You asked about WDF, JP? The number that matches up with the 2k3 XS
the most is 38.57% for Sephiroth. That puts Seph, Samus, Sonic, Mega
Man, Mario, Crono, and Cloud all within nearly 2% of each other in the
2k2 XS.
Cool. Good to see it all worked out. Thanks. ^.^
Jonpen... You just read my mind.. Your opinion is exactly the same as mine..
Nice to see not all Cloud support has fled this topic, Cloud supporters make me happy, eh Leonhart?
---
Man
is equally incapable of seeing the nothingness from which he emerges
and the infinity in which he is engulfed. -Blaise Pascal
The unadjusted divisional x-stats unite to form this re-seeded bracket.
Take note of some of the rematches, interesting 2nd and 3rd round
matches, and in particular, the 6-11 match in the Midgar division.
Hyrule
(1)Link vs (16)Guybrush Threepwood
(8)Conker vs (9)CATS
(5)Bowser vs (12)Pac-Man
(4)Magus vs (13)Alucard
(6)Yoshi vs (11)JC Denton
(3)Mario vs (14)Ryo Hazuki
(7)Luigi vs (10)Ganondorf
(2)Crono vs (15)Luca Blight
20XX
(1)Megaman vs (16)Tanner
(8)Shadow the Hedgehog vs (9)Knuckles the Echidna
(5)Master Chief vs (12)Max Payne
(4)Frog vs (13)Protoman
(6)Liquid Snake vs (11)Kefka
(3)Solid Snake vs (14)Crash Bandicoot
(7)Tidus vs (10)Tommy Vercetti
(2)Zero vs (15)Earthworm Jim
Midgar
(1)Cloud Strife vs (16)Sly Cooper
(8)Scorpion vs (9)Ness
(5)Squall Leonhart vs (12)Jak
(4)Vivi vs (13)Bomberman
(6)Donkey Kong vs (11)Vyse
(3)Auron vs (14)Kain
(7)Kirby vs (10)Duke Nukem
(2)Sephiroth vs (15)Laharl
Chaos
(1)Samus vs (16)Ratchet
(8)Ryu Hayabusa vs (9)Jill Valentine
(5)Dante vs (12)Sam Fisher
(4)Sora vs (13)Lara Croft
(6)KOS-MOS vs (11)HK-47
(3)Ryu (SF) vs (14)Gordon Freeman
(7)Tails vs (10)Viewtiful Joe
(2)Sonic vs (15)Terry Bogard
---
I'm safe until the next toss-up match, which is Bowser vs. Guybrush. ~SuperLuigiBros
3. Sonic has outranked MEGAMAN and snake, thus basically saying that
MM and snake should be removed from the noblenine (now if you saw this
coming please stand up).
Sonic hasn't outranked the Blue Bomber yet. If Cloud goes to far under 47% tomorrow, Mega Man comes out on top.
---
"We ask for your strength...Thee who fear'eth the night and stand 'gainst the darkness." ~ Frog
Sonic hasn't outranked the Blue Bomber yet. If Cloud goes to far under 47% tomorrow, Mega Man comes out on top.
Well if that happens i'll eat my words. However I severly doubt cloud won't easily break 47%.
---
We should stop importing foreign oil. We should just get it from Mexico! George W. Bush
I really don’t think that’s going to happen.
All signs point to Link taking tomorrow without any trouble from Cloud.
Even if it does, then Cloud shouldn’t fall to 55%.
He might not fall to 55%, but I never expect him to finish with above 47% of the vote.
Who are you going to vote for, anyway?
Link.
Link vs CATS – CATS is fading in popularity.
Actually,
he hasn't budged in popularity from looking at how dominate Link was in
other matches. Much like in 2003 the first match against CATS told the
tale of Cloud's [Link] domination throughout the contest.
For the record he overperformed by 1.35% of his own projection and 0.93% of Cloud's percentage last year.
Link vs Ganon – SFF
Massive.
Link vs Yoshi – SFF
Big, but not quite as massive.
Link
vs Crono – Bleh. I dunno what to say, other then Cloud could probably
do the same thing to him. Of course Cloud will have SFF, but whatever .
. .
Exactly. Link completely exceed expectations against
Crono while Cloud would have to benefit from SFF to do that well, or
better.
Link vs Mega Man – Regardless of what you think, Mega
Man didn’t impress me all that much this year. He failed to get SFF on
Zero, when Zero got it on Protoman. He did get 65% on Tidus, but I
think that’s a fluke.
He got 83% on Earthworm Jim, got 65%
on Tidus, got 56% on Zero, and finally proceeded to beat Solid Snake
with 57% (4% more than last year). There's nothing unimpressive about
that run right there. It may not be championship material, but it
certainly isn't unimpressive by any means whatsoever.
Well then prepare to be shocked.
I would say your the one who needs to prepare heading into this match, heh.
What
conclusion did we ever come to about WDF? Did we ever come to one?
Because of such a thing exists then this argument here is a waste of
time anyway.
WDF had two major things happening in them. The
first being that Sephiroth overperformed greatly in his match against
Link while the other is that everyone in the West Division fell in the
coming year. Both of them make absolutely zero sense.
If it
doesn’t then maybe I did give Mega Man too little credit (not that he
could get WDF anyway, obviously) but a 52-48 lead is strong enough for
me to give to someone like Sonic or Mega Man who don’t come out with
new games capable of being highly praised.
Sonic and Mega
Man are incapable of getting new games that come out with priase? They
are perfectly capable of doing that. Besides Mega Man was the 50-50
match and Sonic/Samus were the 52-48 matchups.
How well has MMAC been selling lately, anyway?
It sold 300,000 copies by the end of August and we'll be getting NPD numbers here in a week or so for September.
Samus does have MP 2, but at the same time I highly doubt that many people will buy it who haven't played MP,
That's
totally wrong. If anything Metroid Prime was able to generate some fans
and get people into Samus again from not having her in the 32/64-bit
era. Now that word has caught on about how good Metroid Prime is the
second one shouldn't have a problem selling even better than the first.
They both were released in November too so sales would be easy to
compare.
---
Crypptic completely owned me and showed me the light. Solid Snake is indeed the Best. Character. Ever.
and considering how popular MP already is I doubt all that many
people will like Samus very much more then they already do just because
of it. I don't know very much about the game, but I assume it's pretty
much going to be much of the same Samus, no?
If characters
such as Mega Man, Mario, Link, etc. can all increase from games there's
no reason at all you can hold back Samus and say "Well, no one's going
to change their mind." Quite honestly, why would we even discuss new
games? Every game imaginable call fall under exactly what you just
discussed. Although the main problem with that argument is she doesn't
need a 12% boost in order for her to beat someone like Sephiroth or do
better on Cloud. Metroid Prime 2 should boost her up at least
to 45% on Cloud next year. Besides, she does have another big game
releasing on the Nintendo DS--actually being packaged with the handheld
upon release.
---
Crypptic completely owned me and showed me the light. Solid Snake is indeed the Best. Character. Ever.
Cloud Strife 58.68% 46943
Samus Aran 41.32% 33057
TOTAL VOTES 80000
Uber. :-)
---
Fourth topic of the [This message was deleted by a GameFAQs moderator] petition. http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=16397550 (1217 Signs!)
(6)Liquid Snake vs (11)Kefka
(3)Solid Snake vs (14)Crash Bandicoot
SETUP'D
---
BtT: 3:48.46 | HRC: 51,246.1 ft OV aaaargh
I keep getting sig'd for the weirdest things lately - StW
Since when has Sonic been ahead of Mega Man?
Do
you really think Mario, Crono, Mega Man, AND Snake, 4 of the original
Noble Nine in the top half of the bracket, ALL dropped in popularity?
---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
I sound too sharp sometimes. *inserts =P in message*
---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 10/2/2004 7:52:14 PM | Message Detail
(6)Liquid Snake vs (11)Kefka
(3)Solid Snake vs (14)Crash Bandicoot
Someone replied to my brackets? Impossible! I thought no one cared.
---
I'm safe until the next toss-up match, which is Bowser vs. Guybrush. ~SuperLuigiBros
It's interesting... this one's more interesting.
(7)Tails vs (10)Viewtiful Joe
(2)Sonic vs (15)Terry Bogard
DOUBLE DEJAVU + SFF'D
---
BtT: 3:48.46 | HRC: 51,246.1 ft OV aaaargh
I keep getting sig'd for the weirdest things lately - StW
Actually, he hasn't budged in popularity from looking at how
dominate Link was in other matches. Much like in 2003 the first match
against CATS told the tale of Cloud's [Link] domination throughout the
contest.
For the record he overperformed by 1.35% of his own projection and 0.93% of Cloud's percentage last year.
Chichiri
brought up the idea that CATS is losing popularity. He’s not getting
the same amount of board love as he supposedly used to (not that I know
first hand, but I trust him), and CATS needs board support to get him
in the contest and to give him any amount of votes at all.
WDF
had two major things happening in them. The first being that Sephiroth
overperformed greatly in his match against Link while the other is that
everyone in the West Division fell in the coming year. Both of them
make absolutely zero sense.
Good, I never liked WDF.
Sonic
and Mega Man are incapable of getting new games that come out with
priase? They are perfectly capable of doing that. Besides Mega Man was
the 50-50 match and Sonic/Samus were the 52-48 matchups.
Sure they could, but they haven’t yet.
It sold 300,000 copies by the end of August and we'll be getting NPD numbers here in a week or so for September.
I
don’t know much about this kinda stuff, but is that good? How would
that compare to say, Metroid Prime, or Sonic Heroes or FFX/FF X-2?
That's
totally wrong. If anything Metroid Prime was able to generate some fans
and get people into Samus again from not having her in the 32/64-bit
era. Now that word has caught on about how good Metroid Prime is the
second one shouldn't have a problem selling even better than the first.
They both were released in November too so sales would be easy to
compare.
If characters such as Mega Man, Mario, Link, etc. can
all increase from games there's no reason at all you can hold back
Samus and say "Well, no one's going to change their mind." Quite
honestly, why would we even discuss new games? Every game imaginable
call fall under exactly what you just discussed. Although the main
problem with that argument is she doesn't need a 12% boost in order for
her to beat someone like Sephiroth or do better on Cloud. Metroid Prime
2 should boost her up at least to 45% on Cloud next year. Besides, she
does have another big game releasing on the Nintendo DS--actually being
packaged with the handheld upon release.
Some new games have
more room to add to their characters then others. Usually a game on a
new consoles would help a character more then a second game on the same
console. WW would help Link more then MP 2 would help Samus, FFVII
would be aided more by a FFVII-2 then FFX was, Sonic Adventure 2’s
re-release helped Sonic more then Sonic Heroes, and DMC2 didn’t help
Dante as much because, not only because it sucked, but it was for PS2.
This is all common sense. More people whose first console was GCN would
be inclined to look at MP, than they see it and like it and want MP2.
But they already are voting for Samus. I’m saying that with a game that
is both as mainstream and as well-liked as MP, a sequel on the same
system with much of the same concepts should not help her all that
much.
---
Man is equally incapable of seeing the
nothingness from which he emerges and the infinity in which he is
engulfed. -Blaise Pascal
Who are you going to vote for, anyway?
Link.
What happened to liking Cloud better than Link? O.o
---
M-me? Queen ***** of the Universe?
This is the happiest day of my life. ~ smitelf
Anyone who hasn't seen Ocelot in the MGS3 trailers needs to do so
immediately. I can't get enough of flipping those guns around. Heh.
---
Crypptic completely owned me and showed me the light. Solid Snake is indeed the Best. Character. Ever.
Who are you going to vote for, anyway?
Link.
What happened to liking Cloud better than Link? O.o
I was wondering that myself. But with him you never really know.
---
Man
is equally incapable of seeing the nothingness from which he emerges
and the infinity in which he is engulfed. -Blaise Pascal
I was wondering that myself. But with him you never really know.
Senility!
=)
---
M-me? Queen ***** of the Universe?
This is the happiest day of my life. ~ smitelf
Do we even know how old he is, anyway?
---
Man
is equally incapable of seeing the nothingness from which he emerges
and the infinity in which he is engulfed. -Blaise Pascal
Chichiri brought up the idea that CATS is losing popularity. He’s
not getting the same amount of board love as he supposedly used to (not
that I know first hand, but I trust him),
That takes away
from what? The immediate board vote? After that the "CATS Army" does
very little, if anything, from that point forward. CATS could have
dipped in popularity, but Link's overperformance in that match has
shown to be all him from other matches we've seen. This is an idea we
could've thrown around at the beginning, but I wouldn't bother arguing
it now. Link has obviously increased.
Good, I never liked WDF.
Neither
did I. I never supported the idea of Sephiroth overperforming to stop
an all-Nintendo final. The excuse was just terrible.
Sonic and
Mega Man are incapable of getting new games that come out with priase?
They are perfectly capable of doing that. Besides Mega Man was the
50-50 match and Sonic/Samus were the 52-48 matchups.
Sure they could, but they haven’t yet.
I
don’t know much about this kinda stuff, but is that good? How would
that compare to say, Metroid Prime, or Sonic Heroes or FFX/FF X-2?
Good
grief, it isn't a major hit. Your talking about all games that sold
millions of copies--minus Sonic Heroes--but just in comparison to other
games it's doing well. It's the highest selling Mega Man console game
this generation and is on track to outsell Sonic Mega Collection.
Some new games have more room to add to their characters then others.
Depending
on how strong you are and how many games you have is good for judging
this. People like Mario, Sonic, and Mega Man obviously need big hits in
order to see great increases. People like Samus with very few games in
comparison don't need it to as big, but MP2:E will certainly be pushing
Nintendo's console sales this holiday season.
Usually a game
on a new consoles would help a character more then a second game on the
same console. WW would help Link more then MP 2 would help Samus,
...Link
didn't budge from 2002 to 2003. << Anyway, Metroid Prime 2:
Echoes DOES NOT need to affect her greatly. I don't see how one could
argue it not helping Samus noticably.
More people whose first console was GCN would be inclined to look at MP, than they see it and like it and want MP2.
You could say the same
thing about every sequel released on a platform. Why is Halo 2 going to
help Master Chief next year? It'll just be the same people buying it.
Why is Viewtiful Joe 2 going to help next year? It'll be the same
people buying it. Why is any sequel this year going to a character?
It'll be the same people buying it. Why is Metal Gear Solid 3 going to
help Snake next year? It'll be the same people buying it.
No character would ever increase if what you're saying is true. Nor would we bother to discuss increases from year to year.
What happened to liking Cloud better than Link? O.o
That's after
Advent Children and if everything is presented well. Then again,
Cloud's got challenge coming from Link in the form of the new Zelda. So
we'll see, as it stands now Link holds my number three spot.
---
Crypptic completely owned me and showed me the light. Solid Snake is indeed the Best. Character. Ever.
I still don't see how people can completely rule out Cloud in this match.
We're talking about Samus Aran, coming off SEVERAL games to her name that have obviously boosted her popularity exponentially.
There's
NO way a victory over Mega Man is as impressive as a victory over
Samus, and you're all going to see that tomorrow when Cloud beats Link
with 52%.
---
Dub T's Sc2k4 bracket : 141 of 144
Today: Cloud Strife. Tomorrow: Cloud Strife.
There's NO way a victory over Mega Man is as impressive as a victory
over Samus, and you're all going to see that tomorrow when Cloud beats
Link with 52%.
Even by the margin of victory Link had?
---
M-me? Queen ***** of the Universe?
This is the happiest day of my life. ~ smitelf
After Advent Children, people. After. Then again, the moment the new
Legend of Zelda is released in Japan I'm importing it if it takes
months to get over here. So it'll have it's competition.
---
Crypptic completely owned me and showed me the light. Solid Snake is indeed the Best. Character. Ever.
Nobody's responded to me yet, so I'll say it again (with slightly
updated numbers): Assuming that Snake and Sonic stayed the same and
that Cloud/Samus ends at 58.69%, Link is projected to get 54.0% on Cloud. Major ouchies.
---
For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
There's NO way a victory over Mega Man is as impressive as a victory
over Samus, and you're all going to see that tomorrow when Cloud beats
Link with 52%.
It wasn't just a victory, he doubled (66%+) Mega Man. That's huge, just plain huge.
My prediction is Link takes this with 54.45% of the vote.
---
Crypptic completely owned me and showed me the light. Solid Snake is indeed the Best. Character. Ever.
That's after Advent Children and if everything is presented well.
Then again, Cloud's got challenge coming from Link in the form of the
new Zelda. So we'll see, as it stands now Link holds my number three
spot.
But... you said that Link wasn't even in your top 10
not too long ago - in one of your "Crono needs 45%" topics. It seemed
like you liked Crono better at that point. O_o
Perhaps you are senile. =D
---
M-me? Queen ***** of the Universe?
This is the happiest day of my life. ~ smitelf
We're talking about Samus Aran, coming off SEVERAL games to her name that have obviously boosted her popularity exponentially.
Of course, and Megaman has one game.
---
BtT: 3:48.46 | HRC: 51,246.1 ft OV aaaargh
I keep getting sig'd for the weirdest things lately - StW
On a completely unrelated matter, I just went through Lower Norfair and
got my ass handed to me by Ridley. And on the second try I beat him
with 33 health and 6 missiles left. What an amazing game. Pity Samus is
losing.
---
"We ask for your strength...Thee who fear'eth the night and stand 'gainst the darkness." ~ Frog
Perhaps you are senile. =D
I guess I am if I said something that stupid. ><
---
Crypptic completely owned me and showed me the light. Solid Snake is indeed the Best. Character. Ever.
Good grief, it isn't a major hit. Your talking about all games that
sold millions of copies--minus Sonic Heroes--but just in comparison to
other games it's doing well. It's the highest selling Mega Man console
game this generation and is on track to outsell Sonic Mega Collection.
Heh,
Sonic Mega Collection, what a game to beat. Good job, MMAC. Of course
we all know that sales don’t matter anyway, or Pikachu would win the
contest.
Depending on how strong you are and how many games
you have is good for judging this. People like Mario, Sonic, and Mega
Man obviously need big hits in order to see great increases. People
like Samus with very few games in comparison don't need it to as big,
but MP2:E will certainly be pushing Nintendo's console sales this
holiday season.
You could say the same thing about every sequel
released on a platform. Why is Halo 2 going to help Master Chief next
year? It'll just be the same people buying it. Why is Viewtiful Joe 2
going to help next year? It'll be the same people buying it. Why is any
sequel this year going to a character? It'll be the same people buying
it. Why is Metal Gear Solid 3 going to help Snake next year? It'll be
the same people buying it.
No character would ever increase if what you're saying is true. Nor would we bother to discuss increases from year to year.
Ugh,
I’m trying to say that almost everyone who has played Metroid Prime
likes it. Not everyone likes V Joe 1, or Halo 1, etc. People may play
the sequel and like that character more. But almost everyone that has
played MP already likes her. If they already like her they can’t vote
for her more because they are already voting for her.
That's
after Advent Children and if everything is presented well. Then again,
Cloud's got challenge coming from Link in the form of the new Zelda. So
we'll see, as it stands now Link holds my number three spot.
Fair enough.
---
Man
is equally incapable of seeing the nothingness from which he emerges
and the infinity in which he is engulfed. -Blaise Pascal
There's NO way a victory over Mega Man is as impressive as a victory
over Samus, and you're all going to see that tomorrow when Cloud beats
Link with 52%.
If the percentages were equal, perhaps , but Link more than doubled
Mega Man, who beat Snake by more than he did last year.. That's ****ing
impressive. Much more impressive than not breaking 60% on Samus.
---
"We ask for your strength...Thee who fear'eth the night and stand 'gainst the darkness." ~ Frog
Perhaps you are senile. =D
I think everyone is a little senile.
---
Man
is equally incapable of seeing the nothingness from which he emerges
and the infinity in which he is engulfed. -Blaise Pascal
I guess I am if I said something that stupid. ><
XDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD
---
M-me? Queen ***** of the Universe?
This is the happiest day of my life. ~ smitelf
I'm starting to think Link's gonna beat Cloud by more than 300.. maybe 3000.
I
think Mega Man/Samus would be equal in strength. I don't have stats
handy in front of me, so correct me if I'm wrong. Link could beat Samus
a bit worse than Cloud is beating Samus right now... I think. Samus
just might be a lot more impressive than I'm giving her credit for,
however.
---
SC2K4 Prediction: Link over Cloud
SC2K5 Prediction: Crush from WWF Wrestlefest(Arcade) over Raine Sage!
From BeTheMan's topic about this year's XS, located here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=16624987
If Link beats Cloud, 54.50% - 45.50%
Link - 50.00%
Cloud - 45.50%
Sephiroth - 40.72%
Samus - 37.31%
Crono - 37.18%
Mario - 34.77%
Mega Man - 32.39%
Magus - 31.74%
Sonic - 31.70%
Ganondorf - 31.05%
Auron - 29.91%
Zero - 28.98%
Ryu - 28.19%
Squall - 27.77%
Bowser - 27.75%
Solid Snake - 27.73%
Credit
goes to BeTheMan. These are SFF adjusted, though I don't know how he
did it. I think he'll be posting other scenarios in there, too. Check
it out. And major ouch for Solid Snake.
---
"We ask for your strength...Thee who fear'eth the night and stand 'gainst the darkness." ~ Frog
Hyrule
(1) Link - 93.06%
(16) Guybrush Threepwood - 6.94%
(8) Conker - 62.83%
(9) CATS - 37.17%
(5) Bowser - 73.71%
(12) Pac-Man - 26.29%
(4) Magus - 76.92%
(13) Alucard - 23.08%
(6) Yoshi - 68.65%
(11) JC Denton - 31.35%
(3) Mario - 87.60%
(14) Ryo Hazuki - 12.40%
(7) Luigi - 63.60%
(10) Ganondorf - 36.40%
(2) Crono - 88.54%
(15) Luca Blight - 11.46%
--------------------------
(1) Link - 83.63%
(8) Conker - 16.37%
(5) Bowser - 45.42%
(4) Magus - 54.58%
(6) Yoshi - 26.26%
(3) Mario - 73.74%
(7) Luigi - 22.35%
(2) Crono - 77.65%
---------------------------
(1) Link - 77.53%
(4) Magus - 22.47%
(3) Mario - 46.76%
(2) Crono - 53.24%
----------------------------
(1) Link - 62.82%
(2) Crono - 37.18%
---
SC2K4 Score: 136/144
Today's Pick: Cloud
Sonic - 31.70%
Ganondorf - 31.05%
Auron - 29.91%
Zero - 28.98%
Ryu - 28.19%
Squall - 27.77%
Bowser - 27.75%
Solid Snake - 27.73%
Haha, Solid Snake = pwned lolol
---
Man
is equally incapable of seeing the nothingness from which he emerges
and the infinity in which he is engulfed. -Blaise Pascal
Speaking of him, I actually looked at his guide for FFVII... If nothing else, he was thorough as hell. O.o
TOPIC 47'ED
---
SC2K4 ~ 59/61 ~ 139/144
So close yet so far.
Vote totals for this match are slowing down - it was only 5,652 votes ahead at the most recent update.
Maybe more people were voting earlier...
---
M-me? Queen ***** of the Universe?
This is the happiest day of my life. ~ smitelf
6.5 hours remain... this poll is gonna hit 100k, right? And I cannot wait for Link/Cloud... I'm so antsy!
---
SC2k4: 156/160 Rank: T-66
Link vs CATS – CATS is fading in popularity.
You know how hard it is to bring CATS under 13%? ESPECIALLY with lower vote totals.
Link vs Ganon – SFF
I'll take it.
Link vs Yoshi – SFF
And yet this match drew over 90000 voters.
Link
vs Crono – Bleh. I dunno what to say, other then Cloud could probably
do the same thing to him. Of course Cloud will have SFF, but whatever .
. .
Self-pwnt.
Link vs Mega Man – Regardless of
what you think, Mega Man didn’t impress me all that much this year. He
failed to get SFF on Zero, when Zero got it on Protoman. He did get 65%
on Tidus, but I think that’s a fluke.
Except that Mega Man
has shown no signs of decreasing and that Tidus was a near-elite last
year, and even Sephiroth barely broke 61% on him whereas Link
comfortably doubled him.
---
SC2K4 ~ 59/61 ~ 139/144
So close yet so far.
Tournament Finals: Match 63 – (1)Link vs. (1)Cloud
Moltar’s Analysis
Link - MORTAL KOMBAT!!!!!!!
Round 1 – vs. CATS (Link: 87.83% - CATS: 12.17%)
Round 2 – vs. Ganondorf (Link: 87.90% - Ganondorf: 12.10%)
Round 3 – vs. Yoshi (Link: 81.74% - Yoshi: 18.26%)
Round 4 – vs. Crono (Link: 62.82% - Crono: 37.18%)
Round 5 – vs. Mega Man (Link: 67.87% - Mega Man: 32.13%)
WOW! Link doubles Mega, and then some. Very impressive showing from the Hylian.
Cloud - TO THE DEATH!!!!!!!!
Round 1 – vs. Duke (Cloud: 80.19% - Duke: 19.81%)
Round 2 – vs. Vyse (Cloud: 81.41% - Vyse: 18.59%)
Round 3 – vs. Squall (Cloud: 76.21% - Squall: 23.79%)
Round 4 – vs. Sephiroth (Cloud: 56% - Sephiroth: 44%)
Round 5 – vs. Samus (Cloud: 58.50% - Samus: 41.50%) - Estimate
Even though the match isn’t over, it’s seems like a nice guess. Great performance by Samus.
The
final match of the Contest…wow. Time seems to have just flown by. It
seems as if we’re back in July….er August, when Link faced CATS. Let’s
look back at Link and Cloud’s path to the finals…
Link: Oh boy! Time to go bomb some dodongos!
*Insert heavy metal fighting music here, playing in the background*
~Link vs. CATS~
CATS: All your votes are belong to me Link! You have no chance to survive, make your time!
Link: How do I make time?
CATS: HA HA HA !! Wait…that doesn’t make any sense unless you’re…
Time Maker: HOWDY YA’LL!
Link: o_O;….Hey wait…CATS used proper grammar!
CATS: >_>;; No I didn’t! Er…NOOOOOOOOO! *explodes*
Link: I set you up the bomb!
~Link vs. Ganondorf~
Ganondorf: Mwhaha! Foolish Link, why do you even try, this match will end up just like how the games do.
Link: You mean with me defeating you in some way?
Ganondorf: Of course not! You obviously have been playing the wrong games.
Link: ;_; I’m sorry. Train me Ganondorf! Teach me to be like you! Make me your student!
Ganondorf:
Excellent…my follower. First, I need you to get Zelda…we have some
un-finished business to take care of…*unzips pants*
~Link vs. Yoshi~
Yoshi: YOSHI!
Link: I’m going to ride you like Epona! *hops on Yoshi*
Yoshi: O_O…Yoshi?
*Mario comes out of nowhere and punches Link in the face*
Mario: Dammit Link. This is my ride, and at least wear some damn underwear under that tunic or something. *gets on Yoshi*
LUE: OMG LUEshi! *saLUEtes*
~Link vs Crono~
Crono: …
Link: …
Crono: …?
Link: …!
Crono: …
Link: SAI-YA!
Crono: *dies*
Link: Now that’s what I call a Master Debater!
~Link vs. Mega Man~
Link: Mega Man! More like Mega GIRL!
Mega: You making fun of my daughter, boy?
Link: Uh…Mega Woman?
Mega: Now my wife?
Link: Mega Boy?
Mega: My son…
Link: How do robots have children.
Mega: Come, I’ll explain first we…*whispers*…
Link: O_O OMG *barf*
---
Sephiroth vs. Sly - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Cloud vs. Samus - Bracket: Cloud - Vote: Samus (132/136)
Cloud: *insert whiny/angst comment here*
*insert other heavy metal music playing in the background*
~Cloud vs. Duke~
Duke: Kingdom Hearts is a WUSSY GAME!
Cloud: No! It was Mature and for teenagers!
Duke: You wanna see something mature and for teenagers?
Cloud: Uh….I’ll pass.
Duke: HAHAHA! Milk makes your bones strong, boy!
Cloud: >_<;;; My ears…I’m not ready for the “M” Rated world…
~Cloud vs. Vyse~
Cloud: Ninjas > Pirates
Vyse: *kills Cloud*
Cloud: x_x
Vyse: YARRRR!
~Cloud vs. Squall~
Cloud: >_>
Squall: <_<
Cloud: So…um….are you ready?
Squall: I can’t believe we have to do this…in front of all these people too…
Cloud: Oh well, we can at least try to enjoy this…
Squall: Oh, I know I’ll be enjoying this…*wink*
Cloud: Then let’s do this! Let’s have a DANCE-OFF! *music starts*
Squall: ***** can’t dance for ****!
Cloud: Bring it the **** on!
~Cloud vs. Sephiroth~
Cloud: Instead of fighting, let’s have a pie-eating Contest!
Sephiroth: You’re only saying that because you got your sword confiscated at the airport…
Cloud: No, I got it on the plane…but I kinda…dropped it.
Sephiroth: Oh? It fell through the plane?
Cloud: Yea…it crushed Poland…
Sephiroth: NOT POLAND! *mourns* Anywhere….but Poland…;_;
~Cloud vs. Samus~
Samus: I can kick your ass so hard.
Cloud: It wouldn’t be the first time a girl beats me up.
Samus: Oh?
Cloud: Yeah, a lot of girls beat me up because they don’t like me.
Samus: That’s so sad…Well, you can be my best friend!
Cloud: Oh thanks Samus!
Samus: FOR ME TO POOP ON!
Cloud: OMG! That joke is so old and dead.
Samus: Like you! You’re a…joke and you’re…stupid and old…and…dead…and…*runs*
---
Sephiroth vs. Sly - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Cloud vs. Samus - Bracket: Cloud - Vote: Samus (132/136)
Ahh…the memories. Anyway, to get back on track. We have here, the
winner of the 2002 Contest and the winner of the 2003. Right here, THE
two strongest competitors will go head to head in a match that has
never been done before…oh wait.
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1365
Link
vs. Cloud back in 2003. Cloud was fresh off that KH boost while Link
still had his 2002 strength. Cloud had just come off of his match with
Sonic was looking God-awfully strong. Link held the lead for a little
bit, but Cloud came right back in the first hour and took the lead, not
looking back…Man, just look at the votes that match brought in, almost
150,000 votes, with each character getting over 70,000 votes. 1 year
later, these two go at it again in what is shaping up to be another
great match. Both have been doing very well so far this year too.
Link
got 87.83% on his first opponent, CATS. Doing about 1.5% better than he
would have last year and even out-performing Cloud’s numbers on him by
almost a percent. But CATS is a bad character to base strength off of.
Link vs. Ganondorf? Link performed like a beast! Ganon would have
gotten 35% based of last year’s stats, and even if you factor in a Link
increase, that’s still around 20% of SFF that Ganon suffered.
Link/Yoshi? Another SFF match. Yoshi didn’t get it as bad as Ganondorf
did, but the dinosaur still suffered about 9%, not factoring in a Link
increase. Link/Crono is probably the best match we can look into. Crono
is a very solid opponent, as is his strength. Crono did about 2% better
on Conker and about 3% better on Mario than he did last year. (I’m not
putting his match with Magus in for obvious reasons). Link performed
within 1% of how he would have last year on Crono. So this means that
Link and Crono had a proportional increase, right?
---
Sephiroth vs. Sly - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Cloud vs. Samus - Bracket: Cloud - Vote: Samus (132/136)
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1778
WRONG!
Now everything made sense, everything had an explanation up to this
match. Link had had a slight increase as we can see from his matches
with CATS and Crono, but when you add in THIS match…you might as well
throw logic out the window. Mega swept through his division. Blowing
away Earthworm Jim. He overperformed by 10% on Tidus! This made Mega
Man fans hopeful of an upset later on against Link! Looks like we
should have looked more closely into his match with Zero. Reverse SFF?
Nah…Zero couldn’t be all that strong. And then Snake was the final nail
in the coffin. Mega didn’t have a chance to beat Link now, but he could
at least break 40%, right? Nope, Link put up one of the most surprising
performances I have ever seen! I haven’t seen any high-profile match
result so…crazy since Cloud/Sonic in ’03. There is no definite
explanation for it either. SFF? Now come on people…a Mega
decrease/underperformance? That makes the rest of his division look
like crap. A Link increase/overperformance of over 6%, even though Mega
showed signs of an increase from his matches? Who knows? Well, thanks
to that performance, expect the stats for Mega’s divison to be like
this…
Mega Man......…………....32.00% - (-5.35%) - Between Aeris and Squall
Zero......………………......28.15% - (-4.06%) - Between Zelda and Auron
Solid Snake...………........27.40% - (-7.34%) - Between Auron and Dante
Frog.............…………......26.64% - Right around Alucard
Master Chief......…….......26.64% - (+0.49) - Right around Alucard
Liquid Snake….……........26.61% - Right around Alucard
Tidus.......…………….......22.54% - (-10.60%) - Between Sam and KOS-MOS
Shadow........…………......22.18% - (-11.61%) - Between Sam and KOS-MOS
Knuckles......………….....22.17% - (-3.45%) - Between KOS-MOS and Lara
Tommy...…………..........21.49% - (-3.27%) - Between Ramza and Sora
Kefka.......…..………......18.86% - (+3.36) - Between Bomberman and Vyse
Max Payne....………........16.35% - (-0.33%) - Between Max Payne and Kefka
Protoman........………......15.92% - Between Max Payne and Kefka
Crash Bandicoot...............15.60% - (-1.29%) - Right above Kefka
Earthworm Jim................10.89% - Between Raiden and Pikachu
Tanner.....………….........3.12% - Heh...
That’s
right. Everybody except MC and Kefka take a plunge. The hardest hit are
Tidus and Shadow though…they’ll fall from the upper-tier down to the
lower-middle one. Snake, Mega and Zero are also hit hard.
---
Sephiroth vs. Sly - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Cloud vs. Samus - Bracket: Cloud - Vote: Samus (132/136)
Now Cloud’s path there was a lot less fun, but made a lot more sense.
His match with Duke had him underperforming by about 2%, but Duke had
the best pic in the world that day. Cloud/Vyse had told us that Cloud
has not fallen a bit since last year. Cloud performed within .20% of
what he would have last year. So the only way he was going down this
year is if someone received a large increase. Cloud then went into his
first SFF match this year when he took on Squall. Now Squall had
already been looking less-than-impressive thanks to underperforming 3%
on both Bomberman and Kirby (but then again, Alcuard over-performed by
3% too, so this might have something to do with Seph/Alucard). Squall
suffered about 7% of SFF here, but maybe all of it wasn’t SFF…
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1776
Now compare that with this…
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1367
As
you can see, Cloud did about 4% better on Seph this year, than he did
last year...but WAIT! Vivi[DK] would be expected to get 27.69% on 2003
Cloud. That means he would get 28.78% on Seph. Seph underpefroms by 2%.
Auron would be expected to get 28.90% on 2003 Seph. Seph underperforms
by 4%.
I think some of the numbers might be off, but you catch the
point. If Seph has decreased since last year, and all signs are
pointing to that, then Cloud’s performance against him was either
nothing special, or a slight increase from last year. Now onto
Cloud/Samus, which is in progress today. Cloud can not get 60% on
Samus. Now we know Cloud hasn’t decreased any since last year, but
Samus has increased tons. She’s at least 5% stronger than last year,
and more if Cloud has increased any. She’s now the 4th strongest
character in the Contest. Congrats to Samus, but that’s still bad news
for Cloud. He needed big numbers in this match, and couldn’t get them.
Well,
after all that. I can only come up with one conclusion. Link is the
Summer Contest 2004 Champion. This match was looking up in the air for
quite a while, but you can’t ignore the Link vs. Mega Man results. That
surpasses even Cloud/Sonic in surprising performances. Link has also
shown that he is stronger than he was last year, while Cloud remains
about the same strength…this is kind of sound like 2003 all over again.
The only thing different is that this time, Cloud is getting a taste of
his own medicine.
Moltar’s Bracket says: Cloud will win
Moltar’s Prediction is: Link 51% - Cloud 49%
---
Sephiroth vs. Sly - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Cloud vs. Samus - Bracket: Cloud - Vote: Samus (132/136)
20XX
(1) Mega Man - 95.12%
(16) Tanner - 4.88%
(8) Shadow the Hedgehog - 50.01%
(9) Knuckles the Echidna - 49.99%
(5) Master Chief - 69.32%
(12) Max Payne - 30.68%
(4) Frog - 70.11%
(13) Protoman - 29.89%
(6) Liquid Snake - 64.56%
(11) Kefka - 35.44%
(3) Solid Snake - 71.54%
(14) Crash Bandicoot - 28.46%
(7) Tidus - 52.34%
(10) Tommy Vercetti - 47.66%
(2) Zero - 80.65%
(15) Earthworm Jim - 19.35%
-----------------------------------
(1) Mega Man - 65.35%
(8) Shadow the Hedgehog - 34.65%
(5) Master Chief - 50.00%
(4) Frog - 50.00%
(6) Liquid Snake - 48.56%
(3) Solid Snake - 51.44%
(7) Tidus - 40.03%
(2) Zero - 59.97%
------------------------------------
(1) Mega Man - 58.38%
(4) Frog - 41.62%
(3) Solid Snake - 48.66%
(2) Zero - 51.34%
-------------------------------------
(1) Mega Man - 56.01%
(2) Zero - 43.99%
---
SC2K4 Score: 136/144
Today's Pick: Cloud
Has it occurred to you all that Magus' 2003 number may very well be
inflated due to being agianst Link? That would explain some of Tidus'
drop. Also, since Crono increased, how can we be so certain that Magus
didnt' increase as well?
---
SC2K4 ~ 59/61 ~ 139/144
So close yet so far.
You know how hard it is to bring CATS under 13%? ESPECIALLY with lower vote totals.
I'm saying it is easier, because CATS is fading in popularity.
And yet this match drew over 90000 voters.
So? Squall vs Cloud got 89,000.
Except
that Mega Man has shown no signs of decreasing and that Tidus was a
near-elite last year, and even Sephiroth barely broke 61% on him
whereas Link comfortably doubled him.
I never said Mega Man
decreased. I did say that Tidus's loss to Mega Man is a fluke, or as
Leonhart said a few topics ago perhaps Tidus can hold his own against
solid mid tiers but falters against elites.
---
Man is equally
incapable of seeing the nothingness from which he emerges and the
infinity in which he is engulfed. -Blaise Pascal
Ugh, Cloud defending is frustrating. No matter what we believed, we all
have to give kudos to Heroic Mario for all the debates he had to fight
with such a winner picked out. That's a lot of work for him, and it
really must have sucked to see Mega Man lose so badly.
---
Man
is equally incapable of seeing the nothingness from which he emerges
and the infinity in which he is engulfed. -Blaise Pascal
Heh, Sonic Mega Collection, what a game to beat. Good job, MMAC. Of
course we all know that sales don’t matter anyway, or Pikachu would win
the contest.
It's certainly a success when you can outdo
500,000 copies. There's no shame in not selling 1 million when you are
a collection of older titles. Oh and you meant Mario would win this contest if it was based on sales.
Ugh,
I’m trying to say that almost everyone who has played Metroid Prime
likes it. Not everyone likes V Joe 1, or Halo 1, etc. People may play
the sequel and like that character more.
Why can't this hold true for Metroid Prime 2: Echoes? I already expect MP2 to outsell MP.
---
Crypptic completely owned me and showed me the light. Solid Snake is indeed the Best. Character. Ever.