Stats websites:
Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.sc2k4.com
Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k4.com/displaytable.php
Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k4.com/extrapolated.php
Summer 2002 Extrapotated Standings:
http://sc2k4.com/excel/sc2k2_extrapolated.htm
Summer 2003 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k4.com/excel/sc2k3_extrapolated.htm
Character comparisons Between Summer 2002 and Summer 2003:
http://sc2k4.com/summer_comparisons.php
Spring 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k4.com/excel/spc2k4_extrapolated.htm
SFF Adjusted Spring 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k4.com/excel/spc2k4_extrapolated_sff.htm
Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com
Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html
Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html
Stats topics:
Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html
Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)
2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.
Spring 2004 Pre-Season:
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason2.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason3.htm
Spring 2004 Contest:
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats2.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats3.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats4.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats5.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats6.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats7.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats8.htm
MMXcalibur's Prophet Sites:
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/
Poll Vote Total Updator:
http://sc2k4.com/update.php (add "?pollid=[4-digit poll number]" at the end of url to look at charts from past polls)
Summer 2002 Match Pictures:
http://sc2k4.com/frog/view.php?gid=15
http://sc2k4.com/frog/view.php?gid=15&page=1
http://sc2k4.com/frog/view.php?gid=15&page=2
Summer 2003 Match Pictures:
www.angelfire.com/games5/heroicmario0/contestpictures.htm
Spring 2004 Match Pictures:
http://sc2k4.com/frog/view.php?gid=17
http://sc2k4.com/frog/view.php?gid=17&page=1
http://sc2k4.com/frog/view.php?gid=17&page=2
http://sc2k4.com/frog/view.php?gid=17&page=3
Summer 2004 Match Pictures:
http://sc2k4.com/frog/view.php?gid=18
http://sc2k4.com/frog/view.php?gid=18&page=1
http://sc2k4.com/frog/view.php?gid=18&page=2
!yawA tsoP
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Winner of the Spring 2004 'Best. Game. Ever.' Contest
*Married to smitelf on 5/21/04* ++SCC GOD++
That's a lot of links.
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Current Pick: Cloud; Current Vote: Vyse the Legend; Points: 45/48
CUTLASS FURY!
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Man is equally incapable of seeing the nothingness from which he emerges and the infinity in which he is engulfed. -Blaise Pascal
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SC2k4 Winner: Mega Man
Ken Masters; the fighting king clothed in blazing fire
Gee, I wonder why HM likes the extras? ~_^
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Winner of the Spring 2004 'Best. Game. Ever.' Contest
*Married to smitelf on 5/21/04* ++SCC GOD++
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My luck works best when things are... random. Mat Cauthon from The Dragon Reborn
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Today's Survivor topic can be found here, Please vote : )http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=16070956
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Today's Survivor topic can be found here, Please vote : )http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=16070956
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Winner of the Spring 2004 'Best. Game. Ever.' Contest
*Married to smitelf on 5/21/04* ++SCC GOD++
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Today's Survivor topic can be found here, Please vote : )http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=16070956
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Today's Survivor topic can be found here, Please vote : )http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=16070956
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Anxiously awaiting... SQUALL vs. kirby
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Dub T's Sc2k4 bracket : 47 of 50
Next Match: Squall Leonhart vs. Kirby
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See my writings at http://www.alexkaulfuss.com as the GrandioseGadfly
Fujin is the greatest character ever conceived by man.
Nice links you added there, Ulti. Hope those links become a regular part of the first post of each topic.
They'll be in all of the topics, and I'd like for the stats topic regulars to know that just in case they make a topic on one of the many occasions where I'm not around to see the end of it myself.
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Winner of the Spring 2004 'Best. Game. Ever.' Contest
*Married to smitelf on 5/21/04* ++SCC GOD++
And Mega Man officially rocks.
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Summer Contest Match 42Squall vs. Kirby
Status 39/42 Points: 049 Next: Auron vs. Ness
I've never played a megaman game, but really want to. Would the megaman anniversary collection be good to experience what megaman is all about?
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Score: 45/48
Midgar Picks: Cloud, Squall, Auron, Sephiroth
Go. Buy. Play. Now.
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Summer Contest Match 42Squall vs. Kirby
Status 39/42 Points: 049 Next: Auron vs. Ness
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The topic is dead. Not the kind of dead that can be cured with a Phoenix Down. I'm talking FMV sequence dead.- The King in Teal
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Current Pick: Squally; Current Vote: Kirby; Points: 47/50
Falcom Paunch!
I think it will be EXTREMELY difficult for Cloud to break 80%.. Cloud will be lucky to break 75% on Squall..
Hey Heroic Mario.. I have a question for you.. =)
You said that Cloud is in your "favorite characters list" but what would happen if Megaman does beat Link and then loses to Cloud in the finals? hehe.. Would this change your opinion at all? =)
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SC2K4 Winner: Cloud Strife
Next Victim: Squall Leonhart
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I am teh suxx0rz. PWN'D by a n00b.
~courtesy of mr wednesday
The Mega Man Zero series on the Game Boy Advance is exceptional. MMZ and MMZ2 are out at the moment with MMZ3 later this year. Another good series out on the GBA is Mega Man Battle Network. It's not the typical platformer style of Mega Man, but focuses more on a strategy/RPG type game.
Mega Man X hasn't exactly been great since about X4, but with Mega Man X: Command Mission coming out on September 21st and Mega Man X8 in November there could be a pickup in quality.
Your best bet is to aim toward the handheld games at the moment, because the console games aren't the greatest things out.
Will MM be able to shoot anywhere in the later games?
It's always been that Mega Man shoots forward while someone like Bass can shoot in 8 different directions. Any 2D Mega Man could will have him shooting in only one direction unless Capcom changes it later on.
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SC2k4 Winner: Mega Man
Ken Masters; the fighting king clothed in blazing fire
MMAC or tales of symphonia?
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Score: 45/48
Midgar Picks: Cloud, Squall, Auron, Sephiroth
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Current Pick: Squally; Current Vote: Kirby; Points: 47/50
Falcom Paunch!
Definitely. If you're looking for a way to jumpstart into the Mega Man series this is the best way! You can pickup Mega Man Anniversary Collection for $29.99 for the GameCube or Playstation 2.
Again, if you need a way to realize why everyone likes him this would be it. You get 10 games and plenty of unlockables. =)
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SC2k4 Winner: Mega Man
Ken Masters; the fighting king clothed in blazing fire
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The topic is dead. Not the kind of dead that can be cured with a Phoenix Down. I'm talking FMV sequence dead.- The King in Teal
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Score: 45/48
Midgar Picks: Cloud, Squall, Auron, Sephiroth
You said that Cloud is in your "favorite characters list" but what would happen if Megaman does beat Link and then loses to Cloud in the finals? hehe.. Would this change your opinion at all? =)
I'd be upset to see Mega Man lose to Cloud, because there is quite a gap after Mario and Mega Man. Cloud falls into the third-fifth area on my list and should he be good in Advent Children he'll sit nicely at third and secure that spot.
To answer the question, I'd be mad for a while, but it wouldn't jeopardize my liking of him. =p
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SC2k4 Winner: Mega Man
Ken Masters; the fighting king clothed in blazing fire
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The topic is dead. Not the kind of dead that can be cured with a Phoenix Down. I'm talking FMV sequence dead.- The King in Teal
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SC2k4 Winner: Mega Man
Ken Masters; the fighting king clothed in blazing fire
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Current SC2K4 Score: 49/50
COWS are for Milking, not GAMES
I guess I'll pass on the rest though, I got really frustrated by the forward-only policy.
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Real monsters are not those who has the power to destroy, but those who has the intention to do so.
It is very safe to say that Sephiroth would not have done as well against Sonic or Link as Cloud did. And that Cloud would've done better against Mario and Mega Man that Sephiroth did. There is very, very little reason to doubt this. Fact is, Link probably would've done at least as well against Mario and Mega Man as Sephiroth did. In 2K2, Sephiroth > Cloud. In 2K3, Cloud > Sephiroth. I have no idea why people find this so difficult to accept.
Everyone knows how reluctant I am to make strong statements about anything, but really, there's not even much to discuss here.
There is no such thing as "Hero always beats villain" factor. Generally speaking, the hero will almost always beat the villain--but that's no "factor", that's just because heroes are more popular. Sephiroth is just unique.
Well, perhaps I shouldn't say unique--for some other games with ensemble casts/no primary hero (e.g., Suikoden series, Final Fantasy VI--though IMO Shadow would do better than Kefka), the villain would probably be the strongest. (also, in games such as Lufia, the title character would likely do better than the main hero simply because nobody has heard of the main hero, whereas some people might recognize the title of the game and thus make her less of a complete jobber)
But in games where this is a definitive hero, the hero will just about always be strongest--except for Sephiroth, who's about the same as Cloud and whose relative popularity to Cloud is non-constant.
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Data for all matches - http://sc2k4.com/displaytable.php
SC2K4.com/Frog
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The topic is dead. Not the kind of dead that can be cured with a Phoenix Down. I'm talking FMV sequence dead.- The King in Teal
Well, until everyone in Sephiroth's half of the division last year started overperforming by 4-5% against their opponents. That's too weird just to be a coincidence.
Oh, and Squall looks set to break 55% by the end of the match. Not as good as I'd hoped, but all things considered, he did well.
I'll go out on a limb and say it: Cloud will NOT get 80% on Squall. If I'm wrong, it won't matter, as you won't be likely to see me for a while afterwards.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Championship
(5) Kirby's status: Rudely awakened
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SC2k4 Predicted Contest Winner: Sephiroth
48/50/192 Next tough pick: Sora
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Data for all matches - http://sc2k4.com/displaytable.php
SC2K4.com/Frog
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SC2k4 Predicted Contest Winner: Sephiroth
48/50/192 Next tough pick: Sora
Your statement will be proven right, since Cloud and Squall doesn't quite share the same fanbase.
That said, Squall will be hard pressed to exceed Auron's performance against Cloud in 2003 contest.
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Real monsters are not those who has the power to destroy, but those who has the intention to do so.
And I'm with CN here, Cloud is stronger than Sephiroth, and not because of some Hero beats Villian factor. It's just a coincidence about his part of the bracket.
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Snake vs. Tanner - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Kirby vs. Squall - Bracket: Squall - Vote: Kirby (48/50)
Would a picture of "Leon" be more inclined to draw more votes for him than FFVIII Squall due to higher recognizability? His design is pretty different in Kingdom Hearts, and he doesn't even have the same name.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Championship
(5) Kirby's status: Rudely awakened
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Current Pick: Squally; Current Vote: Kirby; Points: 47/50
Falcom Paunch!
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Championship
(5) Kirby's status: Rudely awakened
Ok, anyways:
And I'm with CN here, Cloud is stronger than Sephiroth, and not because of some Hero beats Villian factor. It's just a coincidence about his part of the bracket.
Agreed. Sephiroth is going to be SFF'D very hard, then Link will beat Cloud..yay!.
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GameFAQs can gain justice from this petition! Please visit it at http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=15656619 (1104 Signs!)
I'm sure you guys would be a little interested in how much the brackets would have supported certain characters who lost early, correct (i.e. how many brackets had Solid Snake beating Crono in 2002). Obviously, ithe formula's not totally accurate. It DEFINITELY does not work in the earlier rounds, due to a good amount of idiotic bracket makers that makes the loser actually look like he has a decent amount of support. There's also the fact that some characters are not very balanced in support in each subsequent round, such as Master Chief or Vercetti.
The formula is simple, and I wouldn't be surprised if some of you have done something like this before...I'll just give one example and hope you figure it out.
Anyway, I've decided to test it for a bunch of formidable losers:
20.88% predicted Cloud to beat Mario (R4) in 2002.
Knowing
72.52% predicted Mario to reach R4
53.53% predicted Cloud to reach R4
I took Mario's 44.24%, divided it by 72.52%, and assumed 61.00% of the brackets had whoever character they had winning in Mario's 8-pack also winning the division; thus 39% of the brackets must have a characters in Cloud's 8-pack winning the division; using 39% and multiplying it by 53.53%, we find that 20.88% of the brackets had Cloud winning the division.
Yes, 20.88% seems low, but you must realize what kind of odds Cloud has...14:1, as opposed to Mario's 6:1. That's less than half as good as Mario's odds! I'd imagine be a bit more than that would have Cloud taking out Mario, anyway, but much more than 25% is stretching it.
Here's other tests of the formula:
2002:
37.62% predicted Snake over Crono (R4).
9.91% predicted Samus over Sephiroth (R4).
4.39% predicted Crono over Mario (R5)
18.05% predicted Mario as the 2002 champ
2003:
54.34% predicted Link to beat Cloud
35% predicted Solid Snake over Mega Man
35.33% predicted Mario to beat Sephiroth
8.77% predicted Sonic over Cloud
Sp2004:
30.84% predicted Final Fantasy VI over Zelda: LttP
28.44% predicted FFX over SSBM
18.98% predicted LoZ over SMB3
17.85% predicted Zelda: LttP over CT
A pathetic amount predicted Zelda: OoT over FFVII
3.6% predicted Starcraft over SSBM
11.11% predicted SMB3 over CT (haha...screw the math here)
Whatever, a lot of it still doesn't seem all the accurate. Hey, it's still fun, though. Plus, there's odds and such we can also work with for the first two contests.
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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
How can everyone in his part of the division overperforming by around the same amount be just a coincidence?
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Championship
(5) Kirby's status: Rudely awakened
GameFAQs is just screwed up like that, very sad.
Lol..just kidding, I second what you say.
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GameFAQs can gain justice from this petition! Please visit it at http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=15656619 (1110 Signs!)
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Championship
(5) Kirby's status: Rudely awakened
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"There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."