a Spring Contest. and making it a Spring Contest instead of a Summer Contest implies that there will also be a Summer Contest following this one, so two shorter contests is also a possibility.

---
"Reinforcements? I am the reinforcements." - Ashley Riot
Trivia XIV: MEATWADD SUCKS!!
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 4/4/2005 9:51:47 PM | Message Detail
Yeah, but last year he took a month off inbetween. If he doesn't do that this year, he can do it.
---
Serious Reminder: Nominate Arbiter in 2k5
Serious Reminder: Nominate Dr. Wily in 2k5, too
From: Ex2 DstylezAdvanced | Posted: 4/4/2005 9:51:58 PM | Message Detail
We all know Sephiroth will be in the finals, but who will he go up against? Bowser perhaps?
---
Cloud: As long as you exist, I can't wake from this nightmare. You are my darkness. Sephiroth: If that's so, I shall draw you into the darkness...
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 4/4/2005 9:52:07 PM | Message Detail
I doubt it'd be 32 villains. Besides, the summer isn't until near the end of June. If this thing starts on May 1st, the majority of the contest is still in the spring.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
"If my fate is to die, I must simply laugh!" -Magus Zeal
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 4/4/2005 9:54:05 PM | Message Detail
I'm posting my noms here for good measure.

Meta-Knight - Kirby series
De Loco - Skies of Arcadia
Bowser - Super Mario Bros.
Reno - Final Fantasy VII
Ultros - Final Fantasy VI
Gilgamesh - Final Fantasy V
Belleza - Skies of Arcadia
Ridley - Metroid
Illidan Stormrage - Warcraft III
CATS - Zero Wing (Just because.)
---
BtT: 3:43.45 | HRC: 51,246.1 ft OV aaaargh
Or, the Katamari thing. It's like getting high, withought the death part. - Link the Midgit
From: LordOfDabu | Posted: 4/4/2005 10:08:04 PM | Message Detail
I'm so happy that I'm not going to be the only one nominating Illidan Stormrage. I thought it was going to be a wasted nomination.
---
"What the ancients called a clever fighter is one who not only wins, but excels in winning with ease." -- The Art of War
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 4/4/2005 10:09:04 PM | Message Detail
Nuts. I kinda forgot about Illidan and Arthas.
---
"My name is Guybrush Threepwood. Prepare to die!"
From: kaonashi1 | Posted: 4/4/2005 10:10:53 PM | Message Detail
I'm curious-- how will CJayC prevent some obvious spoilers from appearing on the bracket? For example, if Arthas did make it in, wouldn't his appearance on the bracket be a spoiler for Warcraft 3: RoC?
From: Phediuk | Posted: 4/4/2005 10:16:50 PM | Message Detail
Well, I think we can safely assume that Sephiroth's got this one in the bag. Here's the standings for all the villains (by Ceej's definition) from previous contests.

3 Sephiroth 45,47% 45,47% 49,71% 43,35%
10 Ganondorf 34,72% 34,72% 34,72%
16 Liquid Snake 32,10% 32,10%
19 Bowser 30,97% 30,97% 30,97%
38 Wario 24,07% 24,07%
40 Donkey Kong 23,55% 23,55% 25,34% 13,51%
43 Kefka 22,75% 22,75% 16,08%
57 Protoman 19,21% 19,21%
81 Luca 13,25% 13,25%
85 CATS 13,05% 13,05% 13,52% 13,30%
101 Kane 10,08% 10,08%
104 Mr. Resetti (>_>) 8,52% 8,52%

Seriously, the other guys may as well not even try. The contest is over before it's even begun.
---
"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
From: LordOfDabu | Posted: 4/4/2005 10:18:27 PM | Message Detail
Unfortunately, there's no real practical way to prevent spoilers. However, in the case of Arthas, the box art for the expansion Frozen Throne more or less gives it away anyway.

Other characters I plan on nominating that I'd like to see in but probably won't make it:

Star Wolf
King K Rool
Meta Knight
Id
---
"What the ancients called a clever fighter is one who not only wins, but excels in winning with ease." -- The Art of War
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 4/4/2005 10:19:00 PM | Message Detail
...and I forgot about Star Wolf.
---
BtT: 3:43.45 | HRC: 51,246.1 ft OV aaaargh
Or, the Katamari thing. It's like getting high, withought the death part. - Link the Midgit
From: MegatokyoEd | Posted: 4/4/2005 10:19:40 PM | Message Detail
I think Meta Knight has a chance if enough of this board nominates him.
From: cyko | Posted: 4/4/2005 10:20:54 PM | Message Detail

38 Wario 24,07% 24,07%


XD

Wario makes it to the Elite Eight!!

---
"Reinforcements? I am the reinforcements." - Ashley Riot
Trivia XIV: MEATWADD SUCKS!!
From: Leonhart4 | Posted: 4/4/2005 10:22:28 PM | Message Detail
Forgot about Star Wolf and Leon Powalski.
---
SC2K5 Nominations: Squall Leonhart, Tidus, Zidane, Serge, Musashi, Tifa Lockheart, Leon Kennedy, Kerrigan, Revolver Ocelot, Lloyd Irving
From: Haste2 | Posted: 4/4/2005 10:26:09 PM | Message Detail
We shouldn't automatically assume Id wouldn't make it. After all, Xenogears made it into the Game Contest, so, a nomination for Id wouldn't be a waste. I think MetaKnight could have a chance, too, depending on the number of characters in the contest.

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 4/4/2005 10:34:59 PM | Message Detail
Star Wolf would be suh-weet.
---
Serious Reminder: Nominate Arbiter in 2k5
Serious Reminder: Nominate Dr. Wily in 2k5, too
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 4/4/2005 10:38:29 PM | Message Detail
I am hoping Meta-Knight gets in, as he was the first on my nomination list.
---
BtT: 3:43.45 | HRC: 51,246.1 ft OV aaaargh
Or, the Katamari thing. It's like getting high, withought the death part. - Link the Midgit
From: LordOfDabu | Posted: 4/4/2005 10:42:00 PM | Message Detail
Illidan was the first on my list, and if anyone has a spot open they should definitely use it for him. ;)

Looks alone should justify his nomination:
http://images.google.com/images?q=illidan

Or maybe I'm alone in thinking that he looks really cool. >.<
---
"What the ancients called a clever fighter is one who not only wins, but excels in winning with ease." -- The Art of War
From: Mister Mario | Posted: 4/4/2005 10:43:51 PM | Message Detail
Bowser is so coming second!
---
______ _______ prayed.
Giygas took 9999999 damage!
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 4/4/2005 10:45:42 PM | Message Detail
Only if Ganondorf really is weaker than CATS.
---
BtT: 3:43.45 | HRC: 51,246.1 ft OV aaaargh
Or, the Katamari thing. It's like getting high, withought the death part. - Link the Midgit
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 4/5/2005 8:55:16 AM | Message Detail
Ganon > Bowser. Bet on it.
---
Serious Reminder: Nominate Arbiter in 2k5
Serious Reminder: Nominate Dr. Wily in 2k5, too
From: raytan7585 | Posted: 4/5/2005 8:57:13 AM | Message Detail
Kefka > all villain.

---
FFVI says "A Love Between Human and Esper".
From: Legendary Vyse | Posted: 4/5/2005 9:18:20 AM | Message Detail
Ganon > Bowser. Bet on it.

I wouldn't call it a lock myself.
---
"Impossible is a word people use to make themselves feel better when they give up." - Vyse the Legend
From: whoisthisPers0n | Posted: 4/5/2005 9:19:33 AM | Message Detail
I am so nominating Mike Tyson for being the bad guy in Punchout!
From: TRE Public Account | Posted: 4/5/2005 11:28:59 AM | Message Detail
We need this now. Also for the first time, we are tied in topic count with the HRC topic on the SSBM board.
---
"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 4/5/2005 11:29:51 AM | Message Detail
We're going to absolutely fly past HRC in the upcoming weeks.

Guru Contest List:

1 - UltimaterializerX
2 - Team Rocket Elite
3 - MasterMage119
4 - Haste2
5 - HaRRicH
6 - RPGuy96
7- H4L187
8- cyko
9- Janus5000
10-Robazoid
11-Mithrandir1331
12-Nightmare45
13- King Morgoth
14- Fiop
15- yoblazer33
16- Phediuk
17 - FastFalcon05
18- imdapartystar
19 - smitelf
20 - jonthomson
21 - Mister Mario
22 - nh82
23 - Shake
24- stepintothearena
25 - Rufus Shinra 18
26 - charmander6000
27 - DomaDragoon
28 - Sephirot1
29 - Tediz247
30 - ExThaNemesis
31 - SwanMocker19412943
32 - JonthePenguin
33- ChocoCid
34- Ngamer
35 - Zylo the Wolf
36 - CaptainFlufflez
37 - ExquisiteSamurai
38 - Young Boy

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
"If my fate is to die, I must simply laugh!" -Magus Zeal
From: silverkiller | Posted: 4/5/2005 11:30:01 AM | Message Detail
this board got floooded'mario style last night.
---
"When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious ****" - Doc
SilverKiller: Unpopular on GF since '02
From: Who Cares? | Posted: 4/5/2005 11:32:45 AM | Message Detail
*tag*
---
My nominations -- Bowser, Dr. Wily, Dr. Robotnik, M. Bison, Akuma, Ramirez, Piastol, Jedah, open, open
From: JonthePenguin | Posted: 4/5/2005 11:35:03 AM | Message Detail
No kidding. Mass "Nominate so-and-so" combined with mass "Who did YOU nominate" topics.

---
Nominate Walter from Castlevania: Lament of Innocence for Spring Contest 2005!
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=19412943
From: FFDragon | Posted: 4/5/2005 11:38:16 AM | Message Detail
So basically all the hard work and extrapolateds for the previous contests do us little good.

Except of course for telling us what we already know: Sephiroth wins.
---
Undisputed Board 8 World Champion
Insomnia is like having immortality, except you're gonna die. ~PepsiPlunge
From: Sir Bormun | Posted: 4/5/2005 11:39:58 AM | Message Detail
Somebody update me, I haven't been here since last night. What's up? New contest?
---
There is no looking back. There is nothing left for losers, so I must fight on. - Kratos Aurion
?????????????
From: JonthePenguin | Posted: 4/5/2005 11:40:30 AM | Message Detail
Sounds about right. Lots of fresh meat for the number crunchers with heroes gone.
---
Nominate Walter from Castlevania: Lament of Innocence for Spring Contest 2005!
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=19412943
From: TRE Public Account | Posted: 4/5/2005 11:43:25 AM | Message Detail
New contest.
CJayC topic:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=20244128

Nominations:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/contest/contest_nominate.php
---
"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
From: Kaxon | Posted: 4/5/2005 11:48:39 AM | Message Detail
Last time I didn't join this thing since I picked Mega Man, but I may as well do it this time...

1 - UltimaterializerX
2 - Team Rocket Elite
3 - MasterMage119
4 - Haste2
5 - HaRRicH
6 - RPGuy96
7- H4L187
8- cyko
9- Janus5000
10-Robazoid
11-Mithrandir1331
12-Nightmare45
13- King Morgoth
14- Fiop
15- yoblazer33
16- Phediuk
17 - FastFalcon05
18- imdapartystar
19 - smitelf
20 - jonthomson
21 - Mister Mario
22 - nh82
23 - Shake
24- stepintothearena
25 - Rufus Shinra 18
26 - charmander6000
27 - DomaDragoon
28 - Sephirot1
29 - Tediz247
30 - ExThaNemesis
31 - SwanMocker19412943
32 - JonthePenguin
33- ChocoCid
34- Ngamer
35 - Zylo the Wolf
36 - CaptainFlufflez
37 - ExquisiteSamurai
38 - Young Boy
39 - Kaxon
---
Nominate Ultros for the Spring Contest! Uwee hee hee!
From: Shadowdude II | Posted: 4/5/2005 11:50:46 AM | Message Detail
1 - UltimaterializerX
2 - Team Rocket Elite
3 - MasterMage119
4 - Haste2
5 - HaRRicH
6 - RPGuy96
7- H4L187
8- cyko
9- Janus5000
10-Robazoid
11-Mithrandir1331
12-Nightmare45
13- King Morgoth
14- Fiop
15- yoblazer33
16- Phediuk
17 - FastFalcon05
18- imdapartystar
19 - smitelf
20 - jonthomson
21 - Mister Mario
22 - nh82
23 - Shake
24- stepintothearena
25 - Rufus Shinra 18
26 - charmander6000
27 - DomaDragoon
28 - Sephirot1
29 - Tediz247
30 - ExThaNemesis
31 - SwanMocker19412943
32 - JonthePenguin
33- ChocoCid
34- Ngamer
35 - Zylo the Wolf
36 - CaptainFlufflez
37 - ExquisiteSamurai
38 - Young Boy
39 - Kaxon
40 - Shdwdde
---
"I find your lack of faith disturbing."
- Darth Vader
From: Garsha | Posted: 4/5/2005 11:51:23 AM | Message Detail
1 - UltimaterializerX
2 - Team Rocket Elite
3 - MasterMage119
4 - Haste2
5 - HaRRicH
6 - RPGuy96
7- H4L187
8- cyko
9- Janus5000
10-Robazoid
11-Mithrandir1331
12-Nightmare45
13- King Morgoth
14- Fiop
15- yoblazer33
16- Phediuk
17 - FastFalcon05
18- imdapartystar
19 - smitelf
20 - jonthomson
21 - Mister Mario
22 - nh82
23 - Shake
24- stepintothearena
25 - Rufus Shinra 18
26 - charmander6000
27 - DomaDragoon
28 - Sephirot1
29 - Tediz247
30 - ExThaNemesis
31 - SwanMocker19412943
32 - JonthePenguin
33- ChocoCid
34- Ngamer
35 - Zylo the Wolf
36 - CaptainFlufflez
37 - ExquisiteSamurai
38 - Young Boy
39 - Kaxon
40 - Shdwdde
41 - Garsha
---
Please look at my Winter Contest 2004/2005 Analysis Fanfiction:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=20235407
From: FFDragon | Posted: 4/5/2005 11:54:03 AM | Message Detail
1 - UltimaterializerX
2 - Team Rocket Elite
3 - MasterMage119
4 - Haste2
5 - HaRRicH
6 - RPGuy96
7- H4L187
8- cyko
9- Janus5000
10-Robazoid
11-Mithrandir1331
12-Nightmare45
13- King Morgoth
14- Fiop
15- yoblazer33
16- Phediuk
17 - FastFalcon05
18- imdapartystar
19 - smitelf
20 - jonthomson
21 - Mister Mario
22 - nh82
23 - Shake
24- stepintothearena
25 - Rufus Shinra 18
26 - charmander6000
27 - DomaDragoon
28 - Sephirot1
29 - Tediz247
30 - ExThaNemesis
31 - SwanMocker19412943
32 - JonthePenguin
33- ChocoCid
34- Ngamer
35 - Zylo the Wolf
36 - CaptainFlufflez
37 - ExquisiteSamurai
38 - Young Boy
39 - Kaxon
40 - Shdwdde
41 - Garsha
42 - FFDragon
---
Undisputed Board 8 World Champion
Insomnia is like having immortality, except you're gonna die. ~PepsiPlunge
From: Shadowdude II | Posted: 4/5/2005 12:00:45 PM | Message Detail
Incidentally, I have five nominations so far.

Kefka, Ocelot, Big Boss, Solidus Snake, and King K.Rool.
---
"I find your lack of faith disturbing."
- Darth Vader
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