1 - UltimaterializerX
2 - MasterMage119
3 - Mumei
4 - Leonhart4
5 - RPGuy96
6 - cyko
7 - DomaDragoon
8 - outback
9 - Slowflake
10 - fett0001
11 - Master Moltar
12 - goku z
13 - CaptainFlufflez
14 - JonPen1416
15 - Eternal Neo
16 - Awesome Possom
17 - Team Rocket Elite
18 - Mariner
19 - King Morgoth
20 - Haste2
21 - arkenaga
22 - Janus5000
23 - HaRRicH
24 - nifboy
25 - Ludwig Von 2
26 - TheGreatMaster
27 - Heroic Mario
28 - Link Jr
29 - NewLib
30 - blackapino1984
31 - tnote827
32 - Young Boy
33 - MegatokyoED
34 - kaonashi1
35 - FastFalcon05
36 - Slangedter41
37 - BeTheMan
38 - Mister Mario
39 - irriadin
40 - Lucid Faia
41 - Fantusta
42 - charmander6000
43- Phediuk
44 - LuniNutz99
45 - perdevious
46 - Ngamer
47 - Heroic Hentai Fanboy/DtK
48 - Funkadelict
49 - Sephirot1
50 - ps2rulezzz
51 - yoblazer33
---
Reggie: Kicking ass and taking names since E3 2004.
*creator of Clinkeroth*
My final adjusted extrapolateds (for now. :-P)
Link - 50.00%
Cloud - 48.18%
Sephiroth - 42.76%
Samus Aran - 39.50%
Crono - 37.18%
Mario - 34.77%
Mega Man - 34.29%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 33.56%
Zero - 30.67%
Ryu - 29.84%
Magus - 29.42%
Solid Snake - 29.36%
Ganondorf - 29.07%
Auron - 28.89%
Frog - 28.54%
Master Chief - 28.54%
Liquid Snake - 28.51%
Squall Leonhart - 27.23%
Sora - 26.98%
Vivi - 26.71%
Bowser - 25.92%
Dante - 25.49%
Alucard - 24.91%
Kirby - 24.50%
Tidus - 24.15%%
Knuckles the Echidna - 23.76%
Shadow the Hedgehog - 23.76%
Yoshi - 23.55%
Tommy Vercetti - 23.41%
Donkey Kong - 23.25%
KOS-MOS - 22.60%
Luigi - 22.13%
Miles "Tails" Prower - 21.72%
Ryu Hayabusa - 20.66%
Jill Valentine - 20.65%
Scorpion - 20.31%
Kefka - 20.22%
Ness - 20.20%
Viewtiful Joe - 19.63%
Bomberman - 19.19%
Duke Nukem - 19.09%
HK-47 - 18.59%
Jak - 18.14%
Vyse - 17.91%
Max Payne - 17.81%
Protoman - 17.50%
Kain - 17.33%
Crash Bandicoot - 16.71%
Conker - 16.37%
Sam Fisher - 15.03%
Pac-Man - 14.28%
Laharl - 14.25%
Lara Croft - 13.91%
Gordon Freeman - 13.39%
Terry Bogard - 12.86%
CATS - 12.17%
Earthworm Jim - 11.67%
Sly Cooper - 11.66%
JC Denton - 11.45%
Luca Blight - 11.16%
Ryo Hazuki - 11.12%
Ratchet - 10.17%
Guybrush Threepwood - 8.82%
Tanner - 3.35%
I
think I might run a comparison chart of RPGuy96's figures and mine at
some point (if that's okay with him)...and then maybe average the
figures together to see what that turns out like.
---
ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO CATS
So this list is to help make the next bracket, oh I'm so in...
1 - UltimaterializerX
2 - MasterMage119
3 - Mumei
4 - Leonhart4
5 - RPGuy96
6 - cyko
7 - DomaDragoon
8 - outback
9 - Slowflake
10 - fett0001
11 - Master Moltar
12 - goku z
13 - CaptainFlufflez
14 - JonPen1416
15 - Eternal Neo
16 - Awesome Possom
17 - Team Rocket Elite
18 - Mariner
19 - King Morgoth
20 - Haste2
21 - arkenaga
22 - Janus5000
23 - HaRRicH
24 - nifboy
25 - Ludwig Von 2
26 - TheGreatMaster
27 - Heroic Mario
28 - Link Jr
29 - NewLib
30 - blackapino1984
31 - tnote827
32 - Young Boy
33 - MegatokyoED
34 - kaonashi1
35 - FastFalcon05
36 - Slangedter41
37 - BeTheMan
38 - Mister Mario
39 - irriadin
40 - Lucid Faia
41 - Fantusta
42 - charmander6000
43- Phediuk
44 - LuniNutz99
45 - perdevious
46 - Ngamer
47 - Heroic Hentai Fanboy/DtK
48 - Funkadelict
49 - Sephirot1
50 - ps2rulezzz
51 - yoblazer33
52 - Who Cares?
Random thought: Better than 1 in 3 brackets had Link? Wow. Curious as to how many had Cloud. Bet it was something close to that.
I
was wondering - does anyone think that some of the so-called casual
brackets might've bought into the whole "anti-champion" idea and
therefore assume that Link would win this year? I just think it is
unusually high, considering how many people have absolutely no clue
what went on in past years:
There are so many misconceptions
about Mario vs. Crono last year - someone believed that Mario had made
up 1000 votes in 10 minutes. I saw someone else earlier who believed
that Sonic was ahead by about 700 votes until the last 15 minutes and
all of sudden Samus was ahead.
Where the hell do these people get these ideas?
---
M-me? Queen ***** of the Universe?
This is the happiest day of my life. ~ smitelf
I may not post all that much here, but I've read every single post in here since I arrived on teh board.
1 - UltimaterializerX
2 - MasterMage119
3 - Mumei
4 - Leonhart4
5 - RPGuy96
6 - cyko
7 - DomaDragoon
8 - outback
9 - Slowflake
10 - fett0001
11 - Master Moltar
12 - goku z
13 - CaptainFlufflez
14 - JonPen1416
15 - Eternal Neo
16 - Awesome Possom
17 - Team Rocket Elite
18 - Mariner
19 - King Morgoth
20 - Haste2
21 - arkenaga
22 - Janus5000
23 - HaRRicH
24 - nifboy
25 - Ludwig Von 2
26 - TheGreatMaster
27 - Heroic Mario
28 - Link Jr
29 - NewLib
30 - blackapino1984
31 - tnote827
32 - Young Boy
33 - MegatokyoED
34 - kaonashi1
35 - FastFalcon05
36 - Slangedter41
37 - BeTheMan
38 - Mister Mario
39 - irriadin
40 - Lucid Faia
41 - Fantusta
42 - charmander6000
43- Phediuk
44 - LuniNutz99
45 - perdevious
46 - Ngamer
47 - Heroic Hentai Fanboy/DtK
48 - Funkadelict
49 - Sephirot1
50 - ps2rulezzz
51 - yoblazer33
52 - Who Cares?
53 - Steinershocker
---
Because you don't know doesn't mean I don't know. - Heroic Mario
Lettuce Kefka > all
Well 31.28% had someone in the other half winning and I'm just guessing, but I say that around 20%-25% had Cloud winning
---
Summer 2004 Contest 181/192
Congates to Nifboy, the guru winner, who had to PWN me just to get there
Well 31.28% had someone in the other half winning and I'm just guessing, but I say that around 20%-25% had Cloud winning
Which is low, really, considering he was the returning champion.
---
I am teh suxx0rz. PWN'D by a n00b.
~courtesy of mr wednesday
I think that Link's trailer turned a few heads and even in a poll before the contest Link was the winner there
---
Summer 2004 Contest 181/192
Congates to Nifboy, the guru winner, who had to PWN me just to get there
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1685
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1558
Link
#1's percentages aren't dead-on, but I think they give a decent idea of
how things went. Link #2 showed the dominance FF7 had and a lack of
support for LoZ:OoT (or any other 2-seed or lower). Both of these took
place before their respective contests started.
Do polls like these make the contests more predictable?!
---
I am teh suxx0rz. PWN'D by a n00b.
~courtesy of mr wednesday
For all the people who claim to read every stats topic, I find it
amusing that people are still signing that list despite me mentioning
at least three times that I've sent the e-mail already.
---
I
am little more than a slug among the food chain that is Board 8, but
perhaps if I were as cool as nifboy, that would not be the case.
Congrats, nifboy! =)
For all the people who claim to read every stats topic, I find it
amusing that people are still signing that list despite me mentioning
at least three times that I've sent the e-mail already.
Heh. Are you writing up your PCA as you get time to do it, or did you have some of the early matches written up beforehand?
---
M-me? Queen ***** of the Universe?
This is the happiest day of my life. ~ smitelf
Those polls matter little. Halo was ahead of SMB3 in the spring, after all.
Interesting
stat: Link is the only character to win the contest after appearing on
top of the bracket. Mario, Link (2003), and Super Mario Brothers 3 all
failed in their efforts.
Yes, they should be constantly running 28.64% 6462
Sure, they're always fun 34.23% 7724
Maybe, but I'm getting tired of the character battle 26.38% 5951
No, they're old, do something new 10.75% 2426
TOTAL VOTES 22563
I'm
glad the first and second options recovered. The first three options
were dead even when I went to sleep last night, and though the third
option holds merit, it's the direct result of a bad contest this
bracket, not because the contest has become stale. We could easily come
up with a bracket that would restore the glory days of 2002 to us once
more if given the chance.
---
I am little more than a slug among
the food chain that is Board 8, but perhaps if I were as cool as
nifboy, that would not be the case. Congrats, nifboy! =)
I'm going to the bathroom, and then I'm going to do nothing but write all day. Be right back :)
---
I
am little more than a slug among the food chain that is Board 8, but
perhaps if I were as cool as nifboy, that would not be the case.
Congrats, nifboy! =)
Does anyone think it is possible to have improved voting next year? I
assume that having a good bracket would help with that in and of
itself, because good, close matches almost always seem to draw votes...
Still amazed by that 124,000 vote match yesterday, after so many matches failed to break 80,000. O.o
---
M-me? Queen ***** of the Universe?
This is the happiest day of my life. ~ smitelf
For all the people who claim to read every stats topic, I find it
amusing that people are still signing that list despite me mentioning
at least three times that I've sent the e-mail already.
Oops,
my bad! I didn't see those posts, I just noticed the list in the later
pages. Haven't been around this topic in a loooooong time!
I'm going to the bathroom, and then I'm going to do nothing but write all day. Be right back :)
Thank you. ^.^
And yes, I know I'm being an impatient bastard, but I can't wait. ;_;
---
M-me? Queen ***** of the Universe?
This is the happiest day of my life. ~ smitelf
I find it amusing that people are still signing that list despite me
mentioning at least three times that I've sent the e-mail already.
I think it is important to have a list so we can know who wants to be invited if the idea continues and Ceej allows it.
---
Hi
BeTheMan, how exactly did you calculate your rankings for
Magus/Ganondorf/Bowser? I might do my own version, but yours looks
pretty good.
Some
people are taking 2k3's result like it is the Bible of Summer Contest
Stats. I already stated my reasons why I'm skeptical. Can someone do me
a favor though?
What would Ganondorf's extrapolated ranking
percentage be if we used his performance on Alucard this year for 2k3
Alucard? Who would he fall between?
---
"There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
I think it is important to have a list so we can know who wants to be invited if the idea continues and Ceej allows it.
Sorry, been busy the past few days, could someone tell me what the big list is all about?
---
***Married to UltimaterializerX on 5/21/04***
Official Queen ***** of the Universe!
Ulti has E-Mailed CJayC. We want a private board to create next year's bracket.
---
Number 50 in the SC2K4!
For all the people who claim to read every stats topic, I find it
amusing that people are still signing that list despite me mentioning
at least three times that I've sent the e-mail already.
Well,
I read the last topic, and as soon as I came into this one I just
posted then went back and read teh rest of this topic >_<
---
Because you don't know doesn't mean I don't know. - Heroic Mario
Lettuce Kefka > all
I think I might run a comparison chart of RPGuy96's figures and mine
at some point (if that's okay with him)...and then maybe average the
figures together to see what that turns out like.
That is fine by me. I'm making a final adjusted XS topic as well as explanations for how I adjusted in a minute, so use those.
---
"We ask for your strength...Thee who fear'eth the night and stand 'gainst the darkness." ~ Frog
And people still don't know how to read
posts. Assuming CJayC actually goes along with all of this, which is a
rather large longshot in and of itself, we'll have an invite-only board
to ourselves. The list in this topic doesn't matter anymore, because we
can always add people to the board later. I've already e-mailed a list
to Ceej, so adding more names to it doesn't do anything but take up
space. I'm not sending him another list, because all it would do is
activate the spam filter and ensure that none of my e-mail is seen by
human eyes.
---
I am little more than a slug among the food chain
that is Board 8, but perhaps if I were as cool as nifboy, that would
not be the case. Congrats, nifboy! =)
RPGuy: don't bother adjusting for Yoshi/Luigi. The 2003 stats predicted this one almost to perfection.
---
Brother. Sister. Remote. Sex. Ninjas. By your powers combined, I am Captain Incest! -Stealth Snake Zero
*still waiting on someone to answer on where Ganondorf would rank in 2003 if we used this year's result against 2k3 Alucard*
<_<
---
"There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
RPGuy: don't bother adjusting for Yoshi/Luigi. The 2003 stats predicted this one almost to perfection.
Adjusting
for Luigi doesn't change much at all, which is good. It proves there
was little/no SFF in that match. I'll throw it in anyway, though.
*still waiting on someone to answer on where Ganondorf would rank in 2003 if we used this year's result against 2k3 Alucard*
Alucard is underrated in the 2k3 XS. He's not a good base.
And I threw up a topic that explains just about everything related to my XS right here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=16685183
---
"We ask for your strength...Thee who fear'eth the night and stand 'gainst the darkness." ~ Frog
I know it might be to late, but can I add myself to the list?
---
Sora and Andel both defeated me in the Summer Contest. My Ps2 collection: Kingdom Hearts.
therealmnm -
A) I'm not entirely sold on
the SC2K3 figures either. I want to try to make a revised copy of those
sometime during the offseason.
B) As far as my methods of doing up the extrapolateds for the three of them went, I'll use Ganondorf as an example:
Ganondorf's base figure for this year: 12.10
Ganondorf's base figure for last year: 34.72
Difference: 22.62
I
gave Ganondorf full credit on the 22.62% figure for sharing an
identical fanbase to Link, plus an 11.31% bonus (half of the above
figure) for suffering from the hero/villain crisis.
Taking all of those numbers into account, I crunch his figures in relation to Link like so:
50% (Link's figure) * (.2420 (Ganon's base for this year) + .2262 (the difference from 03-04) + .1131 (the bonus credit))
This factors out to 50.00% * (.5813) = 29.065%, which I round up to 29.07%
---
ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO CATS
I posted this in RPGuy96's topic so I might as well post it here also:
*Sigh* I have to type this all out again because the computer crashed.
Here are my justifications for why the characters in this contest changed the way they did, using some theories of my own.
First
off, I would like to define "hardcore casual" since it is a pet theory
of mine that I use multiple times in this post. Here is a description
from an archives stats topic:
Anyway, I have a theory about the
new voting trends in this contest. I was thinking about it and I said
to myself, "Self, why is it that some cultish characters like Alucard
and Kefka* overperform whereas others like CATS, Ryo, and Guybrush
stayed roughly the same? It certainly can't be related to any company
ties because Auron increased while Tidus stayed the same."
And
then it came to me. When we talk about cultish characters we talk about
Luca, Laharl, Alucard and Ness as if they are all peas in the same pod,
when they are not.
Say there was some random casual gamer that
wanted to try to become "hardcore." They would have much easier access
to say Earthbound and Symphony of the Night than they would Suikoden II
and Monkey Island. I think that the increase of visitors that we
experienced last year combined with the change in the placement of the
poll has given us a rise in power of this group of people who I dub
"hardcore casuals."
I'm not trying to say that these people are
being posers or are being fake, I'm just trying to say that these
people try to play the cultish games that are famous for well, being
cultish and are readily available unlike Suikoden II. They would also
tend to vote more with the unconventional characters in a game, ala the
"fan-favorites" which could be the reason for Kefka and Auron's rises
in popularity.
Anyway, that's my theory and I'm not entirely sure how it will play out in future matches, but...
1
Sora 10.14-- SFF in his match with Aeris last year. It does strike me
as odd that SFF in that match would be so extreme, but that is the
result that makes sense.
2 Kefka 8.74-- SFF in his match with
Crono, plus the poll placement might have helped make this an honest to
goodness increase, although I doubt it.
3 Ness 8.15--An increase in the influence of "hardcore casuals" which I define above.
4
Master Chief 7.83-- Bungie.net 's plea for votes probably boostes
Master Chief's score somewhat, but part of this honestly probably is an
increase from Halo 2 hype.
5 Samus Aran 6.3-- SFF in her match
with Link last year. Also, probably did increase some due to the new
poll-placement which I think favors Nintendo if anyone.
6 Tails 4.5--Was on the end of two anomalies in both 2002 and 2003. Also, could have gotten an increase from Sonic Heroes
7
Bomberman 3.63-- Is partly reversing his mysterious drop from last
year, but is also benefiting from what I mention with Kirby below.
8 Link 3.41-- Poll placement favors Nintendo, plus hype for Zelda XI.
9 Crono 3.29-- The new poll placement favors old-school Square more than New-School Square, IMO
10 Duke Nukem 3.28-- Duke Milkem. 'Nuff said.
11 Auron 2.96-- SFF in his match against Cloud last year.
12
Kirby 2.88-- This is not an actual increase. Squall was adjusted too
much against Cloud, since I think that Squall actually dropped in
popularity. If so, this takes away Kirby's gain.
---
"All this time I thought I was following Sephiroth, I was really being summoned by him."--Cloud Strife
13 Alucard 2.87-- More stuff from the "hardcore casuals"
14 Max Payne 2.74-- New game.
15 Ryu 2.73-- "Hardcore casuals," plus a new game, although I hardly ever hear anyone talking about it.
16 Sonic the Hedgehog 2.54-- A new multiplatform game will do this for ya.
17 KOS-MOS 2.44-- Umm. . .I'm not entirely sure. I would say "Hardcore casual" but would Xenosaga really fit that definition.
18 Crash Bandicoot 1.77-- MC's overperformance due to Bungie.net trickles down to Crash.
19-37:
All are gains and losses of no real extremes, so there's not much to
analyze. However, it should be of note that Pac-Man stayed the same
while it appears as if Kefka increased due to SFF against Crono last
year, which is an anomaly. Also, I find it a little odd that Knuckles
would stay the same while Sonic and Tails increased.
38 Gordon Freeman -1.5--No new game for years, plus I actually think there is less Half-Life 2 hype this year than last year.
39 Ratchet -2.37-- Umm. . .lack of casual support? I don't really have much.
40
Sephiroth -2.6-- A lack of casual voters leads to a lack of "New-School
Square" Support which is the largest faction on this very RPG-dominated
web site.
41 Jill Valentine -3.55-- No new games for a while
42
Solid Snake -3.74--I have got no explanation for this one. I like think
that Snake's a character who has a fairly large fanbase among both
"casual" and "hardcore" gamers, so this drop surprises me.
43 Scorpion -3.87-- No new games for a while
44
Sam Fisher -9.25-- This is ****ing weird. I could understand Sam
dropping from a lack of casual support, but by this much?? A little
extreme, to say the least.
45 Tidus -9.25-- A lack of new-school Square support. Although, once again extreme.
46
Shadow -9.86-- A huge overperformance last year due to Mario anti-votes
and and the fact that the match was a psuedo- Mario Vs. Sonic.
47
Lara Croft -9.92-- I have got no ****ing clue for this one either. Yeah
you got lack of casual votes, but this is just bizarre. Maybe there was
girl SFF in her match with Samus, but Zelda wasn't strong enough
herself to pull it off last year.
Anomalies:
KOS-MOS (Only if there was no "hardcore casual" support for her)
Pac-Man
Ratchet
Sora*
Sam*
Tidus*
Shadow* (Depending on the circumstances of his match last year)
Lara*
*There are logical reasons for these characters' increases and decreases but the results are on the extreme side.
---
"All this time I thought I was following Sephiroth, I was really being summoned by him."--Cloud Strife
34 Protoman 21.69
35 Kefka 20.72
40 Ness 19.73
42 Duke Nukem 19.09
43 HK-47 18.59
44 Kain 18.38
45 Vyse 17.91
46 Jak 17.73
47 Max Payne 17.60
48 Crash B. 17.13
49 Conker 16.37
50 Sam Fisher 15.03
51 Pac Man 14.47
52 Laharl 14.25
53 Lara Croft 13.91
54 Gordon F. 13.40
55 Terry Bogard 12.86
56 CATS 12.71
57 Luca Blight 12.06
58 E. Jim 11.97
59 Ryo Hazuki 11.63
60 Sly Cooper 11.56
61 JC Denton 11.45
62 Ratchet 10.05
63 Guybrush T. 9.60
64 Tanner 3.43
I
think these 26 chars need to go, they're either too weak to deserve
another chance (Duke Nukem and below) or their space is better suited
for another char from the same company.
What do you guys think?
---
<In the process of looking for a new sig.>
Ulti, I expect to be your first invite should Ceej have hit the buttershots just before reading your email.
Really, you people need to not do stuff when I'm gone. Pisses me off terribly.
---
I was gang-pwned by Link and his supporters in the guru contest. Congrats to nifboy, ps2rulezzz, and Hogasm.
Heh, alright, this is what I got from splicing my stats with RPGuy's.
Not sure exactly what I think of them, but...whatever. :-P
1) Link - 50.00%
2) Cloud Strife - 48.18%
3) Sephiroth - 42.58%
4) Samus Aran - 39.50%
5) Crono - 37.18%
6) Mario - 34.77%
7) Mega Man - 34.72%
8) Sonic the Hedgehog - 33.57%
9) Magus - 30.62%
10) Zero - 30.49%
11) Ganondorf - 30.35%
12) Ryu - 29.85%
13) Solid Snake - 29.73%
14) Frog - 28.90%
15) Master Chief - 28.90%
16) Liquid Snake - 28.87%
17) Auron - 28.56%
18) Squall Leonhart - 28.06%
19) Bowser - 27.07%
20) Sora - 26.98%
21) Vivi - 26.61%
22) Alucard - 26.00%
23) Dante - 25.49%
24) Kirby - 25.25%
25) Tidus - 24.46%
26) Yoshi - 24.09%
27) Shadow - 24.06%
28) Knuckles - 24.06%
29) Tommy Vercetti - 23.27%
30) Donkey Kong - 23.16%
31) KOS-MOS - 22.61%
32) Luigi - 22.18%
33) Tails - 21.72%
34) Ryu Hayabusa - 20.66%
35) Jill Valentine - 20.65%
36) Kefka - 20.47%
37) Scorpion - 20.08%
38) Ness - 19.97%
39) Bomberman - 19.78%
40) Viewtiful Joe - 19.63%
41) Protoman - 19.60%
42) Duke Nukem - 19.09%
43) HK-47 - 18.59%
44) Jak - 17.94%
45) Vyse - 17.91%
46) Kain - 17.86%
47) Max Payne - 17.71%
48) Crash Bandicoot - 16.92%
49) Conker - 16.37%
50) Sam Fisher - 15.03%
51) Pac-Man - 14.38%
52) Laharl - 14.25%
53) Lara Croft - 13.91%
54) Gordon Freeman - 13.40%
55) Terry Bogard - 12.86%
56) CATS - 12.44%
57) Earthworm Jim - 11.82%
58) Luca Blight - 11.66%
59) Sly Cooper - 11.61%
60) JC Denton - 11.45%
61) Ryo Hazuki - 11.38%
62) Ratchet - 10.11%
63) Guybrush Threepwood - 9.21%
64) Tanner - 3.39%
---
ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO CATS
Are you against it Chichiri, or just upset you weren't part of the
initial push? If it is the latter, I apologize, because I was going to
just throw yours, creativename and mmxcalibur's names on the list
because of the obvious nature of yall's inclusion into the construction
of the bracket. I didn't because by the time I actually thought about
doing this, Ulti had already sent it out to CJayC and the point was
moot.
---
nifboy kicked ass and took names, including my own in SC2k4
that'll never happen, i'm sure of it.
if he were to do something along these lines, i'd suggest he have all the champions/tied champions collaborate...
"contest champions" board, anyone?
the winner of 2k2, 2k3, ulti, kirin, the 2k4 winners...
that makes more sense to me at least.
---
"I AM THE BLACK MAGE! I CASTS THE MAGIC SPELLS THAT MAKES THE PEOPLES FALL DOWN!" RPGE777:ChocoCid
And why is everyone so damn quick to revert Magus and Ganondorf back to
last year's form, but leave Tidus toiling away in obscurity? I find it
very, very hard to accept standings that throws out the window the
proven fact that Tidus got 49% on Ganondorf, who got 49% on Magus. Last
year, sure, but don't tell me he dropped off the face of the planet in
one year, when he actually played a role in a new game between that one
year. And remember the rule of thumb: terrible, horrific publicity is
still better than no publicity.
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nifboy kicked ass and took names, including my own in SC2k4
I find it very, very hard to accept standings that throws out the
window the proven fact that Gandondorf got 49% on Magus, who got 34% on
Link.
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"We ask for your strength...Thee who fear'eth the night and stand 'gainst the darkness." ~ Frog
Last year, sure, but don't tell me he dropped off the face of the
planet in one year, when he actually played a role in a new game
between that one year. And remember the rule of thumb: terrible,
horrific publicity is still better than no publicity.
Ganon ride the Zelda bandwagon, if Link goes up, so should he, at least to somewhat lesser extent.
Unlike Ganon and co., neither Tidus nor Shadow suffered any SFF this year, so their standings are legit.
Besides, if you actually played FF X-2, you'll know why Tidus didn't benefit from it at all.
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<In the process of looking for a new sig.>
That doesn't change the fact that Tidus is a good 5%+ lower than Magus
and Ganondorf in the SFF-adjusted XS. Don't get me wrong, I admire each
and every one of you who put in the time to hammer out these things. I
would never do that, both for lack of time and lack of desire. I am
merely expressing my inability to swallow said statistics.
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nifboy kicked ass and took names, including my own in SC2k4
Well, I have a feeling that Leonhart may be right after all and Tidus
simply collapsed against Mega Man, vastly underrating himself and
Shadow. I can't prove that, though, so I'm not sticking it in my stats.
Hopefully Tidus and Shadow will end up in close matches next year to
add to the unpredictability of the bracket.
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"We ask for your strength...Thee who fear'eth the night and stand 'gainst the darkness." ~ Frog
As a matter of fact I put in about 120 hours into FFX-2. How many
people can say that who vote on GameFAQs? Not many. And that is my
point. The marketing and overview of the game makes you believe Tidus
will play an integral role in the game. Unless you actually take the
time and play through it, you are left with that misconception.
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nifboy kicked ass and took names, including my own in SC2k4
eh, there's yearly fluctuations and a margin of error.
how much of a margin of error would you say?
something like 1% for every intermediate step in calculation?
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"I AM THE BLACK MAGE! I CASTS THE MAGIC SPELLS THAT MAKES THE PEOPLES FALL DOWN!" RPGE777:ChocoCid
That doesn't change the fact that Tidus is a good 5%+ lower than
Magus and Ganondorf in the SFF-adjusted XS. Don't get me wrong, I
admire each and every one of you who put in the time to hammer out
these things. I would never do that, both for lack of time and lack of
desire. I am merely expressing my inability to swallow said statistics.
As many has said before, Ganon and Magus has a legit reason to underperform.
They were SFF'd to hell and back by a stronger char. from the same game.
That's not true for Tidus, there's obviously NO SFF between him and MM, so his drop is indeed real.
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<In the process of looking for a new sig.>
*sigh* I already said that an overperformance by Magus against Link due
to the Square voter increase would account for all of this. I don't see
why it would be hard to believe that a voter increase to an RPG
dominated site would benefit RPG characters. Tidus underperformed this
year against Mega Man. Ganondorf underperformed against Alucard right?
Magus is the only one who we can't gauge correctly this year due to his
match against Crono. But I think all signs point to a Magus/Link
overperformance. Doesn't Crono's better performance against Link than
Mega Man raise ANY eyebrows to Magus's performance against Link last
year?
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"There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
Wouldn't it logically follow that, because Crono increased relative to
Mario this year, Magus should have also increased relative to Mario? If
anything, I believe that Magus is a touch underrated in my stats.
Ganondorf
was unlucky enough to face one of the 5 returning characters from a
half division of characters that all overperformed, and nearly all
showed pure gains even against an increased Link.
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"We ask for your strength...Thee who fear'eth the night and stand 'gainst the darkness." ~ Frog
...or we could bring back the ole Mega Man got SFFed by Link from a
couple topics ago. Though I think it best we don't. Tidus dropping 5%
for no reason whatsoever is real? Not an attorney in the world who
could convince me of that. Shadow dropping makes sense, because I
believe in Mario anti-votes. Tidus has no reason to fall that far from
Ganondorf and Magus, not where we physically saw how he performed
against the former, who we physically saw perform against the latter.
And
there is no reason out there that accounts for those two moving that
far ahead of Tidus, whether it be Spring Contest CT love, or Zelda
LXVII hype, or whatever number we are on now.
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nifboy kicked ass and took names, including my own in SC2k4
My stats are adjusted for a 20XXDF (Mega Man got SFF'd by Link), by the way. The drop is much worse without it.
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"We ask for your strength...Thee who fear'eth the night and stand 'gainst the darkness." ~ Frog
Wow. Still can't say I buy it, but it will make an interesting water
cooler discussion topic come SC2k5. Here is to hoping CJayC... or us =)
matches Tidus up against one of those characters between himself and
Ganondorf.
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nifboy kicked ass and took names, including my own in SC2k4
Tell me then, tnote, why do you think Tidus crumbles against MM?
SFF? Can't be.
Fluctuation? To big to be one.
Margin of error? Again, too big for mere margin of error.
MM increasing?
After seeing his underperformance against Link, I don't buy that at all.
Simply put, there's absolutely NO reason for Tidus to underperform by that much without an actual drop.
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<In the process of looking for a new sig.>
A completely unadjusted Tidus gets 22.82% on Link. Shadow is at 22.45%.
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"We ask for your strength...Thee who fear'eth the night and stand 'gainst the darkness." ~ Frog