(3) Aeris Gainsborough
(14) Bass
(6) Zelda
(11) Ken Masters
We need that match to find out.
---
Burning inside, with a violent anger...
Please, please, please, do not let me die!
Zelda would be the only one I would worry about, at all. I fear not of
Bass, and Ken is a good bit weaker than Ryu. Even then, I would take
Aeris over Zelda right now.
---
I am teh suxx0rz. PWN'D by a n00b.
~courtesy of mr wednesday
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=16515790
HEH.
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 'Best. Game. Ever.' Contest
*Married to smitelf on 5/21/04* ++SCC GOD++
Zelda would be the only one I would worry about, at all. I fear not
of Bass, and Ken is a good bit weaker than Ryu. Even then, I would take
Aeris over Zelda right now.
Well, yeah, I was talking about
Aeris/Zelda. The other two came along because I copy/pasted from my
bracket. I'd pick Aeris, too, but it would be fairly close.
---
Burning inside, with a violent anger...
Please, please, please, do not let me die!
Fairly close? I wouldn't hesitate to pick Aeris.
---
And kudos to Chichiri for that little thingy on SS. That's why you people have every right to be "elitist". - Slowflake
Fairly close as in within 55%. Closer if Zelda XI gets here on time.
---
Burning inside, with a violent anger...
Please, please, please, do not let me die!
FF:AC would help keep Zelda from gaining much ground on Aeris.
---
I am teh suxx0rz. PWN'D by a n00b.
~courtesy of mr wednesday
Ok, I have a question. I asked earlier on what basis is Link considered
to have stayed the same from 2k2 to 2k3 and I was pointed to the
paragraph with the explanation of the extrapolated ranking comparisons.
Does everyone here agree with that?
I'm
not good with stats (the only reason I got an A out of engineering
stats is because our professor basically gave us all of the answers),
but the only people that Link went up against in 2004 who weren't
either new or potential SFF victims were Tidus and Cloud... Tidus did
do a little better according to the extrapolated, and we all know how
Cloud improved. But couldn't there be a possibility that Link dropped
from 2k2 to 2k3 and is simply returning back to a 2k2ish level?
---
"There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
I don't think AC is going to do a whole lot for the FFVII cast. I could very well be wrong, though, given what KH did.
---
Burning inside, with a violent anger...
Please, please, please, do not let me die!
Well, when we use Link as constant, 15 out of 34 characters experience
of change of less than 2%. 3 go up due to KHF (Cloud, Squall, Seph), 3
change due to SFF (DK, Pac Man, Pikachu), 1 by TJF (Gordon), and 2 go
up randomly (Alucard and Dante). 5 get drawn down by WDF (Sonic, Samus,
Mega Man, Ryu, Ken), and 3 just fall (Bomberman, Raziel, and Ryo),
probably due to lack of new games.
So
you only have 5 out of 34 changing significantly, and some of those are
explainable, too. So Link being constant seems like a pretty good
assumption.
---
Burning inside, with a violent anger...
Please, please, please, do not let me die!
Went up against meaning directly connected to that is....
---
"There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
Actually, last time I checked, we were under the assumption that it was
very likely that Link increased by a couple %. The reason we don't
adjust for that in comparative rankings? Because if Link increased 2%
then everybody would have increased quite similar in comparison to him
and it wouldn't make any difference.
As
long as we use Link as the yard stick each year all that matters is
each character's relation to him. If he grew and they looked stable,
they grew. If they "lost" as much as he gained, they stayed the same.
The
only time this doesn't work is if you were to say, insert Ganon's
expected % against Link from 2k3 in place of a direct match with Link
that had SFF.
If Link gained this year and we don't take that into account it will make Ganon look stronger when he may not be.
---
And kudos to Chichiri for that little thingy on SS. That's why you people have every right to be "elitist". - Slowflake
You're under the assumption that Link increased by a few percent in
2k3? If that's the case, what basis is that on? I understand HOW the
comparisons work, but I'm trying to figure out what exactly in 2k3
allowed that assumption to be made.
---
"There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
Is that picture real?? That "pwned by ulti" looks... too clean. He could have photoshopped it with someone elses ass lol.
---
Current Score: 21/22
Next Pick: ViVi
I have a score of 92...good or bad?
---
llll \|/ llll GO CANADA GO
llll ¯|¯ llll I'M BAAAAAAAACK
*tag until I have something useful to say*
---
"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
WW came between the two contests, so it's quite logical. There are not
enough characters lumped together in one spot to make any real guesses,
other than the characters in the +1-2% range, and they seem strange.
The math is complex, and it'd take a real genius to point out any
deffinite gain/loss/standstill from Link, and you'd have to find a
character that actually was constant to do it.
---
And kudos to Chichiri for that little thingy on SS. That's why you people have every right to be "elitist". - Slowflake
Okay, I'm looking at the comparisons though and a lot more characters
increased than decreased. And what's noticable about those decreases is
that Fox, Pikachu, and Samus could all be SFF. Sonic, Mega Man, Raziel,
and Jill all went up against either Cloud, Sephiroth, or Squall. Tails
went up against Auron.... I'm getting to a pattern that I'll touch on
in a sec. The only oddballs are Ryu and Ken.
Now
let's say in 2k2 that Cloud was robbed by Mario and should have then
went on to beat Crono and face Link in the finals. Looking at
Sephiroth's score, let's say Cloud would have gotten 45-46% on Link. So
if this year, Link beat Cloud 55-45% this year, would it be said that
Link increased? And what would be the reason? Zelda 10? I'd have to
disagree with that. We've seen all of one trailer. I would say that all
the trailer did (and the corresponding matches in this contest) is
brought back the image of Link that everyone has grown to love (as seen
in 2k2). So if this was INDEED the final result, can it be safe to say
that this could very well be a possibility? This is basically part one
of my theory... Can someone challenge this for me? I have some more
theory afterwards...
---
"There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
I've always believed that if Cloud had won against Mario, he would have
come closest to beating Link and possibly even have beaten him back
then. Who knows.
Cloud being much lower than Sephiroth in the extrapolated standings in 2002 is just not right.
"So if this year, Link beat Cloud 55-45% this year, would it be said that Link increased?"
Yes.
It would likely be said as such. From what we've seen so far it doesn't
look like Cloud has really decrease any, and if he has it's only
slightly. It all depends... if his wins over MM (in the long run, once
we have the math to make sure of MM's increase) and Cloud line up with
CATS and Crono (Which just seem a little too close to eachother,
especialy when considering Crono did as expected on Mario when using
Conker) then it'd be rediculous to say that basically everyone else
dropped and Link stayed the same.
"brought back the image of Link that everyone has grown to love"
I
haven't seen the trailer, but I'm fairly certain Link isn't a sprite of
any sort, so it's not the Link that everyone has grown to love.
---
And kudos to Chichiri for that little thingy on SS. That's why you people have every right to be "elitist". - Slowflake
I can only think to blame temporary insanity for having Ryu H. going to the final 4.
Sadly the rest of my bracker is perfect since KOS-MOS/Ryu in the first round.
"I haven't seen the trailer, but I'm fairly certain Link isn't a sprite
of any sort, so it's not the Link that everyone has grown to love."
Link's popularity exploded after OoT, not before that. So he was correct in his statement.
"Link's popularity exploded after OoT, not before that."
That
so? Cause, you know, the original Zelda sold almost as much as OoT in a
time where video games were a lot less mainstream. Oh, and the original
Zelda was also the first game to sell over a million copies without
having to be packaged in with a system. I'd have to say that in terms
of video gaming as a whole, Zelda has always been a big deal.
---
And kudos to Chichiri for that little thingy on SS. That's why you people have every right to be "elitist". - Slowflake
So you stated OoT sold more than older zeldas.
Any new gamer will have only known the new zelda, and love him for that.
A lot of of the old gamers who loved the old, probably also love the new, and I'm sure a great amount prefer the new.
All new + some old = fan favorite of the newer zelda look.
---
Score: 91/96
Link, Megaman, Cloud, Samus / Link, Cloud / Cloud
I haven't seen the trailer, but I'm fairly certain Link isn't a
sprite of any sort, so it's not the Link that everyone has grown to
love.
>_< You know what I meant. The "Adult Link"
image that a lot of people on GameFAQS love. That's a better rephrase
of it. With the average GameFAQs user probably being teenaged, I would
say that OoT gave Link a huge boost of popularity among the GameFAQS
user demographic (not overall... it pains me to see some people on here
say they haven't even PLAYED LttP and write it off *shudders*).
We
all know how big the Zelda franchise is overall. I'm trying to line
this up with the GameFAQs population though. I'll post the second part
of my theory next...
---
"There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
"So you stated OoT sold more than older zeldas."
Barely.
"Any new gamer will have only known the new zelda, and love him for that."
Right,
because Nintendo hasn't given away free copies of Zelda collectors
edition and hasn't re-released Zelda 1 and 3 on the GBA already (with 2
on the way). Yep, there's no way any new gamers couldn't know about the
old Zeldas at all.
"A lot of of the old gamers who loved the old, probably also love the new, and I'm sure a great amount prefer the new."
I
loved the old games, still do, don't love the new ones. I'm not the
only one. And while I'll readily admit that's mostly anecdotal, the
last part of that "point" is purely absurd. Old school gamers are far,
far more likely to enjoy old school games more. I'm not sure what sort
of backwards logic you were trying to use there, but it is very, very
false.
"All new + some old = fan favorite of the newer zelda look."
I'm
not completely sure what the hell you're trying to say, but yeah...
this is probably the best looking Link in a console Zelda since LttP.
---
And kudos to Chichiri for that little thingy on SS. That's why you people have every right to be "elitist". - Slowflake
"That so? Cause, you know, the original Zelda sold almost as much as
OoT in a time where video games were a lot less mainstream. Oh, and the
original Zelda was also the first game to sell over a million copies
without having to be packaged in with a system."
That
still doesn't disprove the point that interest in Link picked up to a
far greater extent after OoT. His recognizability went up far higher as
he was introduced to a wider audience that had previously only known so
much about him. Link was always mainstream, but he became the
mainstream giant he is today because of OoT.
His recognizability went up far higher as he was introduced to a
wider audience that had previously only known so much about him. Link
was always mainstream, but he became the mainstream giant he is today
because of OoT.
How could Link become any more mainstream
among the average person? He was the second face of Nintendo! He had
his own cartoon, he guest starred in Captain N... he was a cereal, for
crying out loud! Maybe it's because I'm old enough to remember watching
the SMBSS first-run, but I can't think of a time that Link wasn't well
known.
---
Edge Eblan faces his greatest challenge to date at www.rpgdl.com - getting a piece of Emerald WEAPON!
Because Link was still not Mario. Contrary to popular belief, not
everyone who owned a Nintendo back then was as fond of Link as they
were of Mario. Like I said, he was mainstream, but not as mainstream as
he is today and that can be attributed largely to OoT.
42%, Zero almost got 44%. I guess Zero would win over Solid Snake then.
---
Sora and Andel both defeated me in the Summer Contest.96/104
31.34% had the Blue Bomber winning his namesake division. Good for him.
---
Edge Eblan faces his greatest challenge to date at www.rpgdl.com - getting a piece of Emerald WEAPON!
And all of them had to be the top 29 with me. :( I can't shake these guys.
Go Cloud!
---
Hylian Knight Forever
Score: 110/112 Rank: 10th
cmon sephiroth hold together just a bitttttttt further
---
Mario Sunshine-120 Shines || BtT 3:39.62 || HRC 37,592.3 ||
Currently Tied for 1429th place
Aaaaaand.... It's over for Sephiroth. He had a nice run, better luck next year.
"How could Link become any more mainstream among the average person? He
was the second face of Nintendo! He had his own cartoon, he guest
starred in Captain N... he was a cereal, for crying out loud! Maybe
it's because I'm old enough to remember watching the SMBSS first-run,
but I can't think of a time that Link wasn't well known."
I'd
have loved to bring up all those points, but I figured they wouldn't do
much good for some of these sad people. Anywho, this should...
1987 NES Legend of Zelda 6.51
1988 NES Zelda II: Adventure of Link 4.38
1992 SNES The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past 4.61
1993 GB The Legend of Zelda: Link's Awakening 3.83
1998 N64 The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time 7.60
1998 CGB The Legend of Zelda: Link's Awakening DX 2.22
2000 N64 The Legend of Zelda: Majora's Mask 3.36
2001 CGB The Legend of Zelda: Oracle of Seasons 3.96
2001 CGB The Legend of Zelda: Oracle of Ages 3.96
2002 GBA The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past / Four Swords 1.89
2003 GCN The Legend of Zelda: The Wind Waker 3.07
The
data is 6 months old, LttP/FS has almost no doubt surpassed 2 mil
meaning that Zelda 1 and Zelda 3 both reached out to almost as large of
an audience as OoT.
---
And kudos to Chichiri for that little thingy on SS. That's why you people have every right to be "elitist". - Slowflake
Score-Brackets-% Right
104---1--------100.0000000
103---7--------100.0000000
102---21-------100.0000000
101---61-------96.7213115
100---101------99.0099010
99----129------95.3488372
98----139------91.3669065
97----165------90.9090909
96----193------87.5647668
95----256------80.4687500
94----276------79.7101449
93----327------74.3119266
92----372------73.9247312
91----418------66.7464115
90----479------65.7620042
89----512------58.7890625
88----633------57.9778831
87----669------57.3991031
86----770------52.5974026
85----776------48.3247423
84----921------48.2084691
83----917------43.2933479
82----987------42.3505572
81----1023-----40.0782014
80----1077-----37.1402043
79----1074-----34.7299814
78----1099-----30.5732484
77----1053-----27.6353276
76----1147-----27.4629468
75----1098-----24.1347905
74----1066-----23.3583490
73----1037-----22.2757956
72----1043-----19.3672100
71----954------21.4884696
70----975------19.8974359
69----940------17.6595745
68----943------16.2248144
67----776------16.8814433
66----730------14.6575342
65----692------16.9075145
64----718------13.6490251
63----605------15.0413223
62----553------13.2007233
61----506------13.8339921
60----431------13.6890951
59----429------13.0536131
58----366------10.3825137
57----350------12.8571429
56----320------12.1875000
55----276------14.1304348
54----247------12.9554656
53----239------12.9707113
52----208------12.5000000
51----208------16.8269231
50----190------12.6315789
49----168------7.7380952
48----147------12.2448980
47----136------14.7058824
46----128------9.3750000
45----116------9.4827586
44----94-------6.3829787
43----82-------6.0975610
42----90-------4.4444444
41----71-------8.4507042
40----64-------7.8125000
39----59-------8.4745763
38----53-------11.3207547
37----52-------3.8461538
36----37-------5.4054054
35----42-------4.7619048
34----36-------2.7777778
33----28-------3.5714286
32----23-------0.0000000
31----22-------9.0909091
30----21-------9.5238095
29----12-------0.0000000
28----16-------6.2500000
Nobody
with a score of 27 or lower got the match right. The top tiers
continued to score in the high 90's but it quickly falls as you
approach the bottom tiers. Mega Man is underestimated yet again by the
bracket makers. Nobody fell off the Top 50 today but a lot of people
will after this match.
---
"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
"Because Link was still not Mario."
And he still isn't.
"Contrary to popular belief, not everyone who owned a Nintendo back then was as fond of Link as they were of Mario."
Yeah, but most people who played both prefered Link.
"Like I said, he was mainstream, but not as mainstream as he is today and that can be attributed largely to OoT."
Link
is still far, far away from Mario's status. In fact, he isn't really
any closer to Mario than he ever was. Simply put, Mario will always
ecplise Link in the mainstream even if Nintedo does release more Zeldas
than Marios. But the fact of the matter is, whenever they decide to
release Mario128 you will see why Mario is the Nintendo icon. Not Link,
Not Samus... Mario.
---
And kudos to Chichiri for that little thingy on SS. That's why you people have every right to be "elitist". - Slowflake
Yes, I think most of us here can agree Mario owns that title.
On
a side note, Cloud is currently KILLING Sephiroth. If this percentage
keeps up, Cloud will have beaten Sephiroth by a far greater margin than
last year and with less voters.
...you know what else is interesting about that data:
1987 NES Legend of Zelda 6.51
1988 NES Zelda II: Adventure of Link 4.38
1992 SNES The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past 4.61
1993 GB The Legend of Zelda: Link's Awakening 3.83
--
1998 N64 The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time 7.60
1998 CGB The Legend of Zelda: Link's Awakening DX 2.22
2000 N64 The Legend of Zelda: Majora's Mask 3.36
2001 CGB The Legend of Zelda: Oracle of Seasons 3.96
2001 CGB The Legend of Zelda: Oracle of Ages 3.96
2002 GBA The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past / Four Swords 1.89
2003 GCN The Legend of Zelda: The Wind Waker 3.07
four games in eleven years, versus seven games in five.
oot might not be the first time link got exposure...but it was definitely a turning point.
---
redline15: blasting off at the speed of light
Cloud Strife 55% 550
Sephiroth 45% 450
TOTAL VOTES 1000
thats the 1000 split. and 100 vote lead
---
Score: 91/96
Link, Megaman, Cloud, Samus / Link, Cloud / Cloud
Okay, so in my last explanation, I said that Link could have
potentially dropped in 2k3 and now has increased back to his previous
level with his former image on display. Now what about Cloud and
Sephiroth's increase? As of now, the explanation for their increase is
Kingdom Hearts. Valid... but I don't think that's it. Look at the
people who have dropped from 2k2 to 2k3. Sonic, Mega Man, Jill, Tails,
Raziel.... What do they have in common? They all went up against Square
characters. Now those Square characters are Cloud, Sephiroth, Squall
and Auron (who was SFF'd by Cloud). All due to Kingdom Hearts right?
Well.....
What
about Crono? It has been said that 3000 votes were proxied for Crono in
his match against Mario in 2k2. In 2k3, the match was said to be legit,
yet it was still as close as 2k2. Why hasn't there been any explanation
for Crono's increase? I admit that Kingdom Hearts did have an impact,
but with Crono's increase as well it looks like 2k3's high vote totals
may have benefitted Square as a whole. In addition to the increases of
Cloud, Sephiroth, Squall, and Crono, Magus and Auron stepped in and
made strong showings. What about Aeris? Well she did decent against
Snake and did a little better against Sonic. But it's shown that in 2k3
that Snake and Sonic were near equal in strength. That wasn't the case
in 2k2 however, and if the voting increase DID affect the Square
characters, then it directly affected Sonic's performance. In this
situation, doing well on Solid Snake to doing even better on Sonic
really WAS an increase for Aeris. Tidus? He increased a little, but I
think it may be safe to say that the Square increase wasn't linear. The
more popular characters benefited the most from this. There's still a
lot of speculating to do.
Of course, this is all based on Link
beating Cloud by a sizable margin. I know there are a lot of holes,
such as Ryu's performance against Snake and Sonic. I'm still working on
this... which is why I said I'd give a full explanation after the
contest. It's still all just a theory. But this COULD be an alternate
explanation WITHOUT using the extrapolated rankings. I just wanted to
share what I was thinking. I haven't touched on everything, but it's
late.... I'll get back to it.
---
"There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
"Yes, I think most of us here can agree Mario owns that title."
Indeed.
And for as much as people seem to think otherwise, I think if these
summer contests would have ranged back as far as the early days of NES
that Link would have beaten Mario the majority of the time, except the
year or possibly 2 proceeding any of his major releases (Mario 3, Mario
World, Mario 64). I think from 88-89 would have been his for sure, and
90 would have been a damn tough fight, what with Mario 3 hitting in the
early part of that year, and 91 would be Mario's... but 92-96 would be
in favor of Link again.
Not saying that those two would win it
for sure those years, just saying who would be more popular in those
years based on the general taste of GF users.
---
And kudos to Chichiri for that little thingy on SS. That's why you people have every right to be "elitist". - Slowflake
"four games in eleven years, versus seven games in five."
Of
those "seven" two are re-releases of older games and two are meant to
be linked together in a way that they should really be considered a
single game. We certainly don't go out of our way to consider Pokemon
Red and Pokemon Blue two different games and I don't think the oracle
games should be either. So really, we're sorta just talking 4 and 4.
---
And kudos to Chichiri for that little thingy on SS. That's why you people have every right to be "elitist". - Slowflake
Oh, and back to more relevant topics... I just read the last few posts
about Link. You guys are taking what I meant about Link the wrong way.
It's not about how well known Link has been.... I don't see how he
could increase in that. It's how POPULAR he became as a character after
OoT. Not overall exposure. There's a difference.
Oh
yeah, and I love to see that Zero has performed better than Solid Snake
DIRECTLY as opposed to Magus performing better than Sonic by .01%
indirectly. Zero is bad assed. I'd welcome him into the elite anyday.
---
"There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
Funny that, the period we allot to the "board vote" favored Cloud. Now,
I knw we all love to think that it is the board vote, but I know damn
well that Cloud is one of the most despised characters on this board,
even more so than Sephiroth... obviously bracket voters account for far
more in the first 15 minutes than board members.
Anywho, Seph is catching up in % as the poll extends, which is good.
---
And kudos to Chichiri for that little thingy on SS. That's why you people have every right to be "elitist". - Slowflake
"It's how POPULAR he became as a character after OoT."
In
terms of the people who would visit GF and vote in a summer contest, I
can assure you that OoT didn't do much more than any other game in the
series.
---
And kudos to Chichiri for that little thingy on SS. That's why you people have every right to be "elitist". - Slowflake
lol, I forgot all about the match being up now. *votes for Cloud* I never really cared for Sephiroth....
---
"There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
I was really hopin' Seph would keep this in the 48-52 range. Sure, he
has time to stabalize the match into that area, but he could be doing
better.
---
And kudos to Chichiri for that little thingy on SS. That's why you people have every right to be "elitist". - Slowflake
Seph with 47%, now.
---
And kudos to Chichiri for that little thingy on SS. That's why you people have every right to be "elitist". - Slowflake
He's still rising in % fairly quickly, though he dropped below 47%
again, and we haven't but begun to stabalize. He should probably do as
expected. Makes Vivi look so damn good.
---
And kudos to Chichiri for that little thingy on SS. That's why you people have every right to be "elitist". - Slowflake